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Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (LLYVA)

Communication Services | Entertainment | Englewood, United States | NasdaqGS
93.56 USD +0.16 (0.171%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 10:32 a.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:09 p.m. EDT

This is a massive value trap. The stock is fundamentally broken with negative book value, negative operating cash flow, and a shareholder base that is effectively fleeing following the Liberty Media split-off. The recent price surge is likely relief rally volatility rather than a turnaround story, especially given the warning signs from the forecasting models regarding heteroscedasticity. With no dividend, high institutional ownership concentration issues (Vanguard exiting), and a macro setup where puts are gathering at support while calls remain absent, the prudent view is to avoid accumulation until a clear, sustainable profitability story emerges. The recent price target bump to 140 seems to ignore the unreturned capital from the split-off which has left this standalone entity cash-poor and leveraged.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.057450
AutoARIMA0.059480
AutoTheta0.076013
AutoETS0.105361

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.191
Excess Kurtosis -0.25
Attribute Value
Sector Communication Services
Revenue per Share 4.155
Market Cap 8,772,559,872
Forward P/E 50.30
Beta 1.29
Profit Margins -22.77%
Previous Name Liberty Live Group
Website https://libertyliveholdings.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:09 p.m. EDT: Speculators exhibit extreme caution and bearish positioning. While near-term (T+1 week) call flow is minimal, there is a distinct 'money lap' setup in out-of-the-money puts expiring May 15 (45-strike and 50-strike) with significant OI crush (-50%+ over implied volatility). The front-month ATM IV is slightly elevated compared to further-dated strikes on puts, suggesting hedging demands or downside insurance buying. Call positioning is scarce, with only negligible OI at strikes 100 and 105, indicating a lack of aggressive upside speculation despite the recent price recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.40641475
Address1 12,300 Liberty Boulevard
All Time High 99.82
All Time Low 29.48
Ask 102.44
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 110,320
Average Daily Volume3 Month 164,340
Average Volume 164,340
Average Volume10Days 110,320
Beta 1.289
Bid 84.75
Bid Size 2
Book Value -0.534
City Englewood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 93.56
Current Ratio 0.332
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 93.655
Day Low 93.43
Display Name Liberty Live
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,770,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,770,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Ebitda -25,612,000
Ebitda Margins -0.06706
Enterprise To Ebitda -379.877
Enterprise To Revenue 25.473
Enterprise Value 9,729,416,192
Eps Forward 1.86
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.95
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 92.8673
Fifty Day Average Change 0.6926956
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.007458983
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 40.641476
Fifty Two Week High 99.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.260002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06271291
Fifty Two Week Low 65.09
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.470001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4373944
Fifty Two Week Range 65.09 - 99.82
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,691,155,800,000
Float Shares 47,955,236
Forward Eps 1.86
Forward P E 50.301075
Free Cashflow 9,300,625
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 300
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.19249001
Gross Profits 73,522,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.23657
Held Percent Institutions 0.76512
Implied Shares Outstanding 93,764,010
Industry Entertainment
Industry Disp Entertainment
Industry Key entertainment
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-12-16
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients. In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors. Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
Long Name Liberty Live Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,772,559,872
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1851034978
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Name Change Date 2,026-04-20
Net Income To Common -86,967,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,743,170,944
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 93.64
Operating Cashflow -29,455,000
Operating Margins -0.11153
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 720-875-5200
Prev Name Liberty Live Group
Previous Close 93.4
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -175.206
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 22.967762
Profit Margins -0.22769
Quick Ratio 0.304
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.15999603
Regular Market Change Percent 0.17130196
Regular Market Day High 93.655
Regular Market Day Low 93.43
Regular Market Day Range 93.43 - 93.655
Regular Market Open 93.64
Regular Market Previous Close 93.4
Regular Market Price 93.56
Regular Market Time 1,776,781,927
Regular Market Volume 2,843
Return On Assets -0.018609999
Revenue Growth 0.29
Revenue Per Share 4.155
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Communication Services
Sector Disp Communication Services
Sector Key communication-services
Shares Outstanding 25,573,685
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0107
Shares Short 987,413
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,023,413
Short Name Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S
Short Percent Of Float 0.0499
Short Ratio 6.53
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol LLYVA
Target High Price 106.0
Target Low Price 106.0
Target Mean Price 106.0
Target Median Price 106.0
Total Cash 545,494,016
Total Cash Per Share 5.934
Total Debt 1,666,546,048
Total Revenue 381,951,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.95
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 87.00292
Two Hundred Day Average Change 6.5570755
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.075366154
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,843
Website https://libertyliveholdings.com
Zip 80,112