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MDA Space Ltd. (MDA)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Brampton, Canada | NYSE
28.88 USD -1.48 (-4.875%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 29.10 +0.22 (0.762%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:45 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:15 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish, driven by a confluence of deteriorating technicals and a complete absence of shareholder returns. The stock has failed to break out of its trading range, trading below both its 50-day and 200-day averages, which signals persistent selling pressure. This weakness is compounded by a massive disconnect between the forward P/E of roughly 20x and the trailing P/E of over 55x, indicating that the market has already priced in a significant earnings contraction. Compounding the distress is the fact that the company has paid zero dividends over the last five years, offering no income buffer to offset the capital loss. While analysts maintain a 'strong buy' rating based on potential future recovery, the current price action and lack of fundamental support suggest the market is still in the process of re-rating the business downward. The short-term setup favors caution or defensive positioning rather than aggressive entry.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.225608
AutoETS0.225617
MSTL0.227404
AutoTheta0.331597

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 7.59
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.139
Excess Kurtosis -1.32
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Revenue per Share 58.139
Market Cap 4,680,391,168
Trailing P/E 53.48
Forward P/E 18.49
Profit Margins 2.24%
Previous Name MDA Ltd.
Website https://mda.space

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a continued downtrend, evidenced by heavy put open interest at strikes significantly below the current price (20, 25, 30) and a distinct lack of protective puts at higher strikes. While there is some call volume at upside targets (40, 45, 50), the open interest concentration remains heavily skewed toward downside protection, suggesting a 'bearish hedge' strategy rather than a bullish breakout expectation.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.062337637
Address1 7,500 Financial Drive
All Time High 49.37
All Time Low 23.23
Ask 29.1
Ask Size 1,800
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,089,700
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,558,580
Average Volume 1,558,580
Average Volume10Days 1,089,700
Bid 28.7
Bid Size 1,500
Board Risk 7
Book Value 7.7147512
City Brampton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 28.88
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 30.5012
Day Low 28.76
Display Name MDA Space
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,105,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,105,800
Earnings Growth 0.014
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.02
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,573,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,573,000
Ebitda 150,400,000
Ebitda Margins 0.07166
Eps Current Year 1.32394
Eps Forward 1.5617512
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.54
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 33.8696
Fifty Day Average Change -4.989599
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.14731793
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -6.2337637
Fifty Two Week High 49.37
Fifty Two Week High Change -20.49
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.41502938
Fifty Two Week Low 23.23
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.6499996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.24321996
Fifty Two Week Range 23.23 - 49.37
Financial Currency CAD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,773,322,200,000
Forward Eps 1.5617512
Forward P E 18.492062
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,800
Fullday Change -1.48
Fullday Change Percent -4.87484
Fullday Price 29.1
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 2,098,800,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07582
Held Percent Institutions 0.58496
Implied Shares Outstanding 162,063,406
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,419,984,000
Long Business Summary MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers satellite communications solutions, such as space-based broadband Internet, direct-to-device satellite communication, and IoT connectivity; MDA AURORA, a software-defined digital satellite product line; and autonomous robotics systems and services used to operate in space and on the surfaces of the Moon and Mars. The company also provides robotic systems, robotic interfaces, tooling, robotic ground control stations, and operations services; electro-optic and light detection and ranging sensors, vision and targeting systems, guidance, navigation, and control subsystems and planetary rover locomotion subsystems; MDA SKYMAKER, a suite of scalable and modular space robotics; and Canadarm3, a robotics system. In addition, it offers satellite-generated imagery and data to deliver critical and value-added insights for end users, such as national security, climate change monitoring, and maritime surveillance; collection, processing, and dissemination of Earth imagery data from space; defense command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions, including command and control systems and airborne surveillance solutions; aeronautical navigation information solutions; and long endurance uncrewed aerial vehicle surveillance services. Further, operates as an owner and operator of the RADARSAT-2 Earth observation satellite; and is involved in the operation of MDA CHORUS, an Earth observation mission. It serves governments and space agencies, commercial space companies, and defense and aerospace prime contractors in the space industry. The company was formerly known as MDA Ltd. and changed its name to MDA Space Ltd. in May 2024. MDA Space Ltd. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Brampton, Canada.
Long Name MDA Space Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,680,391,168
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_708681388
Most Recent Quarter 1,498,780,800
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common 47,100,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,451,520,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,916,901,400
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 30.3
Operating Margins 0.1223
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 905 790 2800
Post Market Change 0.22000122
Post Market Change Percent 0.7617771
Post Market Price 29.1
Post Market Time 1,787,960,732
Prev Name MDA Ltd.
Previous Close 30.36
Price Eps Current Year 21.813677
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.7434776
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.230032
Profit Margins 0.02244
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.48
Regular Market Change Percent -4.87484
Regular Market Day High 30.5012
Regular Market Day Low 28.76
Regular Market Day Range 28.76 - 30.5012
Regular Market Open 30.3
Regular Market Previous Close 30.36
Regular Market Price 28.88
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 948,445
Revenue Growth 0.002
Revenue Per Share 58.139
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 162,063,406
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.012999999
Shares Short 2,519,116
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 2,669,290
Short Name MDA Space Ltd.
Short Ratio 1.47
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol MDA
Target High Price 49.96547
Target Low Price 41.107834
Target Mean Price 46.73237
Target Median Price 49.123806
Total Revenue 2,098,800,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.54
Trailing P E 53.48148
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 34.31466
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.43466
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15837722
Type Disp Equity
Volume 948,445
Website https://mda.space
Zip L6Y 6K7