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Medline Inc. (MDLN)

Healthcare | Medical Instruments & Supplies | Northfield, United States | NasdaqGS
35.28 USD +0.63 (1.818%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 35.03 -0.25 (-0.247%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT

Medline presents a classic value trap scenario where the market has priced out the business entirely despite a technically 'Buy' recommendation. The company is trading at a forward P/E of roughly 22x, which seems reasonable on paper, but the reality is starkly different: earnings growth is collapsing at -82%, and the stock has erased nearly 34% of its value over the last year, trading near its 52-week low. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying debt significantly higher than its cash reserves, and the recent issuance of new shares by selling shareholders dilutes existing owners while the stock is at a depressed price. The most damning signal is the complete absence of a dividend; investors seeking income are getting nothing, and the lack of a payout history suggests the company is not prioritizing shareholder returns. Fundamentally, the business is deteriorating rapidly with negative earnings growth and a shrinking return on equity. Technically, the stock is trapped between heavy resistance at the 50-day average and a floor that keeps getting tested. Options activity confirms this bearish sentiment. Traders are aggressively buying puts and selling calls, betting on a continuation of the downtrend rather than a bounce. The statistical forecast model offers no help, showing zero directional bias with low confidence, which aligns with the chaotic price action seen in the recent 14-day history. There is no catalyst here to justify a long-term hold or a short-term trade; the thesis is simply broken.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.064033
AutoARIMA0.069307
AutoETS0.069307
MSTL0.070504

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 0.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.269
Excess Kurtosis -1.17
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 66.258
Revenue per Share 34.138
Market Cap 47,466,881,024
Trailing P/E 44.10
Forward P/E 22.42
Profit Margins 2.31%
Website https://www.medline.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 30, 27.5, 25) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some call activity at strikes 40 and 55, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying, suggesting a strong expectation of a continued decline or a significant drop below current levels. Implied volatility is elevated on the downside strikes, indicating fear of further losses.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.15487802
Address1 3 Lakes Drive
All Time High 50.876
All Time Low 32.485
Ask 35.37
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,136,470
Average Daily Volume3 Month 8,315,085
Average Volume 8,315,085
Average Volume10Days 6,136,470
Bid 32.57
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 6
Book Value 13.195
City Northfield
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 35.28
Current Ratio 4.333
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 35.77
Day Low 34.6
Debt To Equity 66.258
Display Name Medline
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,936,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,936,600
Earnings Growth 2.62
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.82
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 2,518,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.0841
Enterprise To Ebitda 19.221
Enterprise To Revenue 1.617
Enterprise Value 48,397,950,976
Eps Current Year 1.52021
Eps Forward 1.57347
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.8
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 37.8137
Fifty Day Average Change -2.5337029
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06700489
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -15.4878025
Fifty Two Week High 50.876
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.596001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.30654928
Fifty Two Week Low 32.485
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.7949982
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.086039655
Fifty Two Week Range 32.485 - 50.876
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,765,981,800,000
Float Shares 341,000,098
Forward Eps 1.57347
Forward P E 22.42178
Free Cashflow 850,625,024
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 45,000
Fullday Change 0.629997
Fullday Change Percent 1.81817
Fullday Price 35.0326
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.25094
Gross Profits 7,512,999,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0025799999
Held Percent Institutions 1.15395
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,345,433,195
Industry Medical Instruments & Supplies
Industry Disp Medical Instruments & Supplies
Industry Key medical-instruments-supplies
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-12-17
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Medline Inc. manufactures med-surg products serving the hospital, surgery centers, physician offices, post-acute facilities, and nursing home sites of care in the United States and Internationally. It operates through two segments: Medline Brand and Supply Chain Solutions. The Medline Brand segment procures and manufactures products from three product categories include surgical solutions, front line care, and laboratory and diagnostics. Its front line care offers med-surg products for patient-facing needs, including wound care products, exam gloves, skin care and incontinence products, environment cleaning supplies, textiles, hand sanitizer, durable medical equipment, patient plastics, and decolonization and infection control products. Its surgical solutions provide operating room and perioperative environment product solutions, including surgical procedure trays, drapes and gowns, personal protective equipment, sterile wraps, surgical instruments, surgeon's gloves, procedure kits, and orthopedic implants. Its laboratory and diagnostics offer laboratory and diagnostic product solutions, including point of care testing, analyzers and instrumentation, lab and diagnostic consumables, diagnostic instruments, vital signs monitors, and anatomic pathology and phlebotomy products. It provides its products to domestic and international consumers. The Supply Chain Solutions segment procures and distributes a variety of third-party products from national brands. It provides logistics and supply chain optimization services to domestic and international consumers. It also provides supply chain optimization services, such as consulting engagements, outsourced warehouse and technology management, put-away-ready packaging, third-party logistics, inventory rationalization, and route planning. The company was founded in 1966 and is based in Northfield, Illinois.
Long Name Medline Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 47,466,881,024
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1967303892
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,518,400
Net Income To Common 701,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 30,400,219,703
Number Of Analyst Opinions 26
Open 34.64
Operating Cashflow 1,992,000,000
Operating Margins 0.0082
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 847 949 5500
Post Market Change -0.24739838
Post Market Change Percent -0.70124257
Post Market Price 35.0326
Post Market Time 1,787,961,259
Previous Close 34.65
Price Eps Current Year 23.20732
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.67374
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.5854532
Profit Margins 0.02315
Quick Ratio 2.45
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.55556
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.629997
Regular Market Change Percent 1.81817
Regular Market Day High 35.77
Regular Market Day Low 34.6
Regular Market Day Range 34.6 - 35.77
Regular Market Open 34.64
Regular Market Previous Close 34.65
Regular Market Price 35.28
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 5,713,037
Return On Assets 0.02464
Return On Equity 0.04935
Revenue Growth 0.116
Revenue Per Share 34.138
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 877,351,218
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.041199997
Shares Short 36,169,194
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 29,452,298
Short Name Medline Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0859
Short Ratio 5.09
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol MDLN
Target High Price 55.0
Target Low Price 34.0
Target Mean Price 44.61538
Target Median Price 45.0
Total Cash 2,700,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.077
Total Debt 12,640,000,000
Total Revenue 29,938,999,296
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.8
Trailing P E 44.1
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 41.209915
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.9299164
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.14389537
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,713,037
Website https://www.medline.com
Zip 60,093