Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID)Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Newark, United States | NasdaqGS
5.51 USD
-0.04
(-0.721%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 5.53 +0.02 (0.363%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:42 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case is effectively broken. The company has endured four consecutive years of double-digit declines, culminating in a nearly 92% loss of value since the last major anchor point. Fundamentals are dire: gross margins are negative, free cash flow is burning billions, and the balance sheet is heavily leveraged with negative book value. While revenue growth exists, it is insufficient to offset the structural deterioration in profitability and capital efficiency. The market has correctly priced this as a value trap where the business model is failing to generate returns. In the short term, the situation remains precarious. Recent price action shows a fragile bounce off lows, but the technical structure is still well below key moving averages, indicating lingering selling pressure. The options market confirms this tension; heavy open interest at $8.00 acts as a formidable barrier, while deep puts suggest fear of further collapse. Unless there is a sudden, material catalyst regarding deliveries or legal settlements, the near-term outlook leans bearish due to the lack of a sustainable earnings path and the overwhelming weight of the multi-year decline. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.082589 |
| MSTL | 0.083045 |
| AutoTheta | 0.147760 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.264630 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 35% |
| H-stat | 3.12 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.220 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.13 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 155.447 |
| Revenue per Share | 4.408 |
| Market Cap | 2,150,315,008 |
| Forward P/E | -1.12 |
| Beta | 0.83 |
| Profit Margins | -239.81% |
| Website | https://www.lucidmotors.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:42 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a binary outcome rather than a linear recovery. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes ($8.00, $10.00) acting as a 'glass ceiling' for upside, while put volume concentrates aggressively at deep out-of-the-money levels ($1.50, $2.50) and immediate downside ($4.50). This distribution suggests traders are betting on a massive gap-up event to clear the resistance or a catastrophic drop to test the floor, rather than a steady grind higher. The implied volatility surface shows elevated premiums for these specific tail risks, indicating the market prices in a high-probability of extreme volatility.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.75550663 |
| Address1 | 7,373 Gateway Boulevard |
| All Time High | 648.6 |
| All Time Low | 4.47 |
| Ask | 7.01 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.2 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 16,130,580 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 18,114,165 |
| Average Volume | 18,114,165 |
| Average Volume10Days | 16,130,580 |
| Beta | 0.831 |
| Bid | 4.05 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | -1.064 |
| City | Newark |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 5.51 |
| Current Ratio | 1.023 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 5.62 |
| Day Low | 5.4301 |
| Debt To Equity | 155.447 |
| Display Name | Lucid |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,873,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,873,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,873,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,873,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,873,600 |
| Ebitda | -3,291,674,880 |
| Ebitda Margins | -2.34917 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -2.13 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 5.004 |
| Enterprise Value | 7,011,066,368 |
| Eps Current Year | -8.108 |
| Eps Forward | -4.916 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -13.14 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.8519 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.34189987 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.058425445 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -75.55067 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 33.7 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -28.19 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.8364985 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.47 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.0400004 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.2326623 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.47 - 33.7 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,600,435,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 172,278,868 |
| Forward Eps | -4.916 |
| Forward P E | -1.12083 |
| Free Cashflow | -3,035,099,648 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 9,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | -0.95602 |
| Gross Profits | -1,339,579,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.1037 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.61974996 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 390,256,808 |
| Industry | Auto Manufacturers |
| Industry Disp | Auto Manufacturers |
| Industry Key | auto-manufacturers |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-07-26 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,756,771,200 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:10 |
| Long Business Summary | Lucid Group, Inc., a technology company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EV), EV powertrains, and battery systems. The company provides Lucid Air sedan and Lucid Gravity SUV. It also designs and develops proprietary software in-house for Lucid vehicles. The company sells vehicles directly to consumers through its retail sales network and direct online sales, including Lucid Financial Services. The company is headquartered in Newark, California. Lucid Group, Inc. is a subsidiary of Ayar Third Investment Company. |
| Long Name | Lucid Group, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,150,315,008 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_83747444 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -4,084,909,056 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,165,925,284 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 10 |
| Open | 5.5 |
| Operating Cashflow | -3,688,957,952 |
| Operating Margins | -3.3687398 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 510 648 3553 |
| Post Market Change | 0.01999998 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.36297604 |
| Post Market Price | 5.53 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,199 |
| Previous Close | 5.55 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -0.6795758 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -5.1785717 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.5346162 |
| Profit Margins | -2.3980901 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.309 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.16667 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.04 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.72072 |
| Regular Market Day High | 5.62 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 5.4301 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 5.4301 - 5.62 |
| Regular Market Open | 5.5 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.55 |
| Regular Market Price | 5.51 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 6,484,665 |
| Return On Assets | -0.28152 |
| Return On Equity | -0.97587997 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.202 |
| Revenue Per Share | 4.408 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 390,256,808 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1626 |
| Shares Short | 63,467,930 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 57,936,413 |
| Short Name | Lucid Group, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.3934 |
| Short Ratio | 4.02 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | LCID |
| Target High Price | 17.0 |
| Target Low Price | 5.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 8.4 |
| Target Median Price | 7.5 |
| Total Cash | 700,355,968 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.795 |
| Total Debt | 3,168,143,104 |
| Total Revenue | 1,401,207,040 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -13.14 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 11.197275 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.687275 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.507916 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 6,484,665 |
| Website | https://www.lucidmotors.com |
| Zip | 94,560 |