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MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO)

Consumer Cyclical | Specialty Retail | Guangzhou, China | NYSE
11.42 USD -0.37 (-3.138%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:22 a.m. EDT

MINISO presents a compelling value proposition with a 5.8% yield and robust growth metrics, yet the market is pricing in significant distress. The stock trades at a deep discount to its 52-week high, reflecting a brutal multi-year decline where the market has seemingly lost faith in the brand's expansion capabilities despite a 28.5% revenue growth rate and a massive $2 billion buyback program. While the fundamentals—low valuation multiples, strong ROE, and cash generation—are objectively excellent and support a solid long-term buy case, the recent price action shows a lack of immediate momentum. The heavy put positioning suggests investors are worried about a potential trap or further deterioration, creating a tense environment where the business quality is high but the sentiment remains cautious.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.176909
AutoETS0.177004
AutoARIMA0.177005
MSTL_1150.182681
MSTL0.184916
MSTL_90_1150.190938
MSTL_900.202419

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 14.55
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.185
Excess Kurtosis -1.15
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-19
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-19
Debt to Equity Ratio 104.0
Revenue per Share 74.206
Market Cap 3,408,877,056
Trailing P/E 11.65
Forward P/E 6.78
Beta 0.08
Profit Margins 8.98%
Website https://www.miniso.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put open interest at strikes significantly above the current price (e.g., $25), suggesting a fear of a sharp downside gap or a 'crash' scenario. Conversely, call activity is concentrated at lower strikes ($12.50-$17.50) with notably higher implied volatility at the $17.50 strike, indicating a speculative bet on a rebound to near-recovery levels rather than a full return to highs. The imbalance in volume suggests traders are hedging against further declines while waiting for a catalyst to drive prices up.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.39% 2.39% 3.13%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-20 0.376 2.393380
2025-04-08 0.327 2.285115
2024-09-13 0.274 1.778066
2024-03-27 0.290 1.430686
2023-09-06 0.412 1.516378
2022-08-30 0.172 2.654321
2021-08-30 0.156 1.180924
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.67
dividendYield 5.65
exDividendDate 2026-04-20
trailingAnnualDividendRate 4.658
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.39508057
lastDividendValue 0.376
lastDividendDate 2026-04-20
dividendDate 2026-05-04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.3409726
Address1 Mingfeng Plaza
Address2 3rd Floor, Building A No. 109 Pazhou Avenue Haizhu District
All Time High 35.21
All Time Low 4.45
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 1,300
Average Daily Volume10 Day 564,160
Average Daily Volume3 Month 581,726
Average Volume 581,726
Average Volume10Days 564,160
Beta 0.082
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 400
Book Value 5.3191576
City Guangzhou
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.42
Current Ratio 1.533
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 11.65
Day Low 11.365
Debt To Equity 104.0
Display Name MINISO Group Holding
Dividend Date 1,777,852,800
Dividend Rate 0.67
Dividend Yield 5.65
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,779,786,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,779,786,000
Earnings Growth 2.0
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.004
Earnings Timestamp 1,779,798,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,229,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,229,000
Ebitda 4,448,552,448
Ebitda Margins 0.19593
Enterprise To Ebitda 1.823
Enterprise To Revenue 0.357
Enterprise Value 8,108,060,672
Eps Current Year 10.05582
Eps Forward 1.6841471
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.98
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,776,643,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 86 20 8123 6620
Fifty Day Average 13.1046
Fifty Day Average Change -1.6845999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12855028
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -34.09726
Fifty Two Week High 26.74
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.32
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.57292444
Fifty Two Week Low 11.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3000002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.026978435
Fifty Two Week Range 11.12 - 26.74
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,602,768,600,000
Float Shares 87,333,014
Forward Eps 1.6841471
Forward P E 6.7808805
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 8,329
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.44722
Gross Profits 10,154,113,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.000060000002
Held Percent Institutions 0.050229996
Implied Shares Outstanding 298,500,597
Industry Specialty Retail
Industry Disp Specialty Retail
Industry Key specialty-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,776,643,200
Last Dividend Value 0.376
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary MINISO Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of design-led lifestyle and pop toy products in Mainland China, the rest of Asia, North and Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers products in various categories, including home decor products, small electronics, textiles, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care products, snacks, fragrances and perfumes, and stationeries and gifts under the MINISO brand; and blind boxes, toy bricks, model figures, model kits, collectible dolls, Ichiban Kuji, and other popular toys under the TOP TOY brand. It also engages in brand licensing activity; and online sale of lifestyle products. MINISO Group Holding Limited was founded in 2013 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Long Name MINISO Group Holding Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,408,877,056
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_689608815
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 2,039,440,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,413,915,238
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 11.7
Operating Margins 0.26746
Payout Ratio 0.66480005
Phone 86 20 3622 8788
Pre Market Change 0.14000034
Pre Market Change Percent 1.2259225
Pre Market Price 11.56
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,532
Previous Close 11.79
Price Eps Current Year 1.1356606
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.1469564
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.1501366
Profit Margins 0.089820005
Quick Ratio 1.133
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.37
Regular Market Change Percent -3.13825
Regular Market Day High 11.65
Regular Market Day Low 11.365
Regular Market Day Range 11.365 - 11.65
Regular Market Open 11.7
Regular Market Previous Close 11.79
Regular Market Price 11.42
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 750,816
Return On Assets 0.09276
Return On Equity 0.18768999
Revenue Growth 0.285
Revenue Per Share 74.206
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 298,500,597
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.01
Shares Short 2,972,086
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,331,158
Short Name MINISO Group Holding Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0294
Short Ratio 4.15
Source Interval 15
Symbol MNSO
Target High Price 23.778011
Target Low Price 14.049154
Target Mean Price 19.913721
Target Median Price 20.345789
Total Cash 6,981,570,048
Total Cash Per Share 22.998
Total Debt 11,518,546,944
Total Revenue 22,705,170,432
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 4.658
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.39508057
Trailing Eps 0.98
Trailing P E 11.653061
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.68535
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.2653503
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.3542678
Type Disp Equity
Volume 750,816
Website https://www.miniso.com
Zip 510,000