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Moelis & Company (MC)

Financial Services | Capital Markets | New York, United States | NYSE
68.40 USD -0.23 (-0.335%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 68.40
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:47 a.m. EDT

Moelis & Company presents a compelling long-term value story obscured by aggressive short-term hedging. Fundamentally, the business is exceptional: it boasts a 41.5% return on equity, robust 12% revenue growth, and a 174% cumulative gain over the last nine years, confirming a strong secular trend. The stock trades at a reasonable forward P/E of 17.4x, implying the market is pricing in a slowdown despite healthy earnings growth. However, the short-term outlook is fraught with tension. The options chain reveals a stark asymmetry: traders are pouring capital into deep out-of-the-money puts, creating a heavy hedge against a drop to the $40s, while call buying is limited to speculative targets above $75. This suggests the market fears a sharp correction or earnings miss ahead of the upcoming report. While the statistical forecast model shows a neutral lean, the options flow acts as a warning sign of potential near-term volatility. For investors, the thesis is clear: the underlying franchise is a top-tier buy, but the timing may require patience as the market digests the heavy put positioning.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.029081
AutoTheta0.031442
AutoETS0.031610
AutoARIMA0.031611

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 1.76
Ljung-Box p 0.001
Jarque-Bera p 0.724
Excess Kurtosis -0.30
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 40.955
Revenue per Share 21.247
Market Cap 5,067,133,440
Trailing P/E 23.92
Forward P/E 17.44
Beta 1.84
Profit Margins 14.50%
Website https://www.moelis.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:47 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant downside event in the near term, evidenced by massive open interest and volume in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 40-60) expiring in November and January, with no in-the-money protection. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in out-of-the-money strikes (75-85), suggesting a speculative bet on a rebound to previous highs rather than a confirmed trend reversal. The skew indicates a 'long gamma' setup where traders are betting on volatility expansion or a specific crash scenario.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.02% 4.10% 4.23% 5.29%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-10 0.650 1.020568
2026-05-11 0.650 1.018011
2026-02-17 0.650 1.031582
2025-11-10 0.650 1.025398
2025-08-04 0.650 0.936869
2025-05-05 0.650 1.216090
2025-02-18 0.650 0.840445
2024-11-04 0.600 0.912686
2024-08-05 0.600 1.004689
2024-05-03 0.600 1.163242
2024-02-16 0.600 1.077006
2023-11-10 0.600 1.443349
2023-08-04 0.600 1.246883
2023-05-05 0.600 1.715266
2023-02-17 0.600 1.321877
2022-11-10 0.600 1.341982
2022-08-05 0.600 1.340483
2022-05-06 0.600 1.405811
2022-02-18 0.600 1.229005
2021-11-05 3.100 4.147712
2021-07-30 0.600 1.012658
2021-05-07 2.550 4.750373
2021-02-19 0.550 1.004566
2020-12-17 2.000 4.629630
2020-11-05 0.383 1.013764
2020-08-07 0.255 0.818357
2020-05-01 0.255 0.882353
2020-02-14 1.260 3.453947
2019-11-07 0.500 1.422071
2019-08-08 0.500 1.470588
2019-05-09 0.500 1.407658
2019-02-15 1.750 3.852080
2018-10-31 0.470 1.164519
2018-08-01 1.970 3.190283
2018-05-02 0.470 0.882629
2018-02-16 1.970 3.734597
2017-11-03 0.370 0.877817
2017-08-01 0.370 0.907975
2017-06-20 1.000 2.624672
2017-05-08 0.370 0.981432
2017-03-01 0.370 0.984043
2016-12-21 1.250 3.644315
2016-11-18 0.320 1.105354
2016-08-18 0.320 1.228879
2016-05-18 0.300 1.121076
2016-02-17 1.100 4.460665
2015-11-19 0.300 1.090513
2015-08-20 0.300 1.011804
2015-05-21 0.200 0.699545
2015-02-18 0.200 0.649351
2014-11-06 1.200 3.598201
2014-08-21 0.200 0.587372
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.6
dividendYield 3.79
exDividendDate 2026-08-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.037884306
lastDividendValue 0.65
lastDividendDate 2026-08-10
dividendDate 2026-09-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.036230862
Address1 399 Park Avenue
Address2 4th Floor
All Time High 82.89
All Time Low 21.91
Ask 68.43
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 692,020
Average Daily Volume3 Month 923,212
Average Volume 923,212
Average Volume10Days 692,020
Beta 1.841
Bid 68.29
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 6.828
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 68.4
Current Ratio 1.167
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 69.395
Day Low 68.16
Debt To Equity 40.955
Dividend Date 1,789,603,200
Dividend Rate 2.6
Dividend Yield 3.79
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,358,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,358,800
Earnings Growth 0.171
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.17
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 3.34
Enterprise Value 5,257,903,104
Eps Current Year 3.07498
Eps Forward 3.92162
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.86
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 212 880 4260
Fifty Day Average 67.095
Fifty Day Average Change 1.3050003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.019450037
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -3.6230862
Fifty Two Week High 78.216
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.816002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12549864
Fifty Two Week Low 51.06
Fifty Two Week Low Change 17.34
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33960047
Fifty Two Week Range 51.06 - 78.216
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,397,655,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.48
Float Shares 73,305,267
Forward Eps 3.92162
Forward P E 17.441772
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,416
Fullday Change -0.229996
Fullday Change Percent -0.335124
Fullday Price 68.4
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.92286
Gross Profits 1,452,574,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01118
Held Percent Institutions 1.109
Implied Shares Outstanding 74,080,893
Industry Capital Markets
Industry Disp Capital Markets
Industry Key capital-markets
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Last Dividend Value 0.65
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Moelis & Company operates as an investment banking advisory company in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Australia. It offers advisory services in the areas of mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations and restructurings, capital markets transactions, and other corporate finance matters, as well as strategic advisory, capital markets, capital structure advisory, and private capital advisory. The company serves public multinational corporations, middle market private companies, financial sponsors, entrepreneurs, governments, and sovereign wealth funds clients. Moelis & Company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Moelis & Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,067,133,440
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_260034573
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 228,256,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,084,171,738
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 68.67
Operating Cashflow 488,337,984
Operating Margins 0.17790002
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.90589994
Phone 212 883 3800
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 68.4
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 68.63
Price Eps Current Year 22.244047
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 10.017575
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.2192838
Profit Margins 0.14502
Quick Ratio 1.164
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.90909
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.229996
Regular Market Change Percent -0.335124
Regular Market Day High 69.395
Regular Market Day Low 68.16
Regular Market Day Range 68.16 - 69.395
Regular Market Open 68.67
Regular Market Previous Close 68.63
Regular Market Price 68.4
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,203
Regular Market Volume 475,927
Return On Assets 0.18651
Return On Equity 0.41454
Revenue Growth 0.12
Revenue Per Share 21.247
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 74,078,589
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.066199996
Shares Short 4,906,057
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 4,363,389
Short Name Moelis & Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.075100005
Short Ratio 5.19
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol MC
Target High Price 86.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 72.0
Target Median Price 71.5
Total Cash 207,740,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.804
Total Debt 262,752,992
Total Revenue 1,573,993,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.037884306
Trailing Eps 2.86
Trailing P E 23.916086
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 65.97115
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.4288483
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.036816824
Type Disp Equity
Volume 475,927
Website https://www.moelis.com
Zip 10,022