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McDonald's Corporation (MCD)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Chicago, United States | NYSE
242.97 USD +0.47 (0.194%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 242.50 -0.47 (-0.470%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8 a.m. EDT

McDonald's presents a classic case of a high-quality business trading on weak technicals. The fundamentals remain robust, with profit margins exceeding 30% and a consistent track record of dividend growth that has increased payouts for five consecutive years. The long-term price trajectory is strongly positive, having gained nearly 160% over the last nine years, and the recent single year of decline does not constitute a structural deterioration. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by negative momentum; the stock is trading near its 52-week low, significantly below its 200-day average, and statistical models predict a slight downward drift over the next month. While the dividend yield of 3.26% offers a cushion, the lack of revenue acceleration and the bearish sentiment in recent headlines suggest caution for immediate entries. The options market reflects this tension, with traders placing heavy bets on the 230-250 range rather than a breakout. For investors, this is a hold or accumulation opportunity for the long term, but not a momentum play for the near term.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.081066
AutoARIMA0.086624
MSTL0.087514
AutoETS0.088101

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 56%
H-stat 23.59
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.168
Excess Kurtosis -1.38
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-11-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-31
Revenue per Share 38.962
Market Cap 171,935,662,080
Trailing P/E 19.74
Forward P/E 17.65
Beta 0.45
Profit Margins 31.72%
Website https://www.mcdonalds.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound scenario with a slight downside bias. Call open interest is concentrated at the 250 strike, suggesting a floor expectation near current levels. Put open interest is heavy at the 230-235 strikes, acting as a support wall, while significant volume spikes in out-of-the-money puts (270-330) indicate hedging or speculative bets on further weakness. Implied volatility remains moderate, reflecting a lack of extreme fear or greed.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.71% 2.56% 2.42% 2.34%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-01 1.860000 0.712343
2026-06-02 1.860000 0.673035
2026-03-03 1.860000 0.559954
2025-12-01 1.860000 0.612709
2025-09-02 1.770000 0.560552
2025-06-02 1.770000 0.566074
2025-03-03 1.770000 0.581682
2024-12-02 1.770000 0.605252
2024-09-03 1.670000 0.584898
2024-06-03 1.670000 0.642926
2024-02-29 1.670000 0.571370
2023-11-30 1.670000 0.592535
2023-08-31 1.520000 0.540637
2023-06-02 1.520000 0.524301
2023-02-28 1.520000 0.575954
2022-11-30 1.520000 0.557205
2022-08-31 1.380000 0.547011
2022-06-03 1.380000 0.555645
2022-02-28 1.380000 0.563795
2021-11-30 1.380000 0.564186
2021-08-31 1.290000 0.543249
2021-05-28 1.290000 0.551541
2021-02-26 1.290000 0.625788
2020-11-30 1.290000 0.593267
2020-08-31 1.250000 0.585425
2020-05-29 1.250000 0.670889
2020-02-28 1.250000 0.643766
2019-11-29 1.250000 0.642740
2019-08-30 1.160000 0.532183
2019-05-31 1.160000 0.585061
2019-02-28 1.160000 0.630983
2018-11-30 1.160000 0.615352
2018-08-31 1.010000 0.622573
2018-06-01 1.010000 0.634582
2018-02-28 1.010000 0.640294
2017-11-30 1.010000 0.587312
2017-08-30 0.940000 0.589231
2017-06-01 0.940000 0.616838
2017-02-27 0.940000 0.740216
2016-11-29 0.940000 0.778919
2016-08-30 0.890000 0.771498
2016-06-02 0.890000 0.734505
2016-02-26 0.890000 0.760294
2015-11-27 0.890000 0.779130
2015-08-28 0.850000 0.883117
2015-05-28 0.850000 0.881012
2015-02-26 0.850000 0.854185
2014-11-26 0.850000 0.883392
2014-08-28 0.810000 0.860421
2014-05-29 0.810000 0.799290
2014-02-27 0.810000 0.851914
2013-11-27 0.810000 0.834535
2013-08-29 0.770000 0.811723
2013-05-30 0.770000 0.793242
2013-02-27 0.770000 0.804346
2012-11-29 0.770000 0.890276
2012-08-30 0.700000 0.789177
2012-05-31 0.700000 0.783524
2012-02-28 0.700000 0.701543
2011-11-29 0.700000 0.748984
2011-08-30 0.610000 0.671954
2011-05-27 0.610000 0.747366
2011-02-25 0.610000 0.819452
2010-11-29 0.610000 0.779453
2010-08-30 0.550000 0.756118
2010-05-27 0.550000 0.818452
2010-02-25 0.550000 0.854303
2009-11-27 0.550000 0.864780
2009-08-28 0.500000 0.891742
2009-06-04 0.500000 0.830013
2009-02-26 0.500000 0.957854
2008-11-26 0.500000 0.863558
2008-08-28 0.375000 0.596279
2008-06-05 0.375000 0.645995
2008-02-28 0.375000 0.686562
2007-11-13 1.500000 2.626970
2006-11-13 1.000000 2.409058
2005-11-10 0.670000 2.016250
2004-11-10 0.550000 1.832112
2003-11-12 0.400000 1.524390
2002-11-13 0.235000 1.370262
2001-11-13 0.225000 0.819374
2000-11-13 0.215000 0.650284
1999-11-29 0.049000 0.107692
1999-08-30 0.049000 0.116493
1999-05-27 0.049000 0.129160
1999-03-11 0.049000 0.109650
1998-11-25 0.045000 0.124675
1998-08-27 0.045000 0.144144
1998-05-28 0.045000 0.134579
1998-02-25 0.041000 0.156563
1997-11-26 0.041000 0.168855
1997-08-27 0.041000 0.169948
1997-05-29 0.041000 0.164411
1997-02-26 0.037500 0.167131
1996-11-27 0.037500 0.162602
1996-08-28 0.037500 0.158311
1996-05-31 0.037500 0.155844
1996-02-27 0.034000 0.134653
1995-11-28 0.034000 0.153672
1995-08-29 0.034000 0.187586
1995-05-30 0.034000 0.184407
1995-02-22 0.030000 0.181818
1994-11-23 0.030000 0.210526
1994-08-25 0.030000 0.224299
1994-06-01 0.030000 0.195918
1994-02-22 0.026750 0.175770
1993-11-23 0.026750 0.189381
1993-08-25 0.026750 0.195881
1993-06-01 0.026750 0.213466
1993-02-23 0.025000 0.200501
1992-11-23 0.025000 0.207792
1992-08-25 0.025000 0.239521
1992-05-27 0.025000 0.221607
1992-02-25 0.023750 0.223529
1991-11-27 0.023000 0.271587
1991-08-28 0.023000 0.279848
1991-05-29 0.023000 0.265704
1991-03-05 0.021250 0.256604
1990-11-26 0.021250 0.302222
1990-08-27 0.021250 0.300885
1990-05-30 0.021250 0.245487
1990-02-27 0.019250 0.243478
1989-11-24 0.019250 0.234221
1989-08-25 0.019250 0.264378
1989-05-24 0.019375 0.267241
1989-02-22 0.017500 0.275862
1988-12-21 0.017500 0.293194
1988-11-23 0.017500 0.298667
1988-08-22 0.017500 0.324638
1988-05-24 0.017500 0.326531
1987-10-20 0.015625 0.317460
1987-07-23 0.015625 0.235294
1987-05-20 0.015583 0.248500
1987-01-22 0.013750 0.243094
1986-10-27 0.013750 0.273292
1986-07-23 0.013750 0.250000
1986-05-28 0.009167 0.154935
1986-01-22 0.012500 0.307692
1985-10-22 0.012500 0.351562
1985-07-23 0.012500 0.333333
1985-05-31 0.012500 0.337079
1985-01-22 0.011389 0.365260
1984-10-23 0.011389 0.386796
1984-07-24 0.010741 0.421063
1984-05-23 0.010741 0.457605
1984-01-24 0.009259 0.358413
1983-10-25 0.009259 0.363626
1983-07-15 0.009259 0.390614
1983-05-24 0.009259 0.378777
1983-01-24 0.008148 0.397284
1982-10-15 0.008148 0.383435
1982-07-20 0.007407 0.392135
1982-05-24 0.007407 0.449414
1982-02-05 0.006173 0.390635
1981-10-27 0.006173 0.369013
1981-07-28 0.006173 0.411533
1981-05-13 0.006173 0.413234
1981-02-24 0.004938 0.353182
1980-10-27 0.004938 0.449414
1980-07-24 0.004938 0.432409
1980-06-05 0.004938 0.426643
1980-02-25 0.003457 0.345700
1979-10-26 0.003457 0.320019
1979-07-26 0.003457 0.302721
1979-05-21 0.003457 0.320937
1979-02-14 0.002222 0.214264
1978-10-26 0.002222 0.187481
1978-07-19 0.002222 0.163993
1978-05-16 0.002222 0.172232
1978-02-14 0.001235 0.110536
1977-10-18 0.001235 0.108734
1977-07-19 0.001235 0.101301
1977-05-12 0.001235 0.120524
1977-02-14 0.000617 0.054176
1976-10-21 0.000617 0.049238
1976-07-16 0.000617 0.041822
1976-05-10 0.000617 0.039664
1968-05-24 0.001235 0.262674
Additional Data
dividendRate 7.72
dividendYield 3.18
exDividendDate 2026-12-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 7.35
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.030309279
lastDividendValue 1.86
lastDividendDate 2026-09-01
dividendDate 2026-12-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.21054685
Address1 110 North Carpenter Street
All Time High 341.75
All Time Low 0.152263
Ask 242.83
Ask Size 80
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,120,120
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,237,967
Average Volume 5,237,967
Average Volume10Days 6,120,120
Beta 0.447
Bid 242.54
Bid Size 160
Board Risk 5
Book Value -1.446
City Chicago
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 242.97
Current Ratio 1.081
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 245.845
Day Low 241.88
Display Name McDonald's
Dividend Date 1,797,292,800
Dividend Rate 7.72
Dividend Yield 3.18
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Earnings Growth 0.057
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.048
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 14,929,999,872
Ebitda Margins 0.53895
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.118
Enterprise To Revenue 8.148
Enterprise Value 225,717,665,792
Eps Current Year 12.8948
Eps Forward 13.76211
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 12.31
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,796,083,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 252.464
Fifty Day Average Change -9.494003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.037605375
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -21.054686
Fifty Two Week High 341.75
Fifty Two Week High Change -98.78
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2890417
Fifty Two Week Low 229.2
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.770004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.060078554
Fifty Two Week Range 229.2 - 341.75
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds -110,197,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.25
Float Shares 706,580,069
Forward Eps 13.76211
Forward P E 17.654997
Free Cashflow 6,262,374,912
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 150,000
Fullday Change 0.0
Fullday Change Percent 0.0
Fullday Price 242.97
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.57382
Gross Profits 15,896,000,512
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0025499999
Held Percent Institutions 0.76358
Implied Shares Outstanding 707,641,531
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ir Website http://www.aboutmcdonalds.com/mcd/investors.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Last Dividend Value 1.86
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 920,851,200
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Long Name McDonald's Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 171,935,662,080
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_139488
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 8,787,000,320
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 197,499,313,626
Number Of Analyst Opinions 29
Open 244.31
Operating Cashflow 11,347,000,320
Operating Margins 0.46485
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.5971
Peg Ratio 2.57
Phone 630 623 3000
Post Market Change -0.47000122
Post Market Change Percent -0.19344002
Post Market Price 242.5
Post Market Time 1,792,195,137
Previous Close 242.5
Price Eps Current Year 18.84248
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -168.02905
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.2066154
Profit Margins 0.3172
Quick Ratio 0.823
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.05882
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.470001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.193815
Regular Market Day High 245.845
Regular Market Day Low 241.88
Regular Market Day Range 241.88 - 245.845
Regular Market Open 244.31
Regular Market Previous Close 242.5
Regular Market Price 242.97
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 7,162,299
Return On Assets 0.1325
Revenue Growth 0.037
Revenue Per Share 38.962
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 707,641,531
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0195
Shares Short 13,797,355
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 12,284,728
Short Name McDonald's Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0217
Short Ratio 2.36
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol MCD
Target High Price 390.0
Target Low Price 230.0
Target Mean Price 292.0345
Target Median Price 293.0
Total Cash 822,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.162
Total Debt 54,604,001,280
Total Revenue 27,701,999,616
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 7.35
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.030309279
Trailing Eps 12.31
Trailing P E 19.737612
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.0568
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 285.9508
Two Hundred Day Average Change -42.980804
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15030839
Type Disp Equity
Volume 7,162,299
Website https://www.mcdonalds.com
Zip 60,607