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MBIA Inc. (MBI)

Financial Services | Insurance - Specialty | Purchase, United States | NYSE
6.30 USD -0.08 (-1.254%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 6.30

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:23 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year decline. The stock has lost nearly 40% of its value over the last nine years, with the most recent three years showing consecutive annual losses. This persistent downward trajectory suggests the market views the underlying business as deteriorating, a view reinforced by negative earnings per share and a negative book value. While the company reports positive operating cash flow, the inability to translate this into profitability or sustain a rising stock price indicates deep structural issues. The short-term outlook remains bearish; the options market is screaming caution, with heavy put buying establishing a floor far below current prices. There is no evidence of a turnaround in the price action, which continues to trade below its 200-day moving average. The recent news of a special dividend and buyout plan offers a potential catalyst, but without confirmed terms or a clear path to solvency, the risk of capital loss remains extreme.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.053688
AutoARIMA0.063797
AutoETS0.063798
MSTL0.075836

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 3.43
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.622
Excess Kurtosis -0.39
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2023-12-14
Last Dividend Date 2023-12-25
Revenue per Share 1.974
Market Cap 320,884,448
Forward P/E -15.00
Beta 1.32
Profit Margins -158.16%
Website https://www.mbia.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection. Put open interest dominates across nearly all expirations, with massive concentrations at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $5.00 and $6.00). Call activity is sparse and concentrated at lower strikes, while implied volatility for puts remains elevated relative to calls, indicating a market pricing in a high probability of further decline rather than a recovery.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2023-12-26 8.000000 119.940029
2007-12-19 0.340000 1.258327
2007-09-19 0.340000 0.529925
2007-06-20 0.340000 0.542351
2007-03-21 0.340000 0.506782
2006-12-20 0.310000 0.428769
2006-09-20 0.310000 0.502513
2006-06-21 0.310000 0.533563
2006-03-22 0.310000 0.517098
2005-12-21 0.280000 0.460451
2005-09-21 0.280000 0.502242
2005-06-22 0.280000 0.475140
2005-03-23 0.280000 0.486957
2004-12-21 0.240000 0.380047
2004-09-22 0.240000 0.418337
2004-06-23 0.240000 0.420757
2004-03-24 0.240000 0.388224
2003-12-17 0.200000 0.347826
2003-09-23 0.200000 0.349650
2003-06-23 0.200000 0.400240
2003-03-27 0.200000 0.507485
2002-12-17 0.170000 0.383487
2002-09-20 0.170000 0.424788
2002-06-24 0.170000 0.304223
2002-03-22 0.170000 0.315575
2001-12-17 0.150000 0.294406
2001-09-20 0.150000 0.373134
2001-06-21 0.150000 0.270076
2001-03-22 0.150000 0.301285
2000-12-18 0.136667 0.279387
2000-09-21 0.136667 0.310607
2000-06-22 0.136667 0.412580
2000-03-23 0.136667 0.416245
1999-12-16 0.136667 0.435592
1999-09-23 0.133333 0.405062
1999-06-23 0.133333 0.307988
1999-03-25 0.133333 0.339702
1998-12-17 0.133333 0.312805
1998-09-24 0.133333 0.336487
1998-06-24 0.133333 0.275387
1998-03-26 0.133333 0.262725
1997-12-24 0.130000 0.304687
1997-09-25 0.130000 0.324324
1997-06-25 0.126667 0.327587
1997-03-26 0.126667 0.380001
1996-12-17 0.126667 0.387756
1996-09-17 0.126667 0.466259
1996-06-20 0.115000 0.449511
1996-03-19 0.115000 0.457711
1995-12-19 0.115000 0.462312
1995-09-19 0.115000 0.483362
1995-06-22 0.103333 0.463550
1995-03-17 0.103333 0.499998
1994-12-13 0.103333 0.618452
1994-09-13 0.103333 0.514521
1994-06-20 0.074000 0.374684
1994-03-21 0.086667 0.442555
1993-12-14 0.086667 0.408646
1993-09-14 0.086667 0.348410
1993-06-21 0.070000 0.333996
1993-03-22 0.070000 0.323077
1992-12-15 0.070000 0.331361
1992-09-22 0.070000 0.362069
1992-06-19 0.056667 0.334977
1992-03-24 0.056667 0.344306
1991-12-17 0.056667 0.368566
1991-09-23 0.056667 0.426335
1991-06-18 0.046667 0.417913
1991-03-19 0.046667 0.402881
1990-12-14 0.046667 0.518522
1990-09-21 0.046667 0.543693
1990-06-19 0.033333 0.246911
1990-03-13 0.033333 0.331947
1989-12-26 0.033333 0.321282
1989-09-22 0.033333 0.358741
1989-08-11 0.023333 0.251117
1989-05-05 0.023333 0.269227
1989-02-10 0.023333 0.319995
1988-08-05 0.013333 0.214760
1988-05-06 0.013333 0.248056
1988-02-09 0.013333 0.248056
1987-11-09 0.013333 0.299058
1987-08-10 0.013333 0.191612
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2023-12-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 8.0
lastDividendDate 2023-12-26
dividendDate 2023-12-22

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.4241072
Address1 1 Manhattanville Road
Address2 Suite 202
All Time High 76.02
All Time Low 2.17
Ask 6.61
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 368,380
Average Daily Volume3 Month 335,575
Average Volume 335,575
Average Volume10Days 368,380
Beta 1.316
Bid 6.29
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 3
Book Value -44.823
City Purchase
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.3
Current Ratio 3.717
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 6.425
Day Low 6.265
Display Name MBIA
Dividend Date 1,703,203,200
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,243,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,243,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 35.162
Enterprise Value 3,445,884,416
Eps Current Year -0.3
Eps Forward -0.42
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.04
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,702,598,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.1268
Fifty Day Average Change 0.17320013
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.028269265
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 42.41072
Fifty Two Week High 8.26
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.96
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.23728813
Fifty Two Week Low 4.41
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.8900003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.42857152
Fifty Two Week Range 4.41 - 8.26
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 552,144,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.85
Float Shares 45,114,825
Forward Eps -0.42
Forward P E -15.000001
Free Cashflow 111,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 57
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 1.2755101
Gross Profits 125,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.114250004
Held Percent Institutions 0.50916
Implied Shares Outstanding 50,934,039
Industry Insurance - Specialty
Industry Disp Insurance - Specialty
Industry Key insurance-specialty
Ir Website http://investor.mbia.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,703,548,800
Last Dividend Value 8.0
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 987,984,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary MBIA Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial guarantee insurance services to public finance markets in the United States. It operates through United States (U.S.) Public Finance Insurance, Corporate, and International and Structured Finance Insurance segments. The company issues financial guarantees for municipal bonds, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness of the U.S. political subdivisions, as well as utilities, airports, health care institutions, higher educational facilities, housing authorities, and other similar agencies and obligations issued by private entities. It also insures non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance, including asset-backed obligations; sovereign-related and sub-sovereign bonds, utilities, and privately issued bonds used for the financing for toll roads, bridges, public transportation facilities, and other types of infrastructure projects; and structured finance and asset-backed obligations comprising residential and commercial mortgages, consumer loans, and structured settlements. as well as offers third-party reinsurance agreements. MBIA Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
Long Name MBIA Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 320,884,448
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_286548
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -152,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 324,959,168
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 6.44
Operating Cashflow 48,000,000
Operating Margins 0.18181999
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.71
Phone 914 273 4545
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 6.3
Post Market Time 1,783,981,117
Previous Close 6.38
Price Eps Current Year -21.0
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -0.14055283
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.274331
Profit Margins -1.58163
Quick Ratio 3.627
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0799999
Regular Market Change Percent -1.25392
Regular Market Day High 6.425
Regular Market Day Low 6.265
Regular Market Day Range 6.265 - 6.425
Regular Market Open 6.44
Regular Market Previous Close 6.38
Regular Market Price 6.3
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 288,211
Return On Assets 0.01277
Revenue Growth 0.048
Revenue Per Share 1.974
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 50,934,039
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0463
Shares Short 2,358,623
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,088,821
Short Name MBIA Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.052199997
Short Ratio 6.72
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol MBI
Target High Price 7.5
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 7.25
Target Median Price 7.25
Total Cash 435,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 8.54
Total Debt 3,555,000,064
Total Revenue 98,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.04
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.58305
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.28304958
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.042996727
Type Disp Equity
Volume 288,211
Website https://www.mbia.com
Zip 10,577