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Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK)

Basic Materials | Specialty Chemicals | Pittsburgh, United States | NasdaqCM
2.20 USD +0.08 (3.538%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 3:17 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:49 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Montauk Renewables is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite recent headlines celebrating a 19.7% revenue lift and operational milestones, the stock has erased nearly 80% of its value over the last four years, with three consecutive years of negative annual returns ending in a sharp drop. This persistent price action suggests the market views the current business quality as significantly deteriorated, overriding any single-quarter earnings beat. Fundamentally, the company is trapped by a crushing debt load—nearly $157 million in total debt against only $15.7 million in cash—and a balance sheet that cannot support aggressive expansion without further dilution or distress. While the forward P/E looks attractive at 8x, it is a dangerous metric for a company with negative free cash flow and a history of eroding shareholder value. There is no dividend to provide income, and the lack of analyst coverage signals a lack of institutional confidence. The recent price action shows some volatility, but the overwhelming options flow is defensive, with traders buying puts to limit losses rather than betting on a turnaround. Until the debt structure is resolved and the multi-year decline is halted, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle rather than a viable investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.122404
MSTL0.128111
AutoETS0.128579
AutoARIMA0.197424

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 18.08
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.072
Excess Kurtosis -0.59
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 59.402
Revenue per Share 1.32
Market Cap 312,438,784
Trailing P/E 36.58
Forward P/E 7.16
Beta 0.66
Profit Margins 4.19%
Website https://www.montaukrenewables.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:49 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside speculation. Put open interest dominates across all expirations, with zero in-the-money put volume recorded, indicating a lack of aggressive hedging against deep losses but a pervasive fear of further decline. Call activity is sparse and heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (e.g., $5.00 and $7.50), suggesting limited belief in a rapid recovery to previous highs. Implied volatility is elevated relative to the low option premiums, reflecting uncertainty and a 'wait-and-see' approach where sellers dominate.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.009523869
Address1 5,313 Campbells Run Road
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 20.78
All Time Low 1.07
Ask 2.71
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 797,400
Average Daily Volume3 Month 468,446
Average Volume 468,446
Average Volume10Days 797,400
Beta 0.659
Bid 1.59
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 1.847
City Pittsburgh
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.195
Current Ratio 0.616
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 2.255
Day Low 2.1
Debt To Equity 59.402
Display Name Montauk Renewables
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 38,033,000
Ebitda Margins 0.20113
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.651
Enterprise To Revenue 2.343
Enterprise Value 443,141,216
Eps Current Year 0.17564
Eps Forward 0.3067
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.06
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.244
Fifty Day Average Change -0.049000025
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.021836018
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 0.95238686
Fifty Two Week High 3.28
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.085
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3307927
Fifty Two Week Low 1.07
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.1249999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.0514017
Fifty Two Week Range 1.07 - 3.28
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,611,325,800,000
Float Shares 65,767,300
Forward Eps 0.3067
Forward P E 7.156831
Free Cashflow -88,844,248
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 189
Fullday Change 0.07500005
Fullday Change Percent 3.5377383
Fullday Price 2.195
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.34692
Gross Profits 65,603,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.70147
Held Percent Institutions 0.19116
Implied Shares Outstanding 142,341,139
Industry Specialty Chemicals
Industry Disp Specialty Chemicals
Industry Key specialty-chemicals
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-01-22
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Montauk Renewables, Inc., a renewable energy company, engages in recovery and processing of biogas from landfills and other non-fossil fuel sources. It operates in two segments, Renewable Natural Gas and Renewable Electricity Generation. The company develops, owns, and operates renewable natural gas (RNG) and renewable electricity projects. It captures methane, prevents it from being released into the atmosphere, and converts it into either RNG or electrical power for the electrical grid. The company's customers for RNG and renewable identification numbers (RIN) include large, long-term owner-operators of landfills and livestock farms, local utilities, and large refiners in the natural gas and refining sectors. Montauk Renewables, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Montauk Renewables, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 312,438,784
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_697893901
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 7,930,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 323,826,091
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 2.14
Operating Cashflow 43,433,000
Operating Margins 0.01064
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 412 747 8700
Previous Close 2.12
Price Eps Current Year 12.497152
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.1884136
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6522497
Profit Margins 0.041939996
Quick Ratio 0.51
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.07500005
Regular Market Change Percent 3.5377383
Regular Market Day High 2.255
Regular Market Day Low 2.1
Regular Market Day Range 2.1 - 2.255
Regular Market Open 2.14
Regular Market Previous Close 2.12
Regular Market Price 2.195
Regular Market Time 1,792,178,260
Regular Market Volume 350,063
Return On Assets 0.0067000003
Return On Equity 0.030539999
Revenue Growth 0.197
Revenue Per Share 1.32
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 142,341,139
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0134000005
Shares Short 1,914,150
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,511,551
Short Name Montauk Renewables, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0446
Short Ratio 2.55
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol MNTK
Target High Price 2.0
Target Low Price 1.5
Target Mean Price 1.7
Target Median Price 1.6
Total Cash 15,757,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.111
Total Debt 157,135,008
Total Revenue 189,099,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.06
Trailing P E 36.583332
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.708175
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.486825
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.28499714
Type Disp Equity
Volume 350,063
Website https://www.montaukrenewables.com
Zip 15,205