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MediciNova, Inc. (MNOV)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | La Jolla, United States | NasdaqGM
1.46 USD +0.02 (1.389%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.46

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 7:39 p.m. EDT

MediciNova presents a classic 'high risk, low conviction' scenario: while analyst consensus paints a picture of massive upside (Target Mean $9.00 vs Price $1.46), the fundamentals tell a story of dilution and burning cash without a clear path to profitability. The approval for a 147M share increase is a fundamental negative that threatens to crush per-share value, making the 'Moderate Buy' analyst ratings potentially disconnected from the shareholder dilution reality. The lack of dividend history, combined with a negative earnings-per-share trajectory and negligible options liquidity, creates a trap where the only 'upside' relies entirely on a binary biotech catalyst that has yet to materialize. Until the dilution is priced in and cash flow stabilizes, this remains a speculative hold rather than a buy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.057896
AutoETS0.218496
MSTL0.220507
AutoTheta0.237400

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 58%
H-stat 2.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.055
Excess Kurtosis 0.83
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.508
Revenue per Share 0.008
Market Cap 71,863,024
Forward P/E -3.52
Beta 0.61
Website https://medicinova.com

As of April 18, 2026, 7:39 p.m. EDT: Speculative positioning is extremely muted with negligible volume and open interest in both calls and puts. Calls show only 6 contracts total volume for April expiration and 21 Open Interest, with strikes significantly above current price (OTM at 2.5 and 5.0). Put volume is equally sparse (1-2 contracts) with zero Open Interest. The implied volatility is exceptionally low (1.29% - 14.0%), suggesting the options market expects minimal price movement or lacks liquidity entirely. There is no directional signal from options flow to support either a bullish or bearish thesis.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.0068027377
Address1 4,275 Executive Square
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 16.12
All Time Low 1.12
Ask 1.84
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 29,390
Average Daily Volume3 Month 63,653
Average Volume 63,653
Average Volume10Days 29,390
Beta 0.606
Bid 1.05
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value 0.845
City La Jolla
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.46
Current Ratio 8.161
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 1.4665
Day Low 1.42
Debt To Equity 0.508
Display Name MediciNova
Earnings Timestamp 1,771,594,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,675,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,675,400
Ebitda -13,262,903
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -3.112
Enterprise To Revenue 100.738
Enterprise Value 41,268,004
Eps Current Year -0.3
Eps Forward -0.415
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.24
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 858 404 0048
Fifty Day Average 1.4576
Fifty Day Average Change 0.0024000406
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0016465702
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -0.6802738
Fifty Two Week High 1.96
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.5
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25510204
Fifty Two Week Low 1.17
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.29000008
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.24786332
Fifty Two Week Range 1.17 - 1.96
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,165,588,200,000
Float Shares 42,255,947
Forward Eps -0.415
Forward P E -3.5180724
Free Cashflow -6,088,045
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 6
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.0758
Gross Profits 31,051
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02875
Held Percent Institutions 0.21916
Implied Shares Outstanding 49,221,247
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary MediciNova, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing novel and small molecule therapeutics for the treatment of serious diseases with unmet medical needs in the United States. It develops MN-166 (ibudilast), an oral anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective agent in Phase 2 clinical trial for treating neurological and other disorders, such as progressive multiple sclerosis, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy, degenerative cervical myelopathy, and glioblastoma, as well as prevention of acute respiratory distress syndrome. The company is also developing MN-001 (tipelukast), an orally bioavailable small molecule compound in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat fibrotic and other metabolic disorders, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and hypertriglycedemia. MediciNova, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in La Jolla, California.
Long Name MediciNova, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 71,863,024
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_9262264
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -11,997,957
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 71,370,806
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 1.44
Operating Cashflow -9,810,061
Operating Margins -20.37974
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 858 373 1500
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 1.46
Post Market Time 1,776,456,605
Previous Close 1.44
Price Eps Current Year -4.866667
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.7278106
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 175.42242
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 8.112
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.02
Regular Market Change Percent 1.38889
Regular Market Day High 1.4665
Regular Market Day Low 1.42
Regular Market Day Range 1.42 - 1.4665
Regular Market Open 1.44
Regular Market Previous Close 1.44
Regular Market Price 1.46
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 17,778
Return On Assets -0.16362
Return On Equity -0.25503
Revenue Per Share 0.008
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 49,221,246
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0041
Shares Short 201,034
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 193,563
Short Name MediciNova, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0047999998
Short Ratio 2.78
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol MNOV
Target High Price 11.0
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 9.0
Target Median Price 9.5
Total Cash 30,806,476
Total Cash Per Share 0.626
Total Debt 211,460
Total Revenue 409,657
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.24
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.3968
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.0632
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.045246273
Type Disp Equity
Volume 17,778
Website https://medicinova.com
Zip 92,037