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Modiv Industrial, Inc. (MDV)

Real Estate | REIT - Industrial | Denver, United States | NYSE
17.53 USD -0.12 (-0.680%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 17.25 -0.28 (-0.280%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:33 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is neutral due to conflicting signals: while the stock recently rallied off its lows, the statistical forecasting model indicates a flat expected move over the next 45 days with very low confidence, suggesting the recent price action may be noise rather than a trend. Fundamentally, the business is struggling with a negative trailing EPS and shrinking revenue, which caps the long-term potential despite the attractive headline yield. However, the yield itself is misleading; the payout ratio of nearly 460% indicates the company is distributing far more cash than it earns, relying on balance sheet depletion or non-cash accounting adjustments to fund dividends. While insiders have been buying recently, providing some support, the core economics of a REIT generating minimal profit while paying out massive dividends suggest the current price is propped up by desperation rather than sustainable value creation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.096376
AutoETS0.096377
AutoTheta0.097443
MSTL0.098855

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 1.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 4.38
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 138.295
Revenue per Share 4.596
Market Cap 208,904,976
Forward P/E 134.85
Beta -0.08
Profit Margins 0.32%
Previous Name Modiv Inc.
Website https://www.modiv.com

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.57% 7.76% 7.67%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.100000 0.574713
2026-05-29 0.100000 0.550661
2026-04-30 0.100000 0.626174
2026-03-31 0.100000 0.698324
2026-02-27 0.100000 0.644745
2026-01-30 0.100000 0.652742
2025-12-31 0.098000 0.681028
2025-11-28 0.098000 0.657718
2025-10-31 0.098000 0.679612
2025-09-30 0.098000 0.669399
2025-08-29 0.098000 0.646012
2025-07-31 0.098000 0.682927
2025-06-30 0.098000 0.696023
2025-05-30 0.098000 0.682927
2025-04-30 0.098000 0.598291
2025-03-31 0.098000 0.610592
2025-02-28 0.098000 0.644313
2025-01-31 0.098000 0.669399
2024-12-31 0.096000 0.645161
2024-11-29 0.096000 0.599251
2024-10-31 0.096000 0.567376
2024-09-30 0.096000 0.571429
2024-08-30 0.096000 0.576923
2024-07-31 0.096000 0.645161
2024-06-28 0.096000 0.678925
2024-05-31 0.096000 0.632828
2024-04-29 0.096000 0.643001
2024-03-27 0.096000 0.558140
2024-02-28 0.096000 0.646030
2024-01-30 0.096000 0.635762
2023-12-28 0.088643 0.655740
2023-11-29 0.088643 0.616969
2023-10-30 0.088643 0.625002
2023-09-28 0.088643 0.562722
2023-08-30 0.088643 0.750003
2023-07-28 0.088643 0.746504
2023-06-29 0.088643 0.666669
2023-05-30 0.088643 0.685227
2023-04-27 0.088643 0.879930
2023-03-30 0.088643 0.915161
2023-02-27 0.088643 0.790777
2023-01-30 0.088643 0.780491
2022-12-29 0.088643 0.796023
2022-11-29 0.088643 0.724531
2022-10-28 0.088643 0.888892
2022-09-29 0.088643 0.641714
2022-08-30 0.088643 0.637749
2022-07-28 0.088643 0.648651
2022-06-29 0.088643 0.545612
2022-05-27 0.088643 0.513646
2022-04-28 0.088643 0.514471
2022-03-30 0.088643 0.484361
2022-02-25 0.088643 0.570073
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.2
dividendYield 6.8
exDividendDate 2026-07-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.178
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.06674221
lastDividendValue 0.1
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-08-10

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.19337392
Address1 1,500 North Grant Street
Address2 #5609
All Time High 83.09326
All Time Low 8.8735
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 90,960
Average Daily Volume3 Month 80,598
Average Volume 80,598
Average Volume10Days 90,960
Beta -0.078
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 5
Book Value 15.431
City Denver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.53
Current Ratio 8.717
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 17.92
Day Low 17.53
Debt To Equity 138.295
Display Name Modiv Industrial
Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Dividend Rate 1.2
Dividend Yield 6.8
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,774,470,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,774,470,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Ebitda 34,274,000
Ebitda Margins 0.72902
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.182
Enterprise To Revenue 10.339
Enterprise Value 486,076,928
Eps Forward 0.13
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.41
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,785,456,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 17.855
Fifty Day Average Change -0.32499886
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.01820212
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 19.33739
Fifty Two Week High 18.83
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.2999992
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06903873
Fifty Two Week Low 13.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.7300005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.2702899
Fifty Two Week Range 13.8 - 18.83
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,644,589,800,000
Float Shares 9,455,346
Forward Eps 0.13
Forward P E 134.84616
Free Cashflow 28,453,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 9
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.92515
Gross Profits 43,495,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08411
Held Percent Institutions 0.27186
Implied Shares Outstanding 11,916,998
Industry REIT - Industrial
Industry Disp REIT - Industrial
Industry Key reit-industrial
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.1
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,705,363,200
Last Split Factor 1,083:1000
Long Business Summary Modiv Industrial, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that is focused on single-tenant net-lease industrial manufacturing real estate. The Company actively acquires critical industrial manufacturing properties with long-term leases to tenants that fuel the national economy and strengthen the nation's supply chains. Modiv Industrial, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Denver, United States.
Long Name Modiv Industrial, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 208,904,976
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_306874055
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -4,111,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 182,212,775
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 17.58
Operating Cashflow 16,021,000
Operating Margins 0.40942
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 4.5998
Phone 888 686 6348
Post Market Change -0.2800007
Post Market Change Percent -1.5972657
Post Market Price 17.25
Post Market Time 1,783,987,200
Prev Name Modiv Inc.
Previous Close 17.65
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.136025
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.4434633
Profit Margins 0.0032300001
Quick Ratio 6.325
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.119999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.679881
Regular Market Day High 17.92
Regular Market Day Low 17.53
Regular Market Day Range 17.53 - 17.92
Regular Market Open 17.58
Regular Market Previous Close 17.65
Regular Market Price 17.53
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 68,398
Return On Assets 0.025409998
Return On Equity -0.0027700001
Revenue Growth -0.011
Revenue Per Share 4.596
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 10,323,670
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0163
Shares Short 168,037
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 94,777
Short Name Modiv Industrial, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0168
Short Ratio 2.44
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol MDV
Target High Price 19.0
Target Low Price 18.0
Target Mean Price 18.66667
Target Median Price 19.0
Total Cash 6,720,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.651
Total Debt 273,422,016
Total Revenue 47,014,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.178
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.06674221
Trailing Eps -0.41
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.56865
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9613504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.12598076
Type Disp Equity
Volume 68,398
Website https://www.modiv.com
Zip 80,203