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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MRNA ETF (MRNX)

NYSEArca
76.89 USD -5.53 (-6.710%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 74.50 -2.39 (-2.390%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:05 a.m. EDT

The most critical observation is the extreme volatility and structural disconnect in the price history provided. While the current price sits at $87.53, the recent 14-day data shows a chaotic sequence where the price spiked to $141.64 before collapsing back to $74.31 and recovering slightly. This erratic behavior, combined with the fact that the 52-week high ($143.84) is significantly higher than the current level, suggests a highly unstable leveraged instrument rather than a stable investment opportunity. The lack of any dividend history confirms this is a pure-play leveraged ETF with no income component. For the short term, the massive intraday swings and the recent pullback from the $141 peak create a neutral stance; there is no clear momentum edge to justify a bullish entry, nor is the trend sufficiently broken to mandate a short. For the long term, the instrument is fundamentally unsuited for buy-and-hold strategies due to the compounding drag inherent in daily-reset leverage during volatile markets, evidenced by the wide gap between the 52-week high and current price. Without any underlying business fundamentals or revenue growth data to support a recovery, the long-term outlook remains neutral to cautious.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.359350
AutoTheta0.359709
MSTL0.360239
AutoARIMA0.422033

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 22%
H-stat 4.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.026
Excess Kurtosis 0.00

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 143.84
All Time Low 14.95
Ask 77.14
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 957,270
Average Daily Volume3 Month 184,532
Average Volume 184,532
Average Volume10Days 957,270
Bid 74.0
Bid Size 200
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 76.89
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 77.49
Day Low 71.39
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 42.3284
Fifty Day Average Change 34.5616
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.8165109
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 304.41608
Fifty Two Week High 143.84
Fifty Two Week High Change -66.95
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.46544772
Fifty Two Week Low 14.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 61.94
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 4.1431437
Fifty Two Week Range 14.95 - 143.84
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,770,215,400,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -5.53
Fullday Change Percent -6.70954
Fullday Price 74.5
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MRNA ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1968181326
Open 76.0
Post Market Change -2.3899994
Post Market Change Percent -3.1083357
Post Market Price 74.5
Post Market Time 1,787,961,550
Previous Close 82.42
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -5.53
Regular Market Change Percent -6.70954
Regular Market Day High 77.49
Regular Market Day Low 71.39
Regular Market Day Range 71.39 - 77.49
Regular Market Open 76.0
Regular Market Previous Close 82.42
Regular Market Price 76.89
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 426,804
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long M
Source Interval 15
Symbol MRNX
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 31.170422
Two Hundred Day Average Change 45.719578
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 1.4667616
Type Disp Equity
Volume 426,804