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Kazia Therapeutics Limited (KZIA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Sydney, Australia | NasdaqCM
13.58 USD -3.32 (-19.645%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.92 +0.34 (2.522%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:02 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. While the company boasts a 'strong buy' analyst recommendation and a massive upside gap to the mean target price, the underlying business reality is a catastrophic failure. The stock has erased over 98% of its value over the last nine years, driven by four consecutive years of negative annual returns. This is not a temporary setback; it is a structural collapse where the market has repeatedly rejected the company's ability to generate value. The balance sheet, while currently showing low debt, is propped up by cash that is being burned rapidly, evidenced by negative operating cash flow and negative returns on equity. The recent news of a patient showing remission offers a glimmer of hope, but for a biotech firm with no revenue and a decade-long price trajectory in freefall, this is insufficient to reverse the trend. The options market confirms this despair, with traders buying protection at the bottom rather than betting on a rebound. Until the company demonstrates sustained profitability or a proven path to commercialization that translates to actual revenue growth, this remains a speculative trap disguised as a turnaround story.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.052782
AutoETS0.053426
AutoARIMA0.067077
AutoTheta0.071834

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 2.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.226
Excess Kurtosis -0.32
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.213
Revenue per Share 0.851
Market Cap 155,177,280
Forward P/E -863.86
Beta 2.14
Website https://www.kaziatherapeutics.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:02 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $5.00 and $7.50 expiring in early 2027), suggesting a fear of deep further declines. Conversely, there is minimal call interest, with open interest concentrated at lower strikes rather than upside targets, indicating a lack of conviction in a near-term recovery despite the elevated implied volatility.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.1694479
Address1 Three International Towers
Address2 Level 24 300 Barangaroo Avenue
All Time High 10,500.329
All Time Low 2.86
Ask 17.28
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 205,180
Average Daily Volume3 Month 195,535
Average Volume 195,535
Average Volume10Days 205,180
Beta 2.141
Bid 11.13
Bid Size 2
Book Value 2.9490666
City Sydney
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Australia
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.58
Current Ratio 2.871
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 15.5
Day Low 13.3
Debt To Equity 0.213
Display Name Kazia Therapeutics
Dividend Date 1,499,990,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,748,509,235
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,748,422,835
Ebitda -17,840,660
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -4.741
Enterprise To Revenue 44.549
Enterprise Value 84,581,584
Eps Current Year -0.017
Eps Forward -0.015720202
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -6.13
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.4946
Fifty Day Average Change 0.08539963
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0063284296
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 116.94479
Fifty Two Week High 17.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.8199997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21954022
Fifty Two Week Low 4.86
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.719999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.7942384
Fifty Two Week Range 4.86 - 17.4
Financial Currency AUD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 915,633,000,000
Float Shares 9,003,951
Forward Eps -0.015720202
Forward P E -863.8566
Free Cashflow 1,099,920
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 6
Fullday Change -3.32
Fullday Change Percent -19.645
Fullday Price 13.9225
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 1,898,631
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.21903
Held Percent Institutions 0.40725
Implied Shares Outstanding 11,426,899
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,744,848,000
Last Split Factor 1:5
Long Business Summary Kazia Therapeutics Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oncology-focused biotechnology company in Israel. The company's lead development candidate is paxalisib, a small molecule, brain-penetrant inhibitor of the phosphoinositide-3-kinase (PI3K)/AKT/mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway, which is in Phase II/III clinical trial for the treatment of glioblastoma; in Phase II trial to treat isocitrate dehydrogenase-mutant glioma, primary central nervous system (CNS) lymphoma, diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma, and brain metastases; and in pre-clinical studies to treat triple-negative breast cancer, as well as for the treatment of atypical rhabdoid/teratoid tumors. It also develops EVT801, a small-molecule selective inhibitor of vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 3 that is in Phase I clinical trial to treat advanced solid tumors and ovarian cancer. The company has collaborations with the Australian and New Zealand Children's Haematology/Oncology Group, Genentech Inc., Global Coalition for Adaptive Research, Vivesto AB, Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Ltd, Evotec SE, Sovargen Co., Ltd, and QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute. Kazia Therapeutics Limited was formerly known as Novogen Limited and changed its name to Kazia Therapeutics Limited in November 2017. Kazia Therapeutics Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Long Name Kazia Therapeutics Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 155,177,280
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_401773
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -22,800,680
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 193,114,593
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 15.48
Operating Cashflow -14,398,379
Operating Margins -146.41037
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.01
Phone 61 2 9472 4101
Post Market Change 0.34249973
Post Market Change Percent 2.5220892
Post Market Price 13.9225
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 16.9
Price Eps Current Year -798.8235
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.604847
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 81.73114
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 2.862
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -3.32
Regular Market Change Percent -19.645
Regular Market Day High 15.5
Regular Market Day Low 13.3
Regular Market Day Range 13.3 - 15.5
Regular Market Open 15.48
Regular Market Previous Close 16.9
Regular Market Price 13.58
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,179,251
Return On Assets -0.25705
Return On Equity -1.0689601
Revenue Growth 3.124
Revenue Per Share 0.851
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 11,426,899
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.048899997
Shares Short 559,162
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 740,435
Short Name Kazia Therapeutics Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.049000002
Short Ratio 2.73
Source Interval 15
State NSW
Symbol KZIA
Target High Price 34.749966
Target Low Price 17.943115
Target Mean Price 28.512085
Target Median Price 30.068779
Total Cash 69,459,984
Total Cash Per Share 6.127
Total Debt 98,807
Total Revenue 1,898,631
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -6.13
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.35775
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.22225
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.31109557
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,179,251
Website https://www.kaziatherapeutics.com
Zip 2,000