LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH)Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | The Woodlands, United States | NasdaqGS
42.35 USD
-2.94
(-6.492%) ⇩
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 42.35 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:55 a.m. EDT
The immediate outlook is severely bearish. The stock has suffered a catastrophic 59% drop over the last year, dragging the price down from over $100 to roughly $44. This multi-year decline has crushed momentum, leaving the stock trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day averages. While the balance sheet appears robust with a massive current ratio and low debt-to-equity, the market has clearly priced in severe operational distress, indicated by negative earnings growth and a lack of recent dividends. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders loading up on deep out-of-the-money puts while ignoring upside potential. Without a visible turnaround in earnings or a resumption of dividend payments, the risk-reward profile remains skewed heavily against the buyer. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.100967 |
| AutoETS | 0.121211 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.121212 |
| MSTL | 0.128341 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 36% |
| H-stat | 10.59 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.172 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.24 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 74.344 |
| Revenue per Share | 72.753 |
| Market Cap | 983,887,040 |
| Trailing P/E | 14.86 |
| Forward P/E | 12.38 |
| Beta | 1.86 |
| Profit Margins | 3.93% |
| Website | https://www.lgihomes.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 50, 55, 75) compared to negligible call activity. The implied volatility skew heavily favors put buyers, suggesting a consensus expectation of continued weakness or a sharp correction rather than a rally.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.08253902 |
| Address1 | 1,450 Lake Robbins Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 430 |
| All Time High | 188.0 |
| All Time Low | 12.01 |
| Ask | 53.15 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.5 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 375,330 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 316,272 |
| Average Volume | 316,272 |
| Average Volume10Days | 375,330 |
| Beta | 1.857 |
| Bid | 30.73 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 6 |
| Book Value | 91.734 |
| City | The Woodlands |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 42.35 |
| Current Ratio | 33.032 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 44.04 |
| Day Low | 41.13 |
| Debt To Equity | 74.344 |
| Display Name | LGI Homes |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,736,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,736,000 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.146 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.144 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,709,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,709,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,709,000 |
| Ebitda | 73,106,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.04344 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 34.32 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.491 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,508,994,304 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.78 |
| Eps Forward | 3.42 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.85 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 52.4298 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -10.0798 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.19225326 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -8.253902 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 66.25 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -23.900002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.36075473 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 33.55 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 8.799999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.26229507 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 33.55 - 66.25 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,383,834,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 20,300,624 |
| Forward Eps | 3.42 |
| Forward P E | 12.38304 |
| Free Cashflow | 208,319,248 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 1,056 |
| Fullday Change | -2.9400024 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -6.4915047 |
| Fullday Price | 42.35 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.19646 |
| Gross Profits | 330,595,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.12599 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.94631 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 23,232,279 |
| Industry | Residential Construction |
| Industry Disp | Residential Construction |
| Industry Key | residential-construction |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | LGI Homes, Inc. engages in the design, construction, and sale of new homes in the United States. It markets and sells attached and detached entry-level homes and active adult offerings under the LGI Homes brand; and luxury homes under the Terrata Homes brand. The company also engages in the wholesale business, which includes building and selling homes to large institutions interested in acquiring single-family rental properties through bulk sales agreements. It operates in Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, New Mexico, Colorado, North Carolina, South Carolina, Washington, Tennessee, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Alabama, California, Oregon, Nevada, West Virginia, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Utah. LGI Homes, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. |
| Long Name | LGI Homes, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 983,887,040 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_99856262 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 66,169,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,129,866,019 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 44.04 |
| Operating Cashflow | 132,558,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.0572 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 281 362 8998 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 42.35 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,008,051 |
| Previous Close | 45.29 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 15.233812 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.46166086 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.5846733 |
| Profit Margins | 0.03932 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.869 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.5 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -2.94 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -6.4915 |
| Regular Market Day High | 44.04 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 41.13 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 41.13 - 44.04 |
| Regular Market Open | 44.04 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 45.29 |
| Regular Market Price | 42.35 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,001 |
| Regular Market Volume | 690,673 |
| Return On Assets | 0.01075 |
| Return On Equity | 0.03159 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.057 |
| Revenue Per Share | 72.753 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.1570785 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 23,232,279 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.14109999 |
| Shares Short | 3,280,269 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,115,421 |
| Short Name | LGI Homes, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2242 |
| Short Ratio | 10.6 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | TX |
| Symbol | LGIH |
| Target High Price | 93.0 |
| Target Low Price | 93.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 93.0 |
| Target Median Price | 93.0 |
| Total Cash | 61,081,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.627 |
| Total Debt | 1,585,511,040 |
| Total Revenue | 1,682,797,952 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.85 |
| Trailing P E | 14.859649 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 50.48645 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -8.136452 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.1611611 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 690,673 |
| Website | https://www.lgihomes.com |
| Zip | 77,380 |