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Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Oklahoma City, United States | NYSE
12.99 USD +0.19 (1.484%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.99
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:04 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark contradiction between a desperate income narrative and deteriorating operational reality. The headline-grabbing 14% dividend yield is a mathematical illusion born of a collapsing share price; the payout ratio of 266% confirms that the company is burning through capital reserves to maintain this distribution, a classic sign of distress rather than strength. While the forward P/E looks attractive at 9x, it relies on earnings estimates that may not materialize given the negative operating margins and significant free cash flow burn. The price action reflects this uncertainty, having dropped nearly 25% year-to-date. Although the stock trades below book value and analysts offer a 'strong buy' rating based on potential recovery scenarios, the multi-year decline and unsustainable payout structure suggest the market is currently pricing in a value trap. For a long-term holder, the risk of permanent capital impairment outweighs the allure of the high yield.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.036996
AutoETS0.040957
AutoARIMA0.040957
MSTL0.041131

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 0.61
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.499
Excess Kurtosis -0.60
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-20
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-20
Debt to Equity Ratio 62.46
Revenue per Share 7.951
Market Cap 2,166,754,560
Trailing P/E 17.32
Forward P/E 9.79
Beta -0.41
Profit Margins 7.96%
Website https://www.machnr.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound outcome rather than a directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily concentrated at the $15 strike (a 17% distance), while Put Open Interest is similarly skewed to the $22.5 strike. This 'box' strategy suggests traders expect the price to oscillate between these extremes without a decisive trend. The high volume of out-of-the-money puts relative to calls in the August expiration indicates a specific fear of a drop toward the $10 level, yet the massive call wall at $15 acts as a psychological ceiling.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
4.53% 13.69% — —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-21 0.64 4.526167
2026-02-26 0.53 4.111714
2025-11-20 0.27 2.250000
2025-08-21 0.38 2.804428
2025-05-22 0.79 5.796038
2025-02-27 0.50 3.371544
2024-11-26 0.60 3.836317
2024-08-27 0.90 4.734350
2024-05-24 0.75 3.886011
2024-02-28 0.95 5.254425
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.82
dividendYield 14.22
exDividendDate 2026-05-21
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.82
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.1421875
lastDividendValue 0.64
lastDividendDate 2026-05-21
dividendDate 2026-06-04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.15287888
Address1 14,201 Wireless Way
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 21.19
All Time Low 10.46
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 224,950
Average Daily Volume3 Month 548,544
Average Volume 548,544
Average Volume10Days 224,950
Beta -0.412
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 300
Book Value 10.99
City Oklahoma City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.99
Current Ratio 0.832
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 13.07
Day Low 12.8401
Debt To Equity 62.46
Display Name Monmouth Real Estate Inv
Dividend Date 1,780,531,200
Dividend Rate 1.82
Dividend Yield 14.22
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,248,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,248,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Ebitda 601,350,976
Ebitda Margins 0.51979
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.466
Enterprise To Revenue 2.841
Enterprise Value 3,287,120,640
Eps Current Year 1.28667
Eps Forward 1.3275
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.75
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,321,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 405 252 8110
Fifty Day Average 13.3784
Fifty Day Average Change -0.38840008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.029031878
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -15.287888
Fifty Two Week High 15.58
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.5900002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16623878
Fifty Two Week Low 10.46
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.5299997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.24187379
Fifty Two Week Range 10.46 - 15.58
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,698,240,600,000
Float Shares 63,491,182
Forward Eps 1.3275
Forward P E 9.785311
Free Cashflow -360,958,112
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 840
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.54524
Gross Profits 630,787,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.23778
Held Percent Institutions 0.60554004
Implied Shares Outstanding 166,801,737
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,321,600
Last Dividend Value 0.64
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Mach Natural Resources LP, an independent upstream oil and gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) reserves. The company owns a portfolio of midstream assets, as well as owns gathering systems, processing plants. and water infrastructure. It also operates proved developed producing (PDP) wells. The company has operations in Anadarko Basin region of Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas and the panhandle of Texas; the San Juan Basin region of New Mexico and Colorado; and the Permian Basin region of West Texas. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,166,754,560
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1856773365
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 92,060,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,166,754,563
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 12.82
Operating Cashflow 534,750,016
Operating Margins -0.02651
Payout Ratio 2.6622
Phone 405 252 8100
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 12.99
Post Market Time 1,783,976,700
Previous Close 12.8
Price Eps Current Year 10.095829
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1819836
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.8728809
Profit Margins 0.079569995
Quick Ratio 0.685
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.19
Regular Market Change Percent 1.48437
Regular Market Day High 13.07
Regular Market Day Low 12.8401
Regular Market Day Range 12.8401 - 13.07
Regular Market Open 12.82
Regular Market Previous Close 12.8
Regular Market Price 12.99
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 268,928
Return On Assets 0.03866
Return On Equity 0.05706
Revenue Growth 0.438
Revenue Per Share 7.951
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Shares Outstanding 166,801,737
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0023999999
Shares Short 402,055
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 595,050
Short Name Mach Natural Resources LP
Short Percent Of Float 0.0145000005
Short Ratio 1.0
Source Interval 15
State OK
Symbol MNR
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 14.0
Target Mean Price 18.28571
Target Median Price 19.0
Total Cash 52,689,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.313
Total Debt 1,154,577,024
Total Revenue 1,156,909,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.82
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.1421875
Trailing Eps 0.75
Trailing P E 17.32
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.6569
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.33309937
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.02631761
Type Disp Equity
Volume 268,928
Website https://www.machnr.com
Zip 73,134