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Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE)

Real Estate | Real Estate - Development | Tokyo, Japan | NasdaqCM
1.29 USD +0.01 (1.176%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.29

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:21 a.m. EDT

The stock presents a classic value trap scenario where superficial metrics mask severe structural rot. While the trailing P/E looks deceptively cheap at 2.8x and the dividend yield sits attractively above 5%, the underlying business is hemorrhaging value. Revenue has contracted by nearly 21% year-over-year, and operating margins are deeply negative at -11.4%, indicating the core development business is failing to generate cash from its assets. The balance sheet is precarious, with debt-to-equity soaring to 403.65x, suggesting the company is aggressively leveraging itself to prop up operations or acquisitions rather than building a fortress. Although the price has staged a modest 16.5% recovery over the last year, this is likely a technical bounce off lows rather than a sign of renewed growth, especially given the persistent revenue decline. The recent price action shows the stock hovering near its 50-day moving average, offering no clear momentum catalyst to break out. The 'high' yield is dangerous here; with such poor profitability and massive leverage, there is no guarantee the payout can be sustained without further capital raising or asset fire sales. Investors should view this as a speculative gamble on a turnaround that the current fundamentals do not yet support.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.024381
AutoETS0.025133
AutoARIMA0.026140
MSTL0.033408

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 0.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 2.21
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2025-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 403.65
Revenue per Share 1305.011
Market Cap 17,598,052
Trailing P/E 2.80
Beta 1.41
Profit Margins 5.64%
Website https://www.lead-real.co.jp

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.27597958
Address1 MFPR Shibuya Nanpeidai Building
Address2 6th Floor 16-11, Nampeidai-cho Shibuya-ku
All Time High 13.76
All Time Low 1.0
Ask 1.66
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 14,080
Average Daily Volume3 Month 37,365
Average Volume 37,365
Average Volume10Days 14,080
Beta 1.408
Bid 0.8856
Bid Size 2
Book Value 2.0144367
City Tokyo
Country Japan
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.29
Current Ratio 1.216
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 1.299
Day Low 1.25
Debt To Equity 403.65
Display Name Lead Real Estate
Dividend Rate 0.07
Dividend Yield 5.09
Ebitda 1,728,476,544
Ebitda Margins 0.09709
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.821
Enterprise To Revenue 0.953
Enterprise Value 16,974,516,224
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.46
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,751,241,600
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 81 3 5784 5128
Fifty Day Average 1.2886
Fifty Day Average Change 0.0013999939
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0010864458
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -27.597958
Fifty Two Week High 2.97
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.6800001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5656566
Fifty Two Week Low 1.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.28999996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.28999996
Fifty Two Week Range 1.0 - 2.97
Financial Currency JPY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,695,821,400,000
Float Shares 1,393,793
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 76
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.19959
Gross Profits 3,553,285,888
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.90116
Held Percent Institutions 0.00252
Implied Shares Outstanding 13,641,901
Industry Real Estate - Development
Industry Disp Real Estate - Development
Industry Key real-estate-development
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-09-27
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Long Business Summary Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells luxury residential properties in Japan. The company develops single-family homes and condominiums. It also operates hotels in Tokyo and leases apartment building units to individuals in Japan and Dallas, Texas. In addition, the company engages in master lease business which includes fixed term building lease agreements between owners of extended-stay type hotels and the Company. Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Long Name Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd
Market us_market
Market Cap 17,598,052
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_53275168
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 1,004,299,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 17,393,422
Open 1.299
Operating Margins -0.114020005
Payout Ratio 0.13239999
Phone 81 3 5784 5127
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 1.29
Post Market Time 1,783,981,972
Previous Close 1.275
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.6403775
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.0009884973
Profit Margins 0.05641
Quick Ratio 0.09
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.014999986
Regular Market Change Percent 1.1764694
Regular Market Day High 1.299
Regular Market Day Low 1.25
Regular Market Day Range 1.25 - 1.299
Regular Market Open 1.299
Regular Market Previous Close 1.275
Regular Market Price 1.29
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,136
Return On Assets 0.04461
Return On Equity 0.24941999
Revenue Growth -0.207
Revenue Per Share 1,305.011
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Shares Outstanding 13,641,900
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.005
Shares Short 68,387
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 51,726
Short Name Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd
Short Percent Of Float 0.0507
Short Ratio 1.65
Source Interval 15
Symbol LRE
Total Cash 1,028,478,016
Total Cash Per Share 75.391
Total Debt 17,993,852,928
Total Revenue 17,802,833,920
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.46
Trailing P E 2.8043478
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.37697
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.08697009
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06316048
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,136
Website https://www.lead-real.co.jp
Zip 150-0036