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Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV)

Large Value | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
165.35 USD +1.23 (0.749%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 10:12 a.m. EDT

The Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF presents a compelling case for a core holding, driven by a decade of superior performance and a resilient business quality that has consistently rewarded investors. Over the last nine years, the fund has delivered a staggering 115% cumulative gain, fueled by seven years of positive annual returns compared to only two declines. Crucially, the most recent year saw double-digit growth (+11.25%), shattering any narrative of a structural decline or stagnation. While the trailing P/E of roughly 21 suggests the market has priced in much of this recovery, the underlying fundamentals—sustained revenue expansion and a fortress-like balance sheet typical of mega-cap value leaders—justify a premium valuation. The short-term outlook is slightly muted by recent price consolidation and defensive options positioning, which may keep the immediate horizon neutral-to-slightly-bullish rather than explosive. However, the long-term trajectory remains robust, supported by a consistent track record of outperformance and a dividend yield that provides a modest cushion without compromising capital appreciation potential.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.016477
AutoARIMA0.017172
MSTL0.017254
AutoTheta0.022461

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 64%
H-stat 54.28
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.265
Excess Kurtosis -1.14
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 21.20

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 10:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put open interest at the 152 strike, suggesting a fear of a drop to that level within a month. However, call volume is concentrated in-the-money at strikes below the current price, indicating buyers are hedging existing long positions rather than initiating aggressive new bets. Implied volatility is elevated for the near term due to this put skew, while longer-dated options show low liquidity and minimal positioning.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.45% 1.58% 2.07% 2.26%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-26 0.732 0.448529
2026-03-27 0.795 0.556918
2025-12-22 0.817 0.577304
2025-09-29 0.703 0.512577
2025-06-30 0.678 0.516768
2025-03-27 0.684 0.531015
2024-12-23 0.725 0.579120
2024-09-26 0.723 0.567459
2024-06-27 0.734 0.621349
2024-03-21 0.698 0.589627
2023-12-21 0.769 0.710524
2023-09-21 0.685 0.665049
2023-06-23 0.661 0.650719
2023-03-23 0.593 0.611340
2022-12-22 0.702 0.688708
2022-09-28 0.677 0.732288
2022-06-23 0.597 0.627628
2022-03-24 0.547 0.508412
2021-12-27 0.657 0.616612
2021-09-29 0.622 0.625629
2021-06-24 0.547 0.551968
2021-03-26 0.494 0.515335
2020-12-24 0.651 0.761493
2020-09-11 0.457 0.591969
2020-06-25 0.526 0.722032
2020-03-26 0.507 0.756603
2019-12-24 0.599 0.687242
2019-10-01 0.575 0.721365
2019-06-27 0.573 0.715356
2019-03-25 0.596 0.773323
2018-12-24 0.514 0.763518
2018-09-28 0.502 0.627186
2018-06-28 0.461 0.619540
2018-03-22 0.415 0.563705
2017-12-26 0.473 0.618301
2017-09-27 0.512 0.715384
2017-06-23 0.413 0.595960
2017-03-29 0.394 0.575939
2016-12-20 0.492 0.724915
2016-09-20 0.431 0.696509
2016-06-21 0.386 0.632994
2016-03-21 0.386 0.648086
2015-12-17 0.431 0.731873
2015-09-21 0.388 0.692486
2015-06-22 0.360 0.584700
2015-03-23 0.348 0.574068
2014-09-22 0.353 0.592580
2014-06-23 0.316 0.537872
2014-03-24 0.302 0.545126
2013-12-20 0.371 0.684376
2013-09-23 0.310 0.606654
2013-06-24 0.304 0.632017
2013-03-22 0.275 0.583988
2012-12-20 0.347 0.801016
2012-09-24 0.305 0.704876
2012-06-25 0.286 0.728662
2012-03-26 0.258 0.611809
2011-12-21 0.323 0.858586
2011-09-23 0.276 0.814640
2011-06-24 0.240 0.611621
2011-03-25 0.210 0.514832
2010-12-22 0.262 0.677703
2010-09-24 0.246 0.688690
2010-06-24 0.208 0.617028
2010-03-25 0.200 0.544811
2009-12-22 0.323 0.914496
2009-09-24 0.226 0.666667
2009-06-24 0.226 0.783634
2009-03-25 0.280 1.057003
2008-12-22 0.288 0.964501
2008-09-24 0.281 0.712114
2008-06-24 0.246 0.575843
2008-03-25 0.250 0.541477
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.91

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 169.84
All Time Low 21.18
Ask 174.59
Ask Size 800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 204,040
Average Daily Volume3 Month 236,732
Average Volume 236,732
Average Volume10Days 204,040
Beta3 Year 0.66
Bid 160.64
Bid Size 100
Category Large Value
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 165.56
Day Low 164.8592
Display Name Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF
Dividend Yield 1.91
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.8011613
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 165.654
Fifty Day Average Change -0.30400085
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0018351554
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 20.307041
Fifty Two Week High 169.84
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.48999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.02643659
Fifty Two Week Low 135.48
Fifty Two Week Low Change 29.87001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.22047544
Fifty Two Week Range 135.48 - 169.84
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,198,765,800,000
Five Year Average Return 0.12823671
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.009994507
Fullday Change Percent -0.00604409
Fullday Price 165.35
Fund Family Vanguard
Fund Inception Date 1,204,675,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index. The index is a float-adjusted, market-capitalization-weighted index designed to measure equity market performance of mega-capitalization value stocks in the United States. The Advisor attempts to replicate the target index by investing all, or substantially all, of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, holding each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index.
Long Name Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_39636526
Nav Price 164.1
Net Assets 13,603,106,800.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.05
Open 165.03
Pre Market Change -0.009994507
Pre Market Change Percent -0.00604409
Pre Market Price 165.35
Pre Market Time 1,792,152,509
Previous Close 164.12
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.23001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.749458
Regular Market Day High 165.56
Regular Market Day Low 164.8592
Regular Market Day Range 164.8592 - 165.56
Regular Market Open 165.03
Regular Market Previous Close 164.12
Regular Market Price 165.35
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,400
Regular Market Volume 246,712
Short Name Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap V
Source Interval 15
Symbol MGV
Three Year Average Return 0.2018761
Total Assets 13,603,106,816
Tradeable 0
Trailing P E 21.195562
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -1.08502
Trailing Three Month Returns -1.08502
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 156.55055
Two Hundred Day Average Change 8.799454
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.056208383
Type Disp ETF
Volume 246,712
Yield 0.0191
Ytd Return 15.71688