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MDA Space Ltd. (MDA)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Brampton, Canada | NYSE
31.47 USD -2.53 (-7.441%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:38 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is mixed due to conflicting signals. On one hand, the company boasts a 'strong buy' analyst consensus with a mean target of $43.81, implying significant upside potential driven by the Blue Canyon acquisition and contract wins. However, the price action over the last two weeks has been volatile and bearish, closing lower despite the news, which suggests the market is skeptical of the immediate execution or valuation. The options data confirms this skepticism: traders are aggressively buying puts to cap losses, creating a heavy overhang that makes a short-term pop difficult without a catalyst to break the selling pressure. Consequently, while the long-term thesis appears intact given the strategic moves, the short-term path is fraught with volatility and resistance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.232489
AutoTheta0.235226
AutoETS0.235240
AutoARIMA0.244566

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 1.05
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.330
Excess Kurtosis 1.07
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Revenue per Share 58.139
Market Cap 4,371,785,216
Trailing P/E 60.52
Forward P/E 26.79
Profit Margins 2.24%
Previous Name MDA Ltd.
Website https://mda.space

As of July 11, 2026, 2:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (over 1,100 contracts at the $40 strike) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some speculative call buying at the $40 strike, the overwhelming sentiment is hedging against a drop, suggesting a 'sell on strength' dynamic rather than a momentum breakout.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.10389614
Address1 7,500 Financial Drive
All Time High 49.37
All Time Low 23.23
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,095,710
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,274,267
Average Volume 1,274,267
Average Volume10Days 2,095,710
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 600
Board Risk 7
Book Value 7.7147512
City Brampton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 31.47
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 33.665
Day Low 31.41
Display Name MDA Space
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Earnings Growth 0.014
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.02
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda 150,400,000
Ebitda Margins 0.07166
Eps Current Year 1.49735
Eps Forward 1.1748232
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.52
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 38.3842
Fifty Day Average Change -6.9142017
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.18013145
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 10.389614
Fifty Two Week High 49.37
Fifty Two Week High Change -17.9
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.36256835
Fifty Two Week Low 23.23
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.24
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.35471374
Fifty Two Week Range 23.23 - 49.37
Financial Currency CAD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,773,322,200,000
Forward Eps 1.1748232
Forward P E 26.78701
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 2,098,800,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08849
Held Percent Institutions 0.71956
Implied Shares Outstanding 138,919,141
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,419,984,000
Long Business Summary MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers satellite communications solutions, such as space-based broadband Internet, direct-to-device satellite communication, and IoT connectivity; MDA AURORA, a software-defined digital satellite product line; and autonomous robotics systems and services used to operate in space and on the surfaces of the Moon and Mars. The company also provides robotic systems, robotic interfaces, tooling, robotic ground control stations, and operations services; electro-optic and light detection and ranging sensors, vision and targeting systems, guidance, navigation, and control subsystems and planetary rover locomotion subsystems; MDA SKYMAKER, a suite of scalable and modular space robotics; and Canadarm3, a robotics system. In addition, it offers satellite-generated imagery and data to deliver critical and value-added insights for end users, such as national security, climate change monitoring, and maritime surveillance; collection, processing, and dissemination of Earth imagery data from space; defense command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions, including command and control systems and airborne surveillance solutions; aeronautical navigation information solutions; and long endurance uncrewed aerial vehicle surveillance services. Further, operates as an owner and operator of the RADARSAT-2 Earth observation satellite; and is involved in the operation of MDA CHORUS, an Earth observation mission. It serves governments and space agencies, commercial space companies, and defense and aerospace prime contractors in the space industry. The company was formerly known as MDA Ltd. and changed its name to MDA Space Ltd. in May 2024. MDA Space Ltd. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Brampton, Canada.
Long Name MDA Space Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,371,785,216
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_708681388
Most Recent Quarter 1,498,780,800
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 47,100,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,451,520,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,371,985,080
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 33.73
Operating Margins 0.1223
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 905 790 2800
Pre Market Change -0.24199867
Pre Market Change Percent -0.7689821
Pre Market Price 31.228
Pre Market Time 1,784,023,339
Prev Name MDA Ltd.
Previous Close 34.0
Price Eps Current Year 21.01713
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.0791984
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.0829928
Profit Margins 0.02244
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.53
Regular Market Change Percent -7.44118
Regular Market Day High 33.665
Regular Market Day Low 31.41
Regular Market Day Range 31.41 - 33.665
Regular Market Open 33.73
Regular Market Previous Close 34.0
Regular Market Price 31.47
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 3,224,746
Revenue Growth 0.002
Revenue Per Share 58.139
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 138,919,141
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0099
Shares Short 1,778,962
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,157,311
Short Name MDA Space Ltd.
Short Ratio 0.91
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol MDA
Target High Price 51.229816
Target Low Price 38.824562
Target Mean Price 43.939297
Target Median Price 41.763508
Total Revenue 2,098,800,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.52
Trailing P E 60.51923
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 35.32217
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.852171
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.109058164
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,224,746
Website https://mda.space
Zip L6Y 6K7