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Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Parts | Jerusalem, Israel | NasdaqGS
8.58 USD -0.03 (-0.348%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 8.57 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:46 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken by a deteriorating business model. The company is trading at a loss with negative operating margins and a return on equity of -40%, indicating that capital is being destroyed rather than generated. The price action confirms this structural decline, having lost nearly 60% of its value over the last two years with two consecutive years of negative growth. Despite a high analyst target price, the market has correctly priced in the reality that the core auto chip business is struggling. There is no dividend to provide income, and the stock lacks the momentum to reverse the multi-year downtrend. The options market reinforces this bearish sentiment, with heavy positioning in deep out-of-the-money puts suggesting a continued struggle to find a floor. Until profitability is restored and revenue growth turns positive, this remains a speculative trap rather than a value opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.111832
AutoARIMA0.116850
AutoETS0.116851
AutoTheta0.117306

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 0.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.710
Excess Kurtosis -0.40
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Revenue per Share 2.472
Market Cap 7,294,609,408
Forward P/E 17.64
Beta 1.20
Profit Margins -201.49%
Website https://www.mobileye.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant downside gap rather than a rally. While there is heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $12 strike for November 2026, the dominant signal comes from deep out-of-the-money puts. For the November 2026 expiration, there is massive open interest ($14.2k) at the $10 strike and even larger concentrations ($12.6k) at the $12 strike, creating a dense 'wall' of downside protection. This structure suggests traders are betting on a failure to recover from current lows, effectively capping upside potential while seeking a crash to the $6–$8 range.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.37290603
Address1 Har Hotzvim
Address2 Shlomo Momo HaLevi Street 1
All Time High 48.11
All Time Low 6.47
Ask 9.69
Ask Size 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,770,260
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,351,219
Average Volume 6,351,219
Average Volume10Days 3,770,260
Beta 1.197
Bid 8.52
Bid Size 1
Book Value 9.774
City Jerusalem
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Israel
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.58
Current Ratio 4.604
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 8.83
Day Low 8.51
Display Name Mobileye Global
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,808,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,808,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,809,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,277,000
Ebitda -237,000,000
Ebitda Margins -0.11756
Enterprise To Ebitda -24.69
Enterprise To Revenue 2.903
Enterprise Value 5,851,609,600
Eps Current Year 0.50097
Eps Forward 0.48652
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.95
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 8.76
Fifty Day Average Change -0.1800003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.020547979
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -37.290604
Fifty Two Week High 15.81
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.2300005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.45730552
Fifty Two Week Low 6.47
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.1100001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3261206
Fifty Two Week Range 6.47 - 15.81
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,666,791,000,000
Float Shares 176,583,964
Forward Eps 0.48652
Forward P E 17.635452
Free Cashflow 654,124,992
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,200
Fullday Change -0.0299997
Fullday Change Percent -0.348429
Fullday Price 8.57
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.47370997
Gross Profits 955,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.31944
Held Percent Institutions 0.56305003
Implied Shares Outstanding 850,187,598
Industry Auto Parts
Industry Disp Auto Parts
Industry Key auto-parts
Ipo Expected Date 2,022-10-26
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,793,600
Long Business Summary Mobileye Global Inc. develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions in the United States, Europe, China, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Mobileye and Moovit. It offers end-to-end ADAS and autonomous driving solutions, including Base ADAS, a front camera that delivers a combination of intelligent safety features to avoid unsafe driving situations; Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, which leverages crowdsourced data to offer accurate localization; safer, smoother, and natural driving experience; and Mobileye Surround ADAS that offer eyes-on/hands-off functionality for highway ODDs with features, such as automatic lane change, front and rear collision avoidance, traffic jam assist, and a Highway Pilot function, as well as includes DXP support that enables customers to customize the driving experience. It also provides Mobileye SuperVision, a eyes-on/hands-off driver assist system for autonomous vehicles; Mobileye Chauffeur, an eyes-off/hands-off solution for consumer vehicles; and Mobileye Drive, a fleet-focused end-to-end self-driving system that enables automakers, public transportation companies, and transportation network operators to offer a no-driver solution for robotaxis, ride-pooling, public transport, and goods delivery. In addition, it offers EyeQ SoC that provide drivers with basic safety features covered by front-facing sensing, such as collision warning, lane departure warnings, pedestrian and cyclist collision warning, headway monitoring and warning, speed limit indicator, blind spot detection, and others; True Redundancy, which is an AI system architecture; and Road Experience Management solutions. It provides its products and services to original equipment manufacturers through automotive suppliers, as well as fleet owners and operators. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. is a subsidiary of Intel Corporation.
Long Name Mobileye Global Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,294,609,408
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1802801041
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,518,400
Net Income To Common -4,062,000,128
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,329,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,320,115,218
Number Of Analyst Opinions 27
Open 8.65
Operating Cashflow 490,000,000
Operating Margins -0.05906
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.29
Phone 972 2 541 7333
Post Market Change -0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent -0.116552785
Post Market Price 8.57
Post Market Time 1,787,961,275
Previous Close 8.61
Price Eps Current Year 17.126774
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.87783915
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.618358
Profit Margins -2.0148802
Quick Ratio 3.653
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.21429
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0299997
Regular Market Change Percent -0.348429
Regular Market Day High 8.83
Regular Market Day Low 8.51
Regular Market Day Range 8.51 - 8.83
Regular Market Open 8.65
Regular Market Previous Close 8.61
Regular Market Price 8.58
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 3,185,950
Return On Assets -0.02259
Return On Equity -0.40067002
Revenue Growth 0.004
Revenue Per Share 2.472
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 252,419,583
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.043899998
Shares Short 37,341,735
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 33,527,617
Short Name Mobileye Global Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.20989999
Short Ratio 5.3
Source Interval 15
Symbol MBLY
Target High Price 27.0
Target Low Price 6.95
Target Mean Price 12.10926
Target Median Price 11.0
Total Cash 1,443,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 1.697
Total Debt 0
Total Revenue 2,016,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -4.95
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.287
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.3669
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.7869005
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.084008634
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,185,950
Website https://www.mobileye.com
Zip 9,777,015