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Li Auto Inc. (LI)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Beijing, China | NasdaqGS
12.18 USD +0.08 (0.661%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:06 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Li Auto is currently fractured by a severe disconnect between its massive cash pile and its deteriorating operational reality. Despite holding nearly $93 billion in cash against only $17 billion in debt, the company is burning through free cash flow at a staggering rate, with operating cash flow running at a loss of over $13 billion annually. This is not a typical cyclical downturn; the data shows a sharp contraction in revenue growth (-11.4%) and a collapse in profitability, with both profit and operating margins turning deeply negative. The market has rightly punished this performance, driving the stock down roughly 42% year-over-year in the most recent fiscal period. While the balance sheet provides a theoretical safety net, the inability to generate cash from operations or grow top-line sales suggests the core business model is under stress. The recent launch of the L8 flagship SUV offers a glimmer of hope, but the stock's trajectory remains heavily weighted toward the downside given the lack of earnings power and the aggressive price cuts required to maintain market share. With no dividend to provide income and a forward P/E that relies entirely on future profitability assumptions, the risk/reward profile appears skewed against the buyer at these levels. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders stacking protection rather than betting on a rally.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_74_115 ✓0.140934
MSTL_1150.168176
MSTL_740.182093
AutoTheta0.199135
AutoARIMA0.202904
AutoETS0.202975
MSTL0.202980

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 47.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.132
Excess Kurtosis -1.12
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 25.122
Revenue per Share 108.29
Market Cap 12,050,176,000
Forward P/E 11.85
Beta 0.55
Profit Margins -1.66%
Website https://www.lixiang.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated in the money and out-of-the-money strikes, particularly for August and September expirations. Call activity is sparse and mostly centered at the money, while significant put volume at strikes like $10 and $11 suggests a floor is being established near current levels rather than a breakout attempt. The implied volatility remains elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty around the new L8 model execution and delivery numbers.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.5776614
Address1 11 Wenliang Street
Address2 Shunyi District
All Time High 47.7
All Time Low 11.65
Ask 15.55
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,984,190
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,192,677
Average Volume 4,192,677
Average Volume10Days 3,984,190
Beta 0.549
Bid 8.91
Bid Size 2
Book Value 10.177902
City Beijing
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.18
Current Ratio 1.879
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 12.39
Day Low 12.09
Debt To Equity 25.122
Display Name Li Auto
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,779,969,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,779,969,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,779,971,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,833,800
Ebitda 1,323,948,800
Ebitda Margins 0.01211
Enterprise To Ebitda -47.196
Enterprise To Revenue -0.571
Enterprise Value -62,485,008,384
Eps Current Year 0.349
Eps Forward 1.0275156
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.27
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 15.0006
Fifty Day Average Change -2.8205996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.18803245
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -57.76614
Fifty Two Week High 32.025
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.845001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6196721
Fifty Two Week Low 11.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.5300007
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.04549362
Fifty Two Week Range 11.65 - 32.025
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,596,115,800,000
Float Shares 541,893,990
Forward Eps 1.0275156
Forward P E 11.853834
Free Cashflow -15,601,390,592
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 30,728
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.15978
Gross Profits 17,474,643,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00023
Held Percent Institutions 0.041890003
Implied Shares Outstanding 989,341,162
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Li Auto Inc. operates in the energy vehicle market in the People's Republic of China. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles. Its product line comprises multi-purpose vehicles and sport utility vehicles. The company offers sales and after sales management, and technology development and corporate management services, as well as manufacturing equipment. It offers its products through online and offline channels. The company was formerly known as Leading Ideal Inc. and changed its name to Li Auto Inc. in July 2020. Li Auto Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Long Name Li Auto Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,050,176,000
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_676755414
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -1,815,416,960
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 11,910,500,260
Number Of Analyst Opinions 26
Open 12.1
Operating Cashflow -13,001,422,848
Operating Margins -0.13048
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.82
Phone 86 10 8742 7209
Pre Market Change 0.21999931
Pre Market Change Percent 1.806234
Pre Market Price 12.4
Pre Market Time 1,784,018,100
Previous Close 12.1
Price Eps Current Year 34.899715
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1967103
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.11017948
Profit Margins -0.0166
Quick Ratio 1.659
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0799999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.661156
Regular Market Day High 12.39
Regular Market Day Low 12.09
Regular Market Day Range 12.09 - 12.39
Regular Market Open 12.1
Regular Market Previous Close 12.1
Regular Market Price 12.18
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 3,269,824
Return On Assets -0.01512
Return On Equity -0.02495
Revenue Growth -0.114
Revenue Per Share 108.29
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 811,790,863
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0254
Shares Short 25,173,630
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 25,487,938
Short Name Li Auto Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0477
Short Ratio 6.0
Source Interval 15
Symbol LI
Target High Price 26.878025
Target Low Price 13.985804
Target Mean Price 18.43795
Target Median Price 17.994112
Total Cash 93,105,160,192
Total Cash Per Share 91.836
Total Debt 17,737,906,176
Total Revenue 109,368,606,720
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.27
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.8249
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.93105
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.751049
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.3207313
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,269,824
Website https://www.lixiang.com
Zip 101,399