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Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV)

Industrials | Airlines | Dallas, United States | NYSE
47.92 USD -0.51 (-1.053%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 47.82 -0.10 (-0.100%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:45 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:46 a.m. EDT

Southwest Airlines presents a compelling turnaround story where the market is beginning to price in a bold business model shift, yet skepticism regarding the balance sheet remains a ceiling on the upside. Fundamentally, the company is showing signs of recovery with revenue growth of nearly 13% and a forward P/E of just 10x, which is exceptionally cheap compared to the trailing 32x multiple. This divergence suggests the market is still digesting past struggles, particularly the multi-year price weakness where the stock has underperformed significantly over the last decade. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt-to-equity hovering near 93% and negative free cash flow, which prevents a top-tier 'buy' rating despite the attractive valuation. However, the recent price action shows resilience, trading well above its 200-day average, and the dividend yield of 1.46% provides a modest floor, though it is not a primary driver of value here. Options activity confirms this tension: traders are betting on a move higher toward the $50-$53 resistance zone, but they are hedging their bets with substantial put writing just below current levels. The statistical forecasting models are currently unreliable due to high noise, so they should be ignored in favor of the fundamental thesis. For investors, this is a high-conviction entry for a recovery play, but the path to a full valuation reset will likely be volatile as the market reconciles the low multiples with the improving operational metrics.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.142714
AutoETS0.142716
MSTL0.146702
AutoTheta0.180024

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 25%
H-stat 27.16
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.136
Excess Kurtosis -1.19
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 93.033
Revenue per Share 55.707
Market Cap 23,422,035,968
Trailing P/E 31.95
Forward P/E 9.92
Beta 1.12
Profit Margins 2.83%
Website https://www.southwest.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest walls at $50 and $53 for calls, alongside significant volume spikes at strikes like $51 and $62. However, put writers are also active, establishing defensive barriers around $46-$47, suggesting a range-bound outlook rather than a breakout. Implied volatility remains elevated relative to historical norms, pricing in uncertainty around the upcoming earnings and strategic shifts.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.41% 1.87% 2.18% 1.62%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-11 0.180000 0.406412
2026-03-12 0.180000 0.466200
2025-12-26 0.180000 0.436047
2025-09-03 0.180000 0.556758
2025-06-18 0.180000 0.577664
2025-03-12 0.180000 0.598007
2024-12-26 0.180000 0.526470
2024-09-04 0.180000 0.609963
2024-06-18 0.180000 0.633134
2024-03-05 0.180000 0.523104
2023-12-20 0.180000 0.619195
2023-09-05 0.180000 0.584985
2023-06-20 0.180000 0.522193
2023-03-07 0.180000 0.539407
2023-01-09 0.180000 0.505476
2020-03-03 0.180000 0.398142
2019-12-10 0.180000 0.327809
2019-08-20 0.180000 0.359856
2019-06-04 0.180000 0.367722
2019-03-05 0.160000 0.299682
2018-12-04 0.160000 0.303030
2018-08-21 0.160000 0.262295
2018-06-05 0.160000 0.314342
2018-03-06 0.125000 0.214592
2017-12-06 0.125000 0.204516
2017-08-22 0.125000 0.233951
2017-06-05 0.125000 0.204952
2017-03-07 0.100000 0.175963
2016-12-06 0.100000 0.209732
2016-08-16 0.100000 0.273823
2016-06-06 0.100000 0.239406
2016-03-01 0.075000 0.176471
2015-12-08 0.075000 0.166519
2015-08-18 0.075000 0.186614
2015-06-01 0.075000 0.198151
2015-03-03 0.060000 0.136488
2014-12-09 0.060000 0.147312
2014-08-19 0.060000 0.195122
2014-06-02 0.060000 0.224635
2014-03-04 0.040000 0.175208
2013-12-10 0.040000 0.215285
2013-08-06 0.040000 0.289017
2013-06-03 0.040000 0.285714
2013-03-05 0.010000 0.082576
2012-12-04 0.010000 0.103842
2012-08-14 0.010000 0.110988
2012-06-04 0.010000 0.116279
2012-02-28 0.005000 0.055866
2011-12-06 0.005000 0.058548
2011-08-23 0.005000 0.062422
2011-06-06 0.005000 0.044524
2011-03-01 0.005000 0.042699
2010-12-07 0.005000 0.038610
2010-08-24 0.005000 0.045413
2010-06-07 0.005000 0.042882
2010-03-02 0.005000 0.039588
2009-12-08 0.005000 0.049505
2009-09-01 0.005000 0.062344
2009-06-08 0.005000 0.073314
2009-02-24 0.005000 0.076103
2008-12-09 0.005000 0.060459
2008-08-26 0.005000 0.033852
2008-06-10 0.005000 0.035945
2008-02-26 0.005000 0.038610
2007-12-04 0.005000 0.036232
2007-08-28 0.005000 0.033333
2007-06-05 0.005000 0.035236
2007-02-27 0.005000 0.033113
2006-12-05 0.005000 0.031990
2006-08-29 0.005000 0.028736
2006-06-06 0.005000 0.031807
2006-02-28 0.005000 0.029815
2005-12-06 0.005000 0.030266
2005-08-30 0.005000 0.037651
2005-06-07 0.005000 0.034223
2005-03-01 0.005000 0.035211
2004-12-07 0.005000 0.031786
2004-08-31 0.005000 0.033738
2004-06-08 0.005000 0.031766
2004-03-02 0.005000 0.035920
2003-12-03 0.005000 0.028058
2003-08-29 0.005000 0.029257
2003-06-02 0.005000 0.030921
2003-03-04 0.005000 0.040552
2002-12-09 0.005000 0.031250
2002-08-30 0.005000 0.035186
2002-06-03 0.005000 0.030395
2002-02-27 0.005000 0.022738
2001-12-03 0.005000 0.027027
2001-08-31 0.005000 0.027949
2001-06-04 0.003000 0.015932
2001-02-28 0.005000 0.026882
2000-12-04 0.004000 0.019493
2000-09-01 0.004000 0.027119
2000-05-31 0.004000 0.031270
2000-03-01 0.004000 0.032877
1999-12-06 0.004000 0.035688
1999-08-30 0.003333 0.029409
1999-06-02 0.003556 0.025603
1999-03-03 0.003556 0.025810
1998-12-07 0.003556 0.035659
1998-08-31 0.003556 0.044918
1998-06-03 0.002963 0.036447
1998-03-04 0.002963 0.034262
1997-12-08 0.002963 0.040202
1997-08-29 0.002370 0.042850
1997-05-28 0.002370 0.044853
1997-02-26 0.002370 0.050254
1996-12-09 0.001975 0.041231
1996-08-30 0.001975 0.043949
1996-05-29 0.001975 0.035082
1996-02-28 0.001975 0.032782
1995-12-04 0.001975 0.039994
1995-09-01 0.001975 0.039018
1995-05-26 0.001975 0.046236
1995-02-27 0.001975 0.057545
1994-11-30 0.001975 0.047330
1994-08-30 0.001975 0.037031
1994-05-27 0.001975 0.036358
1994-02-28 0.001975 0.029299
1993-11-30 0.001975 0.028772
1993-08-30 0.001975 0.028981
1993-05-28 0.001975 0.036358
1993-02-26 0.001975 0.044111
1992-12-01 0.001975 0.054537
1992-08-31 0.001975 0.070577
1992-06-01 0.001778 0.061722
1992-02-28 0.001646 0.063489
1991-11-29 0.001646 0.086575
1991-08-29 0.001646 0.100497
1991-05-31 0.001646 0.097556
1991-03-01 0.001646 0.092587
1990-11-29 0.001646 0.147051
1990-09-06 0.001646 0.153838
1990-06-07 0.001536 0.133941
1990-03-05 0.001536 0.146563
1989-11-29 0.001536 0.155520
1989-09-01 0.001536 0.119631
1989-06-07 0.001536 0.139272
1989-03-06 0.001536 0.144297
1988-11-29 0.001536 0.185388
1988-09-02 0.001405 0.195467
1988-06-07 0.001405 0.184217
1988-03-04 0.001405 0.181604
1987-11-27 0.001405 0.232783
1987-09-02 0.001405 0.153330
1987-06-08 0.001405 0.160038
1987-03-04 0.001405 0.132674
1986-11-26 0.001405 0.139924
1986-09-03 0.001405 0.145489
1986-06-06 0.001405 0.149743
1986-03-05 0.001405 0.141470
1985-11-26 0.001405 0.117459
1985-09-04 0.001405 0.121934
1985-06-06 0.001405 0.118547
1985-03-06 0.001405 0.131990
1984-11-28 0.001405 0.153330
1984-09-05 0.001405 0.170708
1984-06-04 0.001405 0.139924
1984-03-07 0.001405 0.159044
1983-11-30 0.001405 0.127014
1983-09-02 0.001405 0.107049
1983-05-31 0.001405 0.110753
1983-03-09 0.001405 0.121241
1982-11-26 0.001405 0.148527
1982-09-03 0.001405 0.152417
1982-06-04 0.001405 0.223050
1982-03-09 0.001405 0.231940
1981-11-25 0.001405 0.256061
1981-09-02 0.001124 0.219231
1981-06-09 0.001124 0.144179
1981-03-10 0.001124 0.176351
1980-11-28 0.001124 0.238863
1980-09-30 0.001124 0.307766
1980-06-06 0.000749 0.290849
1980-03-03 0.000749 0.404981
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.72
dividendYield 1.49
exDividendDate 2026-06-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.72
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.014866819
lastDividendValue 0.18
lastDividendDate 2026-06-11
dividendDate 2026-07-02

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2846154
Address1 P.O. Box 36611
All Time High 66.99
All Time Low 0.163877
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,807,970
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,865,581
Average Volume 6,865,581
Average Volume10Days 5,807,970
Beta 1.118
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 9
Book Value 14.066
City Dallas
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,483,142,400
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 47.92
Current Ratio 0.478
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 48.96
Day Low 47.59
Debt To Equity 93.033
Display Name Southwest Airlines
Dividend Date 1,782,950,400
Dividend Rate 0.72
Dividend Yield 1.49
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,815,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,815,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Ebitda 2,212,999,936
Ebitda Margins 0.076620005
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.97
Enterprise To Revenue 0.917
Enterprise Value 26,490,036,224
Eps Current Year 3.09979
Eps Forward 4.83237
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.5
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 43.9532
Fifty Day Average Change 3.9667969
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.09025046
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.46154
Fifty Two Week High 55.11
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.1900024
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13046639
Fifty Two Week Low 28.98
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.939999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.65355414
Fifty Two Week Range 28.98 - 55.11
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 315,671,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.03
Float Shares 483,651,364
Forward Eps 4.83237
Forward P E 9.916459
Free Cashflow -372,375,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 73,401
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.23006001
Gross Profits 6,645,000,192
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.010039999
Held Percent Institutions 0.89665
Implied Shares Outstanding 488,773,713
Industry Airlines
Industry Disp Airlines
Industry Key airlines
Ir Website http://southwest.investorroom.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Last Dividend Value 0.18
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 982,281,600
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Southwest Airlines Co. operates as a passenger airline company that provides scheduled air transportation services in the United States and internationally. It also provides Rapid Rewards loyalty program; SWABIZ, an online booking tool; and inflight entertainment platform that includes movies-on-demand live and on-demand television, flight tracker, and additional curated content, as well as a variety of premium snacks and coffee. In addition, the company offers ancillary services, such as in-flight purchases, baggage fees, EarlyBird Check-In, and upgraded boarding, as well as transportation of pets and unaccompanied minors. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a total fleet of 803 Boeing 737 aircraft; and served 117 destinations in 42 states, the District of Columbia, and the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, as well as ten near-international countries, including Mexico, Jamaica, the Bahamas, Aruba, the Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Belize, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Turks and Caicos. Southwest Airlines Co. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Long Name Southwest Airlines Co.
Market us_market
Market Cap 23,422,035,968
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_31726
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 817,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 23,671,310,920
Number Of Analyst Opinions 23
Open 48.25
Operating Cashflow 2,400,000,000
Operating Margins 0.04552
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.48
Peg Ratio 0.36
Phone 214 792 4000
Post Market Change -0.099998474
Post Market Change Percent -0.20867796
Post Market Price 47.82
Post Market Time 1,783,986,332
Previous Close 48.43
Price Eps Current Year 15.45911
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.4067965
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8109
Profit Margins 0.02829
Quick Ratio 0.367
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.56
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.510002
Regular Market Change Percent -1.05307
Regular Market Day High 48.96
Regular Market Day Low 47.59
Regular Market Day Range 47.59 - 48.96
Regular Market Open 48.25
Regular Market Previous Close 48.43
Regular Market Price 47.92
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 4,740,982
Return On Assets 0.01936
Return On Equity 0.10062
Revenue Growth 0.128
Revenue Per Share 55.707
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 488,773,713
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0638
Shares Short 31,162,829
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 29,255,490
Short Name Southwest Airlines Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0844
Short Ratio 4.52
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol LUV
Target High Price 67.0
Target Low Price 32.7
Target Mean Price 52.35652
Target Median Price 53.0
Total Cash 3,328,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.809
Total Debt 6,396,000,256
Total Revenue 28,884,000,768
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.72
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.014866819
Trailing Eps 1.5
Trailing P E 31.946665
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.3576
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 40.68245
Two Hundred Day Average Change 7.237549
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.17790347
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,740,982
Website https://www.southwest.com
Zip 75,235-1611