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Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | White Plains, United States | NYSE
67.48 USD +5.67 (9.173%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 67.91 +0.43 (0.637%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:33 p.m. EDT

With a 28% spike in short interest, deteriorating technicals trading below the 200-day average, and a negative forecast model predicting a ~3% decline over 45 days, LOAR is currently a weak hold. The premium valuation (PE ~89x) is pricing in significant growth that hasn't materialized yet in stock performance, despite analyst 'Strong Buy' ratings which appear to be 'value traps' given the flat-to-down price action. The bullish options flow on January 2027 strikes suggests a long-term optimistic thesis exists within the innovation, supports a moderate long-term buy (3/5), but the lack of dividend yield and near-term bearish momentum makes it unsuitable now.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.094859
AutoETS0.094861
AutoTheta0.101666
MSTL0.102085

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 5.29
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.561
Excess Kurtosis -0.48
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 61.74
Revenue per Share 5.302
Market Cap 6,317,779,456
Trailing P/E 89.97
Forward P/E 63.97
Profit Margins 14.54%
Website https://www.loargroup.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:33 p.m. EDT: Options flow shows a complex divergence. In the short term (May-June expiry), there is heavy out-of-the-money ATM OI for calls (60, 70 strikes) versus very limited call volume. Conversely, the puts expire with massive OI accumulation at lower strikes (45-60). This suggests a 'long-gamma' setup where speculators are betting on volatility >0 but have weak directional conviction for the immediate future. However, the January 2027 data presents a strong bullish signal: massive volume in 65-strike calls (600 vol vs 7 OI) and significant OTM OI walls at 85-90. While this far-dated flow could be a contrarian long signal for the next year, the immediate horizon is defined by the high OI at support levels and neutral ATM positioning.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.17395031
Address1 20 New King Street
All Time High 99.67
All Time Low 42.57
Ask 68.5
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 775,000
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,031,712
Average Volume 1,031,712
Average Volume10Days 775,000
Bid 60.11
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 7
Book Value 12.548
City White Plains
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 67.48
Current Ratio 4.7
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 67.895
Day Low 63.295
Debt To Equity 61.74
Display Name Loar
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,164,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,164,200
Earnings Growth 2.194
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.395
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Ebitda 174,034,000
Ebitda Margins 0.35067
Enterprise To Ebitda 39.981
Enterprise To Revenue 14.02
Enterprise Value 6,958,110,208
Eps Current Year 0.79203
Eps Forward 1.0549
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.75
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 64.59
Fifty Day Average Change 2.890007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04474388
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -17.395031
Fifty Two Week High 99.67
Fifty Two Week High Change -32.189995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.32296574
Fifty Two Week Low 54.585
Fifty Two Week Low Change 12.895004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.23623714
Fifty Two Week Range 54.585 - 99.67
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,714,051,800,000
Float Shares 39,872,874
Forward Eps 1.0549
Forward P E 63.968147
Free Cashflow 84,720,624
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,700
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.53418
Gross Profits 265,104,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.19374001
Held Percent Institutions 0.90721
Implied Shares Outstanding 93,624,471
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Loar Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells aerospace and defense components for aircraft, and aerospace and defense systems in the United States and internationally. It offers airframe components, structural components, avionics, composites, braking system components, de-ice and ice protection, electro-mechanical, engineered materials, flight controls, fluid and motion controls, environmental, metal forming, molded components, and restraints and safety devices. The company also provides auto throttles, lap-belt airbags, two-and three-point seat belts, water purification systems, fire barriers, polyimide washers and bushings, latches, interior securing devices, hold-open and tie rods, temperature and fluid sensors and switches, carbon and metallic brake discs, fluid and pneumatic-based ice protection, RAM air components, sealing solutions, motion and actuation devices, edge-lighted panels and knobs, and annunciators for incandescent and LED illuminated pushbutton switches, high-performance fans and cooling devices, lighting, Human-Machine Interface products, and bespoke lighting systems, and others. It primarily serves commercial, business jet and general aviation, and defense markets. Loar Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in White Plains, New York.
Long Name Loar Holdings Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,317,779,456
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1876857378
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 72,146,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,317,779,303
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 63.68
Operating Cashflow 112,280,000
Operating Margins 0.24576001
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 914 909 1311
Post Market Change 0.4300003
Post Market Change Percent 0.6372263
Post Market Price 67.91
Post Market Time 1,776,470,101
Previous Close 61.81
Price Eps Current Year 85.1988
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.3777494
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 12.730195
Profit Margins 0.14536999
Quick Ratio 2.808
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.4
Region US
Regular Market Change 5.67
Regular Market Change Percent 9.17328
Regular Market Day High 67.895
Regular Market Day Low 63.295
Regular Market Day Range 63.295 - 67.895
Regular Market Open 63.68
Regular Market Previous Close 61.81
Regular Market Price 67.48
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,002
Regular Market Volume 735,081
Return On Assets 0.04419
Return On Equity 0.06375
Revenue Growth 0.193
Revenue Per Share 5.302
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 93,624,471
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0694
Shares Short 6,498,428
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,237,790
Short Name Loar Holdings Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.48139998
Short Ratio 5.26
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol LOAR
Target High Price 98.0
Target Low Price 71.0
Target Mean Price 89.2
Target Median Price 90.0
Total Cash 84,827,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.906
Total Debt 725,292,992
Total Revenue 496,283,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.75
Trailing P E 89.973335
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 71.31005
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.8300476
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.053709786
Type Disp Equity
Volume 735,081
Website https://www.loargroup.com
Zip 10,604