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Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Cambridge, United States | NasdaqGS
137.99 USD -4.78 (-3.348%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 136.53 -1.46 (-1.460%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:27 a.m. EDT

Moderna is currently trapped between a recent price explosion and a deteriorating operational reality. While the stock rallied sharply to nearly $175 in mid-August, the underlying business is hemorrhaging cash with negative operating margins and a four-year streak of annual price declines ending at the current date. The options market is screaming caution, with massive put buying dwarfing call activity, signaling that smart money is hedging against a crash rather than chasing the rally. Fundamentally, the company lacks the profitability required to sustain a premium valuation, making the current price level precarious and the long-term outlook structurally weak.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.141984
AutoETS0.142235
AutoTheta0.142271
AutoARIMA0.175646

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 18%
H-stat 6.74
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 6.31
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 19.036
Revenue per Share 5.662
Market Cap 55,090,565,120
Forward P/E -29.75
Beta 0.90
Profit Margins -141.43%
Website https://www.modernatx.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:27 a.m. EDT: Market participants are aggressively positioning for downside risk. Put volume and open interest significantly outweigh call activity across all expiration dates, with deep out-of-the-money puts showing substantial volume spikes and implied volatility premiums. The call side remains nearly dormant, indicating a distinct lack of bullish conviction despite the recent price surge.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 4.9265256
Address1 325 Binney Street
All Time High 497.49
All Time Low 11.54
Ask 144.33
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 52,686,940
Average Daily Volume3 Month 14,514,790
Average Volume 14,514,790
Average Volume10Days 52,686,940
Beta 0.899
Bid 132.0
Bid Size 3
Board Risk 7
Book Value 16.945
City Cambridge
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 137.99
Current Ratio 2.295
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 138.8
Day Low 133.33
Debt To Equity 19.036
Display Name Moderna
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,499,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,499,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,501,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda -2,195,000,064
Ebitda Margins -0.98519
Enterprise To Ebitda -23.344
Enterprise To Revenue 22.998
Enterprise Value 51,239,559,168
Eps Current Year -8.58902
Eps Forward -4.63774
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.98
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 75.2649
Fifty Day Average Change 62.725105
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.8333912
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 492.65256
Fifty Two Week High 176.66
Fifty Two Week High Change -38.67
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21889503
Fifty Two Week Low 22.28
Fifty Two Week Low Change 115.71001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 5.193447
Fifty Two Week Range 22.28 - 176.66
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,544,193,000,000
Float Shares 372,267,505
Forward Eps -4.63774
Forward P E -29.753717
Free Cashflow 299,249,984
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,700
Fullday Change -4.78
Fullday Change Percent -3.34804
Fullday Price 136.53
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins -0.66023004
Gross Profits -1,471,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07317
Held Percent Institutions 0.80477
Implied Shares Outstanding 399,235,889
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; immatics N.V.; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Long Name Moderna, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 55,090,565,120
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_128680956
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -3,151,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 56,998,907,872
Number Of Analyst Opinions 17
Open 137.057
Operating Cashflow -1,073,000,000
Operating Margins -5.5793104
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 617 714 6500
Post Market Change -1.4600067
Post Market Change Percent -1.0580525
Post Market Price 136.53
Post Market Time 1,787,961,597
Previous Close 142.77
Price Eps Current Year -16.065863
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.143406
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 24.726465
Profit Margins -1.41427
Quick Ratio 2.068
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.73913
Region US
Regular Market Change -4.78
Regular Market Change Percent -3.34804
Regular Market Day High 138.8
Regular Market Day Low 133.33
Regular Market Day Range 133.33 - 138.8
Regular Market Open 137.057
Regular Market Previous Close 142.77
Regular Market Price 137.99
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 25,736,829
Return On Assets -0.13256
Return On Equity -0.38998002
Revenue Growth 0.021
Revenue Per Share 5.662
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1966995
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 399,235,889
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.13229999
Shares Short 52,809,184
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 52,401,842
Short Name Moderna, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1616
Short Ratio 9.92
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol MRNA
Target High Price 170.0
Target Low Price 40.0
Target Mean Price 104.52941
Target Median Price 120.0
Total Cash 5,137,999,872
Total Cash Per Share 12.87
Total Debt 1,287,000,064
Total Revenue 2,228,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -7.98
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 51.196575
Two Hundred Day Average Change 86.79343
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 1.6952975
Type Disp Equity
Volume 25,736,829
Website https://www.modernatx.com
Zip 2,142