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Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI)

Industrials | Metal Fabrication | Collierville, United States | NYSE
57.58 USD +1.16 (2.047%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 9:43 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:35 a.m. EDT

Mueller Industries presents a compelling dichotomy: a fundamentally superior business currently punished by a sharp, recent price correction. The long-term outlook remains exceptionally strong, driven by robust fundamentals including a 28% return on equity, nearly 20% revenue growth, and a pristine balance sheet with minimal debt. The company has demonstrated consistent multi-year expansion, avoiding any structural decline despite recent volatility. However, the short-term picture is clouded by severe technical weakness. The stock has retraced significantly from its highs, trading well below its 50-day moving average, which suggests lingering selling pressure and a lack of immediate momentum. This disconnect is highlighted by the options market, where traders are aggressively betting on a rebound, yet the underlying price action has not yet confirmed a trend reversal. The recent stock split announcement likely serves as a catalyst to reset technical structures and attract retail attention, potentially fueling the speculative call activity seen in the options chain. While the statistical forecasting models offer no clear directional edge due to recent noise, the fundamental quality warrants a patient approach. Investors should view the current dip as an opportunity to accumulate shares of a high-quality compounder, but they must wait for clearer confirmation of a trend reversal before expecting immediate short-term gains.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.032551
AutoETS0.032567
MSTL0.033225
AutoTheta0.054969

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 10.05
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 3.48
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-04
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-04
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.679
Revenue per Share 20.041
Market Cap 12,729,832,448
Trailing P/E 15.07
Forward P/E 13.16
Beta 1.12
Profit Margins 19.37%
Website https://www.muellerindustries.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:35 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 72.5, 75.0, 82.5, 95.0) compared to negligible put volume. While there is some defensive put buying near current prices, the overwhelming capital allocation is bullish, anticipating a rally toward the $75-$80 range within the next few months.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.26% 1.06% 1.25% 1.34%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-05 0.175000 0.263554
2026-03-13 0.175000 0.319256
2025-12-05 0.125000 0.220284
2025-09-05 0.125000 0.256305
2025-06-06 0.125000 0.322914
2025-03-14 0.125000 0.314505
2024-12-06 0.100000 0.254065
2024-09-06 0.100000 0.303536
2024-06-07 0.100000 0.361468
2024-03-14 0.100000 0.388727
2023-11-30 0.075000 0.361185
2023-08-31 0.075000 0.388802
2023-06-01 0.075000 0.402955
2023-03-16 0.075000 0.411072
2022-12-01 0.062500 0.361376
2022-09-01 0.062500 0.396951
2022-06-02 0.062500 0.446828
2022-03-17 0.062500 0.425387
2021-12-02 0.032500 0.226639
2021-09-02 0.032500 0.293653
2021-06-03 0.032500 0.281996
2021-03-18 0.032500 0.303526
2020-12-03 0.025000 0.301477
2020-09-03 0.025000 0.337041
2020-06-04 0.025000 0.350263
2020-03-19 0.025000 0.459137
2019-12-05 0.025000 0.313873
2019-09-05 0.025000 0.372439
2019-06-06 0.025000 0.361533
2019-03-14 0.025000 0.314861
2018-12-06 0.025000 0.434405
2018-09-06 0.025000 0.326264
2018-05-31 0.025000 0.331126
2018-03-15 0.025000 0.357398
2017-11-30 0.025000 0.274725
2017-08-31 0.025000 0.335233
2017-05-31 0.025000 0.353607
2017-03-10 0.750000 9.041591
2017-03-03 0.025000 0.239521
2016-11-30 0.025000 0.263227
2016-08-31 0.025000 0.289352
2016-05-27 0.025000 0.321130
2016-03-02 0.018750 0.272628
2015-11-25 0.018750 0.238171
2015-09-02 0.018750 0.243982
2015-05-28 0.018750 0.212044
2015-02-26 0.018750 0.213432
2014-11-26 0.018750 0.225836
2014-09-03 0.018750 0.254151
2014-05-29 0.018750 0.256937
2014-02-27 0.018750 0.239770
2013-11-27 0.015625 0.204683
2013-09-04 0.015625 0.228645
2013-05-30 0.015625 0.227894
2013-02-27 0.015625 0.235760
2012-11-29 0.015625 0.262992
2012-08-30 0.012500 0.234577
2012-05-30 0.012500 0.232883
2012-02-28 0.012500 0.214316
2011-11-29 0.012500 0.279174
2011-08-30 0.012500 0.214362
2011-05-27 0.012500 0.274574
2011-02-25 0.012500 0.299491
2010-11-29 0.012500 0.324570
2010-08-30 0.012500 0.426803
2010-05-27 0.012500 0.362713
2010-02-25 0.012500 0.439367
2009-11-27 0.012500 0.429369
2009-08-28 0.012500 0.411523
2009-05-28 0.012500 0.454545
2009-02-26 0.012500 0.558036
2008-11-26 0.012500 0.447427
2008-08-27 0.012500 0.359842
2008-05-29 0.012500 0.280191
2008-02-28 0.012500 0.326904
2007-11-28 0.012500 0.322581
2007-08-30 0.012500 0.292483
2007-05-30 0.012500 0.285307
2007-02-27 0.012500 0.337838
2006-11-29 0.012500 0.292227
2006-08-30 0.012500 0.254777
2006-05-30 0.012500 0.312110
2006-02-27 0.012500 0.303214
2005-11-29 0.012500 0.368732
2005-08-30 0.012500 0.388500
2005-05-27 0.012500 0.367918
2005-02-25 0.012500 0.315060
2004-11-29 0.012500 0.326584
2004-10-27 1.875000 57.361378
2004-08-30 0.012500 0.260892
2004-05-27 0.012500 0.303490
2004-02-26 0.012500 0.316156
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.7
dividendYield 1.23
exDividendDate 2026-06-05
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.55
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.009748316
lastDividendValue 0.175
lastDividendDate 2026-06-05
dividendDate 2026-06-19

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.33443666
Address1 150 Schilling Boulevard
Address2 Suite 100
All Time High 70.95
All Time Low 0.21875
Ask 56.88
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,927,420
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,485,318
Average Volume 1,485,318
Average Volume10Days 1,927,420
Beta 1.119
Bid 56.15
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 7
Book Value 30.159
City Collierville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 57.575
Current Ratio 5.352
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 57.919
Day Low 57.16
Debt To Equity 0.679
Display Name Mueller Industries
Dividend Date 1,781,827,200
Dividend Rate 0.7
Dividend Yield 1.23
Earnings Growth 0.554
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.518
Earnings Timestamp 1,776,774,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,637,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,637,000
Ebitda 1,045,939,008
Ebitda Margins 0.23927
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.639
Enterprise To Revenue 2.546
Enterprise Value 11,127,374,848
Eps Current Year 4.2
Eps Forward 4.375
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.82
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,617,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 65.5205
Fifty Day Average Change -7.9454994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12126738
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 33.443665
Fifty Two Week High 70.95
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.374996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.188513
Fifty Two Week Low 41.175
Fifty Two Week Low Change 16.400002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3983
Fifty Two Week Range 41.175 - 70.95
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 667,492,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.14
Float Shares 215,990,847
Forward Eps 4.375
Forward P E 13.16
Free Cashflow 498,643,744
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,832
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.29714
Gross Profits 1,298,928,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.021270001
Held Percent Institutions 0.9347
Implied Shares Outstanding 221,100,000
Industry Metal Fabrication
Industry Disp Metal Fabrication
Industry Key metal-fabrication
Ir Website http://www.muellerindustries.com/investors
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,617,600
Last Dividend Value 0.175
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,793,600
Last Split Date 1,782,864,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Mueller Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells copper, brass, and aluminum products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Asia and the Middle East, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate. The Piping Systems segment offers copper tubes, fittings, line sets, and pipe nipples; resells steel pipe, brass and plastic plumbing valves, malleable iron fittings, faucets, and plumbing specialties. This segment sells its products to wholesalers in the plumbing and refrigeration markets, distributors to the manufactured housing and recreational vehicle industries, building material retailers, and air-conditioning original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The Industrial Metals segment offers brass, bronze, and copper alloy rods; brass rod, bar, and shapes; cold-form aluminum and copper products; high-volume machining of aluminum, steel, brass, and cast-iron impacts and castings for automotive applications; brass and aluminum forgings; brass, aluminum, and stainless steel valves; fluid control solutions; and gas train assembles; specialty copper, copper alloy, and aluminum tube to OEMs in the industrial, construction, plumbing, refrigeration, utility, telecommunication, and electrical transmission and distribution markets, as well as heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) markets. The Climate segment provides valves, protection devices, and brass fittings; and coaxial heat exchangers and twisted tubes to wholesalers and OEMs in the HVAC and refrigeration markets. This segment also manufactures and distributes high-pressure components and accessories, as well as insulated HVAC flexible duct systems. Mueller Industries, Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Collierville, Tennessee.
Long Name Mueller Industries, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,729,832,448
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_316367
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,656,000
Net Income To Common 846,777,024
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,329,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,478,884,000
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 56.81
Operating Cashflow 721,625,984
Operating Margins 0.23040001
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.1442
Peg Ratio 3.41
Phone 901 753 3200
Previous Close 56.42
Price Eps Current Year 13.708334
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9090487
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.912081
Profit Margins 0.19371
Quick Ratio 4.153
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.1550026
Regular Market Change Percent 2.047151
Regular Market Day High 57.919
Regular Market Day Low 57.16
Regular Market Day Range 57.16 - 57.919
Regular Market Open 56.81
Regular Market Previous Close 56.42
Regular Market Price 57.575
Regular Market Time 1,784,036,626
Regular Market Volume 27,151
Return On Assets 0.17039
Return On Equity 0.28297
Revenue Growth 0.193
Revenue Per Share 20.041
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 221,100,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0179
Shares Short 3,962,566
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,615,554
Short Name Mueller Industries, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0183
Short Ratio 2.75
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol MLI
Target High Price 74.5
Target Low Price 74.5
Target Mean Price 74.5
Target Median Price 74.5
Total Cash 1,403,041,024
Total Cash Per Share 6.345
Total Debt 22,824,000
Total Revenue 4,371,386,880
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.55
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.009748316
Trailing Eps 3.82
Trailing P E 15.07199
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 59.33915
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.7641487
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.029729929
Type Disp Equity
Volume 27,151
Website https://www.muellerindustries.com
Zip 38,017