MP Materials Corp. (MP)Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Las Vegas, United States | NYSE
56.13 USD
-2.90
(-4.913%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 56.28 +0.15 (0.269%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:44 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is aggressively bullish, driven by a confluence of technical breakouts and speculative capital flowing into the upside. The stock has surged nearly 466% over the last five years, defying the typical multi-year decline penalties seen in cyclical commodities, thanks to a massive 444% rally in the most recent fiscal year. While the balance sheet remains fragile with negative free cash flow and a high forward P/E, the market appears to be pricing in a successful scale-up of rare earth production to compete with China. The options chain confirms this sentiment, with traders placing heavy bets on continued appreciation well into 2027 while selling protection at lower levels. However, the lack of a dividend and the company's status as a high-risk, high-volatility play mean this is purely a momentum trade dependent on execution success rather than a stable income vehicle. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.288182 |
| AutoTheta | 0.337602 |
| AutoETS | 0.384158 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.387907 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 33% |
| H-stat | 7.99 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.817 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.46 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 41.402 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.347 |
| Market Cap | 9,996,841,984 |
| Forward P/E | 63.43 |
| Beta | 1.92 |
| Profit Margins | -14.56% |
| Website | https://mpmaterials.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:44 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $70 and $75 strikes for January 2027 expirations, alongside significant volume spikes in calls near the money ($60-$63). Put writing dominates the landscape, with deep out-of-the-money puts holding substantial open interest, suggesting a strategy of selling volatility rather than hedging against a crash. The implied volatility surface shows elevated premiums for distant strikes, indicating the market prices in a high-beta move but relies on the stock staying above current levels.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.1230129 |
| Address1 | 1,700 S. Pavilion Center Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 800 |
| All Time High | 100.251 |
| All Time Low | 9.78 |
| Ask | 56.19 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Audit Risk | 8 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 6,397,150 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,051,980 |
| Average Volume | 6,051,980 |
| Average Volume10Days | 6,397,150 |
| Beta | 1.916 |
| Bid | 56.19 |
| Bid Size | 400 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 10.993 |
| City | Las Vegas |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 56.13 |
| Current Ratio | 9.51 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 59.8 |
| Day Low | 55.64 |
| Debt To Equity | 41.402 |
| Display Name | MP Materials |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,050,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,050,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | 40,676,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.097720005 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 244.356 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 23.879 |
| Enterprise Value | 9,939,430,400 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.00081 |
| Eps Forward | 0.88491 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.31 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 51.8886 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 4.2414017 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.08174053 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -12.3012905 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 100.251 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -44.121 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.44010532 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 37.81 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 18.32 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.4845279 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 37.81 - 100.251 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,592,832,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 144,321,060 |
| Forward Eps | 0.88491 |
| Forward P E | 63.43018 |
| Free Cashflow | -432,948,864 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 998 |
| Fullday Change | -2.9 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -4.91275 |
| Fullday Price | 56.281 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.42326 |
| Gross Profits | 176,182,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.19617 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.77599 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 178,101,588 |
| Industry | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Disp | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Key | other-industrial-metals-mining |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere. It operates in two segments, Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing facility located near Mountain Pass, San Bernardino County, California. The Magnetics segment produces magnetic precursor products, including NdPr metal; and manufactures NdFeB permanent magnets. MP Materials Corp. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada. |
| Long Name | MP Materials Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 9,996,841,984 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_677172258 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -60,618,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 10,513,336,739 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 16 |
| Open | 58.99 |
| Operating Cashflow | -83,963,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.1472 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 702 844 6111 |
| Post Market Change | 0.15099716 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.2690133 |
| Post Market Price | 56.281 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,600 |
| Previous Close | 59.03 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 69,296.3 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.1059766 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 24.016666 |
| Profit Margins | -0.14563 |
| Quick Ratio | 8.442 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.27778 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -2.9 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.91275 |
| Regular Market Day High | 59.8 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 55.64 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 55.64 - 59.8 |
| Regular Market Open | 58.99 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 59.03 |
| Regular Market Price | 56.13 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,203 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,876,488 |
| Return On Assets | -0.01525 |
| Return On Equity | -0.03585 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.197 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.347 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 178,101,588 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.16399999 |
| Shares Short | 29,204,644 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 28,404,013 |
| Short Name | MP Materials Corp. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1784 |
| Short Ratio | 4.13 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NV |
| Symbol | MP |
| Target High Price | 100.0 |
| Target Low Price | 58.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 75.375 |
| Target Median Price | 75.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,452,638,976 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 8.156 |
| Total Debt | 981,616,000 |
| Total Revenue | 416,246,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.31 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 57.80715 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.6771507 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.029012859 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,876,488 |
| Website | https://mpmaterials.com |
| Zip | 89,135 |