Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION)NYSE
10.99 USD
-0.05
(-0.408%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 9:40 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:15 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is fundamentally broken. Despite a recent price surge fueled by buyout buzz, the underlying business shows severe distress: negative book value (-$4.10/share), a forward P/E of nearly 23x on a loss-making entity, and a brutal multi-year price trajectory that has erased roughly 39% of value over the last three years. The market has punished the stock twice now with consecutive annual declines, signaling that the previous rally was likely a speculative bubble rather than a turnaround. Compounding this, the company pays no dividends, offering zero income to offset the capital destruction. While options traders are aggressively betting on further downside, the lack of analyst consensus (mean target $15 is still below the 52-week high but implies limited upside from current lows) and the deteriorating fundamentals suggest this is a value trap. The recent price action is a dangerous distraction; the structural damage to the balance sheet and the persistent failure to generate sustainable growth make this a poor long-term hold. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.131381 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.133727 |
| AutoETS | 0.133728 |
| AutoTheta | 0.151893 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 20.83 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.093 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.17 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 3,270,180,864 |
| Forward P/E | 22.54 |
| Previous Name | Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:15 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $7-$9) and significant volume in deep OTM puts compared to calls. While there is some call activity at strikes $12-$17, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying, suggesting a consensus expectation of continued weakness or a 'sell the news' event following the recent surge.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 16.7 |
| All Time Low | 5.545 |
| Ask | 11.37 |
| Ask Size | 2,200 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.2 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,490,890 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,622,548 |
| Average Volume | 2,622,548 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,490,890 |
| Bid | 10.0 |
| Bid Size | 1,500 |
| Book Value | -4.096 |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 10.99 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 11.01 |
| Day Low | 10.99 |
| Display Name | Lionsgate Studios |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.389 |
| Eps Forward | 0.48764 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.42 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 11.4016 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.4116001 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.036100205 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 86.463615 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 16.7 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.710001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.3419162 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 5.89 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 5.1 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.86587435 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 5.89 - 16.7 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,646,145,000,000 |
| Forward P E | 22.537117 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Fullday Change | -0.045000076 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.4077941 |
| Fullday Price | 10.99 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 297,559,680 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,024-05-14 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Long Name | Lionsgate Studios Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,270,180,864 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_30864 |
| Name Change Date | 2,026-10-16 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,317,790,432 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 12 |
| Open | 10.98 |
| Prev Name | Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. |
| Previous Close | 11.035 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 28.251928 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -2.6831052 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.15385 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.045000076 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.4077941 |
| Regular Market Day High | 11.01 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.99 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 10.99 - 11.01 |
| Regular Market Open | 10.98 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 11.035 |
| Regular Market Price | 10.99 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,158,004 |
| Regular Market Volume | 33,276 |
| Shares Outstanding | 297,559,680 |
| Short Name | Lionsgate Studios Corp |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | LION |
| Target High Price | 20.0 |
| Target Low Price | 9.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 15.08333 |
| Target Median Price | 16.0 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.46325 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.4732504 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.041284136 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 33,276 |