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Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Newark, United States | NasdaqGS
5.01 USD -0.08 (-1.572%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.01

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:52 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Lucid is currently broken by a catastrophic failure in execution and capital preservation. The company has endured four consecutive years of double-digit declines, erasing over 90% of its value since the 2021 peak, which signals a structural deterioration in market confidence regarding its ability to scale production profitably. Fundamentally, the business is bleeding cash with gross margins deeply in negative territory and a balance sheet weighed down by debt that far exceeds its cash reserves. While analysts see a path to recovery, the reality of negative book value and persistent losses makes holding the stock a high-risk gamble rather than a value opportunity. The options market confirms this distress, with traders stacking protective puts at levels well below the current price, suggesting they expect further downside before any meaningful rebound can occur.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.207363
AutoETS0.211586
AutoARIMA0.211587
AutoTheta0.273293

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 1.06
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.724
Excess Kurtosis -0.47
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 197.84
Revenue per Share 4.59
Market Cap 1,955,186,688
Forward P/E -0.97
Beta 0.86
Profit Margins -249.21%
Website https://www.lucidmotors.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:52 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $3.00-$6.00) acting as a major wall, while call volume is concentrated near the money ($5.50-$7.00) rather than aggressive upside bets. The implied volatility surface shows significant spikes at deep out-of-the-money strikes for both sides, indicating extreme uncertainty and a fear of a binary event or further collapse, though the put skew suggests the market prices a higher probability of continued decline than a sharp rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.71177804
Address1 7,373 Gateway Boulevard
All Time High 648.6
All Time Low 2.37
Ask 6.38
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 3.2 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 11,937,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 17,546,132
Average Volume 17,546,132
Average Volume10Days 11,937,730
Beta 0.855
Bid 4.98
Bid Size 3
Board Risk 7
Book Value -2.685
City Newark
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.01
Current Ratio 1.139
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 5.165
Day Low 4.95
Debt To Equity 197.84
Display Name Lucid
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,879,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,879,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda -3,588,486,912
Ebitda Margins -2.31946
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.167
Enterprise To Revenue 5.026
Enterprise Value 7,775,902,720
Eps Current Year -9.92667
Eps Forward -5.165
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -13.72
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.2534
Fifty Day Average Change -1.2433996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.19883578
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -71.1778
Fifty Two Week High 25.23
Fifty Two Week High Change -20.22
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.8014269
Fifty Two Week Low 2.37
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.6400003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1139243
Fifty Two Week Range 2.37 - 25.23
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,600,435,800,000
Float Shares 156,635,014
Forward Eps -5.165
Forward P E -0.9699904
Free Cashflow -3,364,247,552
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 9,000
Fullday Change -0.0799999
Fullday Change Percent -1.57171
Fullday Price 5.01
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins -1.00603
Gross Profits -1,556,452,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.15348
Held Percent Institutions 0.68241996
Implied Shares Outstanding 390,256,808
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-07-26
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,756,771,200
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Lucid Group, Inc., a technology company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EV), EV powertrains, and battery systems. The company provides Lucid Air sedan and Lucid Gravity SUV. It also designs and develops proprietary software in-house for Lucid vehicles. The company sells vehicles directly to consumers through its retail sales network and direct online sales, including Lucid Financial Services. The company is headquartered in Newark, California. Lucid Group, Inc. is a subsidiary of Ayar Third Investment Company.
Long Name Lucid Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,955,186,688
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_83747444
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -4,604,930,048
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,005,817,195
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 5.03
Operating Cashflow -4,080,947,968
Operating Margins -2.61009
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 510 648 3553
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 5.01
Post Market Time 1,787,961,581
Previous Close 5.09
Price Eps Current Year -0.504701
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -1.8659219
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.2637572
Profit Margins -2.49214
Quick Ratio 0.404
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.18182
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0799999
Regular Market Change Percent -1.57171
Regular Market Day High 5.165
Regular Market Day Low 4.95
Regular Market Day Range 4.95 - 5.165
Regular Market Open 5.03
Regular Market Previous Close 5.09
Regular Market Price 5.01
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 8,066,441
Return On Assets -0.30702
Return On Equity -1.25992
Revenue Growth 0.562
Revenue Per Share 4.59
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 390,256,808
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1428
Shares Short 56,287,416
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 65,009,679
Short Name Lucid Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.3409
Short Ratio 2.43
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol LCID
Target High Price 17.0
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 8.11111
Target Median Price 7.0
Total Cash 761,313,024
Total Cash Per Share 1.932
Total Debt 3,656,666,880
Total Revenue 1,547,122,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -13.72
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.797375
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.7873745
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.4305119
Type Disp Equity
Volume 8,066,441
Website https://www.lucidmotors.com
Zip 94,560