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MBIA Inc. (MBI)

Financial Services | Insurance - Specialty | Purchase, United States | NYSE
4.79 USD -0.01 (-0.208%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.79

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:51 a.m. EDT

This is a distressed asset with no immediate catalyst for recovery. The company is reporting deep losses, with negative earnings per share and a negative book value, indicating the market has already priced in significant insolvency risks. While the price recently rallied nearly 100% year-over-year, this appears to be a volatile bounce off a floor rather than a trend reversal, especially given the continued negative revenue growth. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders buying insurance against further drops rather than betting on gains. There is no dividend to provide income, and the balance sheet is fragile. Until there is concrete evidence of a turnaround in operations or a resolution to the debt issues, this remains a high-risk speculation with a low probability of success.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.089257
AutoETS0.091065
AutoARIMA0.091066
MSTL0.095974

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 1.47
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.085
Excess Kurtosis -0.65
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2023-12-14
Last Dividend Date 2023-12-25
Revenue per Share 1.767
Market Cap 244,368,768
Forward P/E -10.76
Beta 1.34
Profit Margins -164.77%
Website https://www.mbia.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $4.00, $6.00, $10.00) compared to negligible call volume. The call market shows heavy concentration in strikes far above the current price ($10.00, $12.00), suggesting speculative bets on a distant recovery rather than near-term upside. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting fear of further declines.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2023-12-26 8.000000 119.940029
2007-12-19 0.340000 1.258327
2007-09-19 0.340000 0.529925
2007-06-20 0.340000 0.542351
2007-03-21 0.340000 0.506782
2006-12-20 0.310000 0.428769
2006-09-20 0.310000 0.502513
2006-06-21 0.310000 0.533563
2006-03-22 0.310000 0.517098
2005-12-21 0.280000 0.460451
2005-09-21 0.280000 0.502242
2005-06-22 0.280000 0.475140
2005-03-23 0.280000 0.486957
2004-12-21 0.240000 0.380047
2004-09-22 0.240000 0.418337
2004-06-23 0.240000 0.420757
2004-03-24 0.240000 0.388224
2003-12-17 0.200000 0.347826
2003-09-23 0.200000 0.349650
2003-06-23 0.200000 0.400240
2003-03-27 0.200000 0.507485
2002-12-17 0.170000 0.383487
2002-09-20 0.170000 0.424788
2002-06-24 0.170000 0.304223
2002-03-22 0.170000 0.315575
2001-12-17 0.150000 0.294406
2001-09-20 0.150000 0.373134
2001-06-21 0.150000 0.270076
2001-03-22 0.150000 0.301285
2000-12-18 0.136667 0.279387
2000-09-21 0.136667 0.310607
2000-06-22 0.136667 0.412580
2000-03-23 0.136667 0.416245
1999-12-16 0.136667 0.435592
1999-09-23 0.133333 0.405062
1999-06-23 0.133333 0.307988
1999-03-25 0.133333 0.339702
1998-12-17 0.133333 0.312805
1998-09-24 0.133333 0.336487
1998-06-24 0.133333 0.275387
1998-03-26 0.133333 0.262725
1997-12-24 0.130000 0.304687
1997-09-25 0.130000 0.324324
1997-06-25 0.126667 0.327587
1997-03-26 0.126667 0.380001
1996-12-17 0.126667 0.387756
1996-09-17 0.126667 0.466259
1996-06-20 0.115000 0.449511
1996-03-19 0.115000 0.457711
1995-12-19 0.115000 0.462312
1995-09-19 0.115000 0.483362
1995-06-22 0.103333 0.463550
1995-03-17 0.103333 0.499998
1994-12-13 0.103333 0.618452
1994-09-13 0.103333 0.514521
1994-06-20 0.074000 0.374684
1994-03-21 0.086667 0.442555
1993-12-14 0.086667 0.408646
1993-09-14 0.086667 0.348410
1993-06-21 0.070000 0.333996
1993-03-22 0.070000 0.323077
1992-12-15 0.070000 0.331361
1992-09-22 0.070000 0.362069
1992-06-19 0.056667 0.334977
1992-03-24 0.056667 0.344306
1991-12-17 0.056667 0.368566
1991-09-23 0.056667 0.426335
1991-06-18 0.046667 0.417913
1991-03-19 0.046667 0.402881
1990-12-14 0.046667 0.518522
1990-09-21 0.046667 0.543693
1990-06-19 0.033333 0.246911
1990-03-13 0.033333 0.331947
1989-12-26 0.033333 0.321282
1989-09-22 0.033333 0.358741
1989-08-11 0.023333 0.251117
1989-05-05 0.023333 0.269227
1989-02-10 0.023333 0.319995
1988-08-05 0.013333 0.214760
1988-05-06 0.013333 0.248056
1988-02-09 0.013333 0.248056
1987-11-09 0.013333 0.299058
1987-08-10 0.013333 0.191612
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2023-12-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 8.0
lastDividendDate 2023-12-26
dividendDate 2023-12-22

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.3882503
Address1 1 Manhattanville Road
Address2 Suite 202
All Time High 76.02
All Time Low 2.17
Ask 4.95
Ask Size 800
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 610,890
Average Daily Volume3 Month 430,649
Average Volume 430,649
Average Volume10Days 610,890
Beta 1.344
Bid 4.76
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 3
Book Value -45.594
City Purchase
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.79
Current Ratio 3.956
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 4.86
Day Low 4.77
Display Name MBIA
Dividend Date 1,703,203,200
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,105,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,105,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 38.584
Enterprise Value 3,395,368,704
Eps Current Year -0.495
Eps Forward -0.445
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.82
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,702,598,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.7176
Fifty Day Average Change -0.9275999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.16223589
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -38.825027
Fifty Two Week High 8.17
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.38
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4137087
Fifty Two Week Low 4.72
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.07000017
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.0148305455
Fifty Two Week Range 4.72 - 8.17
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 552,144,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.85
Float Shares 41,865,114
Forward Eps -0.445
Forward P E -10.764045
Free Cashflow 122,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 57
Fullday Change -0.0100002
Fullday Change Percent -0.208338
Fullday Price 4.79
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 1.29545
Gross Profits 114,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.17938
Held Percent Institutions 0.54521
Implied Shares Outstanding 51,016,444
Industry Insurance - Specialty
Industry Disp Insurance - Specialty
Industry Key insurance-specialty
Ir Website http://investor.mbia.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,703,548,800
Last Dividend Value 8.0
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 987,984,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary MBIA Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial guarantee insurance services to public finance markets in the United States. It operates through United States (U.S.) Public Finance Insurance, Corporate, and International and Structured Finance Insurance segments. The company issues financial guarantees for municipal bonds, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness of the U.S. political subdivisions, as well as utilities, airports, health care institutions, higher educational facilities, housing authorities, and other similar agencies and obligations issued by private entities. It also insures non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance, including asset-backed obligations; sovereign-related and sub-sovereign bonds, utilities, and privately issued bonds used for the financing for toll roads, bridges, public transportation facilities, and other types of infrastructure projects; and structured finance and asset-backed obligations comprising residential and commercial mortgages, consumer loans, and structured settlements. as well as offers third-party reinsurance agreements. MBIA Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
Long Name MBIA Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 244,368,768
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_286548
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -142,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 244,878,931
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 4.78
Operating Cashflow 43,000,000
Operating Margins 0.22222
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.71
Phone 914 273 4545
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 4.79
Post Market Time 1,787,961,600
Previous Close 4.8
Price Eps Current Year -9.676767
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -0.10505768
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.776918
Profit Margins -1.64773
Quick Ratio 3.869
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.208338
Regular Market Day High 4.86
Regular Market Day Low 4.77
Regular Market Day Range 4.77 - 4.86
Regular Market Open 4.78
Regular Market Previous Close 4.8
Regular Market Price 4.79
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 481,874
Return On Assets 0.012460001
Revenue Growth -0.25
Revenue Per Share 1.767
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 51,016,444
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0582
Shares Short 2,970,765
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 2,450,273
Short Name MBIA Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0656
Short Ratio 6.32
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol MBI
Target High Price 7.0
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 7.0
Target Median Price 7.0
Total Cash 452,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 8.86
Total Debt 3,595,000,064
Total Revenue 88,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.82
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.29065
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5006499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.23855245
Type Disp Equity
Volume 481,874
Website https://www.mbia.com
Zip 10,577