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Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Parts | Jerusalem, Israel | NasdaqGS
7.22 USD -0.21 (-2.894%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 12:36 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:48 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's deteriorating operational reality and the market's hope for a turnaround. Fundamentally, the business is struggling: profit margins are deeply negative at -2%, revenue growth is stagnant at just 0.4%, and the stock has lost nearly two-thirds of its value over the last two years. Despite the recent headline of a 'beat-and-raise,' the underlying metrics show a company failing to generate operating income or grow sales meaningfully. The balance sheet is technically sound with low debt, but the inability to turn a profit is a significant red flag for a long-term hold. Short-term, the stock is trapped between heavy resistance and a lack of clear catalysts. The price is hovering near its 50-day average, having failed to break out despite recent earnings headlines. The statistical forecast offers no directional bias, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the next earnings release. While the options chain shows aggressive speculation on a massive upside move, this is often a contrarian signal in a fundamentally broken business; it represents a gamble on a surprise rather than a conviction in the company's trajectory. Without a proven path to profitability and sustained revenue growth, the risk of further capital destruction outweighs the potential for a quick rebound.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.100283
AutoETS0.114464
AutoARIMA0.114480
AutoTheta0.158385

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 0.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.516
Excess Kurtosis -0.80
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.072
Revenue per Share 2.472
Market Cap 6,134,103,552
Forward P/E 14.83
Beta 1.24
Profit Margins -201.49%
Website https://www.mobileye.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a binary event, likely an earnings report, with heavy call volume at strikes significantly above the current price (9.0, 10.0, 12.0) and deep out-of-the-money strikes (32.0) showing inflated implied volatility. This suggests a 'lottery ticket' bet on a massive gap-up. Conversely, put writers are establishing a wall of protection at the 8.0 strike, while some buyers are hedging at lower strikes (6.0, 7.0). The skew indicates a market expecting either a sharp rally or a controlled decline, rather than a steady grind.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.47042054
Address1 Har Hotzvim
Address2 Shlomo Momo HaLevi Street 1
All Time High 48.11
All Time Low 6.47
Ask 9.33
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,220,010
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,761,243
Average Volume 5,761,243
Average Volume10Days 6,220,010
Beta 1.239
Bid 5.44
Bid Size 2
Book Value 9.774
City Jerusalem
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Israel
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 7.215
Current Ratio 4.604
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 7.6
Day Low 7.21
Debt To Equity 1.072
Display Name Mobileye Global
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,275,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,275,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,277,000
Ebitda -237,000,000
Ebitda Margins -0.11756
Enterprise To Ebitda -20.936
Enterprise To Revenue 2.461
Enterprise Value 4,961,893,888
Eps Current Year 0.50035
Eps Forward 0.48662
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.97
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 8.1238
Fifty Day Average Change -0.9088001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.11186884
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -47.042053
Fifty Two Week High 15.19
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.9749994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5250164
Fifty Two Week Low 6.47
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.74500036
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.11514689
Fifty Two Week Range 6.47 - 15.19
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,666,791,000,000
Float Shares 175,963,327
Forward Eps 0.48662
Forward P E 14.826764
Free Cashflow 654,124,992
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,200
Fullday Change -0.21499968
Fullday Change Percent -2.89367
Fullday Price 7.215
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.47370997
Gross Profits 955,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.32227
Held Percent Institutions 0.55386
Implied Shares Outstanding 850,187,598
Industry Auto Parts
Industry Disp Auto Parts
Industry Key auto-parts
Ipo Expected Date 2,022-10-26
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,793,600
Long Business Summary Mobileye Global Inc. develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions in the United States, Europe, China, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Mobileye and Moovit. It offers end-to-end ADAS and autonomous driving solutions, including Base ADAS, a front camera that delivers a combination of intelligent safety features to avoid unsafe driving situations; Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, which leverages crowdsourced data to offer accurate localization; safer, smoother, and natural driving experience; and Mobileye Surround ADAS that offer eyes-on/hands-off functionality for highway ODDs with features, such as automatic lane change, front and rear collision avoidance, traffic jam assist, and a Highway Pilot function, as well as includes DXP support that enables customers to customize the driving experience. It also provides Mobileye SuperVision, a eyes-on/hands-off driver assist system for autonomous vehicles; Mobileye Chauffeur, an eyes-off/hands-off solution for consumer vehicles; and Mobileye Drive, a fleet-focused end-to-end self-driving system that enables automakers, public transportation companies, and transportation network operators to offer a no-driver solution for robotaxis, ride-pooling, public transport, and goods delivery. In addition, it offers EyeQ SoC that provide drivers with basic safety features covered by front-facing sensing, such as collision warning, lane departure warnings, pedestrian and cyclist collision warning, headway monitoring and warning, speed limit indicator, blind spot detection, and others; True Redundancy, which is an AI system architecture; and Road Experience Management solutions. It provides its products and services to original equipment manufacturers through automotive suppliers, as well as fleet owners and operators. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. is a subsidiary of Intel Corporation.
Long Name Mobileye Global Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,134,103,552
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1802801041
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,518,400
Net Income To Common -4,062,000,128
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,329,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,469,927,620
Number Of Analyst Opinions 22
Open 7.552
Operating Cashflow 490,000,000
Operating Margins -0.05906
Peg Ratio 0.22
Phone 972 2 541 7333
Previous Close 7.43
Price Eps Current Year 14.419907
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.73818296
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.04271
Profit Margins -2.0148802
Quick Ratio 3.653
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.30435
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.21499968
Regular Market Change Percent -2.89367
Regular Market Day High 7.6
Regular Market Day Low 7.21
Regular Market Day Range 7.21 - 7.6
Regular Market Open 7.552
Regular Market Previous Close 7.43
Regular Market Price 7.215
Regular Market Time 1,792,168,587
Regular Market Volume 2,708,479
Return On Assets -0.02259
Return On Equity -0.40067002
Revenue Growth 0.004
Revenue Per Share 2.472
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 252,419,583
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.052399997
Shares Short 44,580,257
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 36,831,270
Short Name Mobileye Global Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.25059998
Short Ratio 8.5
Source Interval 15
Symbol MBLY
Target High Price 27.0
Target Low Price 6.95
Target Mean Price 11.27045
Target Median Price 9.0
Total Cash 1,443,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 1.697
Total Debt 88,000,000
Total Revenue 2,016,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -4.97
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.2306
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.77295
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.55795
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.17758565
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,708,479
Website https://www.mobileye.com
Zip 9,777,015