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iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI)

Greater China Region | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
55.23 USD +0.33 (0.601%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 55.66 +0.43 (0.779%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:33 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:10 a.m. EDT

The iShares MSCI China ETF presents a compelling asymmetric setup for investors willing to navigate volatility. Fundamentally, the security has recovered strongly from a multi-year slump, delivering a +31% cumulative gain over the last nine years and posting a robust +46% return in the most recent year. This rebound is supported by a reasonable valuation multiple of 12x earnings and a healthy dividend yield of nearly 2%, which provides a floor during choppy markets. However, the path forward is not linear; the statistical forecast indicates a flat trajectory over the next 45 days, and the options chain reveals a 'bull trap' scenario where traders are betting on a bounce to 65 while simultaneously hedging against a crash to 45. While the long-term thesis is solid given the recovery from structural declines, the immediate term looks like a range-bound grind. Investors should view this as a high-conviction entry for a medium-term swing trade rather than a passive buy-and-hold until the sky falls, keeping an eye on the 45 and 65 strike levels as critical support and resistance zones.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.037244
AutoARIMA0.037244
MSTL0.037566
AutoTheta0.043614

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 0.59
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.614
Excess Kurtosis -0.67
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 12.21

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:10 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound market rather than a decisive breakout. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (65.0 and 70.0), suggesting bets on a rally, while put volume concentrates significantly lower (30.0 to 45.0), indicating a hedge against a sharp drop. The massive open interest walls at 65.0 and 45.0 suggest these levels act as psychological barriers where significant profit-taking or buying pressure is expected.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.66% 1.89% 2.57% 2.30%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-15 0.361 0.657200
2025-12-16 0.735 1.231156
2025-06-16 0.536 0.974368
2024-12-17 0.891 1.886912
2024-06-11 0.191 0.441109
2023-12-20 0.994 2.530550
2023-06-07 0.429 0.952910
2022-12-13 0.712 1.482716
2022-06-09 0.312 0.585146
2021-12-13 0.477 0.741259
2021-06-10 0.177 0.216487
2020-12-14 0.604 0.769133
2020-06-15 0.237 0.373522
2019-12-16 0.574 0.919430
2019-06-17 0.356 0.635941
2018-12-18 0.525 0.979843
2018-06-19 0.315 0.464054
2017-12-19 0.846 1.299140
2017-06-20 0.192 0.353526
2016-12-21 0.421 0.970941
2016-06-22 0.303 0.727142
2015-12-21 0.631 1.397564
2015-06-25 0.601 1.037638
2014-12-17 0.450 0.929176
2014-06-25 0.728 1.587440
2013-12-18 0.219 0.455396
2013-06-27 0.925 2.277764
2012-12-18 0.093 0.196078
2012-06-21 0.829 2.091322
2011-12-20 0.095 0.236731
2011-06-22 0.954 1.991234
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendDate 2016-12-28
dividendYield 1.97

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 97.55
All Time Low 33.44
Ask 56.47
Ask Size 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,668,410
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,884,901
Average Volume 2,884,901
Average Volume10Days 1,668,410
Beta3 Year 0.53
Bid 56.3
Bid Size 3
Category Greater China Region
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 55.51
Day Low 55.03
Dividend Date 1,482,883,200
Dividend Yield 1.97
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.524264
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 53.8892
Fifty Day Average Change 1.3408012
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.024880705
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -10.93446
Fifty Two Week High 67.37
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.140003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.18019894
Fifty Two Week Low 49.88
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.3499985
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.10725739
Fifty Two Week Range 49.88 - 67.37
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,301,578,200,000
Five Year Average Return -0.022604499
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change 0.329998
Fullday Change Percent 0.601089
Fullday Price 55.66
Fund Family iShares
Fund Inception Date 1,301,356,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of equity securities in the top 85% in market capitalization of the Chinese equity securities markets, as represented by the H-shares and B-shares markets. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name iShares MSCI China ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_129248930
Nav Price 55.21191
Net Assets 6,275,552,300.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.59
Open 55.24
Phone 415-670-2000
Post Market Change 0.4300003
Post Market Change Percent 0.77856296
Post Market Price 55.66
Post Market Time 1,787,960,034
Previous Close 54.9
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.329998
Regular Market Change Percent 0.601089
Regular Market Day High 55.51
Regular Market Day Low 55.03
Regular Market Day Range 55.03 - 55.51
Regular Market Open 55.24
Regular Market Previous Close 54.9
Regular Market Price 55.23
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,892,507
Short Name iShares MSCI China ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol MCHI
Three Year Average Return 0.1064071
Total Assets 6,275,552,256
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 12.207511
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -2.71485
Trailing Three Month Returns -2.71485
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 57.9426
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.7126007
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.04681531
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,892,507
Yield 0.0197
Ytd Return -7.2246