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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MRNA ETF (MRNX)

NYSEArca
37.55 USD -1.44 (-3.693%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 37.00 -0.55 (-0.550%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:32 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★⯪Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:53 a.m. EDT

The short-term outlook is exceptionally bullish due to a massive, explosive price surge over the last two weeks, driven by renewed interest in the underlying biotech company ahead of a critical FDA decision. The price jumped nearly 80% from mid-June highs to peak above $57 before settling near $39, leaving the 50-day average far behind and creating a powerful momentum setup for a leveraged daily ETF. However, the long-term investment case is fundamentally flawed because this is a leveraged product designed for one-day holding periods, not buy-and-hold strategies; the lack of any multi-year price history and the inherent volatility decay risks make it unsuitable for long-term capital preservation. Furthermore, there is absolutely no dividend income to offset the risks of holding such a volatile instrument overnight.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.181420
MSTL0.190752
AutoETS0.191561
AutoARIMA0.193033

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 19%
H-stat 15.64
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.003
Excess Kurtosis 0.62

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 62.8
All Time Low 14.95
Ask 68.44
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 63,490
Average Daily Volume3 Month 34,521
Average Volume 34,521
Average Volume10Days 63,490
Bid 18.0
Bid Size 400
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 37.55
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 40.1101
Day Low 35.97
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 28.6924
Fifty Day Average Change 8.857599
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.3087089
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 91.31502
Fifty Two Week High 62.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -25.25
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.40207008
Fifty Two Week Low 14.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 22.599998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.5117056
Fifty Two Week Range 14.95 - 62.8
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,770,215,400,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MRNA ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1968181326
Open 36.38
Post Market Change -0.54999924
Post Market Change Percent -1.4647117
Post Market Price 37.0
Post Market Time 1,783,985,562
Previous Close 38.99
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.44
Regular Market Change Percent -3.69326
Regular Market Day High 40.1101
Regular Market Day Low 35.97
Regular Market Day Range 35.97 - 40.1101
Regular Market Open 36.38
Regular Market Previous Close 38.99
Regular Market Price 37.55
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,791
Regular Market Volume 29,547
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long M
Source Interval 15
Symbol MRNX
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 27.601759
Two Hundred Day Average Change 9.94824
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.36042053
Type Disp Equity
Volume 29,547