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Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Sydney, Australia | NasdaqCM
13.59 USD +0.03 (0.221%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.38 -0.21 (-0.210%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 5:02 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:49 a.m. EDT

Kazia Therapeutics presents a classic biotech value trap where aggressive analyst upgrades and a 'strong buy' recommendation clash violently with deteriorating fundamentals. The company has suffered a catastrophic 97% decline over the last nine years, with revenue growth of merely 3% failing to offset massive operational losses and a negative return on equity of over 100%. Despite the recent news of a patient showing remission—a necessary but insufficient catalyst for a company with such a precarious balance sheet—the financial reality remains stark: negative earnings, negligible free cash flow relative to burn, and a market cap that offers no margin of safety. The options market confirms this skepticism, with traders loading up on puts to guard against further drops rather than betting on an immediate recovery. While the long-term potential of the oncology pipeline exists, the current trajectory is one of structural decline, making this a dangerous hold for investors seeking capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.140346
AutoETS0.231495
AutoARIMA0.231498
MSTL0.240399

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 0.29
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.316
Excess Kurtosis -0.32
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.213
Revenue per Share 0.851
Market Cap 155,291,552
Forward P/E -896.00
Beta 2.15
Website https://www.kaziatherapeutics.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:49 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts (254 contracts at the $10 strike) compared to minimal call volume. While there is some speculative call activity targeting a $20 strike in August, the overwhelming volume imbalance suggests a bearish bias or a hedging strategy against further declines rather than a bullish breakout.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.18635166
Address1 Three International Towers
Address2 Level 24 300 Barangaroo Avenue
All Time High 10,500.329
All Time Low 2.86
Ask 16.75
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 176,960
Average Daily Volume3 Month 229,337
Average Volume 229,337
Average Volume10Days 176,960
Beta 2.152
Bid 9.98
Bid Size 2
Book Value 2.8496249
City Sydney
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Australia
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.59
Current Ratio 2.871
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 13.93
Day Low 12.75
Debt To Equity 0.213
Display Name Kazia Therapeutics
Dividend Date 1,499,990,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,748,509,235
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,748,422,835
Ebitda -17,840,660
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -4.747
Enterprise To Revenue 44.608
Enterprise Value 84,694,944
Eps Current Year -0.017
Eps Forward -0.015167396
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.3
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.1598
Fifty Day Average Change 0.43020058
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.03269051
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 18.635166
Fifty Two Week High 17.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.8099995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21896549
Fifty Two Week Low 4.86
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.73
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.7962961
Fifty Two Week Range 4.86 - 17.4
Financial Currency AUD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 915,633,000,000
Float Shares 8,039,371
Forward Eps -0.015167396
Forward P E -896.0009
Free Cashflow 1,099,920
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 6
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 1,898,631
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.19813
Held Percent Institutions 0.28748
Implied Shares Outstanding 11,426,899
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,744,848,000
Last Split Factor 1:5
Long Business Summary Kazia Therapeutics Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oncology-focused biotechnology company in Israel. The company's lead development candidate is paxalisib, a small molecule, brain-penetrant inhibitor of the phosphoinositide-3-kinase (PI3K)/AKT/mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway, which is in Phase II/III clinical trial for the treatment of glioblastoma; in Phase II trial to treat isocitrate dehydrogenase-mutant glioma, primary central nervous system (CNS) lymphoma, diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma, and brain metastases; and in pre-clinical studies to treat triple-negative breast cancer, as well as for the treatment of atypical rhabdoid/teratoid tumors. It also develops EVT801, a small-molecule selective inhibitor of vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 3 that is in Phase I clinical trial to treat advanced solid tumors and ovarian cancer. The company has collaborations with the Australian and New Zealand Children's Haematology/Oncology Group, Genentech Inc., Global Coalition for Adaptive Research, Vivesto AB, Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd, Evotec SE, Sovargen Co., Ltd, and QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute. Kazia Therapeutics Limited was formerly known as Novogen Limited and changed its name to Kazia Therapeutics Limited in November 2017. Kazia Therapeutics Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Long Name Kazia Therapeutics Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 155,291,552
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_401773
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -22,800,680
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 155,977,171
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 13.64
Operating Cashflow -14,398,379
Operating Margins -146.41037
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.01
Phone 61 2 9472 4101
Post Market Change -0.21000004
Post Market Change Percent -1.5452541
Post Market Price 13.38
Post Market Time 1,783,976,579
Previous Close 13.56
Price Eps Current Year -799.41174
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.7690487
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 81.79133
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 2.862
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.4
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0299997
Regular Market Change Percent 0.221237
Regular Market Day High 13.93
Regular Market Day Low 12.75
Regular Market Day Range 12.75 - 13.93
Regular Market Open 13.64
Regular Market Previous Close 13.56
Regular Market Price 13.59
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 121,893
Return On Assets -0.25705
Return On Equity -1.0689601
Revenue Growth 3.124
Revenue Per Share 0.851
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 11,426,899
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.056500003
Shares Short 646,048
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 533,024
Short Name Kazia Therapeutics Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.056599997
Short Ratio 3.56
Source Interval 15
State NSW
Symbol KZIA
Target High Price 34.08725
Target Low Price 17.370647
Target Mean Price 27.282562
Target Median Price 29.134415
Total Cash 69,459,984
Total Cash Per Share 6.127
Total Debt 98,807
Total Revenue 1,898,631
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -7.3
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.31
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.2799997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.45972067
Type Disp Equity
Volume 121,893
Website https://www.kaziatherapeutics.com
Zip 2,000