Li Auto Inc. (LI)Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Beijing, China | NasdaqGS
12.18 USD
+0.08
(0.661%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:06 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Li Auto is currently fractured by a severe disconnect between its massive cash pile and its deteriorating operational reality. Despite holding nearly $93 billion in cash against only $17 billion in debt, the company is burning through free cash flow at a staggering rate, with operating cash flow running at a loss of over $13 billion annually. This is not a typical cyclical downturn; the data shows a sharp contraction in revenue growth (-11.4%) and a collapse in profitability, with both profit and operating margins turning deeply negative. The market has rightly punished this performance, driving the stock down roughly 42% year-over-year in the most recent fiscal period. While the balance sheet provides a theoretical safety net, the inability to generate cash from operations or grow top-line sales suggests the core business model is under stress. The recent launch of the L8 flagship SUV offers a glimmer of hope, but the stock's trajectory remains heavily weighted toward the downside given the lack of earnings power and the aggressive price cuts required to maintain market share. With no dividend to provide income and a forward P/E that relies entirely on future profitability assumptions, the risk/reward profile appears skewed against the buyer at these levels. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders stacking protection rather than betting on a rally. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_74_115 ✓ | 0.140934 |
| MSTL_115 | 0.168176 |
| MSTL_74 | 0.182093 |
| AutoTheta | 0.199135 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.202904 |
| AutoETS | 0.202975 |
| MSTL | 0.202980 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_74_115
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 31% |
| H-stat | 47.23 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.132 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.12 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 25.122 |
| Revenue per Share | 108.29 |
| Market Cap | 12,050,176,000 |
| Forward P/E | 11.85 |
| Beta | 0.55 |
| Profit Margins | -1.66% |
| Website | https://www.lixiang.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated in the money and out-of-the-money strikes, particularly for August and September expirations. Call activity is sparse and mostly centered at the money, while significant put volume at strikes like $10 and $11 suggests a floor is being established near current levels rather than a breakout attempt. The implied volatility remains elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty around the new L8 model execution and delivery numbers.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.5776614 |
| Address1 | 11 Wenliang Street |
| Address2 | Shunyi District |
| All Time High | 47.7 |
| All Time Low | 11.65 |
| Ask | 15.55 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.3 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 3,984,190 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 4,192,677 |
| Average Volume | 4,192,677 |
| Average Volume10Days | 3,984,190 |
| Beta | 0.549 |
| Bid | 8.91 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | 10.177902 |
| City | Beijing |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | China |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 12.18 |
| Current Ratio | 1.879 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 12.39 |
| Day Low | 12.09 |
| Debt To Equity | 25.122 |
| Display Name | Li Auto |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,779,969,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,779,969,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,779,971,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,787,833,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,787,833,800 |
| Ebitda | 1,323,948,800 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.01211 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -47.196 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | -0.571 |
| Enterprise Value | -62,485,008,384 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.349 |
| Eps Forward | 1.0275156 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.27 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 15.0006 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.8205996 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.18803245 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -57.76614 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 32.025 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -19.845001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6196721 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.65 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.5300007 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.04549362 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.65 - 32.025 |
| Financial Currency | CNY |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,596,115,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 541,893,990 |
| Forward Eps | 1.0275156 |
| Forward P E | 11.853834 |
| Free Cashflow | -15,601,390,592 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 30,728 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.15978 |
| Gross Profits | 17,474,643,968 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00023 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.041890003 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 989,341,162 |
| Industry | Auto Manufacturers |
| Industry Disp | Auto Manufacturers |
| Industry Key | auto-manufacturers |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Li Auto Inc. operates in the energy vehicle market in the People's Republic of China. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles. Its product line comprises multi-purpose vehicles and sport utility vehicles. The company offers sales and after sales management, and technology development and corporate management services, as well as manufacturing equipment. It offers its products through online and offline channels. The company was formerly known as Leading Ideal Inc. and changed its name to Li Auto Inc. in July 2020. Li Auto Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. |
| Long Name | Li Auto Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 12,050,176,000 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_676755414 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -1,815,416,960 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 11,910,500,260 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 26 |
| Open | 12.1 |
| Operating Cashflow | -13,001,422,848 |
| Operating Margins | -0.13048 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.82 |
| Phone | 86 10 8742 7209 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.21999931 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 1.806234 |
| Pre Market Price | 12.4 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,018,100 |
| Previous Close | 12.1 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 34.899715 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.1967103 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.11017948 |
| Profit Margins | -0.0166 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.659 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.33333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0799999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.661156 |
| Regular Market Day High | 12.39 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 12.09 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 12.09 - 12.39 |
| Regular Market Open | 12.1 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 12.1 |
| Regular Market Price | 12.18 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,269,824 |
| Return On Assets | -0.01512 |
| Return On Equity | -0.02495 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.114 |
| Revenue Per Share | 108.29 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Shares Outstanding | 811,790,863 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0254 |
| Shares Short | 25,173,630 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 25,487,938 |
| Short Name | Li Auto Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0477 |
| Short Ratio | 6.0 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | LI |
| Target High Price | 26.878025 |
| Target Low Price | 13.985804 |
| Target Mean Price | 18.43795 |
| Target Median Price | 17.994112 |
| Total Cash | 93,105,160,192 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 91.836 |
| Total Debt | 17,737,906,176 |
| Total Revenue | 109,368,606,720 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.27 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.8249 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 17.93105 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.751049 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.3207313 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,269,824 |
| Website | https://www.lixiang.com |
| Zip | 101,399 |