MP Materials Corp. (MP)Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Las Vegas, United States | NYSE
49.50 USD
-2.71
(-5.191%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:54 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is driven by aggressive speculative positioning rather than fundamental stability. Despite the company trading at a premium valuation with negative earnings and free cash flow, the options market is screaming bullishness, with massive open interest stacked at strikes well above the current price. This suggests traders are pricing in a rapid recovery or a government-backed catalyst that could propel the stock toward its $80-$100 analyst targets. However, the underlying business remains precarious; the company is burning cash, has no dividend history, and carries a heavy debt load relative to its equity. While the momentum and options flow create a compelling short-term trade for those willing to ride the wave, the lack of profitability and the reliance on external funding make this a high-risk vehicle where the thesis hinges entirely on future operational turns or policy shifts rather than current financial health. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_74 ✓ | 0.080729 |
| MSTL | 0.084928 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.091542 |
| AutoETS | 0.091542 |
| AutoTheta | 0.091676 |
| MSTL_105 | 0.148287 |
| MSTL_74_105 | 0.173275 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 3.33 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.256 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.03 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 44.018 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.001 |
| Market Cap | 8,812,098,560 |
| Forward P/E | 48.15 |
| Beta | 1.86 |
| Profit Margins | -20.48% |
| Website | https://mpmaterials.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:54 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $65, $80, $90, $100) compared to negligible put volume. While there is some defensive put buying near the $45-$50 range, the overwhelming capital flow is into call options, suggesting a bullish bet on a significant price expansion toward analyst targets.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.1497767 |
| Address1 | 1,700 S. Pavilion Center Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 800 |
| All Time High | 100.251 |
| All Time Low | 9.78 |
| Ask | 49.85 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 8 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 4,114,940 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,014,516 |
| Average Volume | 6,014,516 |
| Average Volume10Days | 4,114,940 |
| Beta | 1.863 |
| Bid | 49.45 |
| Bid Size | 500 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 11.072 |
| City | Las Vegas |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 49.5 |
| Current Ratio | 7.176 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 51.98 |
| Day Low | 48.96 |
| Debt To Equity | 44.018 |
| Display Name | MP Materials |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | -4,099,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.01179 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -2,082.295 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 24.557 |
| Enterprise Value | 8,535,328,768 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.19002 |
| Eps Forward | 1.028 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.38 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 60.3554 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -10.8554 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.17985797 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -14.97767 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 100.251 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -50.751 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.50623935 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 44.43 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.0699997 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.11411208 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 44.43 - 100.251 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,592,832,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 144,240,706 |
| Forward Eps | 1.028 |
| Forward P E | 48.151752 |
| Free Cashflow | -174,843,504 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 998 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.3722 |
| Gross Profits | 129,366,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.19624001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.70414 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 178,022,198 |
| Industry | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Disp | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Key | other-industrial-metals-mining |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere. It operates in two segments, Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing facility located near Mountain Pass, San Bernardino County, California. The Magnetics segment produces magnetic precursor products, including NdPr metal; and manufactures NdFeB permanent magnets. MP Materials Corp. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada. |
| Long Name | MP Materials Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 8,812,098,560 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_677172258 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -71,194,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 8,812,098,801 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 16 |
| Open | 51.16 |
| Operating Cashflow | -94,466,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.07876 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 702 844 6111 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.81769943 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 1.6512508 |
| Pre Market Price | 50.3377 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,032,870 |
| Previous Close | 52.21 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 260.4989 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.470737 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 25.353523 |
| Profit Margins | -0.20482999 |
| Quick Ratio | 6.512 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.27778 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -2.71 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.19057 |
| Regular Market Day High | 51.98 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 48.96 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 48.96 - 51.98 |
| Regular Market Open | 51.16 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 52.21 |
| Regular Market Price | 49.5 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,978,633 |
| Return On Assets | -0.020969998 |
| Return On Equity | -0.04167 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.186 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.001 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 178,022,198 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1506 |
| Shares Short | 26,805,900 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 28,088,299 |
| Short Name | MP Materials Corp. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.16379999 |
| Short Ratio | 4.77 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NV |
| Symbol | MP |
| Target High Price | 100.0 |
| Target Low Price | 61.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 79.34375 |
| Target Median Price | 80.5 |
| Total Cash | 1,738,334,976 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 9.765 |
| Total Debt | 1,047,953,984 |
| Total Revenue | 347,568,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.38 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 61.2448 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -11.744801 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.19176812 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,978,633 |
| Website | https://mpmaterials.com |
| Zip | 89,135 |