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Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Cambridge, United States | NasdaqGS
53.72 USD -0.96 (-1.756%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 53.82 +0.10 (0.186%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:15 a.m. EDT

The data presents a strong mismatch between deteriorating fundamentals and aggressive speculative positioning. While Moderna is fundamentally broken with negative margins, revenue contraction, and no dividend (Rating 1 and 0), the options flow is screaming 'bullish breakout' with heavy call buying right now. However, this creates a high-risk 'short-term momentum play' (Rating 4) where price action is detached from reality; it is not a 'buy and hold' scenario.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.106981
AutoETS0.118693
AutoARIMA0.118696
AutoTheta0.137647

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 65%
H-stat 1.58
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.106
Excess Kurtosis -0.46
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 15.087
Revenue per Share 4.997
Market Cap 21,304,645,632
Forward P/E -11.64
Beta 1.34
Profit Margins -145.16%
Website https://www.modernatx.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:15 a.m. EDT: Options market shows extreme bullish momentum. Massive call volume and Open Interest (OI) buildup above the current price (53.72), peaking at strikes 56.00 ($19k+ OI) and 59.00 ($19k+ OI) for the April 17 expiration. Upside call volume and OI ratios are well above 1.0, indicating aggressive buying for price appreciation. Conversely, put activity is heavily skewed towards deep out-of-the-money strikes with massive IV spikes (e.g., 2000%+ IV on 13.00 and 18.00 puts), suggesting speculative insurance or hedging of a crash rather than a bearish directional bet against the projected price. The lack of significant put OI at strikes near the current price confirms a bullish bias.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.1376841
Address1 325 Binney Street
All Time High 497.49
All Time Low 11.54
Ask 53.85
Ask Size 4
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,890,800
Average Daily Volume3 Month 9,777,246
Average Volume 9,777,246
Average Volume10Days 5,890,800
Beta 1.336
Bid 53.56
Bid Size 4
Board Risk 8
Book Value 21.954
City Cambridge
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 53.72
Current Ratio 3.293
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 56.06
Day Low 52.95
Debt To Equity 15.087
Display Name Moderna
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,636,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,636,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,638,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,638,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,638,600
Ebitda -2,859,000,064
Ebitda Margins -1.4706799
Enterprise To Ebitda -5.849
Enterprise To Revenue 8.602
Enterprise Value 16,722,146,304
Eps Current Year -7.39718
Eps Forward -4.61413
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.26
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.3208
Fifty Day Average Change 3.3992004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0675506
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 113.76841
Fifty Two Week High 59.55
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.829998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.09790089
Fifty Two Week Low 22.28
Fifty Two Week Low Change 31.44
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.411131
Fifty Two Week Range 22.28 - 59.55
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,544,193,000,000
Float Shares 368,427,140
Forward Eps -4.61413
Forward P E -11.642498
Free Cashflow -1,326,499,968
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,700
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins -1.05761
Gross Profits -2,056,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07316
Held Percent Institutions 0.77017
Implied Shares Outstanding 396,586,862
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; immatics N.V.; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Long Name Moderna, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 21,304,645,632
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_128680956
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -2,822,000,128
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 21,304,646,226
Number Of Analyst Opinions 20
Open 55.7
Operating Cashflow -1,872,999,936
Operating Margins -1.26401
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 617 714 6500
Post Market Change 0.099998474
Post Market Change Percent 0.18614757
Post Market Price 53.82
Post Market Time 1,776,470,327
Previous Close 54.68
Price Eps Current Year -7.262227
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4469345
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 10.95918
Profit Margins -1.4516499
Quick Ratio 3.061
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.95833
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.959999
Regular Market Change Percent -1.75567
Regular Market Day High 56.06
Regular Market Day Low 52.95
Regular Market Day Range 52.95 - 56.06
Regular Market Open 55.7
Regular Market Previous Close 54.68
Regular Market Price 53.72
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 13,552,835
Return On Assets -0.14511
Return On Equity -0.28868
Revenue Growth -0.298
Revenue Per Share 4.997
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 396,586,862
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1529
Shares Short 60,649,602
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 70,233,907
Short Name Moderna, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1871
Short Ratio 7.11
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol MRNA
Target High Price 135.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 46.1
Target Median Price 42.0
Total Cash 5,799,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 14.683
Total Debt 1,304,999,936
Total Revenue 1,944,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -7.26
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 34.799824
Two Hundred Day Average Change 18.920177
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.54368603
Type Disp Equity
Volume 13,552,835
Website https://www.modernatx.com
Zip 2,142