LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH)Technology | Electronic Components | Orlando, United States | NasdaqCM
14.16 USD
-0.76
(-5.094%) ⇩
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 14.22 +0.06 (0.405%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:45 p.m. EDT
An XFEL laser company trading exactly at its 52-week high (15.72 vs 14.16 current, effectively near recent top of ~15.72) with a negative earnings forecast (-4.75% adj direction) and a forward P/E of 108x. The market is pricing in a resilience play (turning backlog to revenue), but the valuation gap is abyssal. Unless the catalyst of the $60M public offering bridges the funding gap to accelerate the 120% revenue growth, the probability of return is low given the extreme valuation disconnected from negative earnings. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.213710 |
| AutoETS | 0.217062 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.217068 |
| AutoTheta | 0.463844 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 79% |
| H-stat | 0.84 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.005 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.142 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.42 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 9.152 |
| Revenue per Share | 1.21 |
| Market Cap | 817,153,792 |
| Forward P/E | 108.92 |
| Beta | 1.07 |
| Profit Margins | -43.45% |
| Website | https://www.lightpath.com |
As of April 18, 2026, 11:45 p.m. EDT: Options activity shows a distinct catenary spread of puts at strikes 12.5/15.0 against calls at 17.5 (May/June), indicating a 'short gamma' shorts squeeze sentiment or an insurance strategy on downside. However, the most notable signal is the massive open interest wall in far-dated Jan 2027 calls at the 12.5 strike (OI 606), suggesting long-term investors are assigning a 12.5 target price for this year. There is no unwind of top strikes by the listed expirations, indicating underlying holders are comfortable with current levels. Note the extremely high implied volatility on the short-dated puts relative to calls, reflecting a high-risk premium for downside protection.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 6.2244897 |
| Address1 | 2,603 Challenger Tech Court |
| Address2 | Suite 100 |
| All Time High | 556.0 |
| All Time Low | 0.3 |
| Ask | 17.8 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,478,870 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,637,114 |
| Average Volume | 2,637,114 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,478,870 |
| Beta | 1.074 |
| Bid | 11.16 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | 1.432 |
| City | Orlando |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 14.16 |
| Current Ratio | 3.972 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 15.72 |
| Day Low | 13.85 |
| Debt To Equity | 9.152 |
| Display Name | LightPath |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,770,847,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,770,847,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,770,843,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,788,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,788,800 |
| Ebitda | -2,827,804 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.05357 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -278.69 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 14.929 |
| Enterprise Value | 788,080,000 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.03 |
| Eps Forward | 0.13 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.52 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 11.5456 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 2.6144 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.22644123 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 622.449 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 15.72 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -1.5600004 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.09923667 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 1.9 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 12.26 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 6.452632 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 1.9 - 15.72 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 824,999,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 53,681,697 |
| Forward Eps | 0.13 |
| Forward P E | 108.92308 |
| Free Cashflow | 4,090,927 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 345 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.30041 |
| Gross Profits | 15,857,756 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.013049999 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.60112 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 57,708,603 |
| Industry | Electronic Components |
| Industry Disp | Electronic Components |
| Industry Key | electronic-components |
| Ir Website | http://www.lightpath.com/investors/investor-relations.html |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,751,241,600 |
| Last Split Date | 1,046,736,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:8 |
| Long Business Summary | LightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical systems and assemblies in the United States. It offers precision molded glass aspheric optics, molded and diamond-turned infrared aspheric lenses, spherical lenses, and other optical components used to produce products that manipulate light; and infrared products, including catalog and custom infrared optics. The company also offers cooled and uncooled camera systems and modules for long range surveillance and detection, and engineering services. The company's products are used in defense products, border security, perimeter security, night vision systems, medical devices, laser aided industrial tools, automotive safety applications, telecommunications, machine vision and sensors, and other sectors. It sells its products directly to customers in Europe and Asia. LightPath Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida. |
| Long Name | LightPath Technologies, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 817,153,792 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_351646 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -22,936,852 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,782,777,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 817,153,818 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 15.18 |
| Operating Cashflow | -4,212,853 |
| Operating Margins | -0.06351 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.54 |
| Phone | 407 382 4003 |
| Post Market Change | 0.057300568 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.40466502 |
| Post Market Price | 14.2173 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,470,334 |
| Previous Close | 14.92 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -472.0 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 9.8882675 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 15.480105 |
| Profit Margins | -0.43451 |
| Quick Ratio | 3.364 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.76 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.09384 |
| Regular Market Day High | 15.72 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 13.85 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 13.85 - 15.72 |
| Regular Market Open | 15.18 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 14.92 |
| Regular Market Price | 14.16 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,000 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,572,185 |
| Return On Assets | -0.04847 |
| Return On Equity | -0.33033 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.202 |
| Revenue Per Share | 1.21 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Shares Outstanding | 57,708,603 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0589 |
| Shares Short | 3,397,858 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,417,502 |
| Short Name | LightPath Technologies, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.059499998 |
| Short Ratio | 1.79 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | LPTH |
| Target High Price | 17.0 |
| Target Low Price | 14.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 15.1 |
| Target Median Price | 15.0 |
| Total Cash | 73,572,472 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.275 |
| Total Debt | 10,266,127 |
| Total Revenue | 52,787,352 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.52 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 8.26465 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 5.8953495 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.7133211 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,572,185 |
| Website | https://www.lightpath.com |
| Zip | 32,826 |