Medpace Holdings, Inc. (MEDP)Healthcare | Diagnostics & Research | Cincinnati, United States | NasdaqGS
515.00 USD
-13.44
(-2.543%) ⇩
(April 21, 2026, 1:43 p.m.
EDT)
Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, midnight EDT
Medpace is showing classic 'Buy the Dip' frustration signals. The deep put volume at 280-300 strikes coupled with lawsuits and analyst downgrades creates a heavy overhang, yet the stock has rallied ~15% from lows and sits above its 50-day MA, with trading volume nearly double the average. The algorithm predicts a -0.76% drift but the downside gap is too wide to be a 'avoid' scenario, making it a solid 4-star dogecoin play for the dip. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.203622 |
| MSTL | 0.221400 |
| AutoETS | 0.223168 |
| AutoTheta | 0.230624 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 80% |
| H-stat | 0.65 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.152 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.29 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 29.811 |
| Revenue per Share | 87.715 |
| Market Cap | 14,707,390,464 |
| Trailing P/E | 33.73 |
| Forward P/E | 26.77 |
| Beta | 1.39 |
| Profit Margins | 17.83% |
| Website | https://www.medpace.com |
As of April 19, 2026, midnight EDT: Options activity reveals a significant divergence between expirations. The April 17 expiration shows massive put volume at strikes 420-430 (nearly 50% OTM real dollars) combined with minimal call volume above ATM, suggesting a fear of an earnings crash below $450. Long-dated data (June, Dec) and the algorithmic volume spike at June 18 puts at deep strikes (280-300) indicate institutional hedging against a longer-term downside, specifically around $300. However, deep OTM calls (600-700) show significant Open Interest (OI) walls, and the algorithm flagged high volume at June 18 puts at 280-300, while calls are showing strong OI at higher strikes. Overall, speculators are heavily betting on downside short-term (earnings crash) but have placed large OTM covers at deeper strikes, while acknowledging upside potential.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.87204194 |
| Address1 | 5,375 Medpace Way |
| All Time High | 628.916 |
| All Time Low | 21.76 |
| Ask | 521.99 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.6 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 379,420 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 369,737 |
| Average Volume | 369,737 |
| Average Volume10Days | 379,420 |
| Beta | 1.391 |
| Bid | 527.46 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 16.181 |
| City | Cincinnati |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 515.0 |
| Current Ratio | 0.736 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 530.07 |
| Day Low | 511.7501 |
| Debt To Equity | 29.811 |
| Display Name | Medpace |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,776,949,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,776,949,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.269 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.155 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,776,888,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,776,888,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,776,888,000 |
| Ebitda | 563,059,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.22253 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 25.997 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 5.785 |
| Enterprise Value | 14,637,607,936 |
| Eps Current Year | 17.35012 |
| Eps Forward | 19.24107 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 15.27 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 513 579 0444 |
| Fifty Day Average | 471.2668 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 43.733185 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0927992 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 87.20419 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 628.916 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -113.916016 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.18113072 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 250.05 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 264.95 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.0595881 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 250.05 - 628.916 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,470,922,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 22,862,826 |
| Forward Eps | 19.24107 |
| Forward P E | 26.765663 |
| Free Cashflow | 472,381,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 6,200 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.71065 |
| Gross Profits | 1,798,105,984 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.19389 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.86463 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 28,558,039 |
| Industry | Diagnostics & Research |
| Industry Disp | Diagnostics & Research |
| Industry Key | diagnostics-research |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Medpace Holdings, Inc. provides clinical research-based drug and medical device development services in North America, Europe, Asia, South America, Africa, and Australia. The company offers a suite of services supporting the clinical development process from Phase I to Phase IV in various therapeutic areas. It provides clinical development services to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries; and development plan design, coordinated central laboratory, project management, regulatory affairs, clinical monitoring, data management and analysis, pharmacovigilance new drug application submissions, and post-marketing clinical support services. In addition, the company offers bio-analytical laboratory services, clinical human pharmacology, imaging services, and electrocardiography reading support for clinical trials. Medpace Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is based in Cincinnati, Ohio. |
| Long Name | Medpace Holdings, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 14,707,390,464 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_260345878 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 451,123,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 15,091,210,129 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 12 |
| Open | 528.3 |
| Operating Cashflow | 713,222,976 |
| Operating Margins | 0.21634 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 3.14 |
| Phone | 513 579 9911 |
| Previous Close | 528.44 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 29.68279 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 31.827452 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 5.8126597 |
| Profit Margins | 0.17829001 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.687 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.61538 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -13.440002 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.5433354 |
| Regular Market Day High | 530.07 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 511.7501 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 511.7501 - 530.07 |
| Regular Market Open | 528.3 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 528.44 |
| Regular Market Price | 515.0 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,793,426 |
| Regular Market Volume | 175,513 |
| Return On Assets | 0.16404 |
| Return On Equity | 0.70235 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.32 |
| Revenue Per Share | 87.715 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.34445214 |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Sector Disp | Healthcare |
| Sector Key | healthcare |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 28,558,039 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0427 |
| Shares Short | 1,219,606 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,283,246 |
| Short Name | Medpace Holdings, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.053000003 |
| Short Ratio | 3.93 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | OH |
| Symbol | MEDP |
| Target High Price | 600.0 |
| Target Low Price | 329.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 500.08334 |
| Target Median Price | 510.0 |
| Total Cash | 497,048,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 17.513 |
| Total Debt | 136,852,000 |
| Total Revenue | 2,530,234,112 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 15.27 |
| Trailing P E | 33.72626 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 3.1915 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 507.3525 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 7.6474915 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.015073329 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 175,513 |
| Website | https://www.medpace.com |
| Zip | 45,227 |