MP Materials Corp. (MP)Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Las Vegas, United States | NYSE
41.61 USD
+1.66
(4.155%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 41.50 -0.11 (-0.110%) ⇩ (Oct. 15, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:20 a.m. EDT
The investment case for MP Materials is currently bifurcated between a compelling long-term narrative and a precarious short-term reality. Fundamentally, the company is a turnaround story with exceptional growth potential; revenue surged +351% year-over-year last year, and the five-year trajectory shows a massive +463% cumulative gain, indicating the market has already priced in significant success. However, the current price action tells a different story. The stock is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day averages, reflecting recent weakness and a failure to capitalize on the prior year's explosion in earnings. With negative operating margins and a forward P/E of nearly 58, the immediate financial health is fragile despite the strategic importance of rare earths. For the short term, the outlook is neutral to slightly bearish. The stock is hovering near its 52-week lows, and while there is a 'Strong Buy' analyst consensus, the price hasn't yet validated this optimism. The options market confirms this hesitation; traders are buying deep OTM calls hoping for a miracle move, but they are also stacking up puts just below the current price, creating a ceiling that limits upside momentum. Until the stock breaks above its moving averages and proves it can generate positive cash flow again, the risk of further downside remains higher than the probability of an immediate surge. This is a hold for now, waiting for the gap between the fundamental promise and the price reality to close. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.186857 |
| AutoETS | 0.225767 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.225771 |
| MSTL | 0.227670 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 0.28 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.409 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.68 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 41.402 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.347 |
| Market Cap | 7,410,806,784 |
| Forward P/E | 51.59 |
| Beta | 1.99 |
| Profit Margins | -14.56% |
| Website | https://mpmaterials.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:20 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money (OTM) at strikes like $60 and $70, suggesting a speculative bet on a massive rally, while Put Open Interest is concentrated just below the current price ($45-$46), acting as a defensive floor. The heavy volume in OTM calls indicates retail hope for a rapid recovery to previous highs, but the lack of significant In-The-Money (ITM) call accumulation suggests the market doubts the stock can sustainably breach resistance levels soon.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.5234971 |
| Address1 | 1,700 S. Pavilion Center Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 800 |
| All Time High | 100.251 |
| All Time Low | 9.78 |
| Ask | 41.69 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Audit Risk | 8 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 5,760,830 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,096,042 |
| Average Volume | 6,096,042 |
| Average Volume10Days | 5,760,830 |
| Beta | 1.99 |
| Bid | 41.65 |
| Bid Size | 400 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 10.993 |
| City | Las Vegas |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 41.61 |
| Current Ratio | 9.51 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 41.705 |
| Day Low | 38.5967 |
| Debt To Equity | 41.402 |
| Display Name | MP Materials |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | 40,676,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.097720005 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 180.78 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 17.666 |
| Enterprise Value | 7,353,395,200 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.01177 |
| Eps Forward | 0.80657 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.32 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 51.448 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -9.838001 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.19122222 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -52.34971 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 91.99 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -50.379997 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5476682 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 37.81 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.7999992 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.10050249 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 37.81 - 91.99 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,592,832,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 144,321,060 |
| Forward Eps | 0.80657 |
| Forward P E | 51.58883 |
| Free Cashflow | -432,948,864 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 998 |
| Fullday Change | 1.6199989 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 4.055066 |
| Fullday Price | 41.61 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.42326 |
| Gross Profits | 176,182,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.19617 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.78438 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 178,101,588 |
| Industry | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Disp | Other Industrial Metals & Mining |
| Industry Key | other-industrial-metals-mining |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere. It operates in two segments, Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing facility located near Mountain Pass, San Bernardino County, California. The Magnetics segment produces magnetic precursor products, including NdPr metal; and manufactures NdFeB permanent magnets. MP Materials Corp. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada. |
| Long Name | MP Materials Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 7,410,806,784 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_677172258 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -60,618,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 8,707,386,637 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 17 |
| Open | 38.8 |
| Operating Cashflow | -83,963,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.1472 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 702 844 6111 |
| Post Market Change | -0.11000061 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.264361 |
| Post Market Price | 41.5 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,108,572 |
| Previous Close | 39.95 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 3,535.2593 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.785136 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 17.803911 |
| Profit Margins | -0.14563 |
| Quick Ratio | 8.442 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.36842 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.66 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 4.15519 |
| Regular Market Day High | 41.705 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 38.5967 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 38.5967 - 41.705 |
| Regular Market Open | 38.8 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 39.95 |
| Regular Market Price | 41.61 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,403 |
| Regular Market Volume | 6,577,537 |
| Return On Assets | -0.01525 |
| Return On Equity | -0.03585 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.197 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.347 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16440773 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 178,101,588 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.2056 |
| Shares Short | 36,621,035 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 32,111,942 |
| Short Name | MP Materials Corp. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2237 |
| Short Ratio | 7.25 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NV |
| Symbol | MP |
| Target High Price | 100.0 |
| Target Low Price | 53.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 72.11765 |
| Target Median Price | 68.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,452,638,976 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 8.156 |
| Total Debt | 981,616,000 |
| Total Revenue | 416,246,016 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.32 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 56.3758 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -14.7658 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.26191735 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 6,577,537 |
| Website | https://mpmaterials.com |
| Zip | 89,135 |