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Macy's, Inc. (M)

Consumer Cyclical | Department Stores | New York, United States | NYSE
24.27 USD +0.05 (0.186%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 1:19 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:30 a.m. EDT

Macy's presents a classic 'value trap' scenario where the math looks attractive but the business reality is fragile. The stock trades at a low P/E of 8.3x, yet the market has punished the company with a nearly 56% cumulative decline over the last nine years. While the latest year saw a modest rebound (+6.9%), the underlying trajectory remains deeply distressed, with core sales expected to fall despite store revamps. The 3.36% dividend yield is enticing, but it is not enough to offset the risk of capital destruction given the deteriorating fundamentals in the department store sector. The options market confirms this tension: traders are buying protection for a potential collapse to $10 while simultaneously betting on a rally to $26, creating a choppy environment unsuitable for directional bets. The statistical forecast model offers no guidance, showing a flat prediction with low confidence, which aligns with the lack of a clear catalyst. Until there is undeniable proof of sustained top-line recovery and margin expansion, the prudent stance is to hold cash and wait for a clearer inflection point. The current price reflects a market that sees the turnaround story as incomplete.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.073516
AutoETS0.079636
AutoARIMA0.081427
AutoTheta0.092645

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 9.91
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.296
Excess Kurtosis -0.62
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 103.267
Revenue per Share 85.885
Market Cap 6,337,451,008
Trailing P/E 8.89
Forward P/E 10.19
Beta 1.47
Profit Margins 3.29%
Website https://www.macysinc.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound outcome rather than a decisive breakout. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (24-26) with massive open interest walls, suggesting a bullish bias for a move to $25-$26. However, put open interest is even more concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes (8-10), indicating a hedge against a crash to $10-$15. The heavy volume at the $22.50 strike acts as a pivot point, while the disparity in implied volatility suggests traders expect significant swings in both directions, likely centered around the current $22.67 level.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.87% 3.54% 4.13% 3.88%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-15 0.1920 0.869565
2026-06-15 0.1920 0.777958
2026-03-13 0.1920 1.126100
2025-12-15 0.1820 0.763423
2025-09-15 0.1820 1.043578
2025-06-13 0.1820 1.619217
2025-03-14 0.1820 1.391437
2024-12-13 0.1740 1.050725
2024-09-13 0.1740 1.160000
2024-06-14 0.1740 0.947712
2024-03-14 0.1740 0.809302
2023-12-14 0.1650 0.840979
2023-09-14 0.1650 1.452465
2023-06-14 0.1650 1.039698
2023-03-14 0.1650 0.881410
2022-12-14 0.1580 0.726103
2022-09-14 0.1580 0.952955
2022-06-14 0.1580 0.724771
2022-03-14 0.1580 0.664145
2021-12-14 0.1500 0.581846
2021-09-14 0.1500 0.717017
2020-03-12 0.3780 5.121951
2019-12-12 0.3780 2.406111
2019-09-12 0.3780 2.223529
2019-06-13 0.3780 1.736334
2019-03-14 0.3780 1.599662
2018-12-13 0.3780 1.227273
2018-09-13 0.3780 1.057638
2018-06-14 0.3780 1.006390
2018-03-14 0.3780 1.293192
2017-12-14 0.3780 1.524194
2017-09-14 0.3780 1.718182
2017-06-13 0.3780 1.698113
2017-03-13 0.3780 1.223301
2016-12-13 0.3780 0.928519
2016-09-13 0.3780 1.089965
2016-06-13 0.3780 1.196203
2016-03-11 0.3600 0.811725
2015-12-11 0.3600 0.979325
2015-09-11 0.3600 0.618663
2015-06-11 0.3600 0.522345
2015-03-11 0.3130 0.501924
2014-12-11 0.3130 0.511271
2014-09-11 0.3130 0.523236
2014-06-11 0.3130 0.539748
2014-03-12 0.2500 0.425460
2013-12-11 0.2500 0.480031
2013-09-11 0.2500 0.566380
2013-06-12 0.2500 0.520183
2013-03-13 0.2000 0.474947
2012-12-12 0.2000 0.514668
2012-09-12 0.2000 0.509944
2012-06-13 0.2000 0.570451
2012-03-13 0.2000 0.505433
2011-12-13 0.1000 0.325627
2011-09-13 0.1000 0.394477
2011-06-13 0.1000 0.368596
2011-03-11 0.0500 0.210615
2010-12-13 0.0500 0.200401
2010-09-13 0.0500 0.237530
2010-06-11 0.0500 0.235405
2010-03-11 0.0500 0.237417
2009-12-11 0.0500 0.293772
2009-09-11 0.0500 0.311139
2009-06-11 0.0500 0.416667
2009-03-11 0.0500 0.636943
2008-12-11 0.1330 1.627907
2008-09-11 0.1330 0.608696
2008-06-11 0.1330 0.637584
2008-03-12 0.1300 0.560345
2007-12-12 0.1300 0.452331
2007-09-12 0.1300 0.450919
2007-06-13 0.1300 0.332226
2007-03-13 0.1280 0.290249
2006-12-13 0.1280 0.333855
2006-09-13 0.1280 0.303821
2006-06-14 0.1280 0.376803
2006-03-13 0.1250 0.348918
2005-12-13 0.1250 0.378788
2005-08-30 0.1250 0.359816
2005-06-13 0.0675 0.188311
2005-03-11 0.0675 0.217216
2004-12-13 0.0675 0.246260
2004-09-13 0.0675 0.296378
2004-06-14 0.0675 0.274334
2004-03-11 0.0625 0.247918
2003-12-11 0.0625 0.265336
2003-09-11 0.0625 0.292672
2003-06-12 0.0625 0.341717
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.77
dividendYield 3.16
exDividendDate 2026-09-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.748
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.03088357
lastDividendValue 0.192
lastDividendDate 2026-09-15
dividendDate 2026-10-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.35914707
Address1 151 West 34th Street
All Time High 73.61
All Time Low 4.38
Ask 24.32
Ask Size 500
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,822,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,945,185
Average Volume 5,945,185
Average Volume10Days 6,822,640
Beta 1.465
Bid 24.31
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 2
Book Value 18.868
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 24.265
Current Ratio 1.59
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 24.71
Day Low 24.2125
Debt To Equity 103.267
Display Name Macy's
Dividend Date 1,790,812,800
Dividend Rate 0.77
Dividend Yield 3.16
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,748,433,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,748,433,600
Earnings Growth 1.0
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.943
Earnings Timestamp 1,789,043,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,796,214,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,796,214,600
Ebitda 1,400,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.06145
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.229
Enterprise To Revenue 0.444
Enterprise Value 10,120,697,856
Eps Current Year 2.3162
Eps Forward 2.3823
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.73
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.8064
Fifty Day Average Change 1.4585991
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.063955694
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 35.914707
Fifty Two Week High 26.59
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.3250008
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.08743892
Fifty Two Week Low 16.69
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.574999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4538645
Fifty Two Week Range 16.69 - 26.59
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 697,300,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.81
Float Shares 252,612,664
Forward Eps 2.3823
Forward P E 10.185535
Free Cashflow 605,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 90,134
Fullday Change 0.045000076
Fullday Change Percent 0.18579718
Fullday Price 24.265
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.40278998
Gross Profits 9,176,000,512
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03182
Held Percent Institutions 0.98964
Implied Shares Outstanding 261,176,646
Industry Department Stores
Industry Disp Department Stores
Industry Key department-stores
Ir Website http://www.macysinc.com/Investors/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Last Dividend Value 0.192
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Last Split Date 1,150,070,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Macy's, Inc., an omni-channel retail organization, operates stores, websites, and mobile applications in the United States. The company sells various merchandise, such as apparel and accessories for men, women, and kids; cosmetics; home furnishings; and other consumer goods under the Macy's, Bloomingdale's, and Bluemercury brands. It also operates in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates, and Al Zahra, Kuwait under the license agreements. The company was formerly known as Federated Department Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Macy's, Inc. in June 2007. Macy's, Inc. was founded in 1830 and is based in New York, New York.
Long Name Macy's, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,337,451,008
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_318091
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,542,400
Net Income To Common 750,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,808,568,607
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 24.63
Operating Cashflow 1,760,999,936
Operating Margins 0.03202
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.2739
Peg Ratio 2.64
Phone 212 494 1621
Previous Close 24.22
Price Eps Current Year 10.476211
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2860398
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.2781902
Profit Margins 0.03292
Quick Ratio 0.381
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.92308
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.045000076
Regular Market Change Percent 0.18579718
Regular Market Day High 24.71
Regular Market Day Low 24.2125
Regular Market Day Range 24.2125 - 24.71
Regular Market Open 24.63
Regular Market Previous Close 24.22
Regular Market Price 24.265
Regular Market Time 1,792,171,144
Regular Market Volume 3,884,165
Return On Assets 0.03509
Return On Equity 0.15993
Revenue Growth 0.012
Revenue Per Share 85.885
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 261,176,646
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1271
Shares Short 33,184,404
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 32,358,766
Short Name Macy's Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.1418
Short Ratio 4.82
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol M
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 23.18182
Target Median Price 24.0
Total Cash 1,294,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.955
Total Debt 5,088,999,936
Total Revenue 22,780,999,680
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.748
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.03088357
Trailing Eps 2.73
Trailing P E 8.888278
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.5362
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 21.5839
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.681099
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.12421754
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,884,165
Website https://www.macysinc.com
Zip 10,001