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Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE)

Consumer Defensive | Education & Training Services | Phoenix, United States | NasdaqGS
162.56 USD +2.32 (1.451%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 2:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:08 a.m. EDT

Grand Canyon Education presents a compelling case for a medium-term swing trade driven by a confluence of strong fundamentals and bullish options positioning. The company boasts exceptional financial health, highlighted by a robust 31% return on equity and a fortress-like balance sheet with a current ratio of 2.8x. Fundamentally, the business is on a superior trajectory, having delivered a massive 407% cumulative gain over the last nine years with no consecutive years of decline at the end of the window, indicating sustained market validation of its quality. However, the stock faces a near-term headwind as it trades above its 200-day moving average, suggesting some profit-taking pressure after a strong prior year. The options market confirms this tension; while there is a notable buildup of call interest targeting higher levels, the presence of put volume suggests a floor is being established. With a forward P/E of 14x and strong earnings growth, the valuation remains reasonable relative to its performance. The lack of a dividend is a neutral factor for income investors but irrelevant for those seeking capital appreciation. Overall, the data supports a 'slight upside lean' with high conviction in the underlying business quality, making it a solid candidate for a momentum play as it attempts to reclaim its 52-week highs.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.068550
AutoETS0.068551
AutoTheta0.069286
MSTL0.078753

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 49%
H-stat 1.48
Ljung-Box p 0.001
Jarque-Bera p 0.498
Excess Kurtosis 0.60
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 15.565
Revenue per Share 42.268
Market Cap 4,237,001,728
Trailing P/E 19.51
Forward P/E 14.37
Beta 0.58
Profit Margins 19.63%
Website https://www.gce.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move over the next few months, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes 170 and 175 for the October expiration, alongside significant call volume at 185 for December. While there is some defensive put buying at lower strikes (120-140) for December, the overwhelming skew is bullish, suggesting traders expect the stock to test resistance levels above current prices rather than face a sharp correction.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.23117894
Address1 2,600 West Camelback Road
All Time High 223.04
All Time Low 9.49
Ask 173.97
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 256,810
Average Daily Volume3 Month 319,464
Average Volume 319,464
Average Volume10Days 256,810
Beta 0.58
Bid 149.92
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 4
Book Value 25.847
City Phoenix
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 162.555
Current Ratio 2.818
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 163.73
Day Low 160.375
Debt To Equity 15.565
Display Name Grand Canyon Education
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Earnings Growth 0.182
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.104
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 358,792,000
Ebitda Margins 0.31416
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.018
Enterprise To Revenue 3.461
Enterprise Value 3,953,050,624
Eps Current Year 10.21333
Eps Forward 11.31
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 8.33
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 150.7974
Fifty Day Average Change 11.757599
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07796951
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -23.117893
Fifty Two Week High 223.04
Fifty Two Week High Change -60.485
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.27118456
Fifty Two Week Low 134.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.284988
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.21065754
Fifty Two Week Range 134.27 - 223.04
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,227,191,400,000
Float Shares 25,089,657
Forward Eps 11.31
Forward P E 14.372678
Free Cashflow 205,755,248
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Fullday Change 2.324997
Fullday Change Percent 1.4510373
Fullday Price 162.555
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.53271
Gross Profits 608,395,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02179
Held Percent Institutions 1.08499
Implied Shares Outstanding 26,065,037
Industry Education & Training Services
Industry Disp Education & Training Services
Industry Key education-training-services
Ir Website http://investors.gcu.edu/phoenix.zhtml?c=221997&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence, analytics, and data science, and market research and insights; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 20 university partners. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Long Name Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,237,001,728
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_44732496
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 224,206,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,933,996,034
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 161.61
Operating Cashflow 278,707,008
Operating Margins 0.22023001
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.94
Phone 602 247 4400
Previous Close 160.23
Price Eps Current Year 15.915963
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 6.289124
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.7099445
Profit Margins 0.19632
Quick Ratio 2.692
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.324997
Regular Market Change Percent 1.4510373
Regular Market Day High 163.73
Regular Market Day Low 160.375
Regular Market Day Range 160.375 - 163.73
Regular Market Open 161.61
Regular Market Previous Close 160.23
Regular Market Price 162.555
Regular Market Time 1,792,090,542
Regular Market Volume 176,298
Return On Assets 0.20431
Return On Equity 0.30979002
Revenue Growth 0.067
Revenue Per Share 42.268
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16440773
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 26,065,037
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0879
Shares Short 2,289,900
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,028,887
Short Name Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.08979999
Short Ratio 6.68
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol LOPE
Target High Price 200.0
Target Low Price 182.0
Target Mean Price 194.0
Target Median Price 200.0
Total Cash 274,526,016
Total Cash Per Share 10.668
Total Debt 104,212,000
Total Revenue 1,142,066,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 8.33
Trailing P E 19.514404
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.8865
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 158.23955
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.315445
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.027271595
Type Disp Equity
Volume 176,298
Website https://www.gce.com
Zip 85,017