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Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Newark, United States | NasdaqGS
6.75 USD -0.55 (-7.534%) ⇩ (April 20, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:47 p.m. EDT

Trading at $7.3, Lucid is fundamentally in a dangerous spot: negative operating cash flow, negative margins, and a negative forward P/E signal value erosion. Despite 22% revenue growth, the company burned $2.4B in free cash. Recent news highlights distress, including analyst downgrades and a Joe Rogan interview where the CEO admitted to 'breaking in half' with expectations. The stock is effectively a leveraged bet on a made-or-break capital raise (the $1.05B recent news) and EV demand revival, but the lack of dividends, lack of profitability, and heavy options-based downside protection make this a strict SELL/Avoid opportunity for now.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.046938
AutoETS0.109532
AutoARIMA0.109535
MSTL0.136175

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 66%
H-stat 1.52
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.767
Excess Kurtosis -0.26
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 106.529
Revenue per Share 4.344
Market Cap 2,471,866,112
Forward P/E -1.61
Beta 1.16
Profit Margins -199.30%
Website https://www.lucidmotors.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:47 p.m. EDT: Options flow exhibits significant put pressure with massive implied volatility (IV) spikes at deep out-of-the-money strikes (e.g., $1.0 and $4.0/-18.0 OTM calls showing 2000%+ IV premiums), indicating speculative hedging or 'naked' short exposure. However, Open Interest (OI) accumulation is heavily skewed toward Put walls and OTM strikes over Calls. Notable 'Volume > OI' new flow is concentrated in deep OTM puts (e.g., $6.5, $5.5), suggesting aggressive protection or bearish directional bets. Call OI is thin and mostly at-the-money, lacking the structural support seen in the put side.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.71030045
Address1 7,373 Gateway Boulevard
All Time High 648.6
All Time Low 6.75
Ask 6.96
Ask Size 116
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 20,621,410
Average Daily Volume3 Month 8,943,500
Average Volume 8,943,500
Average Volume10Days 20,621,410
Beta 1.163
Bid 6.64
Bid Size 116
Board Risk 7
Book Value 2.191
City Newark
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.75
Current Ratio 1.252
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 7.2
Day Low 6.75
Debt To Equity 106.529
Display Name Lucid
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,016,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,016,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda -3,050,510,080
Ebitda Margins -2.25331
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.988
Enterprise To Revenue 4.479
Enterprise Value 6,063,146,496
Eps Current Year -7.16333
Eps Forward -4.18
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -12.09
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.7032
Fifty Day Average Change -2.9532003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.30435324
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -71.030045
Fifty Two Week High 33.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -26.95
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.79970324
Fifty Two Week Low 6.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.0
Fifty Two Week Range 6.75 - 33.7
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,600,435,800,000
Float Shares 152,890,914
Forward Eps -4.18
Forward P E -1.6148326
Free Cashflow -2,401,935,872
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 9,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins -0.92805
Gross Profits -1,256,386,048
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04651
Held Percent Institutions 0.66055
Implied Shares Outstanding 366,202,397
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-07-26
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,756,771,200
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Lucid Group, Inc., a technology company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EV), EV powertrains, and battery systems. The company provides Lucid Air sedan and Lucid Gravity SUV. It also designs and develops proprietary software in-house for Lucid vehicles. The company sells vehicles directly to consumers through its retail sales network and direct online sales, including Lucid Financial Services. The company is headquartered in Newark, California. Lucid Group, Inc. is a subsidiary of Ayar Third Investment Company.
Long Name Lucid Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,471,866,112
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_83747444
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -3,681,699,072
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,471,866,179
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 7.17
Operating Cashflow -2,931,911,936
Operating Margins -2.03691
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 510 648 3553
Pre Market Change 0.5198002
Pre Market Change Percent 7.7007437
Pre Market Price 7.2698
Pre Market Time 1,776,776,260
Previous Close 7.3
Price Eps Current Year -0.9422992
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.080785
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.825886
Profit Margins -1.9929601
Quick Ratio 0.69
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.55
Regular Market Change Percent -7.53425
Regular Market Day High 7.2
Regular Market Day Low 6.75
Regular Market Day Range 6.75 - 7.2
Regular Market Open 7.17
Regular Market Previous Close 7.3
Regular Market Price 6.75
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,201
Regular Market Volume 32,607,402
Return On Assets -0.24271
Return On Equity -0.66019994
Revenue Growth 1.229
Revenue Per Share 4.344
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 366,202,397
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.13350001
Shares Short 43,752,596
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 44,296,647
Short Name Lucid Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.4202
Short Ratio 7.62
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol LCID
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 7.5
Target Mean Price 12.86364
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 1,628,920,064
Total Cash Per Share 4.971
Total Debt 3,196,708,096
Total Revenue 1,353,789,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -12.09
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.86845
Two Hundred Day Average Change -9.11845
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.57462764
Type Disp Equity
Volume 32,607,402
Website https://www.lucidmotors.com
Zip 94,560