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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Houston, United States | NYSE
27.62 USD -0.92 (-3.224%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 28.16 +0.54 (1.955%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ★★★☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:56 a.m. EDT

Bullish technicals and options flow are heavily skewed upside, with strikes clustering around $30-$35, yet the fundamental reality is a company with negative earnings growth (-17%) and a 'sell' recommendation from consensus despite a 'buy' key. While the short-term catalyst (Q4 earnings/price targets) creates a squeeze opportunity, the deteriorating growth trajectory makes it a speculative 'buy zones only' rather than a fundamental buy, with a clear downside trap warning 12+ months out.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.145939
AutoTheta0.148535
AutoARIMA0.149696
AutoETS0.149697

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 9.64
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.366
Excess Kurtosis -0.98
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-02-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 20.987
Revenue per Share 7.069
Market Cap 5,280,375,296
Trailing P/E 15.97
Forward P/E 10.90
Beta 0.83
Profit Margins 24.79%
Website https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:56 a.m. EDT: Short-term options (April/May expirations) show heavy out-of-the-money call open interest (OI) concentrated at the $30 and $35 strikes, significantly outweighing put OI. This indicates a strong bullish premium expected by buyers, who believe a move toward $30-$35 is probable ahead of earnings. Conversely, far-term options (December) show dominant in-the-money put positioning (strikes $20-$25), suggesting a strong bearish tail risk expectation for the long term or a floor at current levels.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.62% 2.62% 2.41%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-02-10 0.165 0.619137
2025-11-10 0.150 0.676740
2025-08-11 0.150 0.656660
2025-05-12 0.150 0.664899
2025-02-14 0.150 0.655222
2024-11-08 0.130 0.490025
2024-08-09 0.130 0.555410
2024-05-10 0.130 0.524298
2024-02-15 0.130 0.638078
2023-11-08 0.115 0.580013
2023-08-09 0.115 0.526065
2023-05-10 0.115 0.634891
2023-02-09 0.115 0.555557
2022-11-04 0.100 0.410021
2022-08-11 0.100 0.463054
2022-02-11 0.200 1.010139
2021-08-11 0.080 0.593046
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.62
dividendYield 2.23
exDividendDate 2026-02-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.615
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.021548703
lastDividendValue 0.165
lastDividendDate 2026-02-10
dividendDate 2026-03-02

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.36800396
Address1 Nine Greenway Plaza
Address2 Suite 1300
All Time High 32.76
All Time Low 3.23
Ask 28.32
Ask Size 600
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,427,250
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,146,246
Average Volume 3,146,246
Average Volume10Days 2,427,250
Beta 0.831
Bid 26.67
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 4
Book Value 10.704
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 27.62
Current Ratio 1.536
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 27.65
Day Low 26.43
Debt To Equity 20.987
Display Name Magnolia Oil & Gas
Dividend Date 1,772,409,600
Dividend Rate 0.62
Dividend Yield 2.23
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,166,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,166,000
Earnings Growth -0.17
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.197
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,097,600
Ebitda 883,737,984
Ebitda Margins 0.67366
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.893
Enterprise To Revenue 3.97
Enterprise Value 5,207,962,624
Eps Current Year 2.7597
Eps Forward 2.53344
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.73
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,770,681,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 28.9626
Fifty Day Average Change -1.3425999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.04635633
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 36.800396
Fifty Two Week High 32.76
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.1399975
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15689859
Fifty Two Week Low 19.97
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.6500015
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3830747
Fifty Two Week Range 19.97 - 32.76
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,498,743,000,000
Float Shares 179,252,675
Forward Eps 2.53344
Forward P E 10.902172
Free Cashflow 226,260,128
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 262
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.80664
Gross Profits 1,058,190,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01239
Held Percent Institutions 1.1056501
Implied Shares Outstanding 191,179,413
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,770,681,600
Last Dividend Value 0.165
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. The company's properties are located primarily in Karnes County and the Giddings area in South Texas comprising the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk formation. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,280,375,296
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_428015788
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 320,795,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,127,816,897
Number Of Analyst Opinions 19
Open 27.14
Operating Cashflow 878,638,976
Operating Margins 0.2962
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.3468
Phone 713 842 9050
Post Market Change 0.539999
Post Market Change Percent 1.9551014
Post Market Price 28.16
Post Market Time 1,776,470,152
Previous Close 28.54
Price Eps Current Year 10.008334
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.5803437
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.0251517
Profit Margins 0.24792999
Quick Ratio 1.533
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.92
Regular Market Change Percent -3.22355
Regular Market Day High 27.65
Regular Market Day Low 26.43
Regular Market Day Range 26.43 - 27.65
Regular Market Open 27.14
Regular Market Previous Close 28.54
Regular Market Price 27.62
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,002
Regular Market Volume 2,761,031
Return On Assets 0.09591
Return On Equity 0.17006001
Revenue Growth -0.028
Revenue Per Share 7.069
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 185,655,934
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1122
Shares Short 20,823,543
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 19,731,264
Short Name Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.153
Short Ratio 6.57
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol MGY
Target High Price 38.0
Target Low Price 28.0
Target Mean Price 33.36842
Target Median Price 33.0
Total Cash 266,784,992
Total Cash Per Share 1.475
Total Debt 419,560,000
Total Revenue 1,311,844,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.615
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.021548703
Trailing Eps 1.73
Trailing P E 15.965319
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 24.73685
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.88315
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.11655284
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,761,031
Website https://www.magnoliaoilgas.com
Zip 77,046