| Indicators | Browse All

iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI)

Greater China Region | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
51.69 USD +0.25 (0.486%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 52.53 +0.84 (1.625%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4:31 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:48 a.m. EDT

The iShares MSCI China ETF presents a compelling asymmetric opportunity for investors willing to navigate political volatility. Fundamentally, the business case is robust: the asset has delivered a +23% cumulative return over the last nine years, with the most recent annual performance showing a healthy +17% gain. This breaks the cycle of multi-year stagnation that often plagues emerging markets, signaling that the worst of the structural headwinds may be priced in. While the trailing P/E of 11.4x is attractive, the real story is the momentum shift; the price has climbed from the $41 lows of 2022, validating the thesis that Chinese equities are entering a new growth phase. Technically, the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day averages, which creates a short-term headwind, but the recent price action shows resilience, bouncing off the $51 support zone. The dividend yield of 2.1% provides a necessary cushion, offering income that exceeds inflation while the underlying assets recover. Options activity confirms a bullish bias among retail and institutional traders. There is a distinct 'call wall' at $55 and $65, indicating strong expectations for a move toward these levels within the next few months. Conversely, the heavy put volume at deep strikes ($30-$45) acts as a safety net, preventing panic selling if geopolitical tensions flare up. This structure suggests the smart money views the current dip as a buying opportunity rather than a sell signal. For a long-term investor, the combination of improving fundamentals, a broken downtrend, and supportive options flow makes this a solid buy at current levels.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.019813
MSTL0.019947
AutoETS0.020121
AutoTheta0.020966

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 53%
H-stat 0.95
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.337
Excess Kurtosis -0.92
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 11.28

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound market rather than a decisive breakout. Call open interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money (OTM) at strikes like 55 and 65, suggesting bets on a rally to $60+, while put open interest clusters significantly lower at 45 and 43, creating a defined floor. The massive volume spike in Jan '27 puts at the 30 strike indicates deep-dive hedging against a severe crash, likely driven by geopolitical fears. However, the lack of significant ITM call positioning suggests the market does not currently price in a full recovery to previous highs ($70+), favoring a moderate upside scenario over a crash.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.66% 1.89% 2.57% 2.30%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-15 0.361 0.657200
2025-12-16 0.735 1.231156
2025-06-16 0.536 0.974368
2024-12-17 0.891 1.886912
2024-06-11 0.191 0.441109
2023-12-20 0.994 2.530550
2023-06-07 0.429 0.952910
2022-12-13 0.712 1.482716
2022-06-09 0.312 0.585146
2021-12-13 0.477 0.741259
2021-06-10 0.177 0.216487
2020-12-14 0.604 0.769133
2020-06-15 0.237 0.373522
2019-12-16 0.574 0.919430
2019-06-17 0.356 0.635941
2018-12-18 0.525 0.979843
2018-06-19 0.315 0.464054
2017-12-19 0.846 1.299140
2017-06-20 0.192 0.353526
2016-12-21 0.421 0.970941
2016-06-22 0.303 0.727142
2015-12-21 0.631 1.397564
2015-06-25 0.601 1.037638
2014-12-17 0.450 0.929176
2014-06-25 0.728 1.587440
2013-12-18 0.219 0.455396
2013-06-27 0.925 2.277764
2012-12-18 0.093 0.196078
2012-06-21 0.829 2.091322
2011-12-20 0.095 0.236731
2011-06-22 0.954 1.991234
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendDate 2016-12-28
dividendYield 2.09

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 97.55
All Time Low 33.44
Ask 56.47
Ask Size 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,981,560
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,015,229
Average Volume 2,015,229
Average Volume10Days 1,981,560
Beta3 Year 0.45
Bid 56.3
Bid Size 3
Category Greater China Region
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 51.72
Day Low 51.2
Dividend Date 1,482,883,200
Dividend Yield 2.09
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.582282
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 53.715
Fifty Day Average Change -2.0250015
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.037698995
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -18.35413
Fifty Two Week High 65.84
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.149998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21491492
Fifty Two Week Low 49.88
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.8099976
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.03628704
Fifty Two Week Range 49.88 - 65.84
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,301,578,200,000
Five Year Average Return -0.037193302
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change 0.26000214
Fullday Change Percent 0.5054474
Fullday Price 51.69
Fund Family iShares
Fund Inception Date 1,301,356,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of equity securities in the top 85% in market capitalization of the Chinese equity securities markets, as represented by the H-shares and B-shares markets. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name iShares MSCI China ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_129248930
Nav Price 51.54063
Net Assets 5,988,706,800.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.59
Open 51.26
Phone 415-670-2000
Post Market Change 0.84000015
Post Market Change Percent 1.6250728
Post Market Price 52.53
Post Market Time 1,792,096,305
Previous Close 51.44
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.25
Regular Market Change Percent 0.486003
Regular Market Day High 51.72
Regular Market Day Low 51.2
Regular Market Day Range 51.2 - 51.72
Regular Market Open 51.26
Regular Market Previous Close 51.44
Regular Market Price 51.69
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,401
Regular Market Volume 3,551,819
Short Name iShares MSCI China ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol MCHI
Three Year Average Return 0.0875675
Total Assets 5,988,706,816
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 11.280405
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 2.28104
Trailing Three Month Returns 2.28104
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 56.42555
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.73555
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.083925635
Type Disp ETF
Volume 3,551,819
Yield 0.0209
Ytd Return -12.70346