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Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE)

Real Estate | Real Estate - Development | Tokyo, Japan | NasdaqCM
1.12 USD -0.02 (-2.193%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★⯪☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:51 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish due to a confluence of deteriorating fundamentals and severe technical weakness. The stock has lost nearly 75% of its value over the last two years, with the most recent annual period seeing another double-digit decline. This multi-year structural collapse suggests the market has permanently repriced the business quality, rendering any 'value' arguments moot. Technically, the price is trading significantly below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating persistent selling pressure and a lack of near-term catalysts to reverse the trend. While the dividend yield appears attractive at nearly 6%, the payout ratio is dangerously low at roughly 14%, suggesting the company is distributing capital it cannot sustainably generate without eroding equity. Furthermore, the absence of any dividend payments in the last five years contradicts the current yield figure, implying the payout may be irregular or based on non-recurring events rather than a reliable income stream. With earnings contracting by nearly 30% and a massive debt load relative to equity, the investment case lacks the fundamental resilience required for a recovery.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.051893
MSTL0.054866
AutoETS0.056191
AutoARIMA0.070213

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 16.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.031
Excess Kurtosis -0.37
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 341.419
Revenue per Share 1343.447
Market Cap 15,210,720
Trailing P/E 4.13
Beta 1.44
Profit Margins 3.12%
Website https://www.lead-real.co.jp

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.22002727
Address1 MFPR Shibuya Nanpeidai Building
Address2 6th Floor 16-11, Nampeidai-cho Shibuya-ku
All Time High 13.76
All Time Low 1.0
Ask 1.45
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 15,300
Average Daily Volume3 Month 14,717
Average Volume 14,717
Average Volume10Days 15,300
Beta 1.437
Bid 0.7632
Bid Size 2
Book Value 2.3821595
City Tokyo
Country Japan
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.115
Current Ratio 1.757
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 1.115
Day Low 1.115
Debt To Equity 341.419
Display Name Lead Real Estate
Dividend Yield 5.7
Earnings Growth -0.298
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.298
Ebitda 1,633,545,984
Ebitda Margins 0.08912
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.123
Enterprise To Revenue 0.813
Enterprise Value 14,903,228,416
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.27
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 81 3 5784 5128
Fifty Day Average 1.2243
Fifty Day Average Change -0.10930002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08927552
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -22.002728
Fifty Two Week High 1.89
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.775
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4100529
Fifty Two Week Low 1.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.11500001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.11500001
Fifty Two Week Range 1.0 - 1.89
Financial Currency JPY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,695,821,400,000
Float Shares 1,393,793
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 97
Fullday Change -0.024999976
Fullday Change Percent -2.1929803
Fullday Price 1.115
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.17999001
Gross Profits 3,299,056,896
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.90116
Held Percent Institutions 0.0060799997
Implied Shares Outstanding 13,641,901
Industry Real Estate - Development
Industry Disp Real Estate - Development
Industry Key real-estate-development
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-09-27
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Long Business Summary Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells luxury residential properties in Japan. The company develops single-family homes and condominiums. It also operates hotels in Tokyo and leases apartment building units to individuals in Japan and Dallas, Texas. In addition, the company engages in master lease business which includes fixed term building lease agreements between owners of extended-stay type hotels and the Company. Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Long Name Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd
Market us_market
Market Cap 15,210,720
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_53275168
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 571,508,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,814,313,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 14,869,671
Open 1.115
Operating Margins 0.13799
Payout Ratio 0.1367
Phone 81 3 5784 5127
Previous Close 1.14
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.4680627
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.00082988216
Profit Margins 0.03118
Quick Ratio 0.227
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.024999976
Regular Market Change Percent -2.1929805
Regular Market Day High 1.115
Regular Market Day Low 1.115
Regular Market Day Range 1.115 - 1.115
Regular Market Open 1.115
Regular Market Previous Close 1.14
Regular Market Price 1.115
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,600
Regular Market Volume 316
Return On Assets 0.042129997
Return On Equity 0.11225
Revenue Growth 0.038
Revenue Per Share 1,343.447
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Shares Outstanding 13,641,900
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.003
Shares Short 40,977
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 51,787
Short Name Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd
Short Percent Of Float 0.0304
Short Ratio 1.68
Source Interval 15
Symbol LRE
Total Cash 2,701,004,032
Total Cash Per Share 197.993
Total Debt 17,589,022,720
Total Revenue 18,328,770,560
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.27
Trailing P E 4.1296296
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.313905
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.19890499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1513846
Type Disp Equity
Volume 316
Website https://www.lead-real.co.jp
Zip 150-0036