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Lyft, Inc. (LYFT)

Technology | Software - Application | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
17.16 USD +0.68 (4.126%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:29 a.m. EDT

Lyft presents a compelling high-risk, high-reward setup for aggressive investors, driven by a massive disconnect between its current depressed valuation and its explosive earnings growth. Fundamentally, the company is a turnaround story with revenue growing at 16% and earnings surging 35%, trading at a forward P/E of just 7.5x—a valuation that implies the market has priced in permanent failure despite the business showing signs of life. The balance sheet is manageable with strong free cash flow, though the debt-to-equity ratio remains elevated. The short-term outlook is bullish due to the confluence of a potential earnings catalyst and heavy speculative call buying. Options flow shows a distinct preference for upside moves, with significant open interest walls at $17 and $20, suggesting traders are positioning for a breakout. While the statistical forecasting model offers a weak, low-confidence signal, it is secondary to the clear fundamental improvement and the aggressive positioning seen in the options chain. However, caution is warranted regarding the long-term trajectory. Despite the recent year-over-year gain, the stock has suffered a catastrophic 49% decline over the last six years, reflecting a long period of structural distress. This history suggests the market remains deeply skeptical of the company's ability to sustain profitability without further dilution or disruption. The lack of a dividend and the high beta (1.96) confirm this is a volatile, speculative vehicle rather than a stable income play. Investors should view this as a bet on a successful execution of a turnaround, not a safe harbor for capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.145371
AutoETS0.149460
AutoARIMA0.149464
MSTL0.151991

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 0.36
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.141
Excess Kurtosis -1.30
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.738
Revenue per Share 17.133
Market Cap 6,495,750,656
Trailing P/E 2.50
Forward P/E 7.96
Beta 1.96
Profit Margins 42.32%
Website https://www.lyft.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:29 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility with implied volatility elevated relative to historical norms. Call open interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (above $17-$20), indicating a bullish bias where traders are betting on a sharp rally. However, put open interest is also substantial at lower strikes ($10-$14), creating a 'straddle' environment where the market expects a large move in either direction, likely driven by the upcoming earnings report. The volume spikes at specific strikes suggest active speculation on a binary outcome rather than a slow grind.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.12135178
Address1 185 Berry Street
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 88.6
All Time Low 7.85
Ask 17.91
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 10,562,370
Average Daily Volume3 Month 10,800,731
Average Volume 10,800,731
Average Volume10Days 10,562,370
Beta 1.96
Bid 16.1
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 4
Book Value 7.974
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.16
Current Ratio 0.586
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 17.1875
Day Low 16.4
Debt To Equity 42.738
Display Name Lyft
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,916,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,916,000
Earnings Growth 0.345
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.248
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 46,594,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0068800002
Enterprise To Ebitda 128.632
Enterprise To Revenue 0.885
Enterprise Value 5,993,480,704
Eps Current Year 1.50961
Eps Forward 2.15466
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.87
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.2821
Fifty Day Average Change 0.87789917
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.053918052
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -12.135178
Fifty Two Week High 25.54
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.380001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.32811278
Fifty Two Week Low 12.46
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.7
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.37720704
Fifty Two Week Range 12.46 - 25.54
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,553,866,200,000
Float Shares 351,285,351
Forward Eps 2.15466
Forward P E 7.9641337
Free Cashflow 1,153,134,464
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,913
Fullday Change 0.040000916
Fullday Change Percent 0.23310557
Fullday Price 17.2
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.3802
Gross Profits 2,574,702,080
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01339
Held Percent Institutions 1.1171601
Implied Shares Outstanding 378,540,249
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Lyft, Inc. operates multimodal transportation networks that offer access to various transportation options through platform and mobile based applications in the United States and internationally. The company facilitates peer-to-peer ridesharing by connecting drivers who have vehicles with riders who need a ride. It also operates Lyft Platform that provides a marketplace where drivers can be matched with riders via the Lyft mobile application. The company's platform provides a ridesharing marketplace that connects drivers with riders; Express Drive, a car rental program for drivers; and a network of shared bikes and scooters in various cities to address the needs of riders for short trips. In addition, it offers licensing and data access agreements; sells bikes and bike station software and hardware; and provides advertising services. The company was formerly known as Zimride, Inc. and changed its name to Lyft, Inc. in April 2013. Lyft, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Lyft, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,495,750,656
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_58995029
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 2,865,670,912
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,598,610,282
Number Of Analyst Opinions 37
Open 16.4
Operating Cashflow 1,195,079,936
Operating Margins 0.025799999
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.15
Phone 844 250 2773
Pre Market Change 0.040000916
Pre Market Change Percent 0.23310557
Pre Market Price 17.2
Pre Market Time 1,792,154,684
Previous Close 16.48
Price Eps Current Year 11.367174
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.151994
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9592158
Profit Margins 0.42317
Quick Ratio 0.437
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.48889
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.68
Regular Market Change Percent 4.12622
Regular Market Day High 17.1875
Regular Market Day Low 16.4
Regular Market Day Range 16.4 - 17.1875
Regular Market Open 16.4
Regular Market Previous Close 16.48
Regular Market Price 17.16
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,401
Regular Market Volume 11,264,425
Return On Assets -0.0086199995
Return On Equity 1.52579
Revenue Growth 0.161
Revenue Per Share 17.133
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 378,540,249
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2084
Shares Short 78,869,398
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 68,547,399
Short Name Lyft, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.21020001
Short Ratio 8.1
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol LYFT
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 14.0
Target Mean Price 19.46703
Target Median Price 18.0
Total Cash 1,794,514,944
Total Cash Per Share 4.741
Total Debt 1,292,244,992
Total Revenue 6,771,938,816
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 6.87
Trailing P E 2.4978166
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.2567
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9033003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.12475177
Type Disp Equity
Volume 11,264,425
Website https://www.lyft.com
Zip 94,107