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Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Andover, United States | NasdaqGS
88.54 USD -1.93 (-2.133%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 88.54

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:41 a.m. EDT

Mercury Systems presents a stark dichotomy between its explosive recent price performance and its deteriorating earnings quality. While the stock has surged 81% year-to-date and holds a fortress-like balance sheet with positive free cash flow, the company is currently unprofitable with negative margins and a 96% earnings contraction. This makes it a speculative growth play rather than a value compounder. Technically, the recent 20% pullback has tested the 200-day moving average, which remains intact at $89.95, suggesting a potential floor for a bounce. However, the heavy put volume near current prices indicates active hedging against further downside. Investors should view this as a high-risk turnaround candidate where capital allocation and margin expansion are critical, rather than a core holding. The lack of a dividend yield further limits income potential, making this suitable only for those willing to tolerate volatility in exchange for asymmetric upside if the earnings recovery materializes.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.107728
AutoETS0.117381
AutoTheta0.232265
AutoARIMA0.328633

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 3.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.951
Excess Kurtosis -0.22
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 33.582
Revenue per Share 16.543
Market Cap 5,324,453,376
Forward P/E 39.58
Beta 1.00
Profit Margins -3.02%
Website https://www.mrcy.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range with a distinct split in sentiment. Call buyers are targeting upside at 130 to 135 strikes, indicating a belief in a recovery toward previous highs. Conversely, put buyers are heavily active near current levels, specifically at the 90 strike where volume significantly exceeded open interest, suggesting active hedging against further downside. Implied volatility is elevated for November expirations compared to near-term months, reflecting uncertainty about the timing of the next move.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.30860186
Address1 50 Minuteman Road
All Time High 128.45
All Time Low 2.21
Ask 89.19
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,138,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 758,506
Average Volume 758,506
Average Volume10Days 1,138,640
Beta 0.998
Bid 88.39
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 5
Book Value 25.125
City Andover
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 88.54
Current Ratio 2.963
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 90.62
Day Low 87.97
Debt To Equity 33.582
Display Name Mercury Systems
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,086,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,086,800
Earnings Growth -0.967
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.951
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,083,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 80,177,000
Ebitda Margins 0.08151
Enterprise To Ebitda 70.008
Enterprise To Revenue 5.706
Enterprise Value 5,613,029,376
Eps Current Year 1.67444
Eps Forward 2.23685
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.5
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 978 256 3599
Fifty Day Average 104.7786
Fifty Day Average Change -16.238602
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.15498014
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 30.860186
Fifty Two Week High 128.45
Fifty Two Week High Change -39.909996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.31070453
Fifty Two Week Low 65.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change 23.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3613161
Fifty Two Week Range 65.04 - 128.45
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 886,170,600,000
Float Shares 55,542,334
Forward Eps 2.23685
Forward P E 39.582447
Free Cashflow 107,115,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,102
Fullday Change -1.93
Fullday Change Percent -2.1333
Fullday Price 88.54
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.28585
Gross Profits 281,164,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01385
Held Percent Institutions 1.13726
Implied Shares Outstanding 60,136,133
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Ir Website http://ir.mrcy.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,783,036,800
Last Split Date 945,734,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Mercury Systems, Inc., engages in the aerospace and defense electronics industry. The company manufactures and sells components, products, modules, and subsystems for defense prime contractors, original equipment manufacturers, government, and commercial aerospace companies. It offers components, including power amplifiers and limiters, switches, oscillators, filters, equalizers, digital and analog converters, chips, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and memory and storage devices; modules and sub-assemblies, such as embedded processing boards, switched fabrics and boards, digital receivers, multi-chip modules, integrated radio frequency and microwave multi-function assemblies, tuners, and transceivers, as well as graphics and video; and integrated subsystems. The company also designs, develops, and manufactures digital radio frequency memory units for various modern electronic warfare applications; radar environment simulation and test systems for defense and intelligence applications; and signals intelligence payloads and EO/IR technologies for small UAV platforms, as well as onboard UAV processor systems for real-time wide area motion imagery. It operates in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company was formerly known as Mercury Computer Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Mercury Systems, Inc. in November 2012. Mercury Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.
Long Name Mercury Systems, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,324,453,376
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_376921
Most Recent Quarter 1,783,036,800
Net Income To Common -29,673,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,814,572,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,439,914,591
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 90.57
Operating Cashflow 102,388,000
Operating Margins 0.01227
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.79
Phone 978 256 1300
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 88.54
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 90.47
Price Eps Current Year 52.87738
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.5239801
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.4131093
Profit Margins -0.03017
Quick Ratio 1.733
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.93
Regular Market Change Percent -2.1333
Regular Market Day High 90.62
Regular Market Day Low 87.97
Regular Market Day Range 87.97 - 90.62
Regular Market Open 90.57
Regular Market Previous Close 90.47
Regular Market Price 88.54
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 641,254
Return On Assets 0.0019699999
Return On Equity -0.01998
Revenue Growth 0.061
Revenue Per Share 16.543
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 60,136,133
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0828
Shares Short 4,979,217
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 4,805,548
Short Name Mercury Systems Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.096
Short Ratio 8.63
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol MRCY
Target High Price 131.0
Target Low Price 78.0
Target Mean Price 114.77778
Target Median Price 120.0
Total Cash 214,306,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.564
Total Debt 502,881,984
Total Revenue 983,622,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.5
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 90.2931
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.7530975
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.019415632
Type Disp Equity
Volume 641,254
Website https://www.mrcy.com
Zip 1,810