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LifeStance Health Group, Inc. (LFST)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Scottsdale, United States | NasdaqGS
12.31 USD +0.01 (0.081%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 12.36 +0.05 (0.406%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:14 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's operational recovery and its historical price performance. Fundamentally, the business is turning a corner with revenue growing at a robust 26% and margins expanding, which justifies the forward P/E of roughly 23x. However, the market has punished this stock severely, dragging the price down for two consecutive years and leaving it down nearly 60% over the last four years. This creates a 'value trap' scenario where the cheap valuation masks deep institutional skepticism about the sustainability of this turnaround. Short-term, the stock looks attractive for a tactical swing trade. It is trading well above its 200-day average, showing strong relative strength, and options flow suggests traders are betting on a volatile bounce. The lack of a dividend and the high beta mean this is purely a momentum play on the recovery story. Long-term, the risk remains elevated. While the fundamentals are improving, the multi-year decline suggests the market sees significant headwinds ahead. Until the stock can demonstrate a sustained price appreciation that matches the revenue growth, the balance sheet risks (high debt-to-equity) will likely keep the valuation suppressed. This is a high-risk, high-reward situation suitable only for investors comfortable with significant volatility while waiting for the market to fully re-rate the company's potential.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.225709
AutoARIMA0.234846
AutoETS0.234947
AutoTheta0.235944

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 2.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.427
Excess Kurtosis 0.48
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 32.099
Revenue per Share 4.104
Market Cap 4,703,105,024
Trailing P/E 94.69
Forward P/E 23.19
Beta 1.20
Profit Margins 3.19%
Website https://lifestance.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. In the near term (Sept/Oct), there is heavy out-of-the-money put volume at strikes significantly below current price, suggesting a hedge against a drop to the $7-$8 range. However, the most aggressive speculative flow is in March 2027 calls, where massive volume was generated at the $10 strike despite low open interest, indicating a bet on a substantial rally toward $12-$15 within the year. Implied volatility is elevated, pricing in significant moves in both directions.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.1865008
Address1 4,800 North Scottsdale Road
Address2 Suite 2500
All Time High 29.811
All Time Low 3.74
Ask 15.78
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,231,710
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,743,833
Average Volume 3,743,833
Average Volume10Days 3,231,710
Beta 1.201
Bid 9.0
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 3.867
City Scottsdale
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.31
Current Ratio 1.376
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 12.59
Day Low 12.235
Debt To Equity 32.099
Display Name LifeStance Health
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 135,004,992
Ebitda Margins 0.08519
Enterprise To Ebitda 36.675
Enterprise To Revenue 3.124
Enterprise Value 4,951,311,360
Eps Current Year 0.39551
Eps Forward 0.53075
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.13
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.1458
Fifty Day Average Change 1.1642008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.10445198
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 118.65008
Fifty Two Week High 12.965
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.65499973
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.05052061
Fifty Two Week Low 4.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.5400004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.5807129
Fifty Two Week Range 4.77 - 12.965
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,623,331,800,000
Float Shares 249,233,977
Forward Eps 0.53075
Forward P E 23.193596
Free Cashflow 172,356,128
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 8,542
Fullday Change 0.0100002
Fullday Change Percent 0.0813027
Fullday Price 12.36
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.33558998
Gross Profits 531,849,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0319
Held Percent Institutions 0.9562
Implied Shares Outstanding 382,055,609
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-06-10
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary LifeStance Health Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides outpatient mental health services to children, adolescents, adults, and geriatrics in the United States. The company offers patients a multidisciplinary suite of mental health services, psychiatric evaluations and treatment, psychological, and neuropsychological testing, as well as individual, family, and group therapy. It also treats a range of mental health conditions, including anxiety, depression, bipolar disorder, eating disorders, psychotic disorders, and post-traumatic stress disorder. In addition, the company operates an outpatient mental health platform, as well as offers patient care virtually through its online delivery platform or in-person at its centers. LifeStance Health Group, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Long Name LifeStance Health Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,703,105,024
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_715141243
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 50,600,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,699,283,990
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 12.31
Operating Cashflow 217,868,000
Operating Margins 0.0725
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 602 767 2100
Post Market Change 0.049999237
Post Market Change Percent 0.40616763
Post Market Price 12.36
Post Market Time 1,787,961,254
Previous Close 12.3
Price Eps Current Year 31.124372
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.1833463
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.9675694
Profit Margins 0.03193
Quick Ratio 1.226
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.54545
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0813027
Regular Market Day High 12.59
Regular Market Day Low 12.235
Regular Market Day Range 12.235 - 12.59
Regular Market Open 12.31
Regular Market Previous Close 12.3
Regular Market Price 12.31
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 4,000,111
Return On Assets 0.02323
Return On Equity 0.03429
Revenue Growth 0.261
Revenue Per Share 4.104
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 382,055,609
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0299
Shares Short 11,424,044
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 9,460,426
Short Name LifeStance Health Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0619
Short Ratio 2.82
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol LFST
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 12.0
Target Mean Price 13.8
Target Median Price 13.0
Total Cash 225,943,008
Total Cash Per Share 0.591
Total Debt 474,150,016
Total Revenue 1,584,834,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.13
Trailing P E 94.692314
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.07585
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.234151
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.5242979
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,000,111
Website https://lifestance.com
Zip 85,251