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Macy's, Inc. (M)

Consumer Cyclical | Department Stores | New York, United States | NYSE
22.78 USD +0.14 (0.618%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 22.77 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:18 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:21 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains precarious despite a recent price recovery. While the stock has rallied significantly from its 2025 lows, the underlying business trajectory tells a different story: revenue growth is merely 2%, and the company is still expecting a sales decline for the current year. The market has priced in a turnaround, but the fundamentals—low operating margins and a struggling core retail model—do not yet support a 'buy and hold' thesis at these levels. The short-term rating is neutral because the recent bounce appears to be a technical relief rally rather than a fundamental inflection; the statistical forecast even leans slightly negative, confirming that the recent gains may be fragile. However, the dividend offers a tangible floor. With a 3.4% yield and a sustainable payout ratio, the stock acts as a distressed income play rather than a growth investment. Investors should view this as a speculative bet on a retail revival, not a certainty.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_90_126 ✓0.048229
MSTL_1260.059355
MSTL_900.111363
MSTL0.114053
AutoETS0.121709
AutoTheta0.121830
AutoARIMA0.121878

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_90_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 6.91
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.309
Excess Kurtosis 0.86
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 105.623
Revenue per Share 84.998
Market Cap 5,992,004,608
Trailing P/E 9.41
Forward P/E 9.78
Beta 1.49
Profit Margins 2.94%
Website https://www.macysinc.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest at strikes just below the current price ($20-$22), creating a significant 'floor' wall. Conversely, call activity is concentrated further out-of-the-money ($25-$30), suggesting a speculative hope for a rebound to previous highs rather than immediate upside. The imbalance in open interest favors downside protection, while implied volatility remains elevated, indicating uncertainty about the sustainability of the recent rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.78% 3.71% 4.33% 3.85%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-15 0.1920 0.777958
2026-03-13 0.1920 1.126100
2025-12-15 0.1820 0.763423
2025-09-15 0.1820 1.043578
2025-06-13 0.1820 1.619217
2025-03-14 0.1820 1.391437
2024-12-13 0.1740 1.050725
2024-09-13 0.1740 1.160000
2024-06-14 0.1740 0.947712
2024-03-14 0.1740 0.809302
2023-12-14 0.1650 0.840979
2023-09-14 0.1650 1.452465
2023-06-14 0.1650 1.039698
2023-03-14 0.1650 0.881410
2022-12-14 0.1580 0.726103
2022-09-14 0.1580 0.952955
2022-06-14 0.1580 0.724771
2022-03-14 0.1580 0.664145
2021-12-14 0.1500 0.581846
2021-09-14 0.1500 0.717017
2020-03-12 0.3780 5.121951
2019-12-12 0.3780 2.406111
2019-09-12 0.3780 2.223529
2019-06-13 0.3780 1.736334
2019-03-14 0.3780 1.599662
2018-12-13 0.3780 1.227273
2018-09-13 0.3780 1.057638
2018-06-14 0.3780 1.006390
2018-03-14 0.3780 1.293192
2017-12-14 0.3780 1.524194
2017-09-14 0.3780 1.718182
2017-06-13 0.3780 1.698113
2017-03-13 0.3780 1.223301
2016-12-13 0.3780 0.928519
2016-09-13 0.3780 1.089965
2016-06-13 0.3780 1.196203
2016-03-11 0.3600 0.811725
2015-12-11 0.3600 0.979325
2015-09-11 0.3600 0.618663
2015-06-11 0.3600 0.522345
2015-03-11 0.3130 0.501924
2014-12-11 0.3130 0.511271
2014-09-11 0.3130 0.523236
2014-06-11 0.3130 0.539748
2014-03-12 0.2500 0.425460
2013-12-11 0.2500 0.480031
2013-09-11 0.2500 0.566380
2013-06-12 0.2500 0.520183
2013-03-13 0.2000 0.474947
2012-12-12 0.2000 0.514668
2012-09-12 0.2000 0.509944
2012-06-13 0.2000 0.570451
2012-03-13 0.2000 0.505433
2011-12-13 0.1000 0.325627
2011-09-13 0.1000 0.394477
2011-06-13 0.1000 0.368596
2011-03-11 0.0500 0.210615
2010-12-13 0.0500 0.200401
2010-09-13 0.0500 0.237530
2010-06-11 0.0500 0.235405
2010-03-11 0.0500 0.237417
2009-12-11 0.0500 0.293772
2009-09-11 0.0500 0.311139
2009-06-11 0.0500 0.416667
2009-03-11 0.0500 0.636943
2008-12-11 0.1330 1.627907
2008-09-11 0.1330 0.608696
2008-06-11 0.1330 0.637584
2008-03-12 0.1300 0.560345
2007-12-12 0.1300 0.452331
2007-09-12 0.1300 0.450919
2007-06-13 0.1300 0.332226
2007-03-13 0.1280 0.290249
2006-12-13 0.1280 0.333855
2006-09-13 0.1280 0.303821
2006-06-14 0.1280 0.376803
2006-03-13 0.1250 0.348918
2005-12-13 0.1250 0.378788
2005-08-30 0.1250 0.359816
2005-06-13 0.0675 0.188311
2005-03-11 0.0675 0.217216
2004-12-13 0.0675 0.246260
2004-09-13 0.0675 0.296378
2004-06-14 0.0675 0.274334
2004-03-11 0.0625 0.247918
2003-12-11 0.0625 0.265336
2003-09-11 0.0625 0.292672
2003-06-12 0.0625 0.341717
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.77
dividendYield 3.38
exDividendDate 2026-06-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.739
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.032641344
lastDividendValue 0.192
lastDividendDate 2026-06-15
dividendDate 2026-07-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.81410253
Address1 151 West 34th Street
All Time High 73.61
All Time Low 4.38
Ask 22.8
Ask Size 1,300
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,181,980
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,013,244
Average Volume 6,013,244
Average Volume10Days 5,181,980
Beta 1.485
Bid 22.6
Bid Size 1,100
Board Risk 2
Book Value 18.389
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 22.78
Current Ratio 1.475
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 23.43
Day Low 22.675
Debt To Equity 105.623
Display Name Macy's
Dividend Date 1,782,864,000
Dividend Rate 0.77
Dividend Yield 3.38
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,748,433,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,748,433,600
Earnings Growth 0.769
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.658
Earnings Timestamp 1,780,489,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,352,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,352,200
Ebitda 1,408,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.06197
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.965
Enterprise To Revenue 0.432
Enterprise Value 9,807,004,672
Eps Current Year 2.21171
Eps Forward 2.32884
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.42
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.8972
Fifty Day Average Change 0.88280106
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.040315706
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 81.410255
Fifty Two Week High 26.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.3199997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12720305
Fifty Two Week Low 11.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.01
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.93542904
Fifty Two Week Range 11.77 - 26.1
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 697,300,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 7.85
Float Shares 258,784,630
Forward Eps 2.32884
Forward P E 9.781694
Free Cashflow 748,875,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 90,134
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.40308
Gross Profits 9,157,999,616
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01521
Held Percent Institutions 0.98955
Implied Shares Outstanding 263,037,954
Industry Department Stores
Industry Disp Department Stores
Industry Key department-stores
Ir Website http://www.macysinc.com/Investors/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,481,600
Last Dividend Value 0.192
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Last Split Date 1,150,070,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Macy's, Inc., an omni-channel retail organization, operates stores, websites, and mobile applications in the United States. The company sells various merchandise, such as apparel and accessories for men, women, and kids; cosmetics; home furnishings; and other consumer goods under the Macy's, Bloomingdale's, and Bluemercury brands. It also operates in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates, and Al Zahra, Kuwait under the license agreements. The company was formerly known as Federated Department Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Macy's, Inc. in June 2007. Macy's, Inc. was founded in 1830 and is based in New York, New York.
Long Name Macy's, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,992,004,608
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_318091
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,680,000
Net Income To Common 667,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,955,179,278
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 22.87
Operating Cashflow 1,786,000,000
Operating Margins 0.01758
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.3052
Peg Ratio 2.96
Phone 212 494 1621
Post Market Change -0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent -0.04389916
Post Market Price 22.77
Post Market Time 1,783,984,718
Previous Close 22.64
Price Eps Current Year 10.299724
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2387841
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.26373258
Profit Margins 0.029360002
Quick Ratio 0.341
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.92308
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.140001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.61838
Regular Market Day High 23.43
Regular Market Day Low 22.675
Regular Market Day Range 22.675 - 23.43
Regular Market Open 22.87
Regular Market Previous Close 22.64
Regular Market Price 22.78
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 4,492,044
Return On Assets 0.03372
Return On Equity 0.14363
Revenue Growth 0.021
Revenue Per Share 84.998
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 263,037,954
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.111
Shares Short 29,191,520
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 34,396,165
Short Name Macy's Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.1237
Short Ratio 3.7
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol M
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 22.77273
Target Median Price 23.0
Total Cash 1,294,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.919
Total Debt 5,109,000,192
Total Revenue 22,720,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.739
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.032641344
Trailing Eps 2.42
Trailing P E 9.413223
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.9595
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 20.55095
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.2290516
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.10846465
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,492,044
Website https://www.macysinc.com
Zip 10,001