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Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION)

NYSE
10.99 USD -0.05 (-0.408%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 9:40 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:15 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. Despite a recent price surge fueled by buyout buzz, the underlying business shows severe distress: negative book value (-$4.10/share), a forward P/E of nearly 23x on a loss-making entity, and a brutal multi-year price trajectory that has erased roughly 39% of value over the last three years. The market has punished the stock twice now with consecutive annual declines, signaling that the previous rally was likely a speculative bubble rather than a turnaround. Compounding this, the company pays no dividends, offering zero income to offset the capital destruction. While options traders are aggressively betting on further downside, the lack of analyst consensus (mean target $15 is still below the 52-week high but implies limited upside from current lows) and the deteriorating fundamentals suggest this is a value trap. The recent price action is a dangerous distraction; the structural damage to the balance sheet and the persistent failure to generate sustainable growth make this a poor long-term hold.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.131381
AutoARIMA0.133727
AutoETS0.133728
AutoTheta0.151893

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 20.83
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.093
Excess Kurtosis -1.17
Attribute Value
Market Cap 3,270,180,864
Forward P/E 22.54
Previous Name Lions Gate Entertainment Corp.

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $7-$9) and significant volume in deep OTM puts compared to calls. While there is some call activity at strikes $12-$17, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying, suggesting a consensus expectation of continued weakness or a 'sell the news' event following the recent surge.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 16.7
All Time Low 5.545
Ask 11.37
Ask Size 2,200
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,490,890
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,622,548
Average Volume 2,622,548
Average Volume10Days 2,490,890
Bid 10.0
Bid Size 1,500
Book Value -4.096
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.99
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 11.01
Day Low 10.99
Display Name Lionsgate Studios
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Eps Current Year 0.389
Eps Forward 0.48764
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.42
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.4016
Fifty Day Average Change -0.4116001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.036100205
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 86.463615
Fifty Two Week High 16.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.710001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3419162
Fifty Two Week Low 5.89
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.1
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.86587435
Fifty Two Week Range 5.89 - 16.7
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,646,145,000,000
Forward P E 22.537117
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Fullday Change -0.045000076
Fullday Change Percent -0.4077941
Fullday Price 10.99
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Implied Shares Outstanding 297,559,680
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-05-14
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Long Name Lionsgate Studios Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,270,180,864
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_30864
Name Change Date 2,026-10-16
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,317,790,432
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 10.98
Prev Name Lions Gate Entertainment Corp.
Previous Close 11.035
Price Eps Current Year 28.251928
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -2.6831052
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.15385
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.045000076
Regular Market Change Percent -0.4077941
Regular Market Day High 11.01
Regular Market Day Low 10.99
Regular Market Day Range 10.99 - 11.01
Regular Market Open 10.98
Regular Market Previous Close 11.035
Regular Market Price 10.99
Regular Market Time 1,792,158,004
Regular Market Volume 33,276
Shares Outstanding 297,559,680
Short Name Lionsgate Studios Corp
Source Interval 15
Symbol LION
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 15.08333
Target Median Price 16.0
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.46325
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.4732504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.041284136
Type Disp Equity
Volume 33,276