Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH)Healthcare | Healthcare Plans | Long Beach, United States | NYSE
208.05 USD
-4.45
(-2.094%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 1 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:11 a.m. EDT
Molina Healthcare presents a classic value trap scenario where historical success masks current structural decay. While the stock has gained nearly 230% over the last nine years, the market has punished the company hard recently, with three consecutive years of negative annual returns. This multi-year decline triggers a severe warning flag: the business fundamentals are deteriorating, evidenced by shrinking revenue (-5.7%) and collapsing earnings growth (-76.5%). The balance sheet remains healthy with net cash, but the core operations are bleeding value. Short-term, the price has stabilized near $197 after a dip to $180, yet the weak revenue outlook overshadows the earnings beat, keeping analysts in 'Hold' territory. Options traders are actively hedging downside risk with heavy put volume near $170-$185, while some speculative call buying targets a rebound to the $210-$250 range. However, without a reversal in the multi-year downtrend and a return to positive earnings growth, the long-term investment case remains weak. Investors should view this as a speculative turnaround play rather than a core holding. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.039040 |
| AutoETS | 0.039040 |
| AutoTheta | 0.039048 |
| MSTL | 0.050148 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 42% |
| H-stat | 5.59 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.855 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.00 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 94.773 |
| Revenue per Share | 828.663 |
| Market Cap | 10,860,210,176 |
| Trailing P/E | 2311.67 |
| Forward P/E | 21.35 |
| Beta | 0.78 |
| Profit Margins | -0.02% |
| Website | https://www.molinahealthcare.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound recovery. Call buyers are targeting a rebound to the $210-$250 range, with significant open interest walls at $210 and $250 for later expirations. Conversely, put writers and buyers are heavily hedging downside risk near the $170-$185 strike range, indicating a fear of further weakness despite the recent price recovery. Implied volatility remains low at the money, suggesting the market expects a relatively calm near-term environment, though deep out-of-the-money strikes show elevated premiums for tail events.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.10286486 |
| Address1 | 200 Oceangate |
| Address2 | Suite 100 |
| All Time High | 423.92 |
| All Time Low | 10.746667 |
| Ask | 208.34 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.7 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 791,080 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 896,589 |
| Average Volume | 896,589 |
| Average Volume10Days | 791,080 |
| Beta | 0.784 |
| Bid | 207.79 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 80.212 |
| City | Long Beach |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 208.05 |
| Current Ratio | 1.679 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 214.3 |
| Day Low | 207.62 |
| Debt To Equity | 94.773 |
| Display Name | Molina Healthcare |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,792,699,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,792,699,200 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.753 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.765 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,792,612,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,792,612,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,792,612,800 |
| Ebitda | 390,000,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.00918 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 15.719 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.144 |
| Enterprise Value | 6,130,500,096 |
| Eps Current Year | 5.24983 |
| Eps Forward | 9.74502 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.09 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 199.1174 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 8.932602 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.04486098 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 10.286486 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 244.89 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -36.839996 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.15043488 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 121.06 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 86.990005 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.71856934 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 121.06 - 244.89 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,057,152,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 47,884,104 |
| Forward Eps | 9.74502 |
| Forward P E | 21.349367 |
| Free Cashflow | 700,249,984 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 19,000 |
| Fullday Change | -4.449997 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -2.0941162 |
| Fullday Price | 208.05 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.08427 |
| Gross Profits | 3,579,000,064 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01422 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.11988 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 52,200,000 |
| Industry | Healthcare Plans |
| Industry Disp | Healthcare Plans |
| Industry Key | healthcare-plans |
| Ir Website | http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=137837&p=irol-irhome |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,306,108,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 3:2 |
| Long Business Summary | Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces in the United States. It operates through Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other segments. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California. |
| Long Name | Molina Healthcare, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 10,860,210,176 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_4107517 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -7,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 9,980,118,000 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 17 |
| Open | 214.05 |
| Operating Cashflow | 365,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.01398 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.97 |
| Phone | (562) 435-3666 |
| Previous Close | 212.5 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 39.629856 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.5937517 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.25572088 |
| Profit Margins | -0.00016000001 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.61 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.68421 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -4.449997 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.0941162 |
| Regular Market Day High | 214.3 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 207.62 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 207.62 - 214.3 |
| Regular Market Open | 214.05 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 212.5 |
| Regular Market Price | 208.05 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,170,005 |
| Regular Market Volume | 225,232 |
| Return On Assets | 0.0116 |
| Return On Equity | -0.0016 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.057 |
| Revenue Per Share | 828.663 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Sector Disp | Healthcare |
| Sector Key | healthcare |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 52,200,000 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0553 |
| Shares Short | 2,887,217 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,079,899 |
| Short Name | Molina Healthcare Inc |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0644 |
| Short Ratio | 4.81 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | MOH |
| Target High Price | 266.0 |
| Target Low Price | 147.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 209.11765 |
| Target Median Price | 209.0 |
| Total Cash | 8,915,000,320 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 170.785 |
| Total Debt | 3,952,999,936 |
| Total Revenue | 42,468,999,168 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.09 |
| Trailing P E | 2,311.6665 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.887 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 183.39915 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 24.650848 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.13441092 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 225,232 |
| Website | https://www.molinahealthcare.com |
| Zip | 90,802 |