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Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE)

Consumer Defensive | Education & Training Services | Phoenix, United States | NasdaqGS
151.19 USD +1.00 (0.666%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 151.19

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:20 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case remains robust, driven by exceptional fundamentals including a 30% return on equity, strong free cash flow generation, and a multi-year price trajectory that has more than tripled over the last nine years. Despite the recent price slip and the statistical model's weak bearish lean, the business quality—evidenced by expanding margins and consistent enrollment growth—supports a solid buy rating. However, the short-term outlook is neutral; the stock is currently trading near its 50-day average but remains well below its 200-day moving average, creating a technical headwind. Options activity confirms this hesitation, with traders hedging against further declines while waiting for confirmation of the recovery. With no dividend to provide income, investors must rely entirely on capital appreciation, making patience essential until the price clears the 200-day resistance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.034476
AutoTheta0.035586
AutoETS0.035648
AutoARIMA0.035648

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 0.44
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.873
Excess Kurtosis -0.35
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 15.565
Revenue per Share 42.268
Market Cap 3,940,772,864
Trailing P/E 18.15
Forward P/E 13.35
Beta 0.58
Profit Margins 19.63%
Website https://www.gce.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:20 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at strikes significantly below the current price (115 and 120), suggesting a fear of a deeper correction rather than immediate downside. Conversely, call interest is concentrated in out-of-the-money strikes (165, 200, 210), indicating bets on a recovery or continuation of the recent rally. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for deep out-of-the-money puts compared to calls, reflecting asymmetric risk perception where the downside tail is priced as more probable than the upside surge.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.2558815
Address1 2,600 West Camelback Road
All Time High 223.04
All Time Low 9.49
Ask 150.8
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 284,690
Average Daily Volume3 Month 355,326
Average Volume 355,326
Average Volume10Days 284,690
Beta 0.579
Bid 150.66
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 4
Book Value 25.847
City Phoenix
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 151.19
Current Ratio 2.818
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 151.815
Day Low 150.28
Debt To Equity 15.565
Display Name Grand Canyon Education
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,443,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,443,400
Earnings Growth 0.182
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.104
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 358,792,000
Ebitda Margins 0.31416
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.369
Enterprise To Revenue 3.258
Enterprise Value 3,720,414,976
Eps Current Year 10.22667
Eps Forward 11.32333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 8.33
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 146.557
Fifty Day Average Change 4.6329956
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.031612244
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -25.588148
Fifty Two Week High 223.04
Fifty Two Week High Change -71.84999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3221395
Fifty Two Week Low 134.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change 16.919998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12601472
Fifty Two Week Range 134.27 - 223.04
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,227,191,400,000
Float Shares 25,089,657
Forward Eps 11.32333
Forward P E 13.352079
Free Cashflow 205,755,248
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Fullday Change 1.0
Fullday Change Percent 0.665823
Fullday Price 151.19
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.53271
Gross Profits 608,395,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02179
Held Percent Institutions 1.05447
Implied Shares Outstanding 26,065,037
Industry Education & Training Services
Industry Disp Education & Training Services
Industry Key education-training-services
Ir Website http://investors.gcu.edu/phoenix.zhtml?c=221997&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence, analytics, and data science, and market research and insights; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 20 university partners. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Long Name Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,940,772,864
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_44732496
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 224,206,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,914,707,907
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 150.88
Operating Cashflow 278,707,008
Operating Margins 0.22023001
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.97
Phone 602 247 4400
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 151.19
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 150.19
Price Eps Current Year 14.783894
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.8494215
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.4505649
Profit Margins 0.19632
Quick Ratio 2.692
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.665823
Regular Market Day High 151.815
Regular Market Day Low 150.28
Regular Market Day Range 150.28 - 151.815
Regular Market Open 150.88
Regular Market Previous Close 150.19
Regular Market Price 151.19
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 234,942
Return On Assets 0.20431
Return On Equity 0.30979002
Revenue Growth 0.067
Revenue Per Share 42.268
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 26,065,037
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0652
Shares Short 1,698,281
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,723,576
Short Name Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.066599995
Short Ratio 4.8
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol LOPE
Target High Price 200.0
Target Low Price 185.0
Target Mean Price 195.0
Target Median Price 200.0
Total Cash 274,526,016
Total Cash Per Share 10.668
Total Debt 104,212,000
Total Revenue 1,142,066,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 8.33
Trailing P E 18.15006
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.9768
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 159.5796
Two Hundred Day Average Change -8.389603
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.052573152
Type Disp Equity
Volume 234,942
Website https://www.gce.com
Zip 85,017