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Mister Car Wash, Inc. (MCW)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto & Truck Dealerships | Tucson, United States | NasdaqGS
7.01 USD +0.01 (0.143%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 7.02 +0.01 (0.143%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4:22 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:04 a.m. EDT

A distressed turnaround play in near-surrender mode. The auto dealer industry is toxic, yet MCW has 198% earnings growth and a profitable private buyout looming which suppresses downside via immediacy of sale. Currently priced for the deal rather than business fundamentals; trading purely on momentum as the buyout terms land. Not a hold for the patient, but a speculative vehicle for the event. Avoid until post-deal lock-up clarity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.210176
AutoETS0.214257
AutoTheta0.214371
AutoARIMA0.217588

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 2.93
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.001
Excess Kurtosis 0.41
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 156.256
Revenue per Share 3.224
Market Cap 2,302,638,336
Trailing P/E 22.61
Forward P/E 12.91
Beta 1.37
Profit Margins 9.80%
Website https://www.mistercarwash.com

As of April 19, 2026, 1:04 a.m. EDT: Extreme short-term put volume dominance in the $8 strike (2026-08-21 exp), with 100 contracts open interest and 54 contracts of volume. This signifies large-scale 'insurance' positioning against downside risk. Meanwhile, long-dated calls show muted activity despite defined-OI pins at $7.5, suggesting traders are hedging an existing (likely private buyout) position rather than betting on significant upside. IV is compressed for long-dated strikes, confirming low volatility expectations post-buyout.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.02936852
Address1 222 E. 5th Street
All Time High 24.49
All Time Low 4.61
Ask 8.98
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,460,110
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,835,467
Average Volume 2,835,467
Average Volume10Days 1,460,110
Beta 1.372
Bid 5.04
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 3.451
City Tucson
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 7.01
Current Ratio 0.323
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 7.02
Day Low 7.01
Debt To Equity 156.256
Display Name Mister Car Wash
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,771,416,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,771,416,000
Earnings Growth 1.985
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.189
Earnings Timestamp 1,771,421,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,465,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,465,800
Ebitda 303,268,992
Ebitda Margins 0.28835
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.337
Enterprise To Revenue 3.846
Enterprise Value 4,044,586,240
Eps Current Year 0.47623
Eps Forward 0.54296
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.31
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.8434
Fifty Day Average Change 0.16660023
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.024344657
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 2.936852
Fifty Two Week High 7.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.9699998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12155386
Fifty Two Week Low 4.61
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.52060735
Fifty Two Week Range 4.61 - 7.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,624,627,800,000
Float Shares 85,046,515
Forward Eps 0.54296
Forward P E 12.910712
Free Cashflow -41,361,876
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 6,836
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.32491
Gross Profits 341,723,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.023120001
Held Percent Institutions 1.01807
Implied Shares Outstanding 328,479,065
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Industry Disp Auto & Truck Dealerships
Industry Key auto-truck-dealerships
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-01-02
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Mister Car Wash, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides conveyorized car wash services in the United States. It provides express exterior and interior cleaning services. The company serves individual retail and corporate customers. The company was formerly known as Hotshine Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Mister Car Wash, Inc. in March 2021. Mister Car Wash, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Tucson, Arizona.
Long Name Mister Car Wash, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,302,638,336
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_329363059
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 103,077,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,304,280,640
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 7.02
Operating Cashflow 285,704,000
Operating Margins 0.20115
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 520 615 4000
Post Market Change 0.009999752
Post Market Change Percent 0.14264981
Post Market Price 7.02
Post Market Time 1,776,457,350
Previous Close 7.0
Price Eps Current Year 14.719779
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.0312953
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.1893795
Profit Margins 0.098009996
Quick Ratio 0.241
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent 0.14286
Regular Market Day High 7.02
Regular Market Day Low 7.01
Regular Market Day Range 7.01 - 7.02
Regular Market Open 7.02
Regular Market Previous Close 7.0
Regular Market Price 7.01
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 1,036,608
Return On Assets 0.04284
Return On Equity 0.09672
Revenue Growth 0.04
Revenue Per Share 3.224
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 328,479,065
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.026600001
Shares Short 8,738,432
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 7,355,988
Short Name Mister Car Wash, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.08
Short Ratio 3.45
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol MCW
Target High Price 7.5
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 7.05556
Target Median Price 7.0
Total Cash 28,450,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.087
Total Debt 1,770,397,952
Total Revenue 1,051,731,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.31
Trailing P E 22.612904
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.91665
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.0933504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.18479215
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,036,608
Website https://www.mistercarwash.com
Zip 85,705