Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | White Plains, United States | NYSE
67.48 USD
-3.96
(-5.537%) ⇩
(July 15, 2026, 9:55 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:22 a.m. EDT
The immediate catalyst driving this stock is a classic 'rebalancing' event; the removal from the Russell Growth index triggered a 12.6% pop, and the market is now digesting the new reality. Fundamentally, the company shows a stark dichotomy: revenue is exploding up 36%, yet earnings are contracting sharply (-27%). This disconnect creates a precarious valuation where the stock trades at over 100x trailing earnings despite a forward P/E of roughly 46x. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying nearly $1 billion in debt against less than $100 million in cash, which makes the high operating margins (25%) feel like a temporary reprieve rather than a fortress. While the recent price action and the heavy call open interest at higher strikes suggest traders are betting on a continuation of this recovery, the lack of a dividend and the deteriorating profitability mean this is a high-risk momentum play, not a stable income vehicle. The statistical forecast model offers no help here, showing a flat prediction with low confidence, which aligns with the view that the recent rally may be a one-time technical correction rather than a sustainable trend reversal. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.071397 |
| AutoETS | 0.071399 |
| AutoTheta | 0.071556 |
| MSTL | 0.071572 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 45% |
| H-stat | 0.11 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.761 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.54 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 81.386 |
| Revenue per Share | 5.744 |
| Market Cap | 6,317,310,976 |
| Trailing P/E | 95.04 |
| Forward P/E | 42.89 |
| Beta | 0.47 |
| Profit Margins | 12.64% |
| Website | https://www.loargroup.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a specific directional move. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (85 and 90), suggesting a bullish bias for a rally, while Put Open Interest concentrates deep in-the-money (30, 35, 50), indicating a hedge against a severe crash. The massive volume spike in January 2027 calls at the 85 strike suggests a speculative bet on a major re-rating, while the deep put volume acts as insurance against a failure of that thesis.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.058412433 |
| Address1 | 20 New King Street |
| All Time High | 99.67 |
| All Time Low | 42.57 |
| Ask | 68.54 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 741,450 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 851,624 |
| Average Volume | 851,624 |
| Average Volume10Days | 741,450 |
| Beta | 0.474 |
| Bid | 66.53 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 12.603 |
| City | White Plains |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 7 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 67.475 |
| Current Ratio | 4.56 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 69.5956 |
| Day Low | 67.195 |
| Debt To Equity | 81.386 |
| Display Name | Loar |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,164,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,164,200 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.256 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.272 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,157,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,157,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,157,000 |
| Ebitda | 192,816,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.35859 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 39.162 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 14.043 |
| Enterprise Value | 7,551,124,480 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.30495 |
| Eps Forward | 1.57319 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.71 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 67.0252 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.44979858 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0067108874 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -5.8412433 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 83.43 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -15.955002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.19123818 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 53.15 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 14.324997 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.26952016 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 53.15 - 83.43 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,714,051,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 43,457,671 |
| Forward Eps | 1.57319 |
| Forward P E | 42.89056 |
| Free Cashflow | 74,081,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,700 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.53749 |
| Gross Profits | 289,016,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.1933 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.96130997 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 93,624,471 |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Disp | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Key | aerospace-defense |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Loar Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells aerospace and defense components for aircraft, and aerospace and defense systems in the United States and internationally. It offers airframe components, structural components, avionics, composites, braking system components, de-ice and ice protection, electro-mechanical, engineered materials, flight controls, fluid and motion controls, environmental, metal forming, molded components, and restraints and safety devices. The company also provides auto throttles, lap-belt airbags, two-and three-point seat belts, water purification systems, fire barriers, polyimide washers and bushings, latches, interior securing devices, hold-open and tie rods, temperature and fluid sensors and switches, carbon and metallic brake discs, fluid and pneumatic-based ice protection, RAM air components, sealing solutions, motion and actuation devices, edge-lighted panels and knobs, and annunciators for incandescent and LED illuminated pushbutton switches, high-performance fans and cooling devices, lighting, Human-Machine Interface products, and bespoke lighting systems, and others. It primarily serves commercial, business jet and general aviation, and defense markets. Loar Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in White Plains, New York. |
| Long Name | Loar Holdings Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 6,317,310,976 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1876857378 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 67,973,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 6,685,723,474 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 69.31 |
| Operating Cashflow | 114,835,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.25553 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 914 909 1311 |
| Previous Close | 71.43 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 51.706963 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.353884 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 11.748503 |
| Profit Margins | 0.12641 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.735 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.4 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -3.9550018 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.536892 |
| Regular Market Day High | 69.5956 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 67.195 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 67.195 - 69.5956 |
| Regular Market Open | 69.31 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 71.43 |
| Regular Market Price | 67.475 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,123,723 |
| Regular Market Volume | 144,090 |
| Return On Assets | 0.04479 |
| Return On Equity | 0.05945 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.361 |
| Revenue Per Share | 5.744 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.2043345 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 93,624,471 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.056700002 |
| Shares Short | 5,304,347 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 6,976,311 |
| Short Name | Loar Holdings Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1204 |
| Short Ratio | 6.22 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NY |
| Symbol | LOAR |
| Target High Price | 102.0 |
| Target Low Price | 75.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 87.0 |
| Target Median Price | 87.0 |
| Total Cash | 94,882,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.013 |
| Total Debt | 960,283,008 |
| Total Revenue | 537,712,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.71 |
| Trailing P E | 95.03521 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 68.6465 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.1715012 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.01706571 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 144,090 |
| Website | https://www.loargroup.com |
| Zip | 10,604 |