Simplify Bitcoin Strategy ETF (MAXI)Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
14.22 USD
+0.19
(1.391%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 2:06 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:44 a.m. EDT
The Simplify Bitcoin Strategy ETF presents a fascinating dichotomy between a fundamentally superior long-term vehicle and a technically volatile short-term trade. Over the past three years, the asset has delivered exceptional performance, rising nearly 128% with three consecutive years of double-digit growth. This trajectory, combined with a massive 19% dividend yield generated through the compounding of Bitcoin's appreciation, makes it a compelling buy-and-hold instrument for investors seeking crypto exposure without direct custody risks. The yield is not a static payout but a reflection of the asset's explosive recent run. However, the short-term outlook is murky. While the price has recently pulled back from its highs, trading below the 50-day moving average, the statistical forecasting models offer no directional edge, showing a flat prediction with low confidence. This suggests the market is currently digesting the recent gains rather than aggressively chasing new highs. The options data reflects this tension: while traders are buying calls for a potential rebound, they are also heavily insuring against a drop, indicating a fear of a sharp correction. Until the price stabilizes above key moving averages or a clear trend emerges, the immediate entry point remains neutral. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.250152 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.250797 |
| AutoETS | 0.251301 |
| AutoTheta | 0.272303 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 31% |
| H-stat | 71.68 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.079 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.64 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 41.14 |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:44 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move over the next few months, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes like 17 and 20 for the December expiration. However, there is a distinct hedging layer with significant put open interest at lower strikes (9 and 14), suggesting a belief that volatility will spike or prices could dip significantly before recovering, creating a 'long gamma' environment where the market may range-bound.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33% | 20.74% | 31.06% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 0.050 | 0.325330 |
| 2026-08-26 | 0.050 | 0.361402 |
| 2026-07-28 | 0.030 | 0.334076 |
| 2026-06-25 | 0.080 | 0.955224 |
| 2026-05-26 | 0.100 | 0.923788 |
| 2026-04-27 | 0.100 | 0.891266 |
| 2026-01-27 | 0.100 | 0.682827 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0.875 | 5.936631 |
| 2025-11-21 | 1.000 | 6.637462 |
| 2025-10-28 | 1.000 | 3.690037 |
| 2025-09-25 | 1.000 | 3.890294 |
| 2025-08-26 | 1.000 | 3.576410 |
| 2025-07-28 | 1.000 | 3.052130 |
| 2025-06-25 | 0.350 | 1.186441 |
| 2025-05-27 | 0.500 | 1.476233 |
| 2025-04-25 | 0.300 | 1.142422 |
| 2025-03-26 | 0.100 | 0.456830 |
| 2025-02-25 | 0.100 | 0.427899 |
| 2025-01-28 | 0.150 | 0.511945 |
| 2024-12-23 | 1.670 | 6.299510 |
| 2024-11-25 | 2.000 | 6.724950 |
| 2024-10-28 | 1.000 | 4.299226 |
| 2024-09-25 | 1.000 | 4.545455 |
| 2024-08-27 | 1.000 | 4.364906 |
| 2024-07-26 | 1.000 | 3.668379 |
| 2024-06-25 | 0.150 | 0.576258 |
| 2024-05-24 | 0.150 | 0.500167 |
| 2024-04-25 | 0.150 | 0.541516 |
| 2024-03-25 | 0.150 | 0.487013 |
| 2024-02-26 | 0.150 | 0.612996 |
| 2024-01-26 | 0.150 | 0.797448 |
| 2023-12-26 | 4.180 | 21.794670 |
| 2023-11-27 | 0.150 | 0.727802 |
| 2023-10-26 | 0.150 | 0.778008 |
| 2023-09-27 | 0.150 | 0.998336 |
| 2023-08-28 | 0.150 | 1.005362 |
| 2023-07-26 | 0.150 | 0.871485 |
| 2023-06-27 | 0.150 | 0.817884 |
| 2023-05-25 | 0.150 | 0.957182 |
| 2023-04-25 | 0.150 | 0.907496 |
| 2023-03-27 | 0.150 | 0.915192 |
| 2023-02-23 | 0.150 | 1.012761 |
| 2022-12-27 | 0.440 | 4.261501 |
| 2022-11-25 | 0.007 | 0.066326 |
| 2022-10-26 | 0.014 | 0.106375 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 36.34 |
| All Time Low | 8.22 |
| Ask | 11.52 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 24,850 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 25,112 |
| Average Volume | 25,112 |
| Average Volume10Days | 24,850 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.0 |
| Bid | 6.42 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Category | Digital Assets |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 14.265 |
| Day Low | 13.43 |
| Dividend Yield | 19.16 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.34552798 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 13.16504 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.0499601 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.07975366 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -43.76154 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 28.38 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -14.164999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.49911907 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 8.22 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.995 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.7293187 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 8.22 - 28.38 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,664,544,600,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Fullday Change | 0.1949997 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.390868 |
| Fullday Price | 14.215 |
| Fund Family | Simplify Asset Management |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,664,409,600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,022-09-30 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund (an “ETF”). The fund’s adviser seeks to achieve its investment objective by using three strategies: (1) a Bitcoin strategy, (2) an income strategy, and (3) an option overlay strategy. Under normal market conditions, the adviser selects investments in Bitcoin related instruments so that the total value of economic Bitcoin exposure is approximately 50% to 200% of the net assets of the fund. It is non-diversified. |
| Long Name | Simplify Bitcoin Strategy ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1800965302 |
| Nav Price | 14.6443 |
| Net Assets | 37,871,304.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 1.31 |
| Open | 13.47 |
| Phone | 614-469-3294 |
| Previous Close | 14.02 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.1949997 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.390868 |
| Regular Market Day High | 14.265 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 13.43 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 13.43 - 14.265 |
| Regular Market Open | 13.47 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 14.02 |
| Regular Market Price | 14.215 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,087,590 |
| Regular Market Volume | 13,008 |
| Short Name | Simplify Bitcoin Strategy ETF |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | MAXI |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.31783488 |
| Total Assets | 37,871,304 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing P E | 41.13994 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 82.3409 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 82.3409 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.43118 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 2.7838202 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.24352868 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 13,008 |
| Yield | 0.1916 |
| Ytd Return | 9.56932 |