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Moelis & Company (MC)

Financial Services | Capital Markets | New York, United States | NYSE
63.61 USD -0.14 (-0.220%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 63.61
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:01 a.m. EDT

Moelis & Company presents a compelling case for a tactical swing trade but carries significant structural risks for the long-term holder. The short-term outlook is constructive; the stock has recently broken above its 200-day moving average, and the options market is aggressively pricing in a rally toward the $80 strike, suggesting institutional speculation on a rebound. However, the long-term investment thesis is compromised by a precarious capital structure. The company is distributing 93.5% of its earnings as dividends, leaving almost no room for error if earnings slip further. While the payout has been consistent, this aggressive burn rate combined with a 23% drop in quarterly earnings growth makes the high yield unsustainable if profitability continues to erode. The valuation is also stretched, trading at nearly 10 times book value despite weak growth. Investors should view this as a momentum play on a potential recovery rather than a defensive income vehicle.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.028238
AutoETS0.028319
AutoTheta0.028380
MSTL0.029757
MSTL_1260.056308

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 0.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.468
Excess Kurtosis -0.76
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.939
Revenue per Share 20.571
Market Cap 4,731,077,632
Trailing P/E 22.96
Forward P/E 16.34
Beta 1.85
Profit Margins 14.46%
Website https://www.moelis.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $80 strike for the July expiration, which sits significantly above the current price. This suggests a bullish bias targeting a 25% gain. Conversely, put activity is concentrated deep in-the-money at lower strikes ($40-$55), indicating a hedge against a severe crash rather than a bet on a modest decline. The skew in implied volatility supports this asymmetric view.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.02% 4.01% 4.31% 5.29%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-11 0.650 1.018011
2026-02-17 0.650 1.031582
2025-11-10 0.650 1.025398
2025-08-04 0.650 0.936869
2025-05-05 0.650 1.216090
2025-02-18 0.650 0.840445
2024-11-04 0.600 0.912686
2024-08-05 0.600 1.004689
2024-05-03 0.600 1.163242
2024-02-16 0.600 1.077006
2023-11-10 0.600 1.443349
2023-08-04 0.600 1.246883
2023-05-05 0.600 1.715266
2023-02-17 0.600 1.321877
2022-11-10 0.600 1.341982
2022-08-05 0.600 1.340483
2022-05-06 0.600 1.405811
2022-02-18 0.600 1.229005
2021-11-05 3.100 4.147712
2021-07-30 0.600 1.012658
2021-05-07 2.550 4.750373
2021-02-19 0.550 1.004566
2020-12-17 2.000 4.629630
2020-11-05 0.383 1.013764
2020-08-07 0.255 0.818357
2020-05-01 0.255 0.882353
2020-02-14 1.260 3.453947
2019-11-07 0.500 1.422071
2019-08-08 0.500 1.470588
2019-05-09 0.500 1.407658
2019-02-15 1.750 3.852080
2018-10-31 0.470 1.164519
2018-08-01 1.970 3.190283
2018-05-02 0.470 0.882629
2018-02-16 1.970 3.734597
2017-11-03 0.370 0.877817
2017-08-01 0.370 0.907975
2017-06-20 1.000 2.624672
2017-05-08 0.370 0.981432
2017-03-01 0.370 0.984043
2016-12-21 1.250 3.644315
2016-11-18 0.320 1.105354
2016-08-18 0.320 1.228879
2016-05-18 0.300 1.121076
2016-02-17 1.100 4.460665
2015-11-19 0.300 1.090513
2015-08-20 0.300 1.011804
2015-05-21 0.200 0.699545
2015-02-18 0.200 0.649351
2014-11-06 1.200 3.598201
2014-08-21 0.200 0.587372
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.6
dividendYield 4.08
exDividendDate 2026-05-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.04078431
lastDividendValue 0.65
lastDividendDate 2026-05-11
dividendDate 2026-06-18

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.098685145
Address1 399 Park Avenue
Address2 4th Floor
All Time High 82.89
All Time Low 21.91
Ask 63.31
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,002,240
Average Daily Volume3 Month 997,598
Average Volume 997,598
Average Volume10Days 1,002,240
Beta 1.846
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 8
Book Value 6.549
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 63.61
Current Ratio 1.904
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 64.6
Day Low 62.51
Debt To Equity 42.939
Dividend Date 1,781,740,800
Dividend Rate 2.6
Dividend Yield 4.08
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Growth -0.237
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.235
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 3.255
Enterprise Value 4,980,445,696
Eps Current Year 3.08697
Eps Forward 3.89357
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.77
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,457,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 212 880 4260
Fifty Day Average 66.191
Fifty Day Average Change -2.5810013
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.038993236
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -9.868515
Fifty Two Week High 78.216
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.606003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.18673931
Fifty Two Week Low 51.06
Fifty Two Week Low Change 12.549999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.24578924
Fifty Two Week Range 51.06 - 78.216
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,397,655,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.48
Float Shares 73,592,393
Forward Eps 3.89357
Forward P E 16.337193
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,416
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.92302
Gross Profits 1,412,203,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0112
Held Percent Institutions 1.10502
Implied Shares Outstanding 74,376,318
Industry Capital Markets
Industry Disp Capital Markets
Industry Key capital-markets
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,457,600
Last Dividend Value 0.65
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Moelis & Company operates as an investment banking advisory company in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Australia. It offers advisory services in the areas of mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations and restructurings, capital markets transactions, and other corporate finance matters, as well as strategic advisory, capital markets, capital structure advisory, and private capital advisory. The company serves public multinational corporations, middle market private companies, financial sponsors, entrepreneurs, governments, and sovereign wealth funds clients. Moelis & Company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Moelis & Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,731,077,632
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_260034573
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 221,202,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,741,490,320
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 63.96
Operating Cashflow 462,979,008
Operating Margins 0.12663999
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.9353
Phone 212 883 3800
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 63.61
Post Market Time 1,783,981,117
Previous Close 63.75
Price Eps Current Year 20.605967
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 9.712934
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.092242
Profit Margins 0.14458
Quick Ratio 1.899
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.90909
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.139999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.219607
Regular Market Day High 64.6
Regular Market Day Low 62.51
Regular Market Day Range 62.51 - 64.6
Regular Market Open 63.96
Regular Market Previous Close 63.75
Regular Market Price 63.61
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 623,321
Return On Assets 0.19885999
Return On Equity 0.41768003
Revenue Growth 0.043
Revenue Per Share 20.571
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 74,374,014
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.058000002
Shares Short 4,314,967
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,763,877
Short Name Moelis & Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.065799996
Short Ratio 4.24
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol MC
Target High Price 86.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 71.5
Target Median Price 70.5
Total Cash 152,944,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.056
Total Debt 267,176,992
Total Revenue 1,529,982,976
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.04078431
Trailing Eps 2.77
Trailing P E 22.9639
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 66.04165
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.4316483
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.03681992
Type Disp Equity
Volume 623,321
Website https://www.moelis.com
Zip 10,022