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Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE)

Consumer Defensive | Education & Training Services | Phoenix, United States | NasdaqGS
173.28 USD -1.44 (-0.824%) ⇩ (April 21, 2026, 12:01 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:24 p.m. EDT

LOPE presents as a classic 'value trap' in the short term due to a weak statistical model predicting negative price momentum (-3.16% over 45 days) and negative recent price action, but remains a solid long-term hold (4/5) supported by strong balance sheet fundamentals (net cash position), robust Free Cash Flow, and a massive $300 million buyback that signals insider confidence in valuation. The near-term price action is being punished by cost basis and minor technical weakness, but the 15.5x forward PE and 35% operating margins justify a patient accumulation strategy for the multi-year horizon, ignoring the significant short-term noise and lack of dividend yield.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.048035
AutoETS0.048049
MSTL0.049480
AutoTheta0.068625

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.15
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.256
Excess Kurtosis -0.29
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 14.368
Revenue per Share 39.698
Market Cap 4,846,377,472
Trailing P/E 22.47
Forward P/E 15.43
Beta 0.67
Profit Margins 19.54%
Website https://www.gce.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:24 p.m. EDT: Near-term options show a classic 'iron condor' or range-bound setup with significant Open Interest (OI) at 165/170 for puts and 170/175 for calls on the April 17 expiration, creating a tight squeeze around the current price. However, forward-looking data for June 2026 reveals a massive divergence: while call interest is minimal, put holders are aggressively positioning with over 271 contracts (100% OTM focus at strikes 95/115), suggesting a long-term hedging strategy or bearish view against extended volatility. Implied Volatility (IV) is skewed, with near-term IV for puts at 0.58 vs calls at 0.42, implying a market expectation of downside risk or a specific event risk being priced in closer to expiration than support for upside.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.007844925
Address1 2,600 West Camelback Road
All Time High 223.04
All Time Low 9.49
Ask 188.82
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 222,780
Average Daily Volume3 Month 279,240
Average Volume 279,240
Average Volume10Days 222,780
Beta 0.671
Bid 160.29
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 28.235
City Phoenix
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 173.28
Current Ratio 3.646
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 175.66
Day Low 173.12
Debt To Equity 14.368
Display Name Grand Canyon Education
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,581,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,581,000
Earnings Growth 0.105
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.059
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,579,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,579,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,579,200
Ebitda 343,223,008
Ebitda Margins 0.31031
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.087
Enterprise To Revenue 4.061
Enterprise Value 4,491,915,776
Eps Current Year 10.09
Eps Forward 11.23
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.71
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 165.4956
Fifty Day Average Change 7.7843933
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.047036856
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 0.7844925
Fifty Two Week High 223.04
Fifty Two Week High Change -49.759995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.22309898
Fifty Two Week Low 149.37
Fifty Two Week Low Change 23.910004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16007233
Fifty Two Week Range 149.37 - 223.04
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,227,191,400,000
Float Shares 26,165,201
Forward Eps 11.23
Forward P E 15.430099
Free Cashflow 200,567,632
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.53194
Gross Profits 588,360,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02118
Held Percent Institutions 1.0422
Implied Shares Outstanding 27,968,477
Industry Education & Training Services
Industry Disp Education & Training Services
Industry Key education-training-services
Ir Website http://investors.gcu.edu/phoenix.zhtml?c=221997&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence, analytics, and data science, and market research and insights; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 20 university partners. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Long Name Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,846,377,472
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_44732496
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 216,170,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,743,590,021
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 174.96
Operating Cashflow 273,491,008
Operating Margins 0.35077
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.15
Phone 602 247 4400
Previous Close 174.72
Price Eps Current Year 17.173439
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 6.137064
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.381619
Profit Margins 0.19544001
Quick Ratio 3.524
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.4400024
Regular Market Change Percent -0.8241772
Regular Market Day High 175.66
Regular Market Day Low 173.12
Regular Market Day Range 173.12 - 175.66
Regular Market Open 174.96
Regular Market Previous Close 174.72
Regular Market Price 173.28
Regular Market Time 1,776,787,300
Regular Market Volume 69,510
Return On Assets 0.18856001
Return On Equity 0.28243
Revenue Growth 0.053
Revenue Per Share 39.698
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 27,143,454
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0422
Shares Short 1,146,553
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,100,968
Short Name Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0558
Short Ratio 4.48
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol LOPE
Target High Price 230.0
Target Low Price 196.0
Target Mean Price 213.0
Target Median Price 213.0
Total Cash 300,079,008
Total Cash Per Share 11.192
Total Debt 107,323,000
Total Revenue 1,106,070,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 7.71
Trailing P E 22.474709
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.1535
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 179.74875
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.46875
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.035987735
Type Disp Equity
Volume 69,510
Website https://www.gce.com
Zip 85,017