LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS)Technology | Electronic Components | Cincinnati, United States | NasdaqGS
20.25 USD
+0.02
(0.074%)
⇧
(Oct. 16, 2026, 12:41 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:01 a.m. EDT
The investment case for LSI Industries hinges on a stark divergence between its deteriorating operational reality and its aggressive re-rating by the market. Fundamentally, the company is struggling; revenue growth has stalled at 51% year-over-year (a massive drop from previous trends), earnings are contracting at nearly 28%, and free cash flow is negative. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying debt significantly higher than its equity base, which creates a looming refinancing risk. Despite these red flags, the market has completely ignored the deterioration, driving the stock up 102% over the last nine years and assigning a 'Strong Buy' rating based on optimistic forward earnings estimates that assume a rapid turnaround. This optimism is now crystallizing in the options chain, where traders are betting big on a surge to $30, ignoring the lack of immediate catalysts. While the long-term business model shows resilience with a decent ROE and manageable payout ratio, the current trajectory suggests a high-risk, high-reward scenario where the stock is priced for perfection. For investors, this is a volatile play on a turnaround story that hasn't yet proven itself, rather than a stable compounder. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.102797 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.103022 |
| AutoETS | 0.103023 |
| AutoTheta | 0.111964 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 41% |
| H-stat | 10.81 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.053 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.63 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-08-30 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-08-30 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 85.042 |
| Revenue per Share | 20.973 |
| Market Cap | 755,233,920 |
| Trailing P/E | 30.22 |
| Forward P/E | 11.64 |
| Beta | 0.48 |
| Profit Margins | 3.28% |
| Website | https://www.lsicorp.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, positioning heavy out-of-the-money call volume at the $30 strike across multiple expirations, while put activity is negligible and concentrated only in the money. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term calls, suggesting a speculative bet on a significant upside move rather than a hedging strategy.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26% | 0.98% | 1.15% | 1.53% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 0.050000 | 0.255232 |
| 2026-05-04 | 0.050000 | 0.214869 |
| 2026-02-02 | 0.050000 | 0.224316 |
| 2025-11-17 | 0.050000 | 0.283768 |
| 2025-09-02 | 0.050000 | 0.219491 |
| 2025-05-05 | 0.050000 | 0.322165 |
| 2025-02-03 | 0.050000 | 0.238209 |
| 2024-11-18 | 0.050000 | 0.250627 |
| 2024-08-26 | 0.050000 | 0.327011 |
| 2024-05-03 | 0.050000 | 0.327225 |
| 2024-02-02 | 0.050000 | 0.364166 |
| 2023-11-10 | 0.050000 | 0.408497 |
| 2023-08-25 | 0.050000 | 0.324254 |
| 2023-05-05 | 0.050000 | 0.403551 |
| 2023-02-03 | 0.050000 | 0.362056 |
| 2022-11-10 | 0.050000 | 0.478011 |
| 2022-08-26 | 0.050000 | 0.602410 |
| 2022-05-06 | 0.050000 | 0.711238 |
| 2022-02-04 | 0.050000 | 0.686813 |
| 2021-11-12 | 0.050000 | 0.621118 |
| 2021-08-27 | 0.050000 | 0.593120 |
| 2021-04-30 | 0.050000 | 0.608272 |
| 2021-01-29 | 0.050000 | 0.520291 |
| 2020-11-06 | 0.050000 | 0.697350 |
| 2020-08-28 | 0.050000 | 0.715308 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.050000 | 0.829187 |
| 2020-02-14 | 0.050000 | 0.730994 |
| 2019-11-15 | 0.050000 | 0.954199 |
| 2019-08-30 | 0.050000 | 1.118568 |
| 2019-05-03 | 0.050000 | 1.416431 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.050000 | 1.562500 |
| 2018-11-15 | 0.050000 | 1.108647 |
| 2018-08-24 | 0.050000 | 0.931099 |
| 2018-05-04 | 0.050000 | 0.863558 |
| 2018-02-02 | 0.050000 | 0.628931 |
| 2017-11-03 | 0.050000 | 0.750751 |
| 2017-08-24 | 0.050000 | 0.884956 |
| 2017-05-04 | 0.050000 | 0.556793 |
| 2017-02-02 | 0.050000 | 0.525762 |
| 2016-11-03 | 0.050000 | 0.593120 |
| 2016-08-25 | 0.050000 | 0.498504 |
| 2016-04-28 | 0.050000 | 0.392465 |
| 2016-02-04 | 0.050000 | 0.485437 |
| 2015-10-29 | 0.040000 | 0.371747 |
| 2015-08-27 | 0.030000 | 0.327511 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.030000 | 0.333333 |
| 2015-02-06 | 0.020000 | 0.259067 |
| 2014-11-18 | 0.010000 | 0.147059 |
| 2014-08-28 | 0.060000 | 0.873362 |
| 2014-05-02 | 0.060000 | 0.821918 |
| 2014-01-31 | 0.060000 | 0.710901 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.060000 | 0.688073 |
| 2013-08-29 | 0.060000 | 0.868307 |
| 2013-05-03 | 0.060000 | 0.829876 |
| 2012-12-13 | 0.180000 | 2.620087 |
| 2012-11-02 | 0.060000 | 0.842697 |
| 2012-08-24 | 0.060000 | 0.936037 |
| 2012-05-04 | 0.060000 | 0.960000 |
| 2012-02-03 | 0.060000 | 0.826446 |
| 2011-11-04 | 0.060000 | 0.882353 |
| 2011-08-26 | 0.050000 | 0.712251 |
| 2011-05-06 | 0.050000 | 0.618812 |
| 2011-02-04 | 0.050000 | 0.660502 |
| 2010-10-29 | 0.050000 | 0.540541 |
| 2010-08-27 | 0.050000 | 0.939850 |
| 2010-04-30 | 0.050000 | 0.711238 |
| 2010-01-29 | 0.050000 | 0.838926 |
| 2009-10-30 | 0.050000 | 0.715308 |
| 2009-08-28 | 0.050000 | 0.642674 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.050000 | 0.894454 |
| 2009-01-30 | 0.050000 | 1.098901 |
| 2008-10-30 | 0.050000 | 0.694444 |
| 2008-08-28 | 0.150000 | 1.644737 |
| 2008-05-02 | 0.150000 | 1.388889 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.150000 | 1.152074 |
| 2007-11-02 | 0.150000 | 0.845547 |
| 2007-08-30 | 0.180000 | 0.890648 |
| 2007-05-04 | 0.130000 | 0.845804 |
| 2007-02-02 | 0.130000 | 0.686741 |
| 2006-11-03 | 0.130000 | 0.745413 |
| 2006-08-31 | 0.120000 | 0.654664 |
| 2006-05-05 | 0.120000 | 0.676437 |
| 2006-02-03 | 0.120000 | 0.878477 |
| 2005-11-04 | 0.120000 | 0.732154 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.200000 | 1.321004 |
| 2005-05-06 | 0.100000 | 0.754717 |
| 2005-02-04 | 0.100000 | 0.868056 |
| 2004-11-05 | 0.072000 | 0.664207 |
| 2004-09-02 | 0.072000 | 0.721443 |
| 2004-05-07 | 0.072000 | 0.727273 |
| 2004-01-30 | 0.072000 | 0.524017 |
| 2003-11-03 | 0.072000 | 0.585176 |
| 2003-08-28 | 0.048000 | 0.461538 |
| 2003-05-02 | 0.048000 | 0.551471 |
| 2003-02-07 | 0.048000 | 0.626959 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.048000 | 0.563380 |
| 2002-08-29 | 0.048000 | 0.603015 |
| 2002-05-03 | 0.048000 | 0.300752 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.048000 | 0.345821 |
| 2001-11-02 | 0.048000 | 0.413034 |
| 2001-08-30 | 0.045333 | 0.341363 |
| 2001-05-04 | 0.045333 | 0.354164 |
| 2001-02-02 | 0.045333 | 0.435894 |
| 2000-11-03 | 0.045333 | 0.442994 |
| 2000-08-31 | 0.069333 | 0.654085 |
| 2000-05-05 | 0.042667 | 0.455520 |
| 2000-02-04 | 0.042667 | 0.419675 |
| 1999-11-05 | 0.042667 | 0.357545 |
| 1999-09-02 | 0.036267 | 0.289364 |
| 1999-05-07 | 0.036267 | 0.333745 |
| 1999-02-05 | 0.036267 | 0.318132 |
| 1998-11-06 | 0.036267 | 0.337891 |
| 1998-09-03 | 0.033067 | 0.332889 |
| 1998-05-08 | 0.033067 | 0.269568 |
| 1998-02-06 | 0.033067 | 0.325249 |
| 1997-11-06 | 0.033067 | 0.339729 |
| 1997-09-05 | 0.026667 | 0.327873 |
| 1997-05-09 | 0.026667 | 0.390249 |
| 1997-02-07 | 0.026667 | 0.357147 |
| 1996-11-07 | 0.026667 | 0.487811 |
| 1996-09-06 | 0.021333 | 0.249996 |
| 1996-05-08 | 0.021333 | 0.225349 |
| 1996-01-31 | 0.021333 | 0.249996 |
| 1995-11-02 | 0.021333 | 0.230212 |
| 1995-05-09 | 0.014222 | 0.246150 |
| 1995-01-31 | 0.014222 | 0.336837 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.014222 | 0.359545 |
| 1994-09-06 | 0.008889 | 0.210529 |
| 1993-08-31 | 0.004267 | 0.208712 |
| 1992-08-27 | 0.004267 | 0.320025 |
| 1991-08-26 | 0.004267 | 0.266687 |
| 1990-08-27 | 0.004267 | 0.192015 |
| 1989-08-28 | 0.017778 | 0.396045 |
| 1988-08-26 | 0.011852 | 0.396044 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.08585632 |
| Address1 | 10,000 Alliance Road |
| All Time High | 27.36 |
| All Time Low | 1.155556 |
| Ask | 26.08 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 335,610 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 371,860 |
| Average Volume | 371,860 |
| Average Volume10Days | 335,610 |
| Beta | 0.481 |
| Bid | 14.55 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 10.05 |
| City | Cincinnati |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 20.245 |
| Current Ratio | 1.974 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 20.4556 |
| Day Low | 20.005 |
| Debt To Equity | 85.042 |
| Display Name | LSI Industries |
| Dividend Date | 1,788,825,600 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.2 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.99 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,787,238,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,787,238,000 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.282 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.158 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,787,229,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,881,800 |
| Ebitda | 64,868,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.09409001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 15.792 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.486 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,024,367,744 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.345 |
| Eps Forward | 1.74 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.67 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 21.2266 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.9815998 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.046243854 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -8.585632 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 27.36 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -7.115 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.26005116 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 17.21 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.0350018 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.17635107 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 17.21 - 27.36 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 479,485,800,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 1.34 |
| Float Shares | 34,509,211 |
| Forward Eps | 1.74 |
| Forward P E | 11.635057 |
| Free Cashflow | -6,649,625 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 3,000 |
| Fullday Change | 0.015001297 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.07415372 |
| Fullday Price | 20.245 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.25147 |
| Gross Profits | 173,364,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.10268 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.92051005 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 37,304,713 |
| Industry | Electronic Components |
| Industry Disp | Electronic Components |
| Industry Key | electronic-components |
| Ir Website | http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=64125&p=irol-IRHome |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.05 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,782,777,600 |
| Last Split Date | 1,069,027,200 |
| Last Split Factor | 5:4 |
| Long Business Summary | LSI Industries Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells non-residential lighting and retail display solutions in the United States. The company operates through Lighting and Display Solutions segments. It offers outdoor and indoor lighting fixture and controls solutions, including sensors, photocontrols, dimming, motion detection, and circuit controllers. The company also provides exterior and interior visual image and display elements, including printed graphics, structural graphics, digital signage, digital menu board systems, refrigerated displays, and custom display elements. In addition, it offers signage and canopy, pump dispenser, building fascia graphics, decals, interior signage and marketing graphics, aisle markers, wall mural graphics, refrigerated food and beverage displays, check-out counters, and an array of merchandising displays and cabinetry. Further, the company provides various project management services, including installation management, site surveys, permitting, and content management. It serves across various vertical markets, such as refueling and convenience store, parking lot and garage, quick-service restaurant, retail, grocery and pharmacy, automotive dealership, sports court and field, and warehouse. LSI Industries Inc. was founded in 1976 and is based in Cincinnati, Ohio. |
| Long Name | LSI Industries Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 755,233,920 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_283721 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 22,579,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,814,313,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 754,169,440 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 3 |
| Open | 20.22 |
| Operating Cashflow | 44,148,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.10395 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.2985 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.4 |
| Phone | 513 793 3200 |
| Previous Close | 20.23 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 15.052045 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.014428 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.0954993 |
| Profit Margins | 0.03275 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.146 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.015001297 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.07415372 |
| Regular Market Day High | 20.4556 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 20.005 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 20.005 - 20.4556 |
| Regular Market Open | 20.22 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 20.23 |
| Regular Market Price | 20.245 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,168,882 |
| Regular Market Volume | 82,138 |
| Return On Assets | 0.049239997 |
| Return On Equity | 0.07636 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.513 |
| Revenue Per Share | 20.973 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 37,304,713 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.083900005 |
| Shares Short | 3,129,775 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2,622,237 |
| Short Name | LSI Industries Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.089099996 |
| Short Ratio | 7.47 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | OH |
| Symbol | LYTS |
| Target High Price | 31.0 |
| Target Low Price | 29.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 30.0 |
| Target Median Price | 30.0 |
| Total Cash | 14,249,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.394 |
| Total Debt | 306,726,016 |
| Total Revenue | 689,396,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.2 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.009886308 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.67 |
| Trailing P E | 30.21642 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 21.96835 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.7233486 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.07844689 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 82,138 |
| Website | https://www.lsicorp.com |
| Zip | 45,242 |