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MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI)

Consumer Defensive | Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries | Atchison, United States | NasdaqGS
14.61 USD +0.25 (1.741%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.61

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:03 a.m. EDT

The investment case for MGP Ingredients is currently broken by a severe deterioration in business quality. The company is trapped in a multi-year decline, having lost over 40% of its value since 2016, with the last three consecutive years showing negative returns. Fundamentals confirm this distress: the business is generating negative earnings (-$11.26 EPS), negative free cash flow, and negative returns on equity. While the valuation metrics look cheap (low P/B and P/S), these are likely 'value traps' reflecting the market's verdict on a failing operation rather than a margin of safety. The 3.5% dividend yield is dangerously misleading; with a payout ratio near 98% and negative earnings, the company is effectively burning capital to pay shareholders, making the dividend unsustainable. Although analysts offer a 'Strong Buy' rating based on potential turnaround scenarios, the data shows no evidence of recovery yet. Options flow reinforces this bearish sentiment, with traders buying deep protection against further drops. This is a high-risk situation where the business fundamentals have collapsed, and the current price reflects a deep impairment of value.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.083026
AutoTheta0.132150
AutoETS0.153474
MSTL0.154253

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 25.08
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.091
Excess Kurtosis -0.80
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 63.975
Revenue per Share 23.373
Market Cap 312,859,648
Forward P/E 7.52
Beta 0.48
Profit Margins -48.40%
Website https://www.mgpingredients.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at deep strikes ($7.50) for year-end expirations, suggesting a fear of significant downside or a crash scenario. Call activity is concentrated entirely out-of-the-money, indicating a speculative hope for a rebound rather than a conviction in immediate upside. Implied volatility is elevated on both sides, reflecting uncertainty.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.68% 2.49% 1.49% 1.09%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-14 0.120000 0.677201
2026-05-15 0.120000 0.658256
2026-03-13 0.120000 0.670766
2025-11-14 0.120000 0.479425
2025-08-15 0.120000 0.416956
2025-05-16 0.120000 0.365965
2025-03-14 0.120000 0.388727
2024-11-15 0.120000 0.241692
2024-08-16 0.120000 0.137804
2024-05-16 0.120000 0.148460
2024-03-14 0.120000 0.145015
2023-11-16 0.120000 0.128438
2023-08-17 0.120000 0.101842
2023-05-18 0.120000 0.117716
2023-03-09 0.120000 0.125879
2022-11-17 0.120000 0.099975
2022-08-18 0.120000 0.104703
2022-05-19 0.120000 0.127986
2022-03-10 0.120000 0.155019
2021-11-18 0.120000 0.157895
2021-08-19 0.120000 0.197012
2021-05-20 0.120000 0.180072
2021-03-11 0.120000 0.180668
2020-11-19 0.120000 0.282419
2020-08-20 0.120000 0.333333
2020-05-21 0.120000 0.339559
2020-03-12 0.120000 0.519481
2019-11-13 0.100000 0.222767
2019-08-13 0.100000 0.197239
2019-05-14 0.100000 0.153775
2019-03-12 0.100000 0.122160
2018-11-14 0.080000 0.114662
2018-08-15 0.080000 0.106482
2018-05-15 0.080000 0.093077
2018-03-08 0.080000 0.101704
2017-11-13 0.040000 0.053684
2017-08-16 0.890000 1.464057
2017-05-11 0.040000 0.074225
2017-02-27 0.040000 0.090559
2016-11-09 0.020000 0.048008
2016-08-11 0.020000 0.058824
2016-03-17 0.080000 0.334169
2015-03-24 0.060000 0.394997
2014-03-13 0.050000 0.830565
2013-03-14 0.050000 1.061571
2012-03-20 0.050000 0.869565
2011-09-13 0.050000 0.789889
2010-09-13 0.050000 0.684931
2008-03-27 0.100000 1.408451
2007-09-14 0.150000 1.184834
2007-03-29 0.100000 0.495540
2006-09-15 0.200000 0.867679
2005-09-16 0.150000 1.595745
2004-10-05 0.150000 1.498501
2003-10-08 0.075000 1.714286
2002-10-08 0.075000 2.164502
2001-10-09 0.075000 1.549587
2000-10-10 0.050000 1.038961
1995-07-12 0.062500 0.704225
1995-04-03 0.062500 0.694444
1995-01-09 0.062500 0.526316
1994-10-21 0.062500 0.466200
1994-07-01 0.062500 0.352113
1994-04-04 0.062500 0.413223
1994-01-10 0.062500 0.434783
1993-10-22 0.062500 0.549451
1993-07-01 0.062500 0.485437
1993-04-02 0.062500 0.431034
1993-01-07 0.062500 0.495050
1992-10-23 0.062500 0.568182
1992-07-17 0.062500 0.520833
1992-04-06 0.058333 0.538458
1992-01-07 0.058333 0.514703
1991-07-08 0.058333 0.593217
1991-04-05 0.058333 0.630627
1991-01-08 0.058333 0.769226
1990-07-09 0.058333 0.985910
1990-04-06 0.058333 0.933328
1990-01-08 0.058333 0.686271
1989-10-17 0.050000 0.547945
1989-07-10 0.050000 0.550459
1989-04-10 0.050000 0.597015
1989-01-09 0.050000 0.714286
1988-12-16 0.033333 0.506324
Additional Data
dividendYield 3.29
exDividendDate 2026-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.48
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.033426184
lastDividendValue 0.12
lastDividendDate 2026-08-14
dividendDate 2026-08-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.39383703
Address1 Cray Business Plaza
Address2 100 Commercial Street PO Box 130
All Time High 125.74
All Time Low 0.5
Ask 18.43
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 292,120
Average Daily Volume3 Month 228,819
Average Volume 228,819
Average Volume10Days 292,120
Beta 0.483
Bid 10.44
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 27.593
City Atchison
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.61
Current Ratio 6.992
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 14.675
Day Low 14.21
Debt To Equity 63.975
Display Name MGP Ingredients
Dividend Date 1,787,875,200
Dividend Yield 3.29
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,333,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,333,600
Earnings Growth -0.177
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.168
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,190,600
Ebitda 91,063,000
Ebitda Margins 0.18212
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.391
Enterprise To Revenue 1.346
Enterprise Value 673,043,648
Eps Current Year 1.646
Eps Forward 1.944
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -11.26
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 15.5922
Fifty Day Average Change -0.9822006
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06299307
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -39.383705
Fifty Two Week High 26.77
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.160001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.45423985
Fifty Two Week Low 12.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.1899996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17632847
Fifty Two Week Range 12.42 - 26.77
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 593,443,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.71
Float Shares 14,614,893
Forward Eps 1.944
Forward P E 7.515432
Free Cashflow -73,276,128
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 617
Fullday Change 0.25
Fullday Change Percent 1.7409471
Fullday Price 14.61
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.35548002
Gross Profits 177,744,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.32544
Held Percent Institutions 0.73116994
Implied Shares Outstanding 21,414,076
Industry Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Industry Disp Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Industry Key beverages-wineries-distilleries
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Last Dividend Value 0.12
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,089,936,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients worldwide. It operates in three segments: Distillery Solutions, Branded Spirits, and Ingredient Solutions. The Distillery Solutions segment processes corn and other grains, including rye, barley, wheat, barley malt, and milo into food grade alcohol and distillery co-products, such as dried distillers' grain; and offers food-grade alcohol for beverage applications, that include bourbon, rye, and other whiskeys, as well as grain neutral spirits, including vodka and gin. This segment also offers warehouse services, including barrel put away, barrel storage, and barrel retrieval services; and blending services. The Branded Spirits segment provides Tequila under the premium plus, ultra-premium, super premium, premium price tiers under the Penelope Bourbon, Yellowstone Bourbon, Rebel Bourbon, Remus Bourbon, Blood Oath Bourbon, Ezra Brooks Bourbon, Minor Case Straight Rye Whiskey, Rossville Union Straight Rye Whiskey, The Quiet Man Irish Whiskey, Green Hat Gin, Everclear grain alcohol, El Mayor Tequila, and Dos Primos names; mid branded spirits under the Brady's Irish Cream, Saint Brendan's Irish Cream Liqueur, Pearl Vodka, Lord Calvert Canadian Whisky, and Exotico Tequila names; and value branded spirits under the Arrow Cordials, Canada House Canadian Whisky, Lady Bligh Rum, and Juarez Tequila names, as well as private label products. The Ingredient Solutions segment provides specialty wheat starches for food applications, such as Fibersym, a resistant wheat starch; specialty wheat proteins for food applications under the Arise and Proterra names; gluten-free textured pea and soy proteins; commodity wheat starch for food and non-food applications; and commodity wheat proteins. It sells its products directly or through distributors to manufacturers and processors of finished packaged goods or to bakeries. The company was founded in 1941 and is based in Atchison, Kansas.
Long Name MGP Ingredients, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 312,859,648
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_288133
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -240,652,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 288,875,885
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 14.5
Operating Cashflow 24,439,000
Operating Margins 0.14799
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.9796
Peg Ratio 1.14
Phone 913 367 1480
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 14.61
Post Market Time 1,791,921,688
Previous Close 14.36
Price Eps Current Year 8.876062
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.52948207
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6257043
Profit Margins -0.48400003
Quick Ratio 1.587
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.4
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.25
Regular Market Change Percent 1.74095
Regular Market Day High 14.675
Regular Market Day Low 14.21
Regular Market Day Range 14.21 - 14.675
Regular Market Open 14.5
Regular Market Previous Close 14.36
Regular Market Price 14.61
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,601
Regular Market Volume 277,488
Return On Assets 0.03374
Return On Equity -0.33824003
Revenue Growth -0.145
Revenue Per Share 23.373
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 21,414,076
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.049200002
Shares Short 1,053,440
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,060,622
Short Name MGP Ingredients, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0719
Short Ratio 3.46
Source Interval 15
State KS
Symbol MGPI
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 17.0
Target Mean Price 26.8
Target Median Price 30.0
Total Cash 17,794,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.831
Total Debt 377,974,016
Total Revenue 500,012,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.48
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.033426184
Trailing Eps -11.26
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 18.88545
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.2754507
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2263886
Type Disp Equity
Volume 277,488
Website https://www.mgpingredients.com
Zip 66,002