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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Eagle, United States | NYSE
54.98 USD +0.18 (0.328%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 54.98
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:17 a.m. EDT

Lamb Weston presents a classic value trap scenario where the market has punished the stock heavily despite a resilient underlying business. Fundamentally, the company is generating solid free cash flow and maintaining a healthy payout ratio, yet it is grappling with a multi-year price trajectory that has seen two consecutive years of decline and a massive 35% drop in 2024. While the forward P/E suggests earnings are expected to rebound significantly, the price history indicates the market remains deeply skeptical of the recovery speed, particularly given the drag in Europe. The short-term outlook is neutral; while technicals show some recent stabilization, the lack of a clear trend and the weak statistical forecast prevent a bullish entry. For the long term, the asset is a hold rather than a buy; the business quality is good, but the capital allocation discipline required to navigate the current headwinds and restore shareholder value is not yet evident enough to justify a premium entry price. The dividend offers a modest cushion, but it is not growing fast enough to offset the capital appreciation risks.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.076623
AutoARIMA0.076624
MSTL0.078207
AutoTheta0.089679

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 25.90
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.057
Excess Kurtosis -0.06
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-06
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-06
Debt to Equity Ratio 221.223
Revenue per Share 47.605
Market Cap 7,558,823,424
Trailing P/E 26.31
Forward P/E 16.20
Beta 0.46
Profit Margins 4.39%
Website https://www.lambweston.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 35, 40, 45) and significant volume in deep OTM puts for 2027/2028 expirations, suggesting a fear of a prolonged downtrend or a 'double bottom' scenario. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money (52.5-57.5 strikes) with notable volume spikes at 65 and 75 strikes for distant dates, indicating a speculative hope for a sharp recovery to historical highs rather than a steady grind up. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for downside protection relative to upside gains, reflecting asymmetric risk perception.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.73% 3.06% 2.41% 1.96%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-07 0.380 0.726994
2026-05-08 0.380 0.904547
2026-01-30 0.380 0.827346
2025-10-31 0.370 0.599384
2025-08-01 0.370 0.660832
2025-05-02 0.370 0.718447
2025-01-31 0.370 0.617284
2024-11-01 0.360 0.466987
2024-08-02 0.360 0.632244
2024-05-02 0.360 0.426136
2024-02-01 0.360 0.341426
2023-11-02 0.280 0.298794
2023-08-03 0.280 0.273946
2023-05-04 0.280 0.251889
2023-02-02 0.280 0.288422
2022-11-03 0.245 0.288711
2022-08-04 0.245 0.303857
2022-05-05 0.245 0.386253
2022-02-03 0.245 0.382992
2021-11-04 0.235 0.418522
2021-08-05 0.235 0.366158
2021-05-06 0.235 0.301089
2021-02-04 0.235 0.296642
2020-11-05 0.230 0.339433
2020-08-06 0.230 0.362205
2020-05-07 0.230 0.415013
2020-01-30 0.230 0.249674
2019-10-31 0.200 0.256279
2019-08-01 0.200 0.300526
2019-05-02 0.200 0.301341
2019-01-31 0.200 0.276625
2018-11-01 0.191 0.247313
2018-08-02 0.191 0.270807
2018-05-03 0.191 0.298251
2018-02-01 0.191 0.332753
2017-11-02 0.188 0.362934
2017-08-02 0.188 0.429616
2017-04-26 0.188 0.445076
2017-01-26 0.188 0.517479
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.52
dividendYield 2.77
exDividendDate 2026-08-07
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.5
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.027372263
lastDividendValue 0.38
lastDividendDate 2026-08-07
dividendDate 2026-09-04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.030946076
Address1 599 South Rivershore Lane
All Time High 117.382
All Time Low 28.75
Ask 54.67
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,199,080
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,570,496
Average Volume 1,570,496
Average Volume10Days 1,199,080
Beta 0.458
Bid 54.68
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 4
Book Value 13.276
City Eagle
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 54.98
Current Ratio 1.423
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 55.5965
Day Low 54.63
Debt To Equity 221.223
Display Name Lamb Weston
Dividend Date 1,788,480,000
Dividend Rate 1.52
Dividend Yield 2.77
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,898,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,898,000
Earnings Growth -0.062
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.086
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,896,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,790,771,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,790,771,400
Ebitda 1,104,300,032
Ebitda Margins 0.16701001
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.439
Enterprise To Revenue 1.743
Enterprise Value 11,527,606,272
Eps Current Year 3.04926
Eps Forward 3.39374
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.09
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,060,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 49.5274
Fifty Day Average Change 5.4525986
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.110092565
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -3.0946076
Fifty Two Week High 67.07
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.09
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.18025944
Fifty Two Week Low 37.62
Fifty Two Week Low Change 17.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.46145672
Fifty Two Week Range 37.62 - 67.07
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,478,788,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.79
Float Shares 136,106,201
Forward Eps 3.39374
Forward P E 16.200417
Free Cashflow 452,924,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 10,000
Fullday Change 0.18
Fullday Change Percent 0.328468
Fullday Price 54.98
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.20678
Gross Profits 1,367,299,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02859
Held Percent Institutions 0.97700995
Implied Shares Outstanding 137,483,158
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,060,800
Last Dividend Value 0.38
Last Fiscal Year End 1,780,185,600
Long Business Summary Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. It also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' own brands. It sells its products through a network of internal sales personnel and independent brokers, agents, and distributors to quick service and full-service restaurants and chains, wholesale, grocery, mass merchants, club retailers, non-commercial channels, and specialty retailers, as well as foodservice distributors and institutions, including businesses, educational institutions, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.
Long Name Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,558,823,424
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_374372246
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,185,600
Net Income To Common 290,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,811,721,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,534,077,058
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 55.06
Operating Cashflow 942,899,968
Operating Margins 0.097729996
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.72120005
Peg Ratio 0.9
Phone 208 938 1047
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 54.98
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 54.8
Price Eps Current Year 18.030605
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.1413074
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1431459
Profit Margins 0.043860003
Quick Ratio 0.599
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.18
Regular Market Change Percent 0.328468
Regular Market Day High 55.5965
Regular Market Day Low 54.63
Regular Market Day Range 54.63 - 55.5965
Regular Market Open 55.06
Regular Market Previous Close 54.8
Regular Market Price 54.98
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 1,279,992
Return On Assets 0.060310002
Return On Equity 0.16280001
Revenue Growth 0.056
Revenue Per Share 47.605
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 137,483,158
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0427
Shares Short 5,874,062
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,800,411
Short Name Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.048800003
Short Ratio 3.15
Source Interval 15
State ID
Symbol LW
Target High Price 65.0
Target Low Price 52.0
Target Mean Price 55.25
Target Median Price 55.0
Total Cash 68,200,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.496
Total Debt 4,037,100,032
Total Revenue 6,612,299,776
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.5
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.027372263
Trailing Eps 2.09
Trailing P E 26.306221
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.897
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 47.2665
Two Hundred Day Average Change 7.713501
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.16319172
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,279,992
Website https://www.lambweston.com
Zip 83,616