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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LLY ETF (LLYX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
28.22 USD +1.76 (6.652%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 28.44 +0.22 (0.780%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 7:53 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:49 a.m. EDT

This leveraged ETF is currently trapped in a severe structural decline, having lost over 38% of its value in just one year. While the underlying asset (Lilly) is a powerhouse, this specific instrument suffers from the compounding drag of daily rebalancing on a falling asset, making it a poor vehicle for long-term holding despite the high 2.88% yield. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying cheap put insurance while ignoring upside potential. For a short-term swing trade, the momentum is firmly against the bulls, and the statistical forecast offers no directional clarity. Investors should view this as a speculative play on a rebound rather than a core investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.068766
AutoETS0.068769
AutoARIMA0.068771
AutoTheta0.070651

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 3.05
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.456
Excess Kurtosis -0.72

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:49 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (95-98% of total volume) across all expirations. Call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, while deep out-of-the-money calls show negligible interest. This distribution suggests a market consensus expecting continued volatility or further declines rather than a rally.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-30 0.704 2.730799
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 2.88

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 31.193
All Time Low 9.6
Ask 28.4
Ask Size 500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 262,820
Average Daily Volume3 Month 291,421
Average Volume 291,421
Average Volume10Days 262,820
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 27.98
Bid Size 400
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 29.2866
Day Low 27.3
Display Name Daily Target 2X Long LLY ETF
Dividend Yield 2.88
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 25.6374
Fifty Day Average Change 2.5825996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.100735635
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 67.36243
Fifty Two Week High 31.193
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.9730015
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.09530989
Fifty Two Week Low 14.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.709999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9448655
Fifty Two Week Range 14.51 - 31.193
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,723,123,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change 1.75
Fullday Change Percent 6.6137567
Fullday Price 28.22
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,723,075,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LLY ETF
Market us_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1878723503
Nav Price 26.4186
Net Assets 88,619,960.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.49
Open 27.25
Post Market Change 0.22000122
Post Market Change Percent 0.7795933
Post Market Price 28.44
Post Market Time 1,792,108,381
Previous Close 26.46
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.76
Regular Market Change Percent 6.65155
Regular Market Day High 29.2866
Regular Market Day Low 27.3
Regular Market Day Range 27.3 - 29.2866
Regular Market Open 27.25
Regular Market Previous Close 26.46
Regular Market Price 28.22
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,400
Regular Market Volume 468,498
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long L
Source Interval 15
Symbol LLYX
Total Assets 88,619,960
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -11.75838
Trailing Three Month Returns -11.75838
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.137674
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.082325
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.21965583
Type Disp ETF
Volume 468,498
Yield 0.028800001
Ytd Return -4.02367