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Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Andover, United States | NasdaqGS
98.26 USD -9.72 (-9.002%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:12 a.m. EDT

Mercury Systems is a high-risk recovery play in the defense sector. While the nine-year price trajectory shows a robust 97% gain and recent annual performance is positive, the company is currently unprofitable with negative earnings per share and a forward P/E exceeding 70. This valuation gap implies the market is pricing in a rapid turnaround rather than current operational reality. The options market mirrors this tension, with heavy put volume at lower strikes acting as a floor against aggressive call speculation at higher levels. With no dividend support and mixed analyst sentiment, this is a speculative momentum trade rather than a stable investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.288964
AutoARIMA0.288964
MSTL0.289598
AutoTheta0.321237

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 7.13
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.229
Excess Kurtosis -0.57
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 44.426
Revenue per Share 16.299
Market Cap 5,899,853,312
Forward P/E 63.57
Beta 0.93
Profit Margins -1.46%
Website https://www.mrcy.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:12 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility remains elevated across expirations, ranging from 50% to 70%, indicating market uncertainty. Call open interest clusters above the current price at strikes between 110 and 130, suggesting speculative upside positioning. Conversely, put open interest is heavily concentrated at lower strikes, particularly the 80-strike level for the July 17 expiration, which acts as a significant hedge or floor. This mixed positioning reflects a wide range of expected outcomes.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.96166897
Address1 50 Minuteman Road
All Time High 128.45
All Time Low 2.21
Ask 124.28
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 602,240
Average Daily Volume3 Month 675,327
Average Volume 675,327
Average Volume10Days 602,240
Beta 0.932
Bid 76.35
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 24.835
City Andover
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 98.26
Current Ratio 3.186
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 106.44
Day Low 96.5
Debt To Equity 44.426
Display Name Mercury Systems
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,014,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,014,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 95,793,000
Ebitda Margins 0.09907
Enterprise To Ebitda 64.979
Enterprise To Revenue 6.437
Enterprise Value 6,224,524,800
Eps Current Year 1.08283
Eps Forward 1.54581
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.21
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 978 256 3599
Fifty Day Average 104.59
Fifty Day Average Change -6.329994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.060521986
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 96.1669
Fifty Two Week High 128.45
Fifty Two Week High Change -30.189995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.23503305
Fifty Two Week Low 49.86
Fifty Two Week Low Change 48.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.970718
Fifty Two Week Range 49.86 - 128.45
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 886,170,600,000
Float Shares 55,533,432
Forward Eps 1.54581
Forward P E 63.56538
Free Cashflow 97,339,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,117
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.28683
Gross Profits 277,350,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01636
Held Percent Institutions 1.1311901
Implied Shares Outstanding 60,043,283
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Ir Website http://ir.mrcy.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,750,982,400
Last Split Date 945,734,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Mercury Systems, Inc., a technology company, manufactures and sells components, products, modules, and subsystems for defense prime contractors, original equipment manufacturers, government, and commercial aerospace companies. The company offers components, including power amplifiers and limiters, switches, oscillators, filters, equalizers, digital and analog converters, chips, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and memory and storage devices; modules and sub-assemblies, such as embedded processing boards, switched fabrics and boards, digital receivers, multi-chip modules, integrated radio frequency and microwave multi-function assemblies, tuners, and transceivers, as well as graphics and video; and integrated subsystems. It also designs, develops, and manufactures digital radio frequency memory units for various modern electronic warfare applications; radar environment simulation and test systems for defense and intelligence applications; and signals intelligence payloads and EO/IR technologies for small UAV platforms, as well as onboard UAV processor systems for real-time wide area motion imagery. It operates in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company was formerly known as Mercury Computer Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Mercury Systems, Inc. in November 2012. Mercury Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.
Long Name Mercury Systems, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,899,853,312
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_376921
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,569,600
Net Income To Common -14,101,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,518,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,899,852,987
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 114.83
Operating Cashflow 98,310,000
Operating Margins 0.031630002
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.79
Phone 978 256 1300
Pre Market Change -1.9599991
Pre Market Change Percent -1.994707
Pre Market Price 96.3
Pre Market Time 1,784,031,305
Previous Close 107.98
Price Eps Current Year 90.743706
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.9565132
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.1015334
Profit Margins -0.014579999
Quick Ratio 1.988
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -9.72
Regular Market Change Percent -9.00167
Regular Market Day High 106.44
Regular Market Day Low 96.5
Regular Market Day Range 96.5 - 106.44
Regular Market Open 114.83
Regular Market Previous Close 107.98
Regular Market Price 98.26
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 712,527
Return On Assets 0.00527
Return On Equity -0.00963
Revenue Growth 0.115
Revenue Per Share 16.299
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 60,043,283
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0773
Shares Short 4,639,605
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,733,680
Short Name Mercury Systems Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0896
Short Ratio 5.35
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol MRCY
Target High Price 120.0
Target Low Price 74.0
Target Mean Price 103.75
Target Median Price 105.5
Total Cash 331,800,000
Total Cash Per Share 5.526
Total Debt 656,472,000
Total Revenue 966,945,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.21
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 86.38535
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.874649
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.13746136
Type Disp Equity
Volume 712,527
Website https://www.mrcy.com
Zip 1,810