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Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund (MGC)

Large Blend | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
274.27 USD -2.52 (-0.910%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:32 a.m. EDT

The Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund is exhibiting strong near-term momentum, trading comfortably above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages while recent price action shows a steady recovery from mid-month lows. The statistical forecast model reinforces this with a high-confidence prediction of a 2.62% gain over the next 45 days, suggesting the recent uptrend has statistical backing. However, the long-term picture is mixed; despite a massive 211% cumulative gain over the last nine years, the fund is currently priced at a premium P/E of nearly 28x, which is elevated for a passive index vehicle. This valuation compression likely explains why some headlines suggest caution, even as the underlying business quality remains robust. The dividend yield of 0.92% is modest, offering income but not serving as a primary investment driver. Overall, the instrument is a solid momentum play for the coming months, though investors should be wary of entering at these stretched valuations if they are seeking deep value.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.029894
MSTL0.032748
AutoARIMA0.036870
AutoETS0.036870

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 68%
H-stat 0.85
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.506
Excess Kurtosis -0.81
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 27.72

As of July 11, 2026, 3:32 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, with heavy call volume and open interest concentrated at strikes above the current price (275-285 range) for July and January expirations. Put activity is negligible, indicating a lack of hedging demand and a consensus expectation of continued upward movement.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.24% 1.02% 1.18% 1.30%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-26 0.651 0.244177
2026-03-27 0.688 0.299039
2025-12-22 0.597 0.237084
2025-09-29 0.580 0.238654
2025-06-30 0.552 0.245421
2025-03-27 0.599 0.292652
2024-12-23 0.628 0.290606
2024-09-26 0.617 0.299485
2024-06-27 0.618 0.311743
2024-03-21 0.580 0.310443
2023-12-21 0.674 0.400142
2023-09-21 0.572 0.373198
2023-06-23 0.542 0.353325
2023-03-23 0.501 0.363544
2022-12-22 0.604 0.458270
2022-09-28 0.589 0.454721
2022-06-23 0.512 0.386678
2022-03-24 0.475 0.299571
2021-12-27 0.554 0.327365
2021-09-29 0.511 0.331624
2021-06-24 0.465 0.307784
2021-03-26 0.434 0.310022
2020-12-24 0.608 0.461831
2020-09-11 0.401 0.337684
2020-06-25 0.463 0.425239
2020-03-26 0.462 0.500759
2019-12-24 0.517 0.463428
2019-10-01 0.505 0.497978
2019-06-27 0.520 0.515822
2019-03-25 0.481 0.498446
2018-12-24 0.514 0.631915
2018-09-28 0.481 0.478655
2018-06-28 0.458 0.490995
2018-03-22 0.372 0.410098
2017-12-26 0.461 0.501741
2017-09-27 0.473 0.550897
2017-06-23 0.403 0.483213
2017-03-29 0.338 0.419251
2016-12-20 0.471 0.609314
2016-09-20 0.422 0.578955
2016-06-21 0.368 0.518091
2016-03-21 0.369 0.528653
2015-12-17 0.427 0.612274
2015-09-21 0.371 0.555223
2015-06-22 0.357 0.493913
2015-03-23 0.314 0.438241
2014-09-22 0.315 0.461538
2014-06-23 0.306 0.456512
2014-03-24 0.276 0.435881
2013-12-20 0.359 0.577635
2013-09-23 0.296 0.509466
2013-06-24 0.285 0.529740
2013-03-22 0.236 0.444026
2012-12-20 0.377 0.763622
2012-09-24 0.292 0.582834
2012-06-25 0.223 0.494019
2012-03-26 0.213 0.438904
2011-12-21 0.277 0.652072
2011-09-23 0.215 0.553126
2011-06-24 0.216 0.500232
2011-03-25 0.182 0.407615
2010-12-22 0.228 0.531097
2010-09-24 0.220 0.560652
2010-06-24 0.191 0.520578
2010-03-25 0.160 0.399301
2009-12-22 0.285 0.739108
2009-09-24 0.175 0.481166
2009-06-24 0.165 0.525478
2009-03-25 0.208 0.732911
2008-12-22 0.206 0.679644
2008-09-24 0.155 0.378141
2008-06-24 0.171 0.380846
2008-03-25 0.121 0.261961
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.92

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 280.1
All Time Low 23.52
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 400
Average Daily Volume10 Day 98,970
Average Daily Volume3 Month 111,883
Average Volume 111,883
Average Volume10Days 98,970
Beta3 Year 1.03
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 2,300
Category Large Blend
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 275.945
Day Low 274.025
Dividend Yield 0.92
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 9.893796
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 272.043
Fifty Day Average Change 2.2269897
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.008186168
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 21.837307
Fifty Two Week High 280.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.830017
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.020814056
Fifty Two Week Low 225.44
Fifty Two Week Low Change 48.829987
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.21659859
Fifty Two Week Range 225.44 - 280.1
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,198,765,800,000
Five Year Average Return 0.1353115
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Vanguard
Fund Inception Date 1,203,638,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index. The index is a float-adjusted, market-capitalization-weighted index designed to measure equity market performance of mega-capitalization stocks in the U.S. The Advisor attempts to replicate the target index by investing all, or substantially all, of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, holding each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index.
Long Name Vanguard Mega Cap Index Fund
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_39636518
Nav Price 276.86
Net Assets 10,574,559,200.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.05
Open 275.63
Pre Market Change 2.5092163
Pre Market Change Percent 0.9148709
Pre Market Price 276.7792
Pre Market Time 1,784,027,316
Previous Close 276.79
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.52002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.910445
Regular Market Day High 275.945
Regular Market Day Low 274.025
Regular Market Day Range 274.025 - 275.945
Regular Market Open 275.63
Regular Market Previous Close 276.79
Regular Market Price 274.27
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 92,369
Short Name Vanguard Mega Cap ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol MGC
Three Year Average Return 0.2146938
Total Assets 10,574,559,232
Tradeable 0
Trailing P E 27.72141
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 16.0645
Trailing Three Month Returns 16.0645
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 254.48895
Two Hundred Day Average Change 19.781036
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.077728465
Type Disp ETF
Volume 92,369
Yield 0.0092
Ytd Return 9.60112