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McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Hunt Valley, United States | NYSE
45.91 USD +0.19 (0.416%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 9:35 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:22 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is defined by a stark divergence between fundamental resilience and market panic. While the business remains a high-quality compounder with a fortress-like balance sheet, a 22% drop in earnings and a 16% revenue contraction in the trailing year have triggered a severe repricing. The market is currently viewing this as a value trap rather than a bargain, evidenced by the crushing 16% decline in the most recent fiscal year and the heavy concentration of put options at strikes below the current price. The 4.2% dividend yield provides a necessary floor, but the lack of earnings growth and the aggressive short-term positioning suggest the stock is likely to remain range-bound or drift lower until the earnings narrative stabilizes. The statistical forecast leans negative, aligning with the options flow, while the long-term fundamentals remain solid but currently obscured by the recent operational stumble.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.043858
AutoETS0.043858
MSTL0.044174
AutoTheta0.056225

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 4.15
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.308
Excess Kurtosis -0.24
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-10-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 66.141
Revenue per Share 28.577
Market Cap 12,352,750,592
Trailing P/E 8.30
Forward P/E 14.28
Beta 0.64
Profit Margins 19.39%
Website https://www.mccormickcorporation.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 40 and 45) compared to negligible call volume. This creates a distinct 'put wall' suggesting a fear of a significant drop below current levels. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating limited speculative appetite for a rally. Implied volatility is significantly higher for puts than calls, reinforcing the asymmetric risk profile where losses are priced in more aggressively than gains.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.08% 3.60% 2.80% 2.42%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-13 0.480000 1.075269
2026-07-06 0.480000 0.926999
2026-04-20 0.480000 0.908231
2025-12-29 0.480000 0.694244
2025-10-14 0.450000 0.683891
2025-07-07 0.450000 0.613163
2025-04-07 0.450000 0.608766
2024-12-30 0.450000 0.596421
2024-10-07 0.420000 0.529101
2024-07-08 0.420000 0.604839
2024-04-05 0.420000 0.556513
2023-12-28 0.420000 0.615565
2023-10-06 0.390000 0.604183
2023-07-07 0.390000 0.460612
2023-04-06 0.390000 0.454545
2022-12-29 0.390000 0.463513
2022-10-07 0.370000 0.503813
2022-07-08 0.370000 0.450835
2022-04-08 0.370000 0.362319
2021-12-30 0.370000 0.387151
2021-10-08 0.340000 0.428698
2021-07-09 0.340000 0.390356
2021-04-09 0.340000 0.385881
2020-12-30 0.340000 0.359560
2020-10-02 0.310000 0.321510
2020-07-02 0.310000 0.341391
2020-04-09 0.310000 0.401815
2019-12-30 0.310000 0.363892
2019-10-04 0.285000 0.337358
2019-07-05 0.285000 0.353072
2019-04-05 0.285000 0.375272
2018-12-28 0.285000 0.410042
2018-10-05 0.260000 0.383057
2018-07-06 0.260000 0.435584
2018-04-06 0.260000 0.499040
2017-12-28 0.260000 0.508607
2017-10-06 0.235000 0.478713
2017-07-06 0.235000 0.490913
2017-04-06 0.235000 0.469624
2016-12-28 0.235000 0.506520
2016-10-06 0.215000 0.451538
2016-07-07 0.215000 0.406005
2016-04-07 0.215000 0.432509
2015-12-29 0.215000 0.492780
2015-10-08 0.200000 0.483384
2015-07-09 0.200000 0.503842
2015-04-01 0.200000 0.524384
2014-12-29 0.200000 0.526801
2014-10-08 0.185000 0.541966
2014-07-02 0.185000 0.521715
2014-04-03 0.185000 0.520613
2013-12-27 0.185000 0.538104
2013-10-03 0.170000 0.530670
2013-07-03 0.170000 0.491543
2013-04-11 0.170000 0.477193
2012-12-27 0.170000 0.538742
2012-10-03 0.155000 0.493709
2012-07-05 0.155000 0.502676
2012-04-04 0.155000 0.570377
2011-12-28 0.155000 0.616180
2011-10-05 0.140000 0.608960
2011-07-07 0.140000 0.560673
2011-04-07 0.140000 0.591966
2010-12-29 0.140000 0.599572
2010-10-06 0.130000 0.623501
2010-07-01 0.130000 0.688559
2010-04-08 0.130000 0.681520
2009-12-29 0.130000 0.713697
2009-09-30 0.120000 0.707130
2009-07-01 0.120000 0.721805
2009-04-02 0.120000 0.818554
2008-12-29 0.120000 0.771952
2008-10-01 0.110000 0.563958
2008-07-02 0.110000 0.619718
2008-04-10 0.110000 0.591557
2007-12-26 0.110000 0.565262
2007-10-03 0.100000 0.570939
2007-07-03 0.100000 0.532056
2007-04-04 0.100000 0.524246
2006-12-27 0.100000 0.513743
2006-10-04 0.090000 0.473560
2006-07-05 0.090000 0.536353
2006-03-30 0.090000 0.534125
2005-12-28 0.090000 0.589777
2005-10-05 0.080000 0.489297
2005-07-06 0.080000 0.502040
2005-03-31 0.080000 0.464711
2004-12-29 0.080000 0.414938
2004-10-06 0.070000 0.405327
2004-06-30 0.070000 0.411765
2004-04-01 0.070000 0.416791
2003-12-29 0.070000 0.473293
2003-10-01 0.060000 0.429338
2003-07-02 0.060000 0.454718
2003-04-03 0.055000 0.455110
2002-12-26 0.055000 0.469283
2002-09-26 0.052500 0.440621
2002-06-26 0.052500 0.404002
2002-03-21 0.052500 0.427437
2001-12-27 0.052500 0.486336
2001-09-26 0.050000 0.464253
2001-06-27 0.050000 0.472813
2001-03-29 0.050000 0.482742
2000-12-27 0.050000 0.551724
2000-09-27 0.047500 0.635983
2000-06-28 0.047500 0.557798
2000-03-29 0.047500 0.617886
1999-12-29 0.047500 0.653763
1999-09-29 0.042500 0.526112
1999-06-30 0.042500 0.538614
1999-03-29 0.042500 0.579957
1998-12-29 0.042500 0.518095
1998-09-29 0.040000 0.570156
1998-06-30 0.040000 0.447944
1998-03-27 0.040000 0.513026
1997-12-29 0.040000 0.567627
1997-10-28 0.037500 0.626632
1997-09-30 0.037500 0.623377
1997-06-26 0.037500 0.594059
1997-03-26 0.037500 0.600000
1996-12-27 0.037500 0.645161
1996-09-26 0.035000 0.592593
1996-06-26 0.035000 0.640000
1996-03-28 0.035000 0.622222
1995-12-27 0.035000 0.595745
1995-09-27 0.032500 0.559140
1995-07-03 0.032500 0.608187
1995-03-27 0.032500 0.565217
1994-12-23 0.032500 0.712329
1994-09-26 0.030000 0.627451
1994-06-27 0.015000 0.284024
1994-03-25 0.030000 0.539326
1993-12-27 0.030000 0.513369
1993-09-24 0.027500 0.505747
1993-06-25 0.027500 0.500000
1993-03-25 0.027500 0.470588
1992-12-24 0.027500 0.382609
1992-09-25 0.025000 0.370370
1992-06-24 0.025000 0.459770
1992-03-25 0.022500 0.358209
1991-12-24 0.022500 0.361809
1991-09-24 0.018750 0.385852
1991-06-24 0.018750 0.377358
1991-03-27 0.016250 0.333333
1990-12-21 0.016250 0.509804
1990-09-24 0.015000 0.558140
1990-06-25 0.015000 0.470588
1990-03-27 0.013750 0.536585
1989-09-25 0.011250 0.428571
1989-06-26 0.011250 0.486486
1989-03-20 0.010000 0.587156
1988-12-21 0.010000 0.598131
1988-09-21 0.008750 0.538462
1988-06-17 0.008750 0.554455
1988-03-18 0.007813 0.543513
1987-12-21 0.007813 0.694489
1987-09-21 0.007813 0.550999
1987-06-17 0.007813 0.550999
1987-03-20 0.007813 0.552521
1986-12-22 0.007813 0.632952
Additional Data
dividendYield 4.2
exDividendDate 2026-10-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.89
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.04133858
lastDividendValue 0.48
lastDividendDate 2026-10-13
dividendDate 2026-10-26

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.3232159
Address1 24 Schilling Road
Address2 Suite 1
All Time High 107.35
All Time Low 0.339844
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,474,920
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,337,868
Average Volume 3,337,868
Average Volume10Days 4,474,920
Beta 0.641
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 600
Board Risk 10
Book Value 26.028
City Hunt Valley
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 45.91
Current Ratio 0.657
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 46.395
Day Low 45.8055
Debt To Equity 66.141
Display Name McCormick
Dividend Date 1,792,972,800
Dividend Yield 4.2
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,790,856,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,790,856,000
Earnings Growth -0.571
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.567
Earnings Timestamp 1,790,857,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,790,857,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,790,857,800
Ebitda 1,504,099,968
Ebitda Margins 0.19569999
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.681
Enterprise To Revenue 2.286
Enterprise Value 17,569,837,056
Eps Current Year 3.09072
Eps Forward 3.21443
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.53
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,791,849,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.594
Fifty Day Average Change -4.684002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.092580184
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -32.32159
Fifty Two Week High 72.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -26.500004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3659716
Fifty Two Week Low 43.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.6599998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.061502885
Fifty Two Week Range 43.25 - 72.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 99,153,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.11
Float Shares 265,706,554
Forward Eps 3.21443
Forward P E 14.28247
Free Cashflow 742,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 14,100
Fullday Change 0.18999863
Fullday Change Percent 0.41557005
Fullday Price 45.91
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.38914
Gross Profits 2,990,799,872
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00013
Held Percent Institutions 0.96602994
Implied Shares Outstanding 269,064,479
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=65454&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,791,849,600
Last Dividend Value 0.48
Last Fiscal Year End 1,764,460,800
Last Split Date 1,606,780,800
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary McCormick & Company, Incorporated manufactures, markets, and distributes herbs, spices, seasoning mixes, condiments, and other flavorful products to the food industry. It operates in two segments, Consumer and Flavor Solutions. The Consumer segment offers spices, herbs, and seasonings, as well as condiments, sauces, and desserts. This segment markets its products under the McCormick, French's, Frank's RedHot, Lawry's, Cholula Hot Sauce, Club House, Gourmet Garden, and OLD BAY brands in the Americas; Ducros, Schwartz, Kamis, LA Drogheria, and Vahiné brands in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and McCormick and DaQiao brands in the Asia/Pacific (APAC), as well as desserts under the Aeroplane brand; and packaged chilled herbs under the Gourmet Garden brand. Its authentic regional brands include Zatarain's, Stubb's, Thai Kitchen, and Simply Asia. The company also supplies its products under private labels. This segment serves retailers, including grocery, mass merchandise, warehouse clubs, discount and drug stores, and e-commerce retailers directly and indirectly through distributors and wholesale foodservice suppliers. The Flavor Solutions segment offers seasoning blends, spices, herbs, condiments, coating systems, and compound flavors to multinational food manufacturers and foodservice customers. It serves foodservice customers directly and indirectly through distributors. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Hunt Valley, Maryland.
Long Name McCormick & Company, Incorporated
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,352,750,592
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_181176
Most Recent Quarter 1,788,134,400
Net Income To Common 1,490,499,968
Next Fiscal Year End 1,795,996,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,607,604,227
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 45.94
Operating Cashflow 1,140,800,000
Operating Margins 0.1776
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.3418
Peg Ratio 2.93
Phone 410 771 7301
Previous Close 45.72
Price Eps Current Year 14.854144
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.7638696
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.6072382
Profit Margins 0.19393
Quick Ratio 0.263
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.26667
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.18999863
Regular Market Change Percent 0.41557005
Regular Market Day High 46.395
Regular Market Day Low 45.8055
Regular Market Day Range 45.8055 - 46.395
Regular Market Open 45.94
Regular Market Previous Close 45.72
Regular Market Price 45.91
Regular Market Time 1,792,157,743
Regular Market Volume 173,352
Return On Assets 0.05252
Return On Equity 0.22623
Revenue Growth 0.174
Revenue Per Share 28.577
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 254,541,615
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0739
Shares Short 19,887,002
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 16,047,875
Short Name McCormick & Company, Incorporat
Short Ratio 6.0
Source Interval 15
State MD
Symbol MKC
Target High Price 65.0
Target Low Price 47.0
Target Mean Price 54.84615
Target Median Price 55.0
Total Cash 331,100,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.231
Total Debt 5,018,200,064
Total Revenue 7,685,700,096
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.89
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.04133858
Trailing Eps 5.53
Trailing P E 8.301989
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.9027
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 54.45165
Two Hundred Day Average Change -8.541649
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15686667
Type Disp Equity
Volume 173,352
Website https://www.mccormickcorporation.com
Zip 21,031