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Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (LLYVA)

Communication Services | Entertainment | Englewood, United States | NasdaqGS
101.09 USD +1.46 (1.465%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:58 a.m. EDT

The immediate catalyst here is the spin-off from Liberty Media, which has successfully engineered a massive re-rating of the stock, pushing it up over 100% in a single year. However, this is a classic 'new coin' scenario where the market is pricing in perfection without a proven track record. Fundamentally, the business is in distress: it is burning cash, has negative operating margins, and carries significant debt relative to its tiny revenue base. The valuation metrics are absurd, trading at a forward P/E of 53x despite negative trailing earnings, implying the market is betting entirely on future growth that hasn't materialized yet. While the short-term momentum is undeniable—driven by the recent surge and the lack of downside protection in the options chain—the long-term investment case remains unproven. There is no dividend to provide a floor, and the company is currently losing money. The recent price action shows strong buying pressure, but this is likely speculative enthusiasm rather than a correction of a deep value. Investors are paying a premium for the concept of a standalone live entertainment platform, but until the company demonstrates consistent profitability and a path to servicing its debt, the risk of a sharp re-rating back to reality remains high.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_74_105 ✓0.041831
AutoETS0.042942
MSTL_740.045909
MSTL_1050.047623
AutoTheta0.063877
AutoARIMA0.075897
MSTL0.075961

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74_105

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 0.70
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.506
Excess Kurtosis -0.58
Attribute Value
Sector Communication Services
Revenue per Share 4.331
Market Cap 9,300,727,808
Forward P/E 54.35
Beta 0.94
Profit Margins -88.23%
Previous Name Liberty Live Group
Website https://libertyliveholdings.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:58 a.m. EDT: Call volume and open interest are overwhelmingly concentrated in the money and at-the-money strikes, with virtually zero put activity. Implied volatility is extremely low for near-term expirations, suggesting a lack of hedging demand and a speculative bias toward upside continuation rather than protection.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.23995018
Address1 12,300 Liberty Boulevard
All Time High 105.475
All Time Low 29.48
Ask 109.67
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 301,170
Average Daily Volume3 Month 288,995
Average Volume 288,995
Average Volume10Days 301,170
Beta 0.937
Bid 93.25
Bid Size 2
Book Value -3.453
City Englewood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 101.09
Current Ratio 0.31
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 102.11
Day Low 98.79
Display Name Liberty Live
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,770,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,770,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda -24,754,000
Ebitda Margins -0.062119998
Enterprise To Ebitda -428.891
Enterprise To Revenue 26.641
Enterprise Value 10,616,765,440
Eps Forward 1.86
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.89
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 96.103
Fifty Day Average Change 4.9869995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.051892236
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 23.995018
Fifty Two Week High 105.475
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.385002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.041573852
Fifty Two Week Low 74.38
Fifty Two Week Low Change 26.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.35910192
Fifty Two Week Range 74.38 - 105.475
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,691,155,800,000
Float Shares 57,969,231
Forward Eps 1.86
Forward P E 54.34946
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 300
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.20066
Gross Profits 79,966,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.23657
Held Percent Institutions 0.80357003
Implied Shares Outstanding 92,004,429
Industry Entertainment
Industry Disp Entertainment
Industry Key entertainment
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-12-16
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients. In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors. Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
Long Name Liberty Live Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,300,727,808
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1851034978
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -351,628,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,565,330,936
Open 99.41
Operating Cashflow -21,615,000
Operating Margins -0.26233998
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 720 875 5200
Prev Name Liberty Live Group
Previous Close 99.63
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -29.27599
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 23.338638
Profit Margins -0.88235
Quick Ratio 0.257
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.46
Regular Market Change Percent 1.46542
Regular Market Day High 102.11
Regular Market Day Low 98.79
Regular Market Day Range 98.79 - 102.11
Regular Market Open 99.41
Regular Market Previous Close 99.63
Regular Market Price 101.09
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 136,253
Return On Assets -0.02052
Revenue Growth 0.352
Revenue Per Share 4.331
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Communication Services
Sector Disp Communication Services
Sector Key communication-services
Shares Outstanding 25,573,685
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0172
Shares Short 1,581,773
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 995,495
Short Name Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S
Short Percent Of Float 0.0799
Short Ratio 4.97
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol LLYVA
Total Cash 524,431,008
Total Cash Per Share 5.7
Total Debt 1,818,523,008
Total Revenue 398,512,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.89
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 89.18893
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.90107
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.13343664
Type Disp Equity
Volume 136,253
Website https://libertyliveholdings.com
Zip 80,112