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Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)

Healthcare | Drug Manufacturers - General | Rahway, United States | NYSE
147.37 USD +5.39 (3.796%) ⇧ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4:03 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 148.50 +1.13 (0.767%) ⇧ (Oct. 14, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:13 a.m. EDT

Merck presents a classic value-trap versus turnaround story. While the multi-year price path remains positive with a 41% gain over the last nine years, the company is currently trading at a staggering 115x trailing earnings, masking a severe earnings compression that drove a 21% price drop last year. The forward earnings multiple of 15x suggests the market expects a massive earnings rebound, yet the negative operating margins and 266% dividend payout ratio on trailing earnings cast doubt on immediate sustainability. For investors seeking income, the 2.38% yield is attractive but carries a high risk of erosion given the payout ratio. Technically, the stock has stabilized above its 200-day average, and options flow indicates speculative capital is buying protection at lower levels while betting on a bounce toward the 150-165 zone. This is a speculative hold waiting for the earnings gap to close, rather than a core compounder.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.085952
AutoETS0.085952
AutoTheta0.086408
MSTL0.089016

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 38.10
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.071
Excess Kurtosis -1.43
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 128.408
Revenue per Share 26.848
Market Cap 363,587,076,096
Trailing P/E 116.96
Forward P/E 15.81
Beta 0.22
Profit Margins 4.77%
Website https://www.merck.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:13 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery with a bullish bias. Call open interest concentrates heavily at the 150 and 165 strikes for near-term expirations, suggesting a floor near current levels. Deep-dated calls show aggressive volume at the 175 strike, hinting at hopes for a 20%+ rally. Conversely, put buyers are establishing significant walls at the 100 and 145 strikes, indicating a desire to protect against a retest of the 2025 lows. Implied volatility is elevated on deep OTM legs, reflecting uncertainty around the upcoming earnings catalyst.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.59% 2.92% 3.07% 3.06%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-15 0.850000 0.591140
2026-06-15 0.850000 0.739774
2026-03-16 0.850000 0.736377
2025-12-15 0.850000 0.847796
2025-09-15 0.810000 0.999753
2025-06-16 0.810000 1.000494
2025-03-17 0.810000 0.854521
2024-12-16 0.810000 0.809514
2024-09-16 0.770000 0.652764
2024-06-17 0.770000 0.603922
2024-03-14 0.770000 0.638951
2023-12-14 0.770000 0.727238
2023-09-14 0.730000 0.674427
2023-06-14 0.730000 0.671820
2023-03-14 0.730000 0.682434
2022-12-14 0.730000 0.654415
2022-09-14 0.690000 0.793560
2022-06-14 0.690000 0.816568
2022-03-14 0.690000 0.887118
2021-12-14 0.690000 0.935974
2021-09-14 0.650000 0.901401
2021-06-14 0.650000 0.861498
2021-03-12 0.620229 0.871314
2020-12-14 0.620229 0.809263
2020-09-14 0.582061 0.724810
2020-06-12 0.582061 0.799476
2020-03-13 0.582061 0.794788
2019-12-13 0.582061 0.683933
2019-09-13 0.524809 0.665779
2019-06-14 0.524809 0.664412
2019-03-14 0.524809 0.674929
2018-12-14 0.524809 0.719142
2018-09-14 0.458015 0.685910
2018-06-14 0.458015 0.779727
2018-03-14 0.458015 0.875912
2017-12-14 0.458015 0.856989
2017-09-14 0.448473 0.710828
2017-06-13 0.448473 0.742848
2017-03-13 0.448473 0.732657
2016-12-13 0.448473 0.760640
2016-09-13 0.438931 0.744216
2016-06-13 0.438931 0.819818
2016-03-11 0.438931 0.864661
2015-12-11 0.438931 0.882070
2015-09-11 0.429389 0.863889
2015-06-11 0.429389 0.763877
2015-03-12 0.429389 0.801139
2014-12-11 0.429389 0.758341
2014-09-11 0.419847 0.732113
2014-06-12 0.419847 0.754716
2014-03-13 0.419847 0.788671
2013-12-12 0.419847 0.910595
2013-09-12 0.410305 0.898641
2013-06-13 0.410305 0.897703
2013-03-13 0.410305 0.964341
2012-12-13 0.410305 0.978384
2012-09-13 0.400763 0.940438
2012-06-13 0.400763 1.093749
2012-03-13 0.400763 1.097178
2011-12-13 0.400763 1.200342
2011-09-13 0.362595 1.197226
2011-06-13 0.362595 1.075572
2011-03-11 0.362595 1.161013
2010-12-13 0.362595 1.052630
2010-09-13 0.362595 1.049143
2010-06-11 0.362595 1.090073
2010-03-11 0.362595 1.030368
2009-12-11 0.362595 1.025087
2009-09-02 0.362595 1.233364
2009-06-04 0.362595 1.429645
2009-03-04 0.362595 1.640050
2008-12-03 0.362595 1.436128
2008-09-03 0.362595 1.096047
2008-06-04 0.362595 0.995545
2008-03-05 0.362595 0.878612
2007-12-05 0.362595 0.639730
2007-09-05 0.362595 0.769230
2007-06-06 0.362595 0.748620
2007-03-07 0.362595 0.866392
2006-12-06 0.362595 0.850682
2006-08-30 0.362595 0.931371
2006-05-31 0.362595 1.141483
2006-03-08 0.362595 1.095731
2005-11-30 0.362595 1.292516
2005-08-31 0.362595 1.346084
2005-06-01 0.362595 1.180489
2005-03-02 0.362595 1.202530
2004-12-01 0.362595 1.370850
2004-09-01 0.362595 0.853165
2004-06-02 0.353053 0.773572
2004-03-03 0.353053 0.785395
2003-12-03 0.353053 0.848039
2003-09-03 0.353053 0.730070
2003-08-20 2.744275 5.518036
2003-06-04 0.343511 0.633245
2003-03-05 0.343511 0.694042
2002-12-04 0.343511 0.611828
2002-09-04 0.343511 0.732749
2002-06-05 0.333969 0.636942
2002-03-06 0.333969 0.558480
2001-12-05 0.333969 0.528381
2001-08-30 0.333969 0.530383
2001-05-31 0.324427 0.465817
2001-03-07 0.324427 0.456989
2000-12-06 0.324427 0.379623
2000-08-30 0.324427 0.478031
2000-05-31 0.276718 0.388610
2000-03-01 0.276718 0.483334
1999-12-01 0.276718 0.379628
1999-09-01 0.276718 0.421053
1999-06-02 0.257634 0.404495
1999-03-03 0.257634 0.344224
1998-12-02 0.257634 0.340963
1998-09-02 0.257634 0.450001
1998-06-03 0.214695 0.399779
1998-03-04 0.214695 0.360361
1997-12-03 0.214695 0.459184
1997-09-03 0.214695 0.469056
1997-06-05 0.200382 0.470589
1997-03-05 0.200382 0.446809
1996-12-05 0.190840 0.504733
1996-09-04 0.190840 0.609525
1996-06-06 0.162214 0.526113
1996-03-06 0.162214 0.513208
1995-12-06 0.162214 0.533334
1995-09-05 0.162214 0.671606
1995-06-02 0.143130 0.633246
1995-03-03 0.143130 0.720722
1994-12-02 0.143130 0.794703
1994-09-02 0.143130 0.885610
1994-06-02 0.133588 0.925621
1994-03-02 0.133588 0.875001
1993-12-02 0.133588 0.832715
1993-09-02 0.133588 0.845284
1993-06-02 0.119275 0.671142
1993-03-02 0.119275 0.643088
1992-12-02 0.119275 0.547946
1992-08-31 0.119275 0.514140
1992-06-02 0.109733 0.463477
1992-03-02 0.109733 0.439841
1991-12-02 0.100191 0.425317
1991-08-30 0.100191 0.496553
1991-06-03 0.089059 0.482242
1991-03-04 0.089059 0.543692
1990-12-03 0.089059 0.655933
1990-08-28 0.089059 0.692430
1990-05-29 0.071565 0.540541
1990-03-05 0.071565 0.650996
1989-12-04 0.071565 0.575081
1989-08-29 0.071565 0.607084
1989-05-30 0.065204 0.596368
1989-03-02 0.065204 0.635663
1988-11-29 0.058842 0.665166
1988-08-29 0.046915 0.527967
1988-06-03 0.050891 0.580504
1988-02-29 0.050891 0.580504
1987-12-01 0.042409 0.474779
1987-08-28 0.042409 0.396532
1987-06-02 0.029156 0.355986
1987-03-02 0.029156 0.354267
1986-12-02 0.029156 0.478260
1986-09-02 0.029156 0.496053
1986-06-03 0.023855 0.467533
1986-02-27 0.023855 0.590165
1985-12-03 0.023855 0.699710
1985-08-30 0.021204 0.700972
1985-06-03 0.021204 0.742445
1985-02-28 0.021204 0.800986
1984-12-03 0.021204 0.911663
1984-08-31 0.019879 0.894182
1984-05-29 0.019879 0.872087
1984-03-01 0.019879 0.799995
1983-11-29 0.019879 0.762384
1983-08-29 0.018554 0.728224
1983-05-31 0.018554 0.813960
1983-02-28 0.018554 0.835827
1982-11-30 0.018554 0.845928
1982-08-30 0.018554 0.934899
1982-06-01 0.018554 0.979029
1982-03-01 0.018554 0.903233
1981-12-01 0.018554 0.824749
1981-08-31 0.017229 0.773828
1981-06-01 0.017229 0.635712
1981-03-02 0.017229 0.764724
1980-12-02 0.017229 0.836033
1980-08-29 0.015241 0.759092
1980-06-02 0.015241 0.811305
1980-02-28 0.015241 0.948474
1979-12-03 0.015241 0.804213
1979-08-31 0.012590 0.683447
1979-05-25 0.012590 0.745091
1979-03-01 0.012590 0.733584
1978-12-04 0.012590 0.763045
1978-08-28 0.011265 0.717309
1978-05-26 0.011265 0.735941
1978-03-02 0.011265 0.817319
1977-11-28 0.011265 0.737537
1977-08-29 0.009940 0.638326
1977-05-31 0.009940 0.740773
1977-03-01 0.009940 0.671170
1976-11-30 0.009940 0.585963
1976-08-30 0.009277 0.482762
1976-06-01 0.009277 0.507250
1976-03-02 0.009277 0.518522
1975-12-01 0.009277 0.444448
1975-08-29 0.009277 0.498224
1975-06-02 0.009277 0.412983
1975-03-03 0.009277 0.460530
1974-08-30 0.009277 0.551185
1974-06-03 0.009277 0.435462
1974-03-04 0.009277 0.446574
1973-12-03 0.009277 0.416670
1973-08-31 0.007819 0.362513
1973-06-05 0.007819 0.334746
1973-03-05 0.007819 0.317626
1972-12-05 0.007819 0.337620
1972-06-09 0.007289 0.386642
1972-03-02 0.007289 0.408541
1971-12-06 0.007289 0.452674
1971-09-03 0.007289 0.482455
1971-06-07 0.007289 0.521326
1971-03-02 0.007289 0.575915
1970-12-01 0.007289 0.624112
1970-09-02 0.006626 0.623017
1970-06-02 0.006626 0.574680
1969-12-01 0.009277 0.654211
1969-09-02 0.005964 0.469382
1969-06-03 0.005964 0.495889
1969-03-03 0.005964 0.543830
1968-12-02 0.008614 0.736519
1968-08-30 0.005301 0.451969
1968-06-04 0.005301 0.451969
1968-03-04 0.005301 0.526306
1967-12-07 0.007952 0.670420
1967-09-05 0.004638 0.395441
1967-06-06 0.004638 0.444400
1967-03-07 0.004638 0.437456
1966-11-30 0.007289 0.696201
1966-09-06 0.003976 0.442824
1966-06-07 0.003976 0.405423
1966-03-08 0.003976 0.424047
1965-11-30 0.006626 0.735253
1965-09-07 0.003313 0.375919
1965-06-08 0.003313 0.478441
1965-03-09 0.003313 0.473907
1964-12-01 0.006626 1.055349
1964-09-08 0.002385 0.425947
1964-06-09 0.002385 0.514179
1964-03-10 0.002209 0.424218
1963-12-03 0.003092 0.665016
1963-09-03 0.001988 0.425550
1963-03-05 0.001988 0.553019
1962-12-04 0.001988 0.557300
1962-09-05 0.001767 0.627439
1962-06-05 0.001767 0.601493
1962-03-06 0.001767 0.444435
Additional Data
dividendYield 2.39
exDividendDate 2026-09-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.32
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.023383575
lastDividendValue 0.85
lastDividendDate 2026-09-15
dividendDate 2026-10-07

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.7560772
Address1 126 East Lincoln Avenue
All Time High 156.92
All Time Low 0.265055
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,530,660
Average Daily Volume3 Month 9,837,601
Average Volume 9,837,601
Average Volume10Days 8,530,660
Beta 0.222
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 7
Book Value 16.986
City Rahway
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 147.37
Current Ratio 1.323
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 148.13
Day Low 142.66
Debt To Equity 128.408
Display Name Merck
Dividend Date 1,791,331,200
Dividend Yield 2.39
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,277,000
Ebitda 28,871,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.4337
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.215
Enterprise To Revenue 6.165
Enterprise Value 410,408,091,648
Eps Current Year 2.66557
Eps Forward 9.3193
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.26
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 144.4346
Fifty Day Average Change 2.9353943
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.020323345
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 75.60772
Fifty Two Week High 156.92
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.550003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.060859058
Fifty Two Week Low 82.01
Fifty Two Week Low Change 65.35999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.79697585
Fifty Two Week Range 82.01 - 156.92
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds -252,322,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.89
Float Shares 2,463,026,790
Forward Eps 9.3193
Forward P E 15.813419
Free Cashflow 15,171,500,032
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 73,000
Fullday Change -3.3499908
Fullday Change Percent -2.3031907
Fullday Price 147.37
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.759
Gross Profits 50,525,999,104
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00056
Held Percent Institutions 0.83018
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,467,171,638
Industry Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Disp Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Key drug-manufacturers-general
Ir Website http://www.merck.com/investors/home.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Last Dividend Value 0.85
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,622,678,400
Last Split Factor 1,048:1000
Long Business Summary Merck & Co., Inc. operates as a healthcare company worldwide. It offers human health pharmaceutical for various areas under the Keytruda, Keytruda Qlex, Welireg, Gardasil, ProQuad, M-M-R II, Varivax, Vaxneuvance, Capvaxive, RotaTeq, Pneumovax 23, Bridion, Prevymis, Dificid, Zerbaxa, Winrevair, Adempas/ Verquvo, Ohtuvayre, Lagevrio, Isentress/Isentress HD, Delstrigo, Pifeltro, Belsomra, Januvia, and Janumet brands. The company also provides veterinary pharmaceuticals, vaccines and health management solutions and services, such as livestock products under the Nuflor, Bovilis/Vista, Bovilis Cryptium, Banamine, Estrumate, Matrix, Resflor, Zuprevo, Revalor, Safe-Guard, M+Pac, Porcilis, Circumvent, Nobilis/Innovax, Paracox and Coccivac, Exzolt, Slice, Imvixa, Clynav, Aquavac/Norvax, Aquaflor, Flexolt brands; Allflex Livestock Intelligence solutions; and companion animal products under the Bravecto One-Month, Bravecto Injectable/Quantum, Bravecto TriUNO, Bravecto Plus, Sentinel Spectrum, Sentinel Flavor Tabs, Numelvi, Optimmune, Nobivac NXT, GilvetMab, Otomax, Mometamax, Mometamax Ultra, Posatex, Caninsulin/Vetsulin, Panacur, Safeguard, Regumate, Prestige, Scalibor/Exspot, Sure Petcare, and Home Again brands. It has development and commercialization agreement for three of Daiichi Sankyo's deruxtecan ADC candidates; AstraZeneca PLC to co-development and co-commercialize AstraZeneca's Lynparza products for multiple cancer types; licensed to develop, manufacture and commercialize LM-299, a novel investigational PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody from LaNova; and collaboration agreement with Eisai Co., Ltd., Bayer AG, and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP, as well Moderna, Inc. Merck & Co., Inc. has strategic collaboration with Infinimmune, Inc. to discover and develop antibodies against multiple therapeutic targets. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Rahway, New Jersey.
Long Name Merck & Co., Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 363,587,076,096
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_288502
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 3,172,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 296,107,249,114
Number Of Analyst Opinions 25
Open 143.1
Operating Cashflow 19,967,000,576
Operating Margins -0.00241
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 2.6667001
Peg Ratio 2.65
Phone 908 740 4000
Post Market Change 1.1300049
Post Market Change Percent 0.76678085
Post Market Price 148.5
Post Market Time 1,792,022,387
Previous Close 141.98
Price Eps Current Year 55.286484
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.675968
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.4618077
Profit Margins 0.047659997
Quick Ratio 0.742
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.77778
Region US
Regular Market Change 5.39
Regular Market Change Percent 3.79631
Regular Market Day High 148.13
Regular Market Day Low 142.66
Regular Market Day Range 142.66 - 148.13
Regular Market Open 143.1
Regular Market Previous Close 141.98
Regular Market Price 147.37
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,213
Regular Market Volume 9,799,803
Return On Assets 0.11868
Return On Equity 0.06961
Revenue Growth 0.051
Revenue Per Share 26.848
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1570785
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 2,467,171,638
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0115
Shares Short 28,271,750
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 30,287,347
Short Name Merck & Company, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0115
Short Ratio 2.88
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol MRK
Target High Price 186.0
Target Low Price 105.0
Target Mean Price 158.64
Target Median Price 163.0
Total Cash 7,141,000,192
Total Cash Per Share 2.894
Total Debt 53,910,999,040
Total Revenue 66,568,998,912
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.32
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.023383575
Trailing Eps 1.26
Trailing P E 116.96031
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.7047
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 124.48075
Two Hundred Day Average Change 22.889244
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.18387778
Type Disp Equity
Volume 9,799,803
Website https://www.merck.com
Zip 7,065