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Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Cambridge, United States | NasdaqGS
216.25 USD +2.51 (1.174%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 215.20 -1.05 (-1.050%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 6:40 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:11 a.m. EDT

Moderna is trading at a dangerous disconnect, priced at 52-week highs despite suffering four consecutive years of negative annual returns. While the stock has rallied strongly over the past two weeks, the underlying business remains unprofitable with negative operating margins and a return on equity of nearly -40%. The market is currently pricing in a recovery that analyst consensus does not support, with average price targets sitting at roughly $121, more than 40% below the current level. The options flow reveals a tug-of-war between momentum traders chasing the highs and hedgers protecting against a likely mean reversion. For a long-term investor, the structural deterioration over the last four years combined with the lack of dividend income makes this a weak hold. Short-term traders may find momentum favorable, but the valuation gap presents significant downside risk.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.732156
AutoETS0.734852
AutoARIMA0.735940
MSTL0.736218

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 9.42
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.038
Excess Kurtosis -1.13
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 19.036
Revenue per Share 5.662
Market Cap 86,334,767,104
Forward P/E -48.73
Beta 1.10
Profit Margins -141.43%
Website https://www.modernatx.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are displaying a conflicted stance with heavy volume in both directions. Call buyers are aggressively targeting strikes well above the current price, including deep out-of-the-money positions at $290, suggesting a belief in a continued rally. Conversely, put buyers are establishing significant hedges at strikes just below the current level ($200-$210), indicating a fear of a sharp correction from the 52-week high. Implied volatility is elevated at deep strikes, reflecting uncertainty about whether the stock can sustain its recent surge.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 7.142476
Address1 325 Binney Street
All Time High 497.49
All Time Low 11.54
Ask 228.12
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 19,159,770
Average Daily Volume3 Month 18,330,582
Average Volume 18,330,582
Average Volume10Days 19,159,770
Beta 1.095
Bid 206.04
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 7
Book Value 16.945
City Cambridge
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 216.25
Current Ratio 2.295
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 218.48
Day Low 204.7
Debt To Equity 19.036
Display Name Moderna
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,970,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,970,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,968,200
Ebitda -2,195,000,064
Ebitda Margins -0.98519
Enterprise To Ebitda -37.121
Enterprise To Revenue 36.572
Enterprise Value 81,481,678,848
Eps Current Year -8.39789
Eps Forward -4.43761
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.98
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 141.4369
Fifty Day Average Change 74.813095
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.52895033
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 714.2476
Fifty Two Week High 227.46
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.210007
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.04928342
Fifty Two Week Low 22.28
Fifty Two Week Low Change 193.97
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 8.706014
Fifty Two Week Range 22.28 - 227.46
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,544,193,000,000
Float Shares 372,063,894
Forward Eps -4.43761
Forward P E -48.731186
Free Cashflow 299,249,984
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,700
Fullday Change 1.4599915
Fullday Change Percent 0.6830689
Fullday Price 215.2
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins -0.66023004
Gross Profits -1,471,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07337
Held Percent Institutions 0.80420995
Implied Shares Outstanding 399,235,889
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; immatics N.V.; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Long Name Moderna, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 86,334,767,104
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_128680956
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -3,151,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 72,704,847,745
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 207.63
Operating Cashflow -1,073,000,000
Operating Margins -5.5793104
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 617 714 6500
Post Market Change -1.050003
Post Market Change Percent -0.48555055
Post Market Price 215.2
Post Market Time 1,791,931,202
Previous Close 213.74
Price Eps Current Year -25.750515
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 12.761877
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 38.749897
Profit Margins -1.41427
Quick Ratio 2.068
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.86957
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.5099945
Regular Market Change Percent 1.1743213
Regular Market Day High 218.48
Regular Market Day Low 204.7
Regular Market Day Range 204.7 - 218.48
Regular Market Open 207.63
Regular Market Previous Close 213.74
Regular Market Price 216.25
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,601
Regular Market Volume 13,361,426
Return On Assets -0.13256
Return On Equity -0.38998002
Revenue Growth 0.021
Revenue Per Share 5.662
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 399,235,889
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0773
Shares Short 30,863,202
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 39,151,532
Short Name Moderna, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.094399996
Short Ratio 2.0
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol MRNA
Target High Price 200.0
Target Low Price 45.0
Target Mean Price 122.66667
Target Median Price 125.0
Total Cash 5,137,999,872
Total Cash Per Share 12.87
Total Debt 1,287,000,064
Total Revenue 2,228,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -7.98
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 73.53853
Two Hundred Day Average Change 142.71147
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 1.9406354
Type Disp Equity
Volume 13,361,426
Website https://www.modernatx.com
Zip 2,142