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Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)

Energy | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Findlay, United States | NYSE
296.88 USD +13.14 (4.631%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 298.00 +1.12 (0.377%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:55 a.m. EDT

Marathon Petroleum is riding a powerful momentum wave, surging nearly 15% in just two weeks to test its 52-week high. The technicals are screaming buy, with price well above both the 50-day and 200-day averages, and options flow confirms this bullish sentiment with heavy call positioning at current levels. Fundamentally, the company remains a standout refiner with a 27% return on equity and a clean dividend growth track record, though the high debt-to-equity ratio keeps the balance sheet from being truly fortress-like. While analysts currently see room for downside, the market appears to be pricing in a recovery, making this a high-conviction play for the near term, provided the oil price environment holds steady.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.087955
AutoETS0.088622
AutoTheta0.088675
MSTL0.094421

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 1.35
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.241
Excess Kurtosis -1.18
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-19
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-19
Debt to Equity Ratio 146.523
Revenue per Share 452.399
Market Cap 86,670,147,584
Trailing P/E 19.56
Forward P/E 11.90
Beta 0.52
Profit Margins 3.41%
Website https://www.marathonpetroleum.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued upside with significant call open interest at the money and above, particularly at the 280 strike and further out at 340-350. However, there is a notable defensive layer of put open interest concentrated between 220 and 240, suggesting traders are hedging against a pullback from these highs while maintaining a bullish bias.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.39% 1.95% 2.07% 2.40%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-20 1.000 0.387042
2026-02-18 1.000 0.501077
2025-11-19 1.000 0.511457
2025-08-20 0.910 0.548788
2025-05-21 0.910 0.580728
2025-02-19 0.910 0.580950
2024-11-20 0.910 0.570962
2024-08-21 0.825 0.479735
2024-05-15 0.825 0.477845
2024-02-20 0.825 0.502161
2023-11-15 0.825 0.548793
2023-08-15 0.750 0.525873
2023-05-16 0.750 0.702576
2023-02-15 0.750 0.590040
2022-11-15 0.750 0.625000
2022-08-16 0.580 0.600103
2022-05-17 0.580 0.594567
2022-02-15 0.580 0.739702
2021-11-16 0.580 0.894510
2021-08-17 0.580 1.015762
2021-05-18 0.580 0.961379
2021-02-16 0.580 1.127089
2020-11-17 0.580 1.428220
2020-08-18 0.580 1.557465
2020-05-19 0.580 1.681159
2020-02-18 0.580 1.027094
2019-11-19 0.530 0.856912
2019-08-20 0.530 1.134418
2019-05-15 0.530 1.035358
2019-02-19 0.530 0.815259
2018-11-20 0.460 0.743254
2018-08-15 0.460 0.596009
2018-05-15 0.460 0.595161
2018-02-20 0.460 0.694340
2017-11-15 0.400 0.650407
2017-08-14 0.400 0.764672
2017-05-15 0.360 0.679373
2017-02-14 0.360 0.706436
2016-11-14 0.360 0.825877
2016-08-15 0.360 0.873574
2016-05-16 0.320 0.898120
2016-02-12 0.320 1.008509
2015-11-16 0.320 0.595127
2015-08-17 0.320 0.572758
2015-05-18 0.250 0.479524
2015-02-13 0.250 0.483185
2014-11-17 0.250 0.540482
2014-08-18 0.250 0.555001
2014-05-19 0.210 0.472547
2014-02-14 0.210 0.478851
2013-11-18 0.210 0.542425
2013-08-19 0.210 0.608255
2013-05-14 0.175 0.449583
2013-02-15 0.175 0.423934
2012-11-19 0.175 0.618702
2012-08-14 0.175 0.712396
2012-05-14 0.125 0.697934
2012-02-14 0.125 0.567924
2011-11-14 0.125 0.681013
2011-08-15 0.100 0.511509
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.91
dividendYield 1.38
exDividendDate 2026-05-20
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.91
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.013780222
lastDividendValue 1.0
lastDividendDate 2026-05-20
dividendDate 2026-06-10

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.6155554
Address1 539 South Main Street
All Time High 287.15
All Time Low 13.175
Ask 299.05
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,465,910
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,335,100
Average Volume 2,335,100
Average Volume10Days 2,465,910
Beta 0.52
Bid 295.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 4
Book Value 57.177
City Findlay
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 296.88
Current Ratio 1.176
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 299.05
Day Low 289.54
Debt To Equity 146.523
Display Name Marathon Petroleum
Dividend Date 1,781,049,600
Dividend Rate 3.91
Dividend Yield 1.38
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,873,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,846,600
Ebitda 10,257,999,872
Ebitda Margins 0.07546
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.236
Enterprise To Revenue 0.923
Enterprise Value 125,519,151,104
Eps Current Year 31.41605
Eps Forward 24.94846
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 15.18
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,235,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 256.3348
Fifty Day Average Change 40.545197
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1581728
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 61.555542
Fifty Two Week High 299.05
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.169983
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.007256255
Fifty Two Week Low 158.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 138.88
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.8789874
Fifty Two Week Range 158.0 - 299.05
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,308,922,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.34
Float Shares 291,063,744
Forward Eps 24.94846
Forward P E 11.899733
Free Cashflow 3,518,749,952
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 18,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.10739
Gross Profits 14,599,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00322
Held Percent Institutions 0.78422
Implied Shares Outstanding 291,936,635
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Key oil-gas-refining-marketing
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,235,200
Last Dividend Value 1.0
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,433,980,800
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. The company sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
Long Name Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 86,670,147,584
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_118315802
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 4,627,999,744
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 82,834,100,814
Number Of Analyst Opinions 17
Open 290.82
Operating Cashflow 9,438,000,128
Operating Margins 0.03556
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.2515
Peg Ratio 1.41
Phone 419 422 2121
Post Market Change 1.1199951
Post Market Change Percent 0.37725514
Post Market Price 298.0
Post Market Time 1,783,987,185
Previous Close 283.74
Price Eps Current Year 9.449947
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.192298
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6375336
Profit Margins 0.03407
Quick Ratio 0.687
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 13.14
Regular Market Change Percent 4.63101
Regular Market Day High 299.05
Regular Market Day Low 289.54
Regular Market Day Range 289.54 - 299.05
Regular Market Open 290.82
Regular Market Previous Close 283.74
Regular Market Price 296.88
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 2,091,950
Return On Assets 0.051459998
Return On Equity 0.27458
Revenue Growth 0.088
Revenue Per Share 452.399
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 291,936,635
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.025
Shares Short 7,290,864
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 6,312,262
Short Name Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.028800001
Short Ratio 2.84
Source Interval 15
State OH
Symbol MPC
Target High Price 344.0
Target Low Price 186.0
Target Mean Price 275.64706
Target Median Price 284.0
Total Cash 2,151,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 7.368
Total Debt 34,325,999,616
Total Revenue 135,946,002,432
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.91
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.013780222
Trailing Eps 15.18
Trailing P E 19.557312
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.4075
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 212.9192
Two Hundred Day Average Change 83.9608
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.39433175
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,091,950
Website https://www.marathonpetroleum.com
Zip 45,840-3229