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Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Andover, United States | NasdaqGS
75.69 USD -1.02 (-1.330%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 75.69

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:05 a.m. EDT

Mercury Systems presents a precarious investment case where a massive price recovery has not yet translated into profitable operations. Although the stock has gained nearly 200% over the last nine years, the company is currently burning cash with negative earnings and a negative return on equity. The valuation is aggressive at 35 times forward earnings, pricing in a turnaround that hasn't happened yet. On the technical side, the stock is struggling to reclaim its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating persistent selling pressure. While options traders are betting on a continued rally with heavy call open interest far out, there is a notable cluster of put buying at the $75 level, signaling that the market sees a floor nearby. Until the earnings engine turns positive, the risk of a deeper correction outweighs the potential for steady gains.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.137926
AutoARIMA0.138346
AutoETS0.138348
MSTL0.140253

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 10.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.090
Excess Kurtosis -1.34
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 33.582
Revenue per Share 16.543
Market Cap 4,606,765,056
Forward P/E 33.94
Beta 0.98
Profit Margins -3.02%
Website https://www.mrcy.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued volatility with a bullish bias on distant strikes, evidenced by heavy OTM call open interest walls at $130 and beyond. However, the immediate term shows defensive hedging, with significant put volume concentrated at the $75 strike, suggesting traders view the current price as vulnerable to a downside test. Implied volatility remains elevated across the board, reflecting uncertainty around the stock's near-term path.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.01842612
Address1 50 Minuteman Road
All Time High 128.45
All Time Low 2.21
Ask 96.35
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 462,300
Average Daily Volume3 Month 681,800
Average Volume 681,800
Average Volume10Days 462,300
Beta 0.977
Bid 55.28
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 25.125
City Andover
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 75.69
Current Ratio 2.963
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 77.22
Day Low 74.955
Debt To Equity 33.582
Display Name Mercury Systems
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,794,348,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,794,348,000
Earnings Growth -0.967
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.951
Earnings Timestamp 1,794,340,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,340,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,340,800
Ebitda 80,177,000
Ebitda Margins 0.08151
Enterprise To Ebitda 61.135
Enterprise To Revenue 4.983
Enterprise Value 4,901,618,688
Eps Current Year 1.67061
Eps Forward 2.23
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.49
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 978 256 3599
Fifty Day Average 90.0276
Fifty Day Average Change -14.337601
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.15925783
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.842612
Fifty Two Week High 128.45
Fifty Two Week High Change -52.759995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.41074345
Fifty Two Week Low 65.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.650002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.1637454
Fifty Two Week Range 65.04 - 128.45
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 886,170,600,000
Float Shares 55,518,881
Forward Eps 2.23
Forward P E 33.941704
Free Cashflow 107,115,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,102
Fullday Change -1.0199966
Fullday Change Percent -1.3296789
Fullday Price 75.69
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.28585
Gross Profits 281,164,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.011390001
Held Percent Institutions 1.11978
Implied Shares Outstanding 60,863,586
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Ir Website http://ir.mrcy.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,783,036,800
Last Split Date 945,734,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Mercury Systems, Inc., engages in the aerospace and defense electronics industry. The company manufactures and sells components, products, modules, and subsystems for defense prime contractors, original equipment manufacturers, government, and commercial aerospace companies. It offers components, including power amplifiers and limiters, switches, oscillators, filters, equalizers, digital and analog converters, chips, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and memory and storage devices; modules and sub-assemblies, such as embedded processing boards, switched fabrics and boards, digital receivers, multi-chip modules, integrated radio frequency and microwave multi-function assemblies, tuners, and transceivers, as well as graphics and video; and integrated subsystems. The company also designs, develops, and manufactures digital radio frequency memory units for various modern electronic warfare applications; radar environment simulation and test systems for defense and intelligence applications; and signals intelligence payloads and EO/IR technologies for small UAV platforms, as well as onboard UAV processor systems for real-time wide area motion imagery. It operates in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company was formerly known as Mercury Computer Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Mercury Systems, Inc. in November 2012. Mercury Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.
Long Name Mercury Systems, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,606,765,056
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_376921
Most Recent Quarter 1,783,036,800
Net Income To Common -29,673,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,814,572,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,490,678,892
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 75.78
Operating Cashflow 102,388,000
Operating Margins 0.01227
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.79
Phone 978 256 1300
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 75.69
Post Market Time 1,792,008,057
Previous Close 76.71
Price Eps Current Year 45.30681
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.0125375
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.6834707
Profit Margins -0.03017
Quick Ratio 1.733
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.90909
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.0199966
Regular Market Change Percent -1.3296789
Regular Market Day High 77.22
Regular Market Day Low 74.955
Regular Market Day Range 74.955 - 77.22
Regular Market Open 75.78
Regular Market Previous Close 76.71
Regular Market Price 75.69
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,001
Regular Market Volume 523,862
Return On Assets 0.0019699999
Return On Equity -0.01998
Revenue Growth 0.061
Revenue Per Share 16.543
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 60,863,586
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.082399994
Shares Short 5,013,538
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,231,532
Short Name Mercury Systems Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0953
Short Ratio 7.29
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol MRCY
Target High Price 131.0
Target Low Price 78.0
Target Mean Price 114.8
Target Median Price 117.5
Total Cash 214,306,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.564
Total Debt 502,881,984
Total Revenue 983,622,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.49
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 92.1318
Two Hundred Day Average Change -16.441795
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.17845951
Type Disp Equity
Volume 523,862
Website https://www.mrcy.com
Zip 1,810