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Lyell Immunopharma, Inc. (LYEL)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | South San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
13.40 USD -0.93 (-6.490%) ⇩ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:57 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Lyell Immunopharma is currently nonexistent due to a catastrophic multi-year structural decline. The company has suffered four consecutive years of negative annual returns, with the stock down nearly 97% over the last four years. Fundamentals are severely impaired: the business is burning cash aggressively with negative free cash flow, operating losses that dwarf revenue, and a shrinking top line. While the balance sheet remains technically solvent with significant cash reserves relative to debt, the relentless price destruction suggests the market has priced out any hope of a turnaround in the near term. The recent price action shows a slight stabilization after a sharp drop, but the technicals remain deeply bearish, trading well below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Options activity confirms this pessimism, with traders loading up on cheap put protection rather than betting on a recovery. Until there is concrete evidence of a clinical inflection point translating into revenue growth and a halt to the cash burn, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle with no margin of safety.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.312694
AutoETS0.352734
AutoARIMA0.352892
MSTL_740.353777
MSTL0.358011
MSTL_1050.463409
MSTL_74_1050.467852

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 28%
H-stat 24.44
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.138
Excess Kurtosis -1.24
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 17.851
Revenue per Share 0.002
Market Cap 312,676,768
Forward P/E -15.95
Beta -0.06
Website https://www.lyell.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:57 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts compared to negligible call activity. The July expiration shows heavy put volume and open interest at the money and slightly out-of-the-money strikes, while call open interest is concentrated deep in-the-money, suggesting a 'bear put spread' or hedging strategy rather than a bullish bet. Implied volatility is extremely low (near zero for many strikes), indicating a lack of speculative premium pricing for upside moves and a market consensus expecting stagnation or further decline.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.4060861
Address1 201 Haskins Way
Address2 Suite 101
All Time High 396.8
All Time Low 7.65
Ask 17.02
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 206,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 147,847
Average Volume 147,847
Average Volume10Days 206,130
Beta -0.062
Bid 10.01
Bid Size 2
Book Value 11.731
City South San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.4
Current Ratio 7.235
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 14.24
Day Low 13.23
Debt To Equity 17.851
Display Name Lyell Immunopharma
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,875,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,875,200
Ebitda -176,040,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -0.611
Enterprise To Revenue 3,467.896
Enterprise Value 107,504,768
Eps Forward -0.84
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -13.62
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 15.4814
Fifty Day Average Change -2.0814
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.1344452
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 40.60861
Fifty Two Week High 45.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -31.6
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7022222
Fifty Two Week Low 9.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.29
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4709111
Fifty Two Week Range 9.11 - 45.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,623,936,600,000
Float Shares 9,621,111
Forward Eps -0.84
Forward P E -15.952381
Free Cashflow -77,380,752
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 161
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 31,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.39516
Held Percent Institutions 0.56832004
Implied Shares Outstanding 23,334,087
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-06-17
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,748,822,400
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Lyell Immunopharma, Inc., a clinical-stage cell therapy company, develops chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell product candidates for patients with hematologic malignancies and solid tumors. The company's lead product candidate include rondecabtagene autoleucel, an autologous dual-targeting CD19/CD20 CAR T-cell therapy in development, which is in pivotal PiNACLE trial in the 3L+ setting and in a Phase 1/2 clinical trial in the 2L setting, as well as a second pivotal trial, PiNACLE-H2H, which is a Phase 3 head-to-head CAR T cell therapy randomized controlled trial of ronde-cel for LBCL in the 2L setting for the treatment of large B-cell lymphoma; and LYL273, a GCC-targeted CAR T-cell product candidate enhanced with CD19 CAR expression and controlled cytokine release designed to improve CAR T-cell expansion, immune cell infiltration, and cancer cell killing in the hostile solid tumor microenvironment, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of refractory metastatic colorectal cancer. The company develops therapies using various approaches, such as c-Jun overexpression and NR4A3 gene knockout, to endow functional resistance to exhaustion; Epi-R to generate population of stem-like T cells with reduced exhaustion and improved proliferation and antitumor activity; and CD62L positive enrichment to generate CAR T cells with enhanced antitumor activity. Lyell Immunopharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Long Name Lyell Immunopharma, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 312,676,768
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_590661061
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -246,406,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 328,848,484
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 14.24
Operating Cashflow -133,796,000
Operating Margins -22,130.5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 695 0677
Previous Close 14.33
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1422726
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 10,086.348
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 6.875
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.83333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.93
Regular Market Change Percent -6.48988
Regular Market Day High 14.24
Regular Market Day Low 13.23
Regular Market Day Range 13.23 - 14.24
Regular Market Open 14.24
Regular Market Previous Close 14.33
Regular Market Price 13.4
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,201
Regular Market Volume 171,278
Return On Assets -0.29867
Return On Equity -0.80764
Revenue Growth -0.714
Revenue Per Share 0.002
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 23,334,087
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.052399997
Shares Short 1,223,220
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,353,275
Short Name Lyell Immunopharma, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0617
Short Ratio 5.02
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol LYEL
Target High Price 49.0
Target Low Price 12.0
Target Mean Price 37.16667
Target Median Price 41.5
Total Cash 254,023,008
Total Cash Per Share 10.886
Total Debt 48,851,000
Total Revenue 31,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -13.62
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 20.83755
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.4375496
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.35693014
Type Disp Equity
Volume 171,278
Website https://www.lyell.com
Zip 94,080