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LightPath Technologies, Inc. (LPTH)

Technology | Electronic Components | Orlando, United States | NasdaqCM
11.23 USD -2.56 (-18.564%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 11.20 -0.03 (-0.029%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:02 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's explosive recent growth and its precarious financial foundation. Fundamentally, LightPath is a turnaround story that has finally ignited; revenue surged 109% year-over-year, and the stock price has rallied over 100% over the last nine years, erasing previous declines. However, the business remains deeply unprofitable, with negative operating margins and a forward P/E of 721x, meaning the market is pricing in perfection that hasn't materialized yet. The balance sheet is surprisingly clean with minimal debt, which prevents a 'value trap' classification, but the lack of free cash flow generation keeps the long-term rating neutral until profitability is proven. Short-term, the stock is volatile but showing signs of stabilization after a recent dip, trading above its key moving averages. The options market confirms this tension: traders are buying deep out-of-the-money calls hoping for a breakout while simultaneously hedging with deep out-of-the-money puts, creating a high-risk, high-reward environment. Given the massive revenue acceleration and the absence of a multi-year decline, the short-term outlook leans bullish, but the lack of earnings validation warrants caution. This is a speculative play on a potential turnaround, not a safe long-term hold yet.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.103753
AutoETS0.106198
MSTL0.115195
AutoTheta0.127425

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 0.29
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.662
Excess Kurtosis -0.59
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.031
Revenue per Share 1.311
Market Cap 705,124,992
Forward P/E 561.50
Beta 1.41
Profit Margins -37.38%
Website https://www.lightpath.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:02 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (20.00), suggesting a speculative hope for a sharp rally, while Put Open Interest clusters deep in-the-money (2.50, 7.50, 10.00), indicating a hedge against a crash or a 'lottery ticket' strategy for downside protection. The imbalance in volume versus open interest at specific strikes (e.g., 20.00 calls and 20.00 puts) suggests active trading of these levels as barriers or targets, but the overall structure reflects uncertainty and high implied volatility expectations rather than a consensus on immediate price direction.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.8085539
Address1 2,603 Challenger Tech Court
Address2 Suite 100
All Time High 556.0
All Time Low 0.3
Ask 11.11
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,843,740
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,106,551
Average Volume 3,106,551
Average Volume10Days 2,843,740
Beta 1.413
Bid 9.04
Bid Size 2
Book Value 1.456
City Orlando
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.23
Current Ratio 3.855
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 12.65
Day Low 10.925
Debt To Equity 10.031
Display Name LightPath
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,187,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,187,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,790,280,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,790,280,000
Ebitda -565,770
Ebitda Margins -0.00901
Enterprise To Ebitda -1,210.753
Enterprise To Revenue 10.913
Enterprise Value 685,007,552
Eps Current Year -0.155
Eps Forward 0.02
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.5
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 12.797
Fifty Day Average Change -1.5670004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.122450605
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 180.8554
Fifty Two Week High 18.94
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.710001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.40707502
Fifty Two Week Low 4.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.5199995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.3842887
Fifty Two Week Range 4.71 - 18.94
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 824,999,400,000
Float Shares 62,085,538
Forward Eps 0.02
Forward P E 561.5
Free Cashflow 3,234,338
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 345
Fullday Change -2.56
Fullday Change Percent -18.5642
Fullday Price 11.2013
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.32101002
Gross Profits 20,149,938
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01135
Held Percent Institutions 0.83228
Implied Shares Outstanding 62,789,407
Industry Electronic Components
Industry Disp Electronic Components
Industry Key electronic-components
Ir Website http://www.lightpath.com/investors/investor-relations.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,046,736,000
Last Split Factor 1:8
Long Business Summary LightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical systems and assemblies in the United States. It offers precision molded glass aspheric optics, molded and diamond-turned infrared aspheric lenses, spherical lenses, and other optical components used to produce products that manipulate light; and infrared products, including catalog and custom infrared optics. The company also offers cooled and uncooled camera systems and modules for long range surveillance and detection, and engineering services. The company's products are used in defense products, border security, perimeter security, night vision systems, medical devices, laser aided industrial tools, automotive safety applications, telecommunications, machine vision and sensors, and other sectors. It sells its products directly to customers in Europe and Asia. LightPath Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Long Name LightPath Technologies, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 705,124,992
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_351646
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -23,460,678
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 866,179,869
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 12.61
Operating Cashflow -7,766,522
Operating Margins -0.04486
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.54
Phone 407 382 4003
Post Market Change -0.028699875
Post Market Change Percent -0.25556433
Post Market Price 11.2013
Post Market Time 1,787,961,528
Previous Close 13.79
Price Eps Current Year -72.45161
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.712912
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 11.233554
Profit Margins -0.37375998
Quick Ratio 3.067
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.56
Regular Market Change Percent -18.5642
Regular Market Day High 12.65
Regular Market Day Low 10.925
Regular Market Day Range 10.925 - 12.65
Regular Market Open 12.61
Regular Market Previous Close 13.79
Regular Market Price 11.23
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 8,735,040
Return On Assets -0.028110001
Return On Equity -0.28785
Revenue Growth 1.089
Revenue Per Share 1.311
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 62,789,407
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.171
Shares Short 10,734,823
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 9,540,633
Short Name LightPath Technologies, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1727
Short Ratio 3.97
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol LPTH
Target High Price 17.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 15.78
Target Median Price 15.4
Total Cash 55,235,180
Total Cash Per Share 0.88
Total Debt 11,323,480
Total Revenue 62,769,540
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.5
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.8089
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.57890034
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.049022377
Type Disp Equity
Volume 8,735,040
Website https://www.lightpath.com
Zip 32,826