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Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Oklahoma City, United States | NYSE
12.51 USD -0.04 (-0.319%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★⯪☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:17 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured by a severe disconnect between the aggressive analyst upgrades and the brutal reality of the stock's performance. While the balance sheet remains intact with manageable debt relative to assets, the business has failed to deliver, posting a staggering 31.66% decline over the last year and burning through free cash flow. This deterioration is priced in, yet the company continues to slash dividends—cutting the quarterly payout by nearly half recently—which suggests management is prioritizing survival over shareholder returns. The 14% yield is a dangerous illusion; it is not a reliable income stream but a reflection of a collapsing share price. With the stock trading below book value and facing a multi-year decline trajectory, the fundamentals do not support a 'value trap' reversal without significant operational proof. The heavy put option activity confirms that smart money is betting on further weakness, making this a high-risk speculative play rather than a sound investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.029178
AutoETS0.029189
MSTL0.030157
AutoTheta0.031560

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 0.94
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.252
Excess Kurtosis -1.18
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 64.617
Revenue per Share 8.228
Market Cap 2,088,520,704
Trailing P/E 22.75
Forward P/E 9.39
Beta -0.45
Profit Margins 7.75%
Website https://www.machnr.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes at 10.0 and 12.5) compared to negligible call volume. The put/call ratio is skewed significantly toward bearish sentiment, while call buyers are mostly hedging or betting on minor rallies near the money rather than a major breakout.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.84% 13.72%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 0.36 2.836880
2026-05-21 0.64 4.526167
2026-02-26 0.53 4.111714
2025-11-20 0.27 2.250000
2025-08-21 0.38 2.804428
2025-05-22 0.79 5.796038
2025-02-27 0.50 3.371544
2024-11-26 0.60 3.836317
2024-08-27 0.90 4.734350
2024-05-24 0.75 3.886011
2024-02-28 0.95 5.254425
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.8
dividendYield 14.34
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.8
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.14342628
lastDividendValue 0.36
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-08-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.11839324
Address1 14,201 Wireless Way
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 21.19
All Time Low 10.46
Ask 12.99
Ask Size 300
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 352,990
Average Daily Volume3 Month 328,887
Average Volume 328,887
Average Volume10Days 352,990
Beta -0.449
Bid 12.4
Bid Size 1,300
Book Value 11.045
City Oklahoma City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.51
Current Ratio 0.875
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 12.7097
Day Low 12.5
Debt To Equity 64.617
Display Name Monmouth Real Estate Inv
Dividend Date 1,788,134,400
Dividend Rate 1.8
Dividend Yield 14.34
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,111,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,111,200
Earnings Growth -0.235
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.095
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 643,654,016
Ebitda Margins 0.49573
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.032
Enterprise To Revenue 2.494
Enterprise Value 3,238,709,760
Eps Current Year 1.26
Eps Forward 1.3325
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.55
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 405 252 8110
Fifty Day Average 12.9314
Fifty Day Average Change -0.42140007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.03258735
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -11.839324
Fifty Two Week High 15.02
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.5100002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16711053
Fifty Two Week Low 10.46
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.0500002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19598472
Fifty Two Week Range 10.46 - 15.02
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,698,240,600,000
Float Shares 62,214,877
Forward Eps 1.3325
Forward P E 9.388368
Free Cashflow -303,060,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 840
Fullday Change -0.04
Fullday Change Percent -0.318725
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.54456
Gross Profits 707,054,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.22919
Held Percent Institutions 0.60972
Implied Shares Outstanding 166,948,094
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 0.36
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Mach Natural Resources LP, an independent upstream oil and gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) reserves. The company owns a portfolio of midstream assets, as well as owns gathering systems, processing plants. and water infrastructure. It also operates proved developed producing (PDP) wells. The company has operations in Anadarko Basin region of Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas and the panhandle of Texas; the San Juan Basin region of New Mexico and Colorado; and the Permian Basin region of West Texas. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Long Name Mach Natural Resources LP
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,088,520,704
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1856773365
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 100,612,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,095,198,579
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 12.62
Operating Cashflow 558,262,976
Operating Margins 0.33652002
Payout Ratio 3.3091002
Phone 405 252 8100
Previous Close 12.55
Price Eps Current Year 9.928572
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1326392
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6085341
Profit Margins 0.07749
Quick Ratio 0.709
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.04
Regular Market Change Percent -0.318725
Regular Market Day High 12.7097
Regular Market Day Low 12.5
Regular Market Day Range 12.5 - 12.7097
Regular Market Open 12.62
Regular Market Previous Close 12.55
Regular Market Price 12.51
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 235,625
Return On Assets 0.040510003
Return On Equity 0.0625
Revenue Growth 0.636
Revenue Per Share 8.228
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Shares Outstanding 166,948,094
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0021
Shares Short 352,753
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 427,961
Short Name Mach Natural Resources LP
Short Percent Of Float 0.0126
Short Ratio 1.24
Source Interval 15
State OK
Symbol MNR
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 14.0
Target Mean Price 17.57143
Target Median Price 18.0
Total Cash 41,187,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.247
Total Debt 1,191,376,000
Total Revenue 1,298,400,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.8
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.14342628
Trailing Eps 0.55
Trailing P E 22.745455
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.75645
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.24644947
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.019319598
Type Disp Equity
Volume 235,625
Website https://www.machnr.com
Zip 73,134