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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF (LUNL)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
4.73 USD -0.68 (-12.569%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.75 +0.02 (0.423%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:51 a.m. EDT

The short-term outlook is severely bearish due to the instrument's unique mechanics and catastrophic recent performance. This is a leveraged daily product designed to mimic a specific underlying asset, but the data reveals a disaster: the price has collapsed from a fifty-two-week high of $56.68 to a current level of $5.41, representing a massive loss of capital. The recent fourteen-day price action shows relentless selling pressure, dropping from $10.61 to $5.41, indicating a breakdown in the trend that leveraged products cannot recover from without a dramatic reversal. The statistical forecasting model offers virtually no guidance, citing 'VERY LOW' confidence and unreliable parameters, which confirms that the market is currently pricing in extreme volatility or a structural failure of the strategy. For a leveraged ETF, this magnitude of drawdown suggests the compounding effect of daily rebalancing has worked against the holder, erasing nearly 90% of the potential upside from the prior year's peak. There is no safe entry here; the momentum is deeply negative, and the leverage magnifies every day of the underlying asset's weakness.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.439152
AutoETS0.439175
AutoARIMA0.439243
MSTL0.440773

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 25%
H-stat 5.83
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.356
Excess Kurtosis -0.93

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 56.68
All Time Low 5.25
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 900
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,157,190
Average Daily Volume3 Month 919,439
Average Volume 919,439
Average Volume10Days 1,157,190
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 3,100
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 5.3
Day Low 4.6503
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.5461
Fifty Day Average Change -16.816101
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.7804707
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -67.31118
Fifty Two Week High 56.68
Fifty Two Week High Change -51.95
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.916549
Fifty Two Week Low 4.6503
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.07969999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.017138679
Fifty Two Week Range 4.6503 - 56.68
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,768,314,600,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,768,176,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund aims to achieve this daily percentage change for a single day, and not for any other period. A “single day” means the period “from the close of regular trading on one trading day to the close on the next trading day.” It is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1973668809
Nav Price 5.4036
Net Assets 32,085,584.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.31
Open 5.25
Post Market Change 0.01999998
Post Market Change Percent 0.42283258
Post Market Price 4.75
Post Market Time 1,783,987,121
Previous Close 5.41
Price Hint 4
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.68
Regular Market Change Percent -12.5693
Regular Market Day High 5.3
Regular Market Day Low 4.6503
Regular Market Day Range 4.6503 - 5.3
Regular Market Open 5.25
Regular Market Previous Close 5.41
Regular Market Price 4.73
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 669,688
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long L
Source Interval 15
Symbol LUNL
Total Assets 32,085,584
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -16.60671
Trailing Three Month Returns -16.60671
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 18.312025
Two Hundred Day Average Change -13.582026
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.7416998
Type Disp ETF
Volume 669,688