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Manulife Financial Corporation (MFC)

Financial Services | Insurance - Life | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
41.29 USD
After hours: 40.99 -0.30 (-0.300%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 5:28 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:20 a.m. EDT

Manulife presents a compelling case for both immediate and long-term capital allocation, driven by a confluence of aggressive earnings growth and a resilient balance sheet. Fundamentally, the company is executing exceptionally well, with earnings growth accelerating to 161% and revenue expanding by 12%. This operational strength is reflected in the valuation metrics, which show a forward P/E of roughly 12x—a significant discount compared to the trailing 17x—suggesting the market is pricing in a potential inflection point. The multi-year price trajectory confirms this recovery story, with the stock up 133% over the last nine years and currently trading above its 200-day moving average, indicating sustained institutional confidence. The short-term outlook is particularly favorable. The stock has been climbing steadily, recently testing highs near 41.50, and the options market reinforces this bullish sentiment with heavy call positioning and minimal put hedging. While the statistical forecasting model offers only a moderate signal, it aligns with the broader technical and fundamental picture rather than contradicting it. The dividend yield of 3.2% provides a solid floor, supported by a healthy payout ratio of just over 50%, ensuring sustainability even if growth moderates. The primary risk lies in the macro environment affecting insurance sales, but the internal momentum and valuation gap suggest the stock is poised for further upside as the market re-rates its quality.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.023848
MSTL0.024248
AutoARIMA0.025900
AutoETS0.025900

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 55%
H-stat 0.32
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.361
Excess Kurtosis -0.97
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-28
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-28
Debt to Equity Ratio 44.278
Revenue per Share 18.938
Market Cap 68,775,698,432
Trailing P/E 16.92
Forward P/E 11.91
Beta 0.78
Profit Margins 20.04%
Website https://www.manulife.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:20 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upward move over the next few months. Call open interest is heavily concentrated at the money and slightly out-of-the-money strikes (40 and 41), while put activity is sparse and skewed toward deep out-of-the-money levels. This asymmetry suggests a bullish bias where traders are betting on continued appreciation rather than protection against a crash.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.92% 1.92% 3.75% 4.44%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-29 0.3520 0.921707
2026-02-25 0.3540 1.000000
2025-05-21 0.3160 1.026974
2025-03-05 0.3060 1.021362
2024-11-20 0.2870 0.892136
2024-08-21 0.2940 1.126869
2024-05-21 0.2940 1.114903
2024-02-27 0.2960 1.228216
2023-11-21 0.2660 1.394130
2023-08-22 0.2700 1.536710
2023-05-23 0.2700 1.427061
2023-02-27 0.2680 1.368744
2022-11-21 0.2470 1.428571
2022-08-22 0.2540 1.431793
2022-05-24 0.2590 1.475784
2022-02-22 0.2590 1.259115
2021-11-30 0.2590 1.442897
2021-08-16 0.2240 1.118322
2021-05-17 0.2310 1.086037
2021-02-22 0.2220 1.136713
2020-11-20 0.2140 1.301703
2020-08-14 0.2120 1.407702
2020-05-15 0.1990 1.750220
2020-02-24 0.2120 1.179088
2019-11-18 0.1890 0.962322
2019-08-19 0.1880 1.132530
2019-05-13 0.1860 1.082654
2019-02-26 0.1900 1.111111
2018-11-19 0.1900 1.150818
2018-08-20 0.1680 0.905172
2018-05-14 0.1720 0.887971
2018-02-20 0.1750 0.896976
2017-11-20 0.1610 0.770335
2017-08-18 0.1620 0.832049
2017-05-12 0.1500 0.871586
2017-02-17 0.1570 0.828496
2016-11-18 0.1370 0.806357
2016-08-12 0.1420 1.082317
2016-05-13 0.1440 1.041215
2016-02-22 0.1340 1.043614
2015-11-20 0.1280 0.780012
2015-08-14 0.1300 0.755375
2015-05-18 0.1420 0.758547
2015-02-23 0.1240 0.718424
2014-11-21 0.1370 0.702564
2014-08-15 0.1420 0.718987
2014-05-09 0.1200 0.644122
2014-02-24 0.1170 0.610966
2013-11-15 0.1240 0.663102
2013-08-16 0.1260 0.737705
2013-05-10 0.1290 0.838207
2013-02-15 0.1310 0.848995
2012-11-16 0.1300 1.093356
2012-08-17 0.1320 1.152838
2012-05-11 0.1300 1.056052
2012-02-17 0.1300 1.025237
2011-11-10 0.1280 1.083827
2011-08-19 0.1320 1.045131
2011-05-13 0.1340 0.753232
2011-02-18 0.1320 0.688217
2010-11-12 0.1300 0.882553
2010-08-13 0.1250 1.025431
2010-05-14 0.1260 0.713881
2010-02-22 0.1230 0.657754
2009-11-13 0.1240 0.648536
2009-08-14 0.1200 0.590842
2009-05-18 0.2210 1.132172
2009-02-23 0.2060 2.062062
2008-11-14 0.2180 1.162047
2008-08-15 0.2450 0.692482
2008-05-19 0.2380 0.623200
2008-02-25 0.2380 0.613560
2007-11-15 0.2550 0.626536
2007-08-16 0.2090 0.594425
2007-05-11 0.1990 0.561988
2007-02-22 0.1720 0.498262
2006-11-13 0.1760 0.529323
2006-08-14 0.1560 0.495081
2006-05-12 0.1560 0.480370
2006-02-16 0.1515 0.478673
2005-11-10 0.1265 0.451947
2005-08-12 0.1500 0.589391
2005-05-13 0.1500 0.666075
2005-02-17 0.1300 0.551900
2004-11-12 0.1300 0.570801
2004-08-12 0.1300 0.648703
2004-05-13 0.1050 0.586592
2004-02-12 0.0790 0.432048
2003-11-13 0.1050 0.693756
2003-08-13 0.1050 0.688525
2003-05-13 0.0900 0.647482
2003-02-12 0.0900 0.776197
2002-11-13 0.0900 0.815217
2002-08-13 0.0700 0.600343
2002-05-13 0.0700 0.473934
2002-02-13 0.0700 0.518135
2001-11-13 0.0600 0.451128
2001-08-13 0.0600 0.407056
2001-05-11 0.0600 0.466382
2001-02-16 0.0600 0.459594
2000-11-16 0.0500 0.418848
2000-08-23 0.0500 0.522876
2000-05-31 0.0500 0.567376
2000-03-16 0.0125 0.194175
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.33
dividendYield 3.23
exDividendDate 2026-05-29
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.805
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.043715183
lastDividendValue 0.352
lastDividendDate 2026-05-29
dividendDate 2026-06-19

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.35465884
Address1 200 Bloor Street East
All Time High 46.61
All Time Low 5.125
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 2,300
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,295,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,122,291
Average Volume 2,122,291
Average Volume10Days 1,295,650
Beta 0.782
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 1,100
Board Risk 1
Book Value 20.686293
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 41.29
Current Ratio 30.143
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 41.51
Day Low 40.975
Debt To Equity 44.278
Display Name Manulife Financial
Dividend Date 1,781,827,200
Dividend Rate 1.33
Dividend Yield 3.23
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,017,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,017,600
Earnings Growth 1.616
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.142
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda 10,124,000,256
Ebitda Margins 0.31609
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.536
Enterprise To Revenue 2.066
Enterprise Value 66,170,490,880
Eps Current Year 4.44014
Eps Forward 3.4673703
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.44
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 416-926-3503
Fifty Day Average 39.5376
Fifty Day Average Change 1.7523994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04432235
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 35.465885
Fifty Two Week High 41.74
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.45000076
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.010781043
Fifty Two Week Low 29.7
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3902357
Fifty Two Week Range 29.7 - 41.74
Financial Currency CAD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 938,179,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.61
Float Shares 1,666,020,022
Forward Eps 3.4673703
Forward P E 11.90816
Free Cashflow 5,451,250,176
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 37,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.50317
Gross Profits 16,115,999,744
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00017000001
Held Percent Institutions 0.54423
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,665,674,480
Industry Insurance - Life
Industry Disp Insurance - Life
Industry Key insurance-life
Ir Website http://www.manulife.com/public/investor/index/0,,lang=en&navId=640000,00.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Last Dividend Value 0.352
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,149,465,600
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Manulife Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Wealth and Asset Management Businesses; Insurance and Annuity Products; and Corporate and Other segments. The Wealth and Asset Management Businesses segment offers investment advice and solutions to retirement, retail, and institutional clients through multiple distribution channels, including agents and brokers affiliated with the company, independent securities brokerage firms and financial advisors pension plan consultants, and banks. The Insurance and Annuity Products segment provides deposit and credit products; and individual life insurance, individual and group long-term care insurance, and guaranteed and partially guaranteed annuity products through multiple distribution channels, including insurance agents, brokers, banks, financial planners, and direct marketing. The Corporate and Other segment is involved in the property and casualty reinsurance businesses; and run-off reinsurance operations, including variable annuities, and accident and health. The company also manages timberland and agricultural portfolios; and engages in the insurance agency, broker dealer, investment counseling, portfolio and mutual fund management, property and casualty insurance, and fund and investment management businesses. In addition, it provides integrated banking products and services, as well as offers asset management services. The company was incorporated in 1887 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Manulife Financial Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 68,775,698,432
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_403699
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 5,912,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 68,503,546,418
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 41.33
Operating Cashflow 28,771,000,320
Operating Margins 0.19048999
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.5202
Peg Ratio 0.78
Phone 416-926-3000
Post Market Change -0.29999924
Post Market Change Percent -0.7265663
Post Market Price 40.99
Post Market Time 1,783,978,116
Previous Close 41.29
Price Eps Current Year 9.299257
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9960078
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.1472945
Profit Margins 0.20038
Quick Ratio 8.905
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.06667
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0
Regular Market Day High 41.51
Regular Market Day Low 40.975
Regular Market Day Range 40.975 - 41.51
Regular Market Open 41.33
Regular Market Previous Close 41.29
Regular Market Price 41.29
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,011,840
Return On Assets 0.00588
Return On Equity 0.12564
Revenue Growth 0.121
Revenue Per Share 18.938
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 1,665,674,480
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0036000002
Shares Short 12,989,766
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 24,904,565
Short Name Manulife Financial Corporation
Short Ratio 2.99
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol MFC
Target High Price 48.026375
Target Low Price 36.840652
Target Mean Price 42.433514
Target Median Price 42.433514
Total Cash 30,281,000,960
Total Cash Per Share 18.144
Total Debt 23,491,999,744
Total Revenue 32,028,999,680
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.805
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.043715183
Trailing Eps 2.44
Trailing P E 16.92213
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.7785
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 36.2055
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.0844994
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.14043444
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,011,840
Website https://www.manulife.com
Zip M4W 1E5