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Moelis & Company (MC)

Financial Services | Capital Markets | New York, United States | NYSE
55.00 USD +0.73 (1.345%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 2:51 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:52 a.m. EDT

Moelis & Company presents a compelling value case marred by recent technical weakness. Fundamentally, the business is robust with a 41% return on equity and double-digit revenue growth, yet the stock trades at a discount to its forward earnings potential. The 4.6% dividend yield is attractive but sits on the edge of sustainability given the 90% payout ratio; any earnings miss could trigger a cut. The primary concern is the recent price action, which has lagged both its 50-day and 200-day averages, creating a 'value trap' appearance despite the strong underlying metrics. Options flow confirms this anxiety, with heavy speculative buying of deep out-of-the-money puts suggesting a fear of a sudden decline. While the long-term outlook remains positive due to the company's dominant market position and cash generation, the short-term trajectory looks choppy and potentially bearish until the technicals stabilize.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.048869
AutoTheta0.049405
AutoETS0.049433
AutoARIMA0.049433

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 22.87
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.038
Excess Kurtosis -0.79
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 40.955
Revenue per Share 21.247
Market Cap 4,074,449,408
Trailing P/E 19.93
Forward P/E 14.15
Beta 1.90
Profit Margins 14.50%
Website https://www.moelis.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:52 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant downside gap, evidenced by massive put volume at deep strikes ($40, $45) and elevated open interest there compared to calls. While call open interest clusters at higher strikes ($70-$85), the sheer volume of puts suggests a fear of a sharp drop rather than a bet on a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.02% 4.10% 4.23% 5.29%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-10 0.650 1.020568
2026-05-11 0.650 1.018011
2026-02-17 0.650 1.031582
2025-11-10 0.650 1.025398
2025-08-04 0.650 0.936869
2025-05-05 0.650 1.216090
2025-02-18 0.650 0.840445
2024-11-04 0.600 0.912686
2024-08-05 0.600 1.004689
2024-05-03 0.600 1.163242
2024-02-16 0.600 1.077006
2023-11-10 0.600 1.443349
2023-08-04 0.600 1.246883
2023-05-05 0.600 1.715266
2023-02-17 0.600 1.321877
2022-11-10 0.600 1.341982
2022-08-05 0.600 1.340483
2022-05-06 0.600 1.405811
2022-02-18 0.600 1.229005
2021-11-05 3.100 4.147712
2021-07-30 0.600 1.012658
2021-05-07 2.550 4.750373
2021-02-19 0.550 1.004566
2020-12-17 2.000 4.629630
2020-11-05 0.383 1.013764
2020-08-07 0.255 0.818357
2020-05-01 0.255 0.882353
2020-02-14 1.260 3.453947
2019-11-07 0.500 1.422071
2019-08-08 0.500 1.470588
2019-05-09 0.500 1.407658
2019-02-15 1.750 3.852080
2018-10-31 0.470 1.164519
2018-08-01 1.970 3.190283
2018-05-02 0.470 0.882629
2018-02-16 1.970 3.734597
2017-11-03 0.370 0.877817
2017-08-01 0.370 0.907975
2017-06-20 1.000 2.624672
2017-05-08 0.370 0.981432
2017-03-01 0.370 0.984043
2016-12-21 1.250 3.644315
2016-11-18 0.320 1.105354
2016-08-18 0.320 1.228879
2016-05-18 0.300 1.121076
2016-02-17 1.100 4.460665
2015-11-19 0.300 1.090513
2015-08-20 0.300 1.011804
2015-05-21 0.200 0.699545
2015-02-18 0.200 0.649351
2014-11-06 1.200 3.598201
2014-08-21 0.200 0.587372
Additional Data
dividendYield 4.61
exDividendDate 2026-08-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.047908604
lastDividendValue 0.65
lastDividendDate 2026-08-10
dividendDate 2026-09-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.19132769
Address1 399 Park Avenue
Address2 4th Floor
All Time High 82.89
All Time Low 21.91
Ask 54.76
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,135,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 893,071
Average Volume 893,071
Average Volume10Days 1,135,640
Beta 1.901
Bid 54.67
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 8
Book Value 6.828
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 55.0
Current Ratio 1.167
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 55.165
Day Low 54.0
Debt To Equity 40.955
Display Name Moelis
Dividend Date 1,789,603,200
Dividend Yield 4.61
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,358,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,358,800
Earnings Growth 0.171
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.17
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 2.675
Enterprise Value 4,211,140,096
Eps Current Year 3.07605
Eps Forward 3.88735
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.76
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 212 880 4260
Fifty Day Average 63.041
Fifty Day Average Change -8.041
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12755191
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -19.132769
Fifty Two Week High 78.216
Fifty Two Week High Change -23.216003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2968191
Fifty Two Week Low 51.06
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.9399986
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07716409
Fifty Two Week Range 51.06 - 78.216
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,397,655,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.33
Float Shares 73,304,526
Forward Eps 3.88735
Forward P E 14.148456
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,416
Fullday Change 0.72999954
Fullday Change Percent 1.3451253
Fullday Price 55.0
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.92286
Gross Profits 1,452,574,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.010880001
Held Percent Institutions 1.0938
Implied Shares Outstanding 74,080,893
Industry Capital Markets
Industry Disp Capital Markets
Industry Key capital-markets
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Last Dividend Value 0.65
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Moelis & Company operates as an investment banking advisory company in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Australia. It offers advisory services in the areas of mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations and restructurings, capital markets transactions, and other corporate finance matters, as well as strategic advisory, capital markets, capital structure advisory, and private capital advisory. The company serves public multinational corporations, middle market private companies, financial sponsors, entrepreneurs, governments, and sovereign wealth funds clients. Moelis & Company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Moelis & Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,074,449,408
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_260034573
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 228,256,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,310,026,399
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 54.46
Operating Cashflow 488,337,984
Operating Margins 0.17790002
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.90589994
Phone 212 883 3800
Previous Close 54.27
Price Eps Current Year 17.880074
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 8.055067
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.5886054
Profit Margins 0.14502
Quick Ratio 1.164
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.63636
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.72999954
Regular Market Change Percent 1.3451253
Regular Market Day High 55.165
Regular Market Day Low 54.0
Regular Market Day Range 54.0 - 55.165
Regular Market Open 54.46
Regular Market Previous Close 54.27
Regular Market Price 55.0
Regular Market Time 1,792,090,269
Regular Market Volume 746,026
Return On Assets 0.18651
Return On Equity 0.41454
Revenue Growth 0.12
Revenue Per Share 21.247
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16440773
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 74,078,589
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0712
Shares Short 5,273,812
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,232,207
Short Name Moelis & Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.080699995
Short Ratio 6.53
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol MC
Target High Price 80.0
Target Low Price 58.0
Target Mean Price 67.5
Target Median Price 67.0
Total Cash 207,740,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.804
Total Debt 262,752,992
Total Revenue 1,573,993,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.047908604
Trailing Eps 2.76
Trailing P E 19.927536
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 65.04525
Two Hundred Day Average Change -10.04525
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1544348
Type Disp Equity
Volume 746,026
Website https://www.moelis.com
Zip 10,022