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Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX)

Industrials | Building Products & Equipment | Nashville, United States | NYSE
71.26 USD +0.54 (0.764%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 71.26
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Louisiana-Pacific is currently fractured by a severe disconnect between its historical performance and its current operational reality. While the multi-year price chart shows a spectacular +423% gain driven by a massive spike in 2024, the underlying business is now deteriorating rapidly. Revenue has contracted by 12% and earnings have plummeted by over 50%, leaving the company with a grotesque trailing P/E of 96 despite a forward estimate that implies a much healthier 24x multiple. This valuation gap suggests the market is pricing in a permanent structural decline rather than a cyclical trough. The short-term outlook is murky; while the statistical model hints at a slight upward drift and option traders are buying calls at $80, the heavy put positioning at lower levels indicates fear of further downside. The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, confirming a lack of immediate momentum. For income investors, the 1.63% yield is insufficient to offset the risk of capital erosion given the negative free cash flow and shrinking earnings base. The dividend appears sustainable for now, but it is not growing, and the payout ratio is creeping up as profitability collapses. This is a classic value trap where the cheap price reflects a broken business model. Avoid accumulating here until the revenue contraction halts and the valuation multiple compresses to reflect the deteriorating fundamentals.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.033920
AutoARIMA0.035515
MSTL0.035684
AutoETS0.038001

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 0.82
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.313
Excess Kurtosis -0.38
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 21.617
Revenue per Share 35.271
Market Cap 4,982,742,016
Trailing P/E 91.36
Forward P/E 23.52
Beta 1.59
Profit Margins 2.19%
Website https://www.lpcorp.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a modest rebound in the near term, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at the $80 and $85 strikes for September and November expirations. However, the deep-dive put positioning at the $40 and $45 strikes for February 2027 suggests a significant portion of capital is hedging against a substantial downside scenario, creating a distinct asymmetry where the bulk of speculative volume bets on a recovery while a large tail hedge remains in place.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.41% 1.54% 1.33% 1.37%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-14 0.300000 0.406009
2026-05-14 0.300000 0.407609
2026-02-27 0.300000 0.354024
2025-11-14 0.280000 0.371304
2025-08-15 0.280000 0.281379
2025-05-20 0.280000 0.304050
2025-02-27 0.280000 0.281379
2024-11-20 0.260000 0.233414
2024-08-20 0.260000 0.281599
2024-05-21 0.260000 0.281721
2024-02-22 0.260000 0.369371
2023-11-09 0.240000 0.418118
2023-08-10 0.240000 0.376648
2023-05-11 0.240000 0.383081
2023-03-09 0.240000 0.418118
2022-11-08 0.220000 0.407785
2022-08-17 0.220000 0.372376
2022-05-11 0.220000 0.320700
2022-02-25 0.220000 0.316228
2021-11-05 0.180000 0.273973
2021-08-09 0.180000 0.321601
2021-05-14 0.160000 0.242976
2021-02-19 0.160000 0.338338
2020-11-12 0.145000 0.487068
2020-08-13 0.145000 0.454688
2020-05-14 0.145000 0.755208
2020-02-14 0.145000 0.424225
2019-11-13 0.135000 0.462012
2019-08-16 0.135000 0.579151
2019-05-20 0.135000 0.574713
2019-02-25 0.135000 0.519031
2018-11-15 0.130000 0.566202
2018-08-16 0.130000 0.439189
2018-05-17 0.130000 0.468131
2018-02-23 0.130000 0.437416
2008-05-14 0.150000 1.364877
2008-02-13 0.150000 1.234568
2007-11-14 0.150000 0.923645
2007-08-15 0.150000 0.873617
2007-05-15 0.150000 0.758342
2007-02-13 0.150000 0.705219
2006-11-15 0.150000 0.743679
2006-08-15 0.150000 0.773595
2006-05-15 0.150000 0.561798
2006-02-13 0.150000 0.552690
2005-11-16 0.125000 0.469219
2005-08-15 0.125000 0.510830
2005-05-13 0.125000 0.529661
2005-02-10 0.100000 0.390930
2004-11-12 0.100000 0.397614
2004-08-13 0.075000 0.329815
2004-05-13 0.075000 0.337686
2004-02-10 0.050000 0.215054
2001-08-15 0.050000 0.452080
2001-05-15 0.050000 0.390930
2001-02-14 0.140000 1.304753
2000-11-15 0.140000 1.866667
2000-08-16 0.140000 1.280000
2000-05-15 0.140000 0.914286
2000-02-14 0.140000 1.210811
1999-11-15 0.140000 1.154639
1999-08-17 0.140000 0.649275
1999-05-13 0.140000 0.668657
1999-02-18 0.140000 0.746667
1998-11-13 0.140000 0.823529
1998-08-17 0.140000 0.678788
1998-05-13 0.140000 0.654971
1998-02-11 0.140000 0.632768
1997-11-14 0.140000 0.670659
1997-08-13 0.140000 0.622222
1997-05-13 0.140000 0.756757
1997-02-11 0.140000 0.670659
1996-11-14 0.140000 0.647399
1996-08-13 0.140000 0.666667
1996-05-15 0.140000 0.541063
1996-02-12 0.140000 0.557214
1995-11-13 0.140000 0.592593
1995-08-11 0.140000 0.560000
1995-05-12 0.140000 0.491228
1995-02-08 0.125000 0.440529
1994-11-10 0.125000 0.436681
1994-08-09 0.125000 0.395257
1994-05-12 0.125000 0.384615
1994-02-08 0.110000 0.241758
1993-11-10 0.110000 0.281150
1993-08-09 0.110000 0.333333
1993-05-12 0.110000 0.341085
1993-02-08 0.100000 0.261866
1992-11-09 0.100000 0.361174
1992-08-10 0.100000 0.446927
1992-05-11 0.100000 0.462428
1992-02-10 0.090000 0.473684
1991-11-08 0.090000 0.668731
1991-08-08 0.090000 0.613636
1991-05-14 0.090000 0.742268
1991-02-11 0.090000 0.911392
1990-11-08 0.090000 1.193370
1990-08-08 0.090000 0.818182
1990-05-15 0.083333 0.568180
1990-02-09 0.083333 0.636940
1989-11-09 0.083333 0.634918
1989-08-08 0.083333 0.636940
1989-05-12 0.083333 0.724635
1989-02-07 0.076667 0.721572
1988-11-08 0.076667 0.821432
1988-08-08 0.076667 0.707695
1988-05-12 0.076667 0.769878
1988-02-08 0.066667 0.727276
1987-11-06 0.066667 0.701758
1987-08-06 0.066667 0.606064
1987-05-12 0.066667 0.634924
1987-02-09 0.066667 0.529804
1986-11-07 0.066667 0.634924
1986-08-07 0.066667 0.860219
1986-05-14 0.066667 0.772951
1986-02-10 0.066667 0.837701
1985-11-08 0.066667 0.969702
1985-08-08 0.066667 0.993794
1985-05-15 0.066667 0.987659
1985-02-08 0.066667 0.812187
1984-11-09 0.066667 0.981600
1984-08-09 0.066667 0.993794
1984-05-18 0.066667 0.952386
1984-02-10 0.066667 0.808085
1983-11-04 0.066667 0.800004
1983-08-09 0.066667 0.744190
1983-05-13 0.066667 0.610690
1983-02-14 0.066667 0.692644
1982-11-05 0.066667 0.720724
1982-08-09 0.066667 1.185191
1982-05-21 0.066667 1.111117
1982-02-10 0.066667 1.134757
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.2
dividendYield 1.7
exDividendDate 2026-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.16
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.016402714
lastDividendValue 0.3
lastDividendDate 2026-08-14
dividendDate 2026-08-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.24128312
Address1 1,610 West End Avenue
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 122.87
All Time Low 1.03
Ask 72.84
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 4
Average Daily Volume10 Day 984,330
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,152,829
Average Volume 1,152,829
Average Volume10Days 984,330
Beta 1.594
Bid 71.39
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 2
Book Value 24.914
City Nashville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 71.26
Current Ratio 3.221
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 72.73
Day Low 70.1
Debt To Equity 21.617
Display Name Louisiana-Pacific
Dividend Date 1,787,875,200
Dividend Rate 1.2
Dividend Yield 1.7
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,942,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,942,000
Earnings Growth -0.518
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.519
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 257,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.104090005
Enterprise To Ebitda 19.968
Enterprise To Revenue 2.078
Enterprise Value 5,131,742,208
Eps Current Year 1.08176
Eps Forward 3.02955
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.78
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 74.8536
Fifty Day Average Change -3.5935974
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.048008345
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -24.128311
Fifty Two Week High 101.28
Fifty Two Week High Change -30.019997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.29640597
Fifty Two Week Low 66.12
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.1399994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.077737436
Fifty Two Week Range 66.12 - 101.28
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.27
Float Shares 59,104,161
Forward Eps 3.02955
Forward P E 23.521645
Free Cashflow -96,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,300
Fullday Change 0.540001
Fullday Change Percent 0.763576
Fullday Price 71.26
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.18023
Gross Profits 445,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09445
Held Percent Institutions 0.98323
Implied Shares Outstanding 69,923,410
Industry Building Products & Equipment
Industry Disp Building Products & Equipment
Industry Key building-products-equipment
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=73030&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Last Dividend Value 0.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 739,584,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Louisiana-Pacific Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides building solutions for applications in new home construction, repair and remodeling, and outdoor structure markets in the United States, Canada, and South America. It operates through Siding and Oriented Strand Board (OSB) segments. The Siding segment consists of a portfolio of engineered wood siding, trim, soffit, and fascia products; and primed products, including LP SmartSide trim and siding, LP BuilderSeries Lap Siding, and LP Outdoor Building Solutions; and LP SmartSide ExpertFinish trim and siding pre-finished products. The OSB segment manufactures and distributes OSB structural panel products, including the value-added OSB product portfolio comprising LP Structural Solutions, which includes LP FlameBlock Fire-Rated Sheathing, LP WeatherLogic Air and Water Barrier, LP TechShield Radiant Barrier, LP Legacy Premium Sub-Flooring, and LP TopNotch 350 Durable Sub-Flooring. In addition, the company provides other operations, including timber and timberlands, as well as other minor products, services, and closed operations. The company sells its products primarily to retailers, wholesalers, home building, and industrial businesses in North America and South America. Louisiana-Pacific Corporation was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
Long Name Louisiana-Pacific Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,982,742,016
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_286119
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 54,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,944,983,555
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 71.78
Operating Cashflow 258,000,000
Operating Margins 0.05271
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 1.5064999
Peg Ratio 3.68
Phone 615 986 5600
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 71.26
Post Market Time 1,787,961,600
Previous Close 70.72
Price Eps Current Year 65.87413
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.8602393
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.0181215
Profit Margins 0.02187
Quick Ratio 1.546
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.540001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.763576
Regular Market Day High 72.73
Regular Market Day Low 70.1
Regular Market Day Range 70.1 - 72.73
Regular Market Open 71.78
Regular Market Previous Close 70.72
Regular Market Price 71.26
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 974,402
Return On Assets 0.026600001
Return On Equity 0.03098
Revenue Growth -0.121
Revenue Per Share 35.271
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 69,923,410
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0996
Shares Short 6,963,916
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,985,539
Short Name Louisiana-Pacific Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.100200005
Short Ratio 5.61
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol LPX
Target High Price 107.0
Target Low Price 74.0
Target Mean Price 92.23077
Target Median Price 92.0
Total Cash 228,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.261
Total Debt 377,000,000
Total Revenue 2,468,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.16
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.016402714
Trailing Eps 0.78
Trailing P E 91.35898
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 78.3798
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.1197968
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.09083714
Type Disp Equity
Volume 974,402
Website https://www.lpcorp.com
Zip 37,203