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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MP ETF (MPL)

NYSEArca
12.86 USD +0.58 (4.659%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 10:48 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:56 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a leveraged daily ETF designed for intraday trading, making it fundamentally unsuited for long-term holding due to compounding drag and the absence of any underlying business quality. The price history confirms this structural flaw: despite a massive 75% drop from the 52-week high, the asset has completely erased its gains over the trailing 14-day period, falling from $18.84 to $13.83. This relentless downward momentum suggests the leverage mechanism is working against the holder rather than amplifying alpha. With zero analyst coverage, no dividend income, and a statistical forecast showing no directional edge, there is no rational basis for a bullish entry. The only viable strategy is to avoid accumulation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.442101
AutoTheta0.442423
AutoETS0.452258
AutoARIMA0.469513

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 4.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.349
Excess Kurtosis -1.03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 54.99
All Time Low 12.12
Ask 13.01
Ask Size 800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 13,690
Average Daily Volume3 Month 37,598
Average Volume 37,598
Average Volume10Days 13,690
Bid 12.9
Bid Size 1,200
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.86
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 13.205
Day Low 12.86
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 19.8761
Fifty Day Average Change -7.016101
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.35299182
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -73.85133
Fifty Two Week High 54.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -42.13
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.76613927
Fifty Two Week Low 12.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.7399998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.06105609
Fifty Two Week Range 12.12 - 54.99
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,761,053,400,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MP ETF
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1962728067
Open 13.205
Previous Close 12.4182
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.5799999
Regular Market Change Percent 4.658634
Regular Market Day High 13.205
Regular Market Day Low 12.86
Regular Market Day Range 12.86 - 13.205
Regular Market Open 13.205
Regular Market Previous Close 12.4182
Regular Market Price 12.86
Regular Market Time 1,784,040,529
Regular Market Volume 8,340
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long M
Source Interval 15
Symbol MPL
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.66388
Two Hundred Day Average Change -10.80388
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.45655572
Type Disp Equity
Volume 8,340