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Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK)

Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Pittsburgh, United States | NasdaqCM
1.29 USD +0.01 (0.781%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.33 +0.04 (3.101%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4:26 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:43 a.m. EDT

Montauk Renewables (MNTK) presents a classic 'bear trap' short-term setup with massive put IV spiking, suggesting a high probability of sudden downside volatility or a 'sell the news' event surrounding RNG project votes, despite wide analyst price targets. Long-term upside exists only if RIN prices stabilize and free cash flow turns positive, but the high beta and bleeding bottom line make it a 'trivalue' play where the risk of permanent capital loss outweighs the speculative multi-bagger potential.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.140185
AutoETS0.143976
MSTL0.144172
AutoARIMA0.254118

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.07
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.210
Excess Kurtosis -1.24
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 52.419
Revenue per Share 1.233
Market Cap 184,783,840
Trailing P/E 129.00
Forward P/E 6.08
Beta 0.18
Profit Margins 0.99%
Website https://www.montaukrenewables.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:43 a.m. EDT: Options activity shows significant skew towards deep out-of-the-money $2.50 calls (86th percentile OI) compared to puts, indicating speculative bullish positioning above current levels. However, implied volatility for the near-term 2026-04-17 expiry is severely elevated for puts (22.25 ATM IV) versus calls (8.63 ATM IV), signaling high fear and uncertainty of a sharp decline in the immediate future despite the net call volume. The lack of OTM call OI outside of the single near-term strike suggests the bullish flow is uniquely concentrated in volatile, binary payoffs rather than sustained hope.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.35500002
Address1 5,313 Campbells Run Road
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 20.78
All Time Low 1.07
Ask 1.3
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 264,430
Average Daily Volume3 Month 479,358
Average Volume 479,358
Average Volume10Days 264,430
Beta 0.18
Bid 1.26
Bid Size 3
Board Risk 10
Book Value 1.829
City Pittsburgh
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.29
Current Ratio 1.112
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 1.345
Day Low 1.265
Debt To Equity 52.419
Display Name Montauk Renewables
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,773,318,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,773,318,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,773,259,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,184,000
Ebitda 36,090,000
Ebitda Margins 0.20461
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.246
Enterprise To Revenue 1.687
Enterprise Value 297,588,064
Eps Current Year 0.15957
Eps Forward 0.21208
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.01
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.4109
Fifty Day Average Change -0.120900035
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08569001
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -35.5
Fifty Two Week High 2.78
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.49
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5359712
Fifty Two Week Low 1.07
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.21999991
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20560738
Fifty Two Week Range 1.07 - 2.78
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,611,325,800,000
Float Shares 65,976,541
Forward Eps 0.21208
Forward P E 6.08261
Free Cashflow -74,962,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 189
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.373
Gross Profits 65,791,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.69015
Held Percent Institutions 0.16323
Implied Shares Outstanding 143,243,304
Industry Specialty Chemicals
Industry Disp Specialty Chemicals
Industry Key specialty-chemicals
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-01-22
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Montauk Renewables, Inc., a renewable energy company, engages in recovery and processing of biogas from landfills and other non-fossil fuel sources. It operates in two segments, Renewable Natural Gas and Renewable Electricity Generation. The company develops, owns, and operates renewable natural gas (RNG) and renewable electricity projects. It captures methane, prevents it from being released into the atmosphere, and converts it into either RNG or electrical power for the electrical grid. The company's customers for RNG and renewable identification numbers (RIN) include large, long-term owner-operators of landfills and livestock farms, local utilities, and large refiners in the natural gas and refining sectors. Montauk Renewables, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Montauk Renewables, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 184,783,840
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_697893901
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 1,748,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 184,783,862
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 1.32
Operating Cashflow 30,334,000
Operating Margins -0.020510001
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 412 747 8700
Post Market Change 0.04000008
Post Market Change Percent 3.1007817
Post Market Price 1.33
Post Market Time 1,776,457,619
Previous Close 1.28
Price Eps Current Year 8.084227
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.70530343
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.0476344
Profit Margins 0.00991
Quick Ratio 1.012
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.00999999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.781249
Regular Market Day High 1.345
Regular Market Day Low 1.265
Regular Market Day Range 1.265 - 1.345
Regular Market Open 1.32
Regular Market Previous Close 1.28
Regular Market Price 1.29
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 329,705
Return On Assets 0.00898
Return On Equity 0.00672
Revenue Growth 0.567
Revenue Per Share 1.233
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 143,243,304
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0149
Shares Short 2,124,857
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,477,625
Short Name Montauk Renewables, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0748
Short Ratio 5.64
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol MNTK
Target High Price 4.0
Target Low Price 1.5
Target Mean Price 2.5875
Target Median Price 2.425
Total Cash 23,972,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.168
Total Debt 137,940,000
Total Revenue 176,382,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.01
Trailing P E 129.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.81915
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.52915
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2908776
Type Disp Equity
Volume 329,705
Website https://www.montaukrenewables.com
Zip 15,205